Delivering Value and Growth SNAPSHOT 2013 2014F(1) Cash flow(2) (C$ million) $7,477 $9,800 - 10,200 Per share ? basic(2) (C$) $6.87 $9.00 - 9.35 Capital expenditures (C$ million) $7,274 $11,825 - 12,225 Dividend (C$/Share) $0.575…
2013 2014F Oil WTI (US$/bbl) $98.00 $100.51 Natural gas NYMEX (US$/MMbtu) $3.67 $4.40 Natural gas AECO (C$/GJ) $3.00 $4.22 Heavy oil diff (%) 26% 21.8% Exchange rate (C$ = XUS$) $0.97 $0.92 Company Gross Reserves of crude oil and…
CNQ Five Key Messages Proven, effective, value driven strategy Safe, effective, efficient & environmentally responsible operations Strong, balanced, diverse portfolio with significant upside Transition to long life, low decline…
CNQ ? Capital allocation to maximize value ? Defined growth / value enhancement plans by product / basin ? Balance ?Product mix ?Project time horizons ?Drill bit and acquisitions ?Strong balance sheet ? Opportunistic…
CNQ 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 CNQ SU OXY IMP DVN APC CHK APA EOG CVE ECA NBL HSE TLM 1P Reserves After Royalties SIGNIFICANT VALUE TO UNLOCK Slide 4 Note: Sourced from 2013 corporate reports.…
CNQ 2P Reserves Before Royalties SIGNIFICANT VALUE TO UNLOCK Slide 5 Based on forecast pricing assumptions. Note: Sourced from 2013 corporate reports. Peers include: CVE, ECA, HSE, IMO, SU, TLM. CNQ does not include reserves…
CNQ 2014 Capital Capital ($ million) 2013 2014F* Natural gas $554 $800 Crude oil Pelican Lake 401 250 Primary Heavy 1,159 1,225 Thermal In Situ 1,279 1,100 Light Canada 541 620 North Sea 347 535 Offshore Africa 144 315 Total…
CNQ 2014 Production Targeted Production 2013* 2014F* % Change Crude oil (Mbbl/d) North America Light Oil & NGLs 68 89 - 90 Pelican Lake 43 49 - 51 Primary Heavy 136 142 - 146 Thermal In Situ Oil Sands 97 112 - 122 International 34…
CNQ Delivering Safety Excellence SAFETY IS A CORE VALUE Slide 9 0 0.1 0.2 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Lost time incident rate (incident per 200K hours) ? Safety is a core value ? Committed to continuous improvement ? No harm to…
CNQ ? Proactive environmentally responsible operations ? Drive continuous improvement to reduce environmental impacts ? Meet or exceed all regulatory requirements ? Reducing Greenhouse Gas Intensity ? Restoring sites to natural…
CNQ $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Leveraging Technology for Value & Performance TECHNOLOGY UNLOCKS VALUE ($ million) Note: Sourced from Company internal reports and RE$EARCH…
CNQ Balanced, Diverse Portfolio BUILDING A WORLD CLASS COMPANY Slide 12 ? Balanced, diverse production mix ? International exposure ? Vast, balanced resource base to develop ? Delivering significant Free Cash Flow ? 2014…
CNQ AB SK MB CNQ Total Land Base West 1,222 MMcf/d East 384 MMcf/d BC North America Natural Gas & NGLs Core Area Summary ? Largest natural gas producer in Canada ? Q2/14 natural gas production of 1,606 MMcf/d ? Q2/14…
CNQ 2013 2014F % Change Production (MMcf/d)* 1,130 1,510 - 1,530 35% Drilling (net wells) 45 68 Capital ($ million) $554 $800 ? Capital discipline, increased 2014 budget due to acquisitions ? Septimus expansion plant on-stream ahead…
CNQ North America Light Crude Oil 2014 Facts ? Q2/14 light crude oil and NGLs production ? ~93 Mbbl/d ? 2014 light crude oil activity ? 96 wells ? 2 Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) pilots at Nipisi and Grand Forks ? 2P reserves ?…
CNQ North America Light Crude Oil 2014 Plan SIGNIFICANT LAND BASE & OPPORTUNITY Slide 16 2013 2014F % Change Production (Mbbl/d)* 68 89 - 90 32% Drilling (net wells) ? Producers 104 96 Capital ($ million) $541 $620 *Includes NGLs.…
CNQ International Light Crude Oil ? Q2/14 light crude oil production ? ~26 Mbbl/d ? 2P light crude oil reserves ? 478 million barrels* ? Long reserve life ? Low decline water floods ? Exploitation based ? Exploration upside LONG…
CNQ ? Generates Field Operating Free Cash Flow in 2014 ? North Sea ?4 Brownfield Allowances (BFAs) approved to date ?Ninian development plan commenced in Q4/13 ? 6 well program ? Offshore Africa ?Espoir 10-well infill drilling…
CNQ Primary Heavy Crude Oil Core Area Summary ? Largest primary heavy oil producer in Canada ? Q2/14 production of ~143,200 bbl/d ? Production growth ? 12% CAGR since 2010 ? Extensive land base and infrastructure ? Over 8,000…
CNQ ? Low operating costs high netbacks strong Field Operating Free Cash Flow ? High return on capital ? Technology advancements unlock value 2013 2014F %Change Production (Mbbl/d) 136 142 - 146 6% Drilling (net wells) 859 845…
CNQ ? Transitioning to long life, low decline asset mix ? All conventional assets deliver Field Operating Free Cash Flow ? Pelican Lake crude oil & Thermal in situ oil sands ?Long life, low decline assets ?Delivers significant Field…
CNQ 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2007 2011 2015F 2018F Horizon - Sold as Synthetic Crude Oil Thermal In Situ - Sold as Heavy Crude Oil Pelican Lake - Sold as Heavy Crude Oil Transitioning to a Longer Life Asset Base LONG…
CNQ Pelican Lake Crude Oil ? Wabiskaw heavy crude oil pool ? Industry leading EOR project ? Amongst the largest polymer floods in the world ? Technology development continues to improve crude oil recovery ? Leading example of…
CNQ 2013 2014F %Change Production (bbl/d) 43 49 - 51 16% Drilling (net wells) - Producers & Injectors 39 24 Capital ($ million) $401 $250 Pelican Lake 2014 Plan TECHNOLOGY ADVANCEMENT PROVIDES SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE Slide 24 Note:…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Land Holdings VAST LAND BASE AND GREAT ASSETS = FLEXIBILITY Slide 25 CNQ Lands Cenovus Conoco Devon Shell Suncor Syncrude All Others Birch Mtn. Gregoire Kirby Leismer Ipiatik Grouse…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Growth Plan CAPTURING VALUE BY DOING IT RIGHT Slide 27 ? 522,000 bbl/d of oil facility capacity in the defined growth plan ? 40,000 - 60,000 bbl/d addition every 2-3 years ? 100% working interest and…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands 2014 Plan 2013 2014F % Change Production (Mbbl/d) 97 112 - 122 21% Drilling (net wells) Primrose producers 137 19 Kirby South producers 8 4 Strats 73 88 Service / observation wells 62 69 Total 280…
CNQ ? Incremental PADD 2 conversion capacity ? Whiting and Marathon capacity increase of 340,000 bbl/d ? Significant additional rail loading capacity in WCSB ? 1.4 million bbl/d of loading capacity by Q4/15 ? Debottlenecking pipeline…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Operations Core Area Summary ? World Class asset ? 14.4 billion barrels BIIP(1) ? 2P SCO reserves ? 3.3 billion barrels(2) ? Best estimate contingent resources other than reserves ? 4.1 billion barrels of…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Operations 2014 Plan FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE Slide 32 2013 2014F % Change Production (Mbbl/d) 100 109 - 115 12% Sustaining Capital ($ million) $278 $290 Turnarounds, Reclamation & Other ($ million)…
CNQ ? Reliability and efficiencies will be achieved through completion of original design of Phase 1,2,3 with higher vacuum yield and an even more integrated energy efficient facility ?Completion of Reliability (OPP3 and SRU3) ?…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Operations Targeted Operating Costs IMPROVING ECONOMICS THROUGH EXPANSION Slide 35 ($ million) ($/bbl) Targeted Operating Cost per Year Targeted Operating Cost per Barrel Note: Cost estimated with mine diesel…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Expansion 2014 Plan ? Project Expansion Capital FOCUS ON PROJECT EXECUTION Slide 36 2013 2014F Project Capital ($ million) Reliability ? Tranche 2 $90 $40 Directive 74 and Technology 57 200 Phase 2A 167…
CNQ Slide 37 Delivering Our Financial Plan SOLID FINANCIAL BASE SUPPORTS FUTURE GROWTH ? Rating Agencies: maintain long term ratings from S&P (BBB+, Stable Outlook), Moody?s (Baa1, Stable Outlook) & DBRS (BBB High, Stable Trend) ?…
CNQ 2014 Budget Summary 2014F* Targeted Cash Flow $9.8 - $10.2 billion Capital $8.1 - $8.5 billion Net acquisitions and other $3.7 billion Crude oil & NGLs production growth 14% growth Capital for future production $3.6 billion…
CNQ ? Resource development ?Executing our defined plan ? Dividends ?14 consecutive years of dividend increases ? 34% CAGR (2009 ? 2014) ?Must be sustainable ? Share purchases ?10.2 million common shares purchased in 2013 at an…
CNQ 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 CNQ EOG PXD DVN APA APC SU CVE Committed Management ? Substantial management and director wealth at stake ? Strong motivation for management to perform ? Delivers clear alignment…
CNQ Slide 43 The Sustainable Free Cash Flow Independent CONSISTENT HISTORY OF VALUE CREATION 1. Proven, Effective, Value Driven Strategy ? Resource development ? Dividends ? Share purchases ? Acquisitions ? Debt repayment 2.…
CNQ North America Natural Gas & NGLs Our Montney Position Project Gas Sales Capacity (MMcf/d) Liquids Sales Capacity (bbl/d) Gas Price Required (AECO) Septimus Phase 1 57 5,555 On stream Septimus Phase 2 68 6,645 On…
CNQ North America Natural Gas & NGLs Duvernay Lands and Plans LEVERAGE LAND, INFRASTRUCTURE AND TECHNOLOGY Slide 46 Kaybob Wild River Pembina AB Volatile Crude Oil Wet Gas (10-80 bbl/MMcf) Lean Gas…
CNQ International Light Crude Oil South Africa ? Big E Exploration ? 5 structures up to 1 billion barrels ? High caliber, experienced partner selected ? 1st exploratory well commenced drilling in Q3/14 HIGH IMPACT POTENTIAL…
CNQ ? Commercial EOR projects ? Polymer flood at Pelican Lake ? Miscible hydrocarbon gas flood at Swan Hills ? CO 2 flood at Enchant ? EOR pilot tests ? Water floods heavy crude oil (Lone Rock, Epping) ? Polymer flood heavy crude…
CNQ Pelican Lake Polymerflood INDUSTRY LEADING EOR TECHNOLOGY Slide 51 $/bbl New wells / well conversions $1.75-$2.50 Facilities and pipelines $2.75-$3.50 Polymer $4.00-$6.00 Maintenance and other $4.50-$5.00 Total $13.00-$17.00…
CNQ Pelican Lake Polymer Flood Expansion POLYMER FLOOD SUCCESS LEADS TO EXPANSION Slide 52 Polymer Flood at end of 2012 53% 5 Year Polymer Plan 72% 2013 / 2014 Polymer Plan 57% Contingent 97%
CNQ 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Pelican Lake Production by Recovery Method THREE PRODUCING REGIMES ?…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Primrose Flow to Surface ? The Contributing Factors ? Large volume of fluid released into the Grand Rapids from the Clearwater ? Volume released must make it to the top of the Grand Rapids at…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Primrose Flow to Surface ALL CONTRIBUTING FACTORS ADDRESSED Mitigation Non Conforming Wellbores Steam Operations 100% Coverage of Grand Rapids Pressure Monitoring Increased Sensitivity to Pressure…
CNQ Superior Fort McMurray Kitimat Edmonton Steele City Sarnia Montreal Portland St. John Enbridge Gateway 525 Mbbl/d Crude Export Line (2017+) TMX Expansion 890 Mbbl/d (2018+) Seaway Pipeline Twin 450 Mbbl/d in Q3/2014…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands Expansion By Phase Slide 61 Ore Preparation Plant Extraction Froth Treatment Plant Distillate Recovery Vacuum Distillate Unit Coker Drums Hydrotreaters ** # of Units Capacity (bbl/d) Phase 1 110,000…
CNQ Bank Credit Facilities (C$ million) Maturity Revolving bank line 1 $3,000 June 2017 Revolving bank line 2 $1,500 June 2016 Non-Revolving term facility $1,000 April 2016 Operating demand loan $ 275 Demand North Sea operating…
CNQ Maturity Schedule Public Debt BALANCED MATURITY PROFILE Slide 63 (C$ billion) Note: Represents principal repayments only and does not reflect fair value adjustments, original issue discounts or transaction costs. Using the July…
CNQ Resource Disclosure(1) Slide 64 Horizon Oil Sands Synthetic Crude Oil Discovered Bitumen Initially-In-Place 14,400 million barrels Proved Company Gross Reserves 2,221 million barrels of SCO Bitumen volume associated with Proved…
Hedging (1) Western Canadian Select (2) Subsequent to June 30, 2014, the Company entered into an additional 10,000 bbl/d of US$22.69 WCS differential swaps for the period October 2014 to December 2014 and 10,000 bbl/d of US$22.78 WCS…
Note: The Company?s outstanding commodity derivative financial instruments are expected to be settled monthly based on the applicable index pricing for the respective contract month. Remaining Term Volume Weighted average price Fixed…
Key Historic Data Operational Information 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Daily production, before royalties Crude oil and NGLs (Mbbl/d) 316 355 425 389 451 478 Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,495 1,315 1,243 1,257 1,220 1,158 Barrels of oil…
Realized product pricing, before hedging activities & after transportation costs Crude oil and NGLs (C$/bbl) 82.41 57.68 65.81 77.46 70.24 71.59 Natural gas (C$/Mcf) 8.39 4.53 4.08 3.73 2.44 3.30 Results of operations (C$ million,…
Corporate Guidance August 7, 2014 Q3/14 Guidance 2014 Updated Guidance Daily Production Volumes (before royalties) Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,645 - 1,675 1,550 - 1,570 Crude oil and NGLs (Mbbl/d) North America 283 - 290 280 - 287…
Note: Interest rates are subject to change depending upon short term rate changes. Cash income taxes are subject to variation with commodity prices and the level and classification of capital expenditures. Cash PRT is subject to…
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED 2100, 855 - 2nd Street S.W., Calgary, Alberta, T2P 4J8 Telephone: (403) 514-7777 Facsimile: (403) 514-7888 Email: ir@cnrl.com Steve W. Laut President Tim S. McKay Chief Operating Officer…