Encana Corporation Barclays CEO Energy/Power Conference Eric Marsh | Executive Vice-President, Encana Corp. & Sr. Vice-President, USA Division September 6, 2012 | New York, NY
Encana Corporation Barclays CEO Energy/Power Conference Eric Marsh | Executive Vice-President, Encana Corp. & Sr. Vice-President, USA Division September 6, 2012 | New York, NY
? Accelerate pace of investment in oil and liquids rich natural gas plays ? Minimize dry natural gas investments ? Enhance financial strength and flexibility through multiple joint ventures and divestitures ? Continue to achieve…
4 Building Momentum 65% Two Year Liquids CAGR* 2011 2012F 2013F Capital Investment ($B) 4.6 3.5 4.0 ? 5.0 Net Divestitures ($B) 1.6 3.0 1.0 ? 1.5 Net Capital Investment ($B) 3.0 0.5 3.0 ? 3.5 Natural Gas (Bcf/d) 3.3 3.0 2.9 ? 3.1…
5 Balancing Our Operating Cash Flow Growing Contribution from Oil and NGLs 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 2011 2012F 2013F Oil NGLs Natural Gas $ Billions 2012F operating cash flow based on guidance as at June 20, 20112.…
6 ? Base capital program funded by cash flow ? Expect to achieve net divestitures of $1.0B - $1.5B ? High degree of confidence in our ability to execute joint ventures and divestitures ? Will only spend beyond cash flow once…
7 Transitioning to a More Balanced Portfolio Accelerating Pace of Development in Oil & Liquids Rich Natural Gas Plays Liquids Play Original 2012F Wells Current 2012F Wells Duvernay 5 - 10 10 Tuscaloosa 5 12 DJ Basin Niobrara…
8 Tuscaloosa Marine Shale Asset Overview Weyerhaeuser 73H-1 BOE 1H Anderson 18H-1 Anderson 17H-1 Joe Jackson 4H-2 Play Core 7.5 MMbbls/Section PIIP ECA Drilled Completed ECA 2012 Industry Drilled Industry Planned Vertical…
9 Eaglebine Asset Overview Well Name Zone Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages 30 Day IP (BOE/d)* Gresham 1H Lower Lam 5,200 18 240 Williams 1H Sand 5,400 18 164 Williams 2H Sand 6,200 21 198 Williams 3H Lower Lam 4,500 19 228…
Mississippian Lime Asset Overview Kansas Oklahoma Encana Play Outline Industry HZ Drilling Industry VT Drilling Industry HZ Permits Industry HZ Producers Industry VT Producers ECA 2012 Locations Mississippian production:…
11 San Juan Basin Asset Overview Well Name Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages 30 day IP (BOE/d) Lybrook H36 4,087 16 445 Good Times P32 4,189 17 210 Escrito P16 3,977 17 287 Meadows IO8 3,886 16 - Bisti I32 H09 3,917 17 - Good…
12 Duvernay Asset Overview Resource ? 400,000 net acres ? 97% average working interest ? PIIP*: ~8.7 billion BOE ? 50 ? 60 API oil gravity ? 1,020 ? 1,170 Btu/scf average heat content ? 1,000 ? 1,600 net well locations ? 160 ?…
13 Duvernay The Encana Advantage ? Encana has captured over half of the high-graded liquids rich gas condensate fairway ? Encana free condensate yield results are top quartile ? Estimate 30 Tcf and 4 Bbbls PIIP on Encana lands ?…
14 Increasing Liquids Extraction with Deep Cut Low-Risk, Low-Cost Barrels ? Planned Deep Cut expansions: ? 5,000 bbls/d at Musreau ? Q3 2012 ? 3,000 bbls/d at Gordondale ? Q4 2012 ? 12,000 bbls/d at Resthaven ? Phase 1 Q2 2014 ?…
15 $1.39 $1.38 $1.01 $0.70 $0.88 $1.39 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 Dewpoint Shallow Cut Deep Cut Natural Gas NGLs Increasing Exposure to Oil and NGLs Liquids Value Uplift C$/Mcfe* * Based on 1,100 Btu/Mcf…
Enhancing Financial Strength and Flexibility Exploring Multiple Joint Ventures and Divestitures ? Additional 10% of Cutbank Ridge Partnership ? Early life liquids portfolio joint ventures - Duvernay - Tuscaloosa Marine Shale -…
17 High Quality Asset Base Reserves and Economic Contingent Resources (ECR) (Tcfe) Reserves: P1 is proved, P2 is probable, P3 is possible Economic contingent resources: C1 is low estimate, C1+C2 is best estimate, C1+C2+C3 is high…
18 ? $1.5 billion of long term debt maturing in the next five years ? $1.8 billion of cash and short term investments at June 30, 2012; expect ~$2.5 billion by year end ? ~$5 billion of undrawn bank lines committed until 2015 ? Joint…
19 Continue to Achieve Industry Leading Cost Structures Encana - North America?s Resource Play Specialist Established history of developing resource plays from the ground up: ? From early stage identification ? Supported by…
North American Fundamentals Attractive Fundamentals Emerging for Gas, Oil & NGLs ? Natural gas prices are bottoming and will start trending to levels that are more sustainable long-term ? Natural gas demand growth from power…
Maintaining financial strength while transitioning to a more diversified portfolio Why Invest in Encana? Take A Closer Look See the Upside ? Leading North American resource play company - Exposure to natural gas - Growing exposure…
23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Other Jonah Texas Piceance Haynesville Bighorn CBM Horn River Greater Sierra Peace River Arch Cutbank Ridge1 2 3 1P (Proved) Reserves Evaluated by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluators as of…
24 Comprehensive Disclosure of Reserves & Resources Largest Reserves and Resource Life in Encana?s History Encana Reserves and Resources (Tcfe) 1 Estimated reserves Estimated economic contingent resources KRP P1 Proved P2…
25 Reserves and Contingent Resources Definitions Characterization of Petroleum Initially in Place (PIIP) Reserve ? Resource Description Petroleum Resource Management System SPE ? PRMS Deve lopme nt not viable On produc tion P…
26 Leading N.A. Resource Play Company Encana Resource Play Execution Methodology Resource Play Methodology Work With Governments ? Engage Stakeholders Address Infrastructure Exploration Assemble Land Base Pilot Understand…
27 ? Implement Mitsubishi and Toyota joint ventures ? Evaluate Duvernay and other potential liquids-rich assets ? Advance liquids extraction through deep-cut midstream arrangements ? Initiate Clearwater liquids development ?…
28 5 0 10 15 20 25 30 2011 2012F 2013F Oil NGLs ? Continuing development of liquids rich plays ? Bighorn, Peace River Arch (PRA) Montney ? Advancing Duvernay appraisal ? Implementing deep cut processing ? Musreau,…
29 Peace River Arch Asset Overview Well Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages Gas (MMcf/d) Field Liquids Yield (bbls/MMcf) 10-22-78-11W6 10,600 18 6.7 41 1-5-79-11W6 7,298 14 5.8 16 9-6-79-11W6 12,900 18 5.2 103 Resource ?…
30 Bighorn Asset Overview Well Name Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages Gas (MMcf/d) Field Liquids Yield (bbls/MMcf) 09-15-060-03W6 6,000 14 8.3 45 13-14-060-03W6 4,600 13 7.6 48 Resource ? 383,000 net acres ? PIIP: 33 Tcf, 1 ?…
31 Cutbank Ridge Asset Overview Well Name Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages IP (MMcf/d) G12-31-77-15W6 8,935 12 19* *Normalized Resource ? 819,000 gross acres ? PIIP: 130 Tcf, 1 ? 2 Bbbls ? Well cost: $5 ? $10 million ? EUR per…
Clearwater Asset Overview Resource ? 4.6 million net acres ? Encana owns mineral rights on 78% of lands ? Average royalty rate of ~2% ? PIIP: 12 Tcf (CBM), 200 MMbbls Strategy ? Advance conventional oil plays ? Maintain CBM…
33 100 1000 10000 100000 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 Flow Time (hrs) Normalized Gas Rate (Mcf/d) Normalized Gas Rate (mcf/d) Production hours 13-8-70-9W6 Slickwater Performance Avg Well…
35 Cutbank Ridge Partnership (CRP) ? Partnership with Mitsubishi: ? Mitsubishi agreed to acquire 40% interest in the CRP undeveloped assets for C$2.9 billion ? 5 development areas: ? Saturn, Swan and Cutbank Montney ? Cutbank…
36 Montney Supply Cost Evolution Advancing Resource Play Hub Design and Development *Supply Cost is defined as the flat NYMEX price that yields a risked IRR of 9% and does not include land or G&A costs. $0.55 $0.50 $3.20 $0.63…
37 ? Aerial extent ~150km x 600km ? Montney fairway contains over 1,800 Tcf of NGIP ? ECA Montney acreage well positioned in the highest NGIP/section area. MONTNEY FAIRWAY High Montney Tight Gas Play Total Resource GR_1 0 200…
37 ? Aerial extent ~150km x 600km ? Montney fairway contains over 1,800 Tcf of NGIP ? ECA Montney acreage well positioned in the highest NGIP/section area. MONTNEY FAIRWAY High Montney Tight Gas Play Total Resource GR_1 0 200…
38 ? 5 well pilot: Improved initial rates compared to offsetting wells ? Cost reduction expected with continued optimization ? More sustainable approach to completions Gas Rate/100m (Mcf/d) Production Days Pilot Wells Offsets 60%…
39 Clearwater Business Unit Liquids Potential ? Currently evaluating more than 9 prospective oil zones ? 300 high graded oil locations identified to date ? Well cost: $1 ? $3 million ? EUR per well: 60 ? 150 Mbbls ? Oil gravity:…
40 Toyota Tsusho *Encana Joint Venture Lands with Toyota Tsusho Wheatland ? Toyota Tsusho Corporation: ? Upfront cash component of $100 million ? Provides capital funding of $502 million over 7 years: ? 1,488 drilling locations…
41 KOGAS Joint Venture Kiwigana Two Separate Deals ? Deal 1 - Signed February 26, 2010 - 38 sections - $324 million earning capital ? Earned 50% WI in April 2012 ? Deal 2 - Signed July 28, 2011 - 33 sections - $185 million…
43 Deep Panuke Project First Natural Gas Production Forecast: Q3 2012 Operating cost ($/Mcfe) $0.95-$0.65 at 200 ? 300 MMcf/d Transportation cost ($/Mcfe) $1.68 Royalties 2% Delivery point Dracut
44 ? Advance oil and liquids-rich plays to commercial viability ? Transfer knowledge and technology from natural gas development to liquids plays ? Optimize processing contracts to capture liquids value ? Accelerate third party…
45 USA Division Emerging Liquids Portfolio ? Develop a low cost portfolio of high impact liquids plays ? Continue appraisal drilling program to assess prospectivity within existing liquids plays ? Capture additional acreage in…
46 8 6 4 2 0 10 12 14 16 18 20 2011 2012F 2013F Oil NGLs USA Division Liquids Production Profile 2012 and 2013 Liquids Strategy ? Complete appraisal and initiate commercial development of liquids portfolio ? Renegotiate…
47 Utica/Collingwood Shale Asset Overview Lake Michigan Lake Huron ECA acreage Collingwood Shale 2010 Location MI 25 miles 2011 Location 2012 Location Pioneer 1-3 Excelsior 1-25 Excelsior 1-13 Wilmot 1-21 Kendall &…
48 Oil Rate (Bbls/d) Subsurface Learnings ? Longer laterals & enhanced completions delivering improved performance ? Data sharing agreements with peers accelerating play understanding ? Flowing wells under restricted rates…
49 Eaglebine Well Performance & Key Learnings Encana average lateral length to date is 6,000? Lower Laminated Sand Subsurface Learnings ? Lower Laminated zone capable of >700 BOE/d ? Testing the impact of restricted rate…
50 Utica/Collingwood Shale Well Performance Well Name Lateral Length (ft) # of Stages 30 Day IP (MMcfe/d) Excelsior 1-25 7,500 30 5.9 Excelsior 1-13 5,300 20 2.5 Pioneer 1-3 5,000 15 2.6 Subsurface Learnings ? Reservoir…
52 Haynesville Supply Cost Evolution 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2008 LR 2009 LR 2010 RPH 2011 RPH 2012F ? Continuous completion design evolution ? Optimum well density ? Slowback ? Deeper longer wells ? Ultra long laterals ? Cross…
53 Haynesville Resource Play Hub Long Lateral Current Pattern 640 acre, 4,600 ft lateral Previously undeveloped setback area Planned RPH Well Lease Retention Well New Planned Pattern 1,920 acre, 7,500 ft lateral Encana Leading…
56 Short-term: Coal to Gas Displacement Historical and Implied by Gas Forward Curve 8 6 4 2 0 10 12 Jan 2010 May 2010 Sep 2010 Jan 2011 May 2011 Sep 2011 Jan 2012 May 2012 Sep 2012 Jan 2013 May 2013 Sep 2013…
57 Source: Encana fundamentals, company announcements. 39 GWs of coal-fired capacity retirements have been announced equaling 4 Bcf/d of potential NG demand by 2025 Over 50 GWs of coal fired capacity are expected to ultimately…
59 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan 2010 May 2010 Sep 2010 Jan 2011 May 2011 Sep 2011 Jan 2012 May 2012 Sep 2012 Jan 2013 May 2013 Sep 2013 Dry Gas Liquids Rich Gas Associated Gas EIA + Canadian Pipeline…
60 New Natural Gas Demand Creation Excellent Opportunities Diversified Across Many Sectors Bcf/d Short Term < 3 yrs Medium Term 3 to 10 yrs Long Term 10 years + Announced Retirements 1 to 2* 2 to 4 4 + Incremental Power 0 to 1 7…
61 Supply Factors ? Supply growth from liquids rich plays and oil plays alone will be insufficient to balance market requirements ? Full-cycle returns for natural gas development will need to be competitive with liquids rich and oil…
62 North American Oil Growth, Displacement and Infrastructure Investment Significant opportunities to grow North American oil production and displace imports ? We expect continued robust growth - Significant investment capital is…
63 Demand Factors ? North America is one of the lowest cost ethylene producers in the world and we expect ethane demand to thrive as a result ? Overall propane demand is expected to grow steadily as exports increase ? The heavier…
64 What Makes LNG for Transportation Viable? Illustrative Full Cycle Cost Components ? LNG vs. Diesel Sales and Excise Tax Retailing Distribution ? LNG offers 20% to 40% savings depending on region* ? LNG feed stock price is one…
65 Transforming North American Transportation Strategic with Economic Return on Infrastructure Investment 0 2.5 5 7.5 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 0 2.5 5 7.5 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 *Assumes $4.00/mcf NYMEX gas and…
66 The North American Market is Responding Infrastructure Growth and Recent Industry Announcements 38 36 44 46 1030 831 825 952 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2008 2009 2010 2011 CNG LNG Total NGV Station Count Growth…
67 Natural Gas Fueling Projects through 2012 Paving the Way for Transportation and Operations ? Infrastructure Investment - 8 to 9 CNG stations - 1 mini liquefaction plant; additional planned - 12 mobile LNG stations - 1 fixed LNG…
68 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Bcf/d China Korea Taiwan Singapore Thailand India Japan Forecast Source: Encana, IEA, IMF, Japan Statistics Bureau, KEEI, National Bureau of Statistics of China, Taiwan…
69 North American Proposed LNG Export Projects Kitimat T1/T2 1.4 Bcf/d 2016 Greenfield Received Regulatory Approval Approval Pending/ Not Filed Shell/Asian Consortium 1.6 Bcf/d 2020 Greenfield Progress/ PETRONAS 2 Bcf/d…
70 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 (200) (100) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 August 2011 - March 2012 April 2012 - Present NYMEX Weekly L48 Storage Inventory Compared to Five-Year Moving Average Source: Encana…
71 2.8 0.4 3.3 0.9 -2.1 -0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.9 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 0.2 -0.1 -3 -2 -1 5 4 3 2 1 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Dry Gas Liquids Rich Gas Associated Gas Bcf/d Dry natural gas production is expected to…
73 Tuscaloosa St. James (LLS) Source: Encana Fundamentals, EV maps. North American Oil Plays Oil Sands Bakken Utica SoCal Uinta San Juan Gulf of Mexico Greater Permian Wolfberry Avalon Barnett Eaglebine Greater…
74 Cushing (WTI) St. James (LLS) Keystone XL North (700) Flanagan South (585) Keystone XL MarketLink (830) Seaway Projects** (850) Trans Mountain Expansions (450) Northern Gateway (850) 10 Projects (>1,500) 2…
75 Proposed N.A. NGL Pipeline Expansion 2 MMbbls/d Slated to be Online by Mid-2014 Mont Belvieu Conway Sarnia Marcellus Western Canada Hobbs South LA East Rockies Skelly Medford Midwest Bakken West Rockies +60 +65…
77 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Demand Expansions Demand* Supply The ethane market in Western Canada has the ability to expand to meet growing supply. Western Canadian Ethane Supply vs.…
78 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Spare Export Capacity Exports Demand Supply (Including Imports from Canada) Propane demand is expected to grow steadily as exports…
79 0 50 100 150 200 250 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Spare Export Capacity Exports Demand Supply Western Canadian Propane Supply vs. Demand Post 2016 export capacity expansions will likely be required to meet expected…
80 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 10 Jan 2005 Jul 2005 Jan 2006 Jul 2006 Jan 2007 Jul 2007 Jan 2008 Jul 2008 Jan 2009 Jul 2009 Jan 2010 Jul 2010 Jan 2011 Jul 2011 Jan 2012 Jul 2012 Jan 2013 Jul 2013 Gulf of…
82 2012 U.S. GAAP Conversion ? Encana has adopted U.S. GAAP for 2012 financial reporting ? Previously followed Canadian GAAP/IFRS, with annual U.S. GAAP reconciliations ? Why convert? ? Improves comparability of financial results…
83 APA EOG DVN ECA TLM NXY APC SWN CHK Credit Rating Comparison As of May 31, 2012 - Indicates ratings below investment grade S&P Moody?s AAA Aaa AA+ Aa1 AA Aa2 AA- Aa3 A+ A1 A A2 A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 BBB Baa2 BBB- Baa3 BB+…
85 Refocusing Capital Allocation Rapid Transition to Liquids Focused Investments 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 2011 2012F 2013F Oil Liquids Rich Natural Gas Natural Gas Represents upstream capital only. 2013 based on mid-point or $4.0 -…
Operating Costs ($ millions) Upstream Operating Costs (5) 775 Administrative Expense 400 $0.05 decrease in the U.S./Canadian dollar exchange rate 0 130 $10/bbl increase in the WTI oil price 65 50 $0.50/Mcf increase in the NYMEX…