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Investor Day – Transocean Ltd.

Transocean Ltd. · Nov 21, 2013 · 90 slides

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Slides

  1. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 1
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  2. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 2
    Schedule Time Topic 8:35 8:45 a.m. Introduction 8:45 9:20 a.m. Strategic Overview 9:20 9:50 a.m. Markets and Outlook 9:50 10:15 a.m. Break 10:15 10:50 a.m. Performance Initiatives 10:50 11:25 a.m. Financial Review 11:25…
  3. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 3
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  4. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 4
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  5. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 5
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  6. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 6
    November 21, 2013 www.deepwater.com
  7. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 7
    Company Overview Value Creation Financial Flexibility Capital Investment Dividends Litigation Update Summary 88
  8. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 8
    Company Overview Industry Leader Premier position in ultradeepwater market segment Largest fleet of high spec and midwater floaters Operates in most major markets worldwide Significant relationships across the customer…
  9. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 9
    Company Overview Largest Worldwide Rig Fleet 100 92 (1) Rigs Under Construction UltraDeepwater Floaters 90 Deepwater Floaters 12 77 (2) 77 (2) Midwater Floaters 80 Jackups 6 9 70 29 61 (3) 13 11 61 (3) 60 10 9 50 23…
  10. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 10
    Company Overview Diversified Revenue Sources By Asset Class By Customer 13% 13% 31% 17% 28% 49% 6% 41% 2% UltraDeepwater Deepwater Harsh Environment Midwater Integrated NOC Independent HighSpec Jackups ADTI…
  11. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 11
    Company Overview Strong Backlog (US billions) UltraDeepwater Floaters 16.0 Deepwater Floaters 14.4 14.0 Midwater Floaters HighSpecification Jackups 12.0 10.0 8.2 8.0 13.4 6.0 4.4 5.3 4.0 1.9 0.9 2.8 2.0 2.3 0.4…
  12. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 12
    Company Overview Committed Fleet (5) HighSpecification Floaters Midwater Floaters HighSpecification Jackups 100% 95% 91% 90% 83% 80% 73% 72% 70% 70% 60% 56% 50% 49% 46% 40% 37% 33% 30% 25% 20% 19% 10% 11% 0% 1%…
  13. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 13
    Company Overview Customer Technical Our People Global Reach Relationships Expertise Transocean Transocean 14
  14. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 14
    Value Creation 800 million margin expansion Financial Pursue MLP Divest non-core assets Flexibility Debt reduction Shareholder Value Dividends: 2.24/sh in 13 Return of Capital Building 12 high- spec rigs, seven 3.00/sh in…
  15. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 15
    Committed to improving and maintaining financial flexibility Manage financial exposure Sustain investment grade rating while renewing and growing the fleet MLPlike yield vehicle (MLP) Progress towards gross debt targets Divest…
  16. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 16
    Continue to improve operating performance Revenue efficiency and utilization trends are favorable Revenue Efficiency Utilization 96% 90% 85% 94% 80% 75% 92% 70% 90% 65% 60% 88% 55% 50% 86% 45% 84% 40% 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12…
  17. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 17
    New Field Resources Discovered in 2012 (by Water Depth) Global hydrocarbon demand Volume Discovered (billion boe) 18 of Discoveries requires additional high 16 180 14 specification offshore drilling 12 160 140 equipment 10…
  18. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 18
    Continuously renew the fleet and grow our leadership position in highspec assets Completed delivery of 10 ultradeepwater floaters in 2011 Delivered four highspec jackups since 2012 Industry Drillships Build Profile 20072013…
  19. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 19
    Current Fleet Future Fleet Existing Under Total construction Ultra-deepwater 27 +7 34 Ultra-deepwater 50% Floaters Deepwater 12 12 Deepwater Midwater 22 22 Midwater Harsh Environment 7 7 Harsh Environment 10% Jackups…
  20. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 20
    We continue to execute our asset strategy Seven contracted ultradeepwater newbuilds under construction; expected contract commencement 1Q14 2Q17 Five highspecification jackups under construction to be delivered 1Q16 3Q17 Options…
  21. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 21
    Philosophy Preference to not add uncommitted incremental capacity to the market Buy: Acquire existing assets that meet investment criteria Build: Preference for highreturn, contractbacked fleet expansion opportunities Historic…
  22. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 22
    Transocean is a technical leader and innovator, and has achieved many industry firsts Partnering with Shell to develop a new Blow Out Preventer (BOP) control system Designed to be fault resistant and tolerant Designed to retrofit…
  23. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 23
    Current and proposed dividend yields are very competitive Indicated Dividend Yield (Average of Peer Groups) (11) (%) 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.1 4.0 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.0 1.8 0.9 1.0 0.4 - Proposed Current Floating Offshore Offshore…
  24. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 24
    Brazil Frade Settlement of two civil cases against Transocean announced on 9/17/13 Transocean has no financial obligations under the settlement agreement Norway Tax Case Norwegian court overturned Arcade civil tax assessment; state…
  25. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 25
    We are delivering on our commitment to create value for all our stakeholders Improving financial flexibility to capitalize on highreturn opportunities and increase competitiveness Margin improvement MLP Executing a clear plan to…
  26. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 26
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  27. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 27
    November 21, 2013 www.deepwater.com
  28. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 28
    Market Overview NearTerm Outlook Challenges Opportunities Market Outlook LongerTerm Outlook Discoveries Play Openers Production and Well Forecast Exploration and Development Forecast Fleet Composition Summary 29
  29. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 29
    Market Overview Market Leader Premier position in ultradeepwater market Largest floater fleet with well positioned global footprint Leading position in most major markets worldwide Strong customer relationships Success in…
  30. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 30
    EUROPE AMERICAS 6 11 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 Under Construction 13 1 7 3 5 1 3 * 4 2 Ultra-deepwater 34 1 3 4 Deepwater 12 3 1 2 2 1 3 Harsh Environment Floater 7 4 1 1 Midwater 22 ASIA & AFRICA High-Specification…
  31. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 31
    Market Overview Backlog Analysis By Asset Class By Customer 5% 13% 29% 30% 8% 4% 4% 70% 4% 4% 18% 5% 6% UltraDeepwater Deepwater Floaters Shell Chevron Petrobras Harsh Environmnet Midwater Floater BP Statoil Total…
  32. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 32
    Market Overview Floaters - Market Share by Water Depth 7,500 ft. + 4,500 ft. 7,499 ft. < 4,500 ft. Transocean Competitors Source: IHSPetrodata. Competitive rigs include actively marketed rigs, including stacked rigs.…
  33. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 33
    Near-Term Outlook Recent Activity YTD 2013 7.6 Billion Backlog Recent Highlights Newbuild Growth 5 years 599K Polar Pioneer (1985) 3 years 620K Discoverer Enterprise (1999) 9m 615K Transocean Winner (1983) 18m 499K 95% directly…
  34. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 34
    Near-Term Outlook Challenges Program delays Block 32 Angola one year late West Africa pentup demand 10 15 rigs Delays in government approvals and sanctions Bifurcation of rates filling gaps Farmouts increasing even in North Sea…
  35. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 35
    Near-Term Outlook Opportunities West Africa Total Nigeria Egina 1 X 5 years Nigeria Egina 1 X 3 years Angola Block 32 1 X 5 years Shell Nigeria Bonga 2 X 5 years Nigeria Bonga 1 X 3 years ExxonMobil Nigeria Erha 1 X 2 years…
  36. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 36
    Near-Term Outlook Opportunities Brazil Libra Discovery Estimate 8 12 billion barrels Petrobras, Shell, Total, CNOOC and CNPC 200 to 300 development wells estimated First presalt licensing round Petrobras selling 15% equity in…
  37. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 37
    Near-Term Outlook Ultra-deepwater Market Our customers believe in the longterm growth potential of deepwater Some longterm opportunities for existing fleet with current open demand Currently, high utilization Expect near term…
  38. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 38
    Near-Term Outlook Jackup and Floater Market HighSpec Jackups Midwater Deepwater Transocean Honor GSF Rig 140 Discoverer Seven Seas High utilization and Strong presence in the UK Nearterm increase in rig improving dayrates in…
  39. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 39
    Deepwater Discoveries 1 Steady pipeline of discoveries 6 Largest offshore growth market 34 Reserve replacement and 41 production growth driving 42 27 demand water depths 4,500 feet Deepwater Discoveries by Year Deepwater…
  40. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 40
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  41. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 41
    Offshore production growth driven by deepwater and ultra deepwater Steady production for shallowwater fields Source: McKinsey Energy Insights, Rystad 42
  42. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 42
    Demand Well demand forecasted to grow from 500 in 2013 to 1,250 by 2025 Shallow water remains steady with growth in deepwater and midwater Expect well intervention and workover to increase Exploration drilling translates…
  43. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 43
    Exploration and Development Forecast Exploration success leading to development growth Development drilling grows to 70% of total drilling demand 44
  44. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 44
    High-Grading of Fleet Offshore Rigs Floaters Floater fleet Rigs at risk of Potential newbuilds displacement Longterm growth in deepwater 215 500 Lower spec floaters at risk 110 120 298 160 floaters are 30+ years old…
  45. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 45
    Nearterm softness in demand for ultradeepwater rigs is adversely impacting lower capability floaters; we expect excess capacity to be absorbed and maintain a favorable longterm view Ultradeepwater Longterm outlook remains robust;…
  46. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 46
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  47. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 47
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  48. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 48
    www.deepwater.com
  49. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 49
    Vision Fleet Operational Improvement Ops Integrity Process Revenue Costs Project Execution Future State Summary 50
  50. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 50
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  51. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 51
    0 -2000 -4000 Water Depth (feet) -6000 -8000 Transocean Rigs -10000 NonTransocean Rigs -12000 52
  52. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 52
    0 -5000 -10000 -15000 Well Depth (Feet) -20000 -25000 -30000 Transocean Rigs -35000 NonTransocean Rigs -40000 Note: The above graph shows deepest well in record year 53
  53. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 53
    EUROPE AMERICAS Stavanger Aberdeen St. Johns Geneva Houston Dubai Mumbai Bangkok Lagos Luanda Jakarta Macae Headquarters Rio de Janeiro Unit Office Perth Operating Hub Office ASIA & AFRICA Country…
  54. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 54
    EUROPE AMERICAS 6 11 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 Under Construction 13 1 7 3 5 1 3 4 2 Ultra-deepwater 34 * 1 3 4 Deepwater 12 3 1 2 2 1 3 Harsh Environment Floater 7 4 1 1 Midwater 22 ASIA & AFRICA High Specification…
  55. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 55
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  56. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 56
    Ultradeepwater drillship Max water depth 12,000 ft Max drilling depth 40,000 ft 2.5MM pound load path Dual activity derrick Dual BOP Three mud systems 110,000 short tons operating displacement 57
  57. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 57
    Ultradeepwater 6th generation, Aker H6e design Max drilling depth 33,000 ft Max water depth 10,000 ft Moored and dynamically positioned Fully winterized for Arctic conditions Full dual activity with Double Ram Rig Transocean…
  58. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 58
    Keppel FELS Super B Bigfoot Class Max drilling depth 35,000 ft Fast preload capability Ability to jack up with full preload Three different mud systems Offline pumping and cementing operations Offline stand building platform…
  59. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 59
    Ultradeepwater drillship Max water depth 10,000 ft Max drilling depth 35,000 ft Offline stand building for drillpipe and casing Vertical and horizontal pipe racking for redundancy Workhorse efficiency 60
  60. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 60
    Completed Program: 16 HighSpec Rigs 2009 20102012 2013 Americas Inspiration Andaman Clear Leader KG2 Siam Driller KG1 India Ao Thai Petrobras 10000 Luanda DD III Champion Barents Honor Spitsbergen Current Program: Seven…
  61. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 61
    TRIR / LTIR Yearly Performance 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD TRIR LTIR TRIR Total Recordable Incident Rate LTIR Lost Time Injury Rate 62
  62. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 62
    All active rigs are scheduled to have safety case completed by the end of 1Q14 Risk assess major hazards, establish barriers, test effectiveness Fewer fires, floods, well control and stationkeeping events 63
  63. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 63
    Systematic elimination of unreliable components and systems using continuous improvement process Designed to bring downtime down in a very methodical and purposeful way 64
  64. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 64
    Revenue efficiency improvements will drive margin expansion Technical improvement Operations Performance Improvement Plan Improved reliability/less downtime Intense focus on well control equipment Contract enhancements Strive for…
  65. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 65
    Half of all downtime is due to well Downtime Breakdown control equipment (2013 YTD) Control valve leaks Annular elements and seals Diverter flow line seals Choke and kill line stabs Design and manufacturing defects Subsea…
  66. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 66
    Cost reduction Personnel Shorebase efficiency initiative Benchmarking of offshore crews Reduction of labor pools Maintenance costs Justintime vs. justincase Training Careful rationalization of training spend Shipyard/Project…
  67. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 67
    Fiveyear Special Periodic Survey much can be done in service BOP and drilling equipment recertification component swap Two to three year planning and execution cycle Streamlines planning time and minimizes upfront equipment cost…
  68. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 68
    Most improvement initiatives introduced current focus on implementation Industrybest safety performance Stronger barriers to major accidents Continue to improve the performance of well control and drilling systems Leaner,…
  69. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 69
    We operate some of the best, most capable and efficient drilling equipment in the industry We are intently focused on the continuous improvement of our offshore operation through Unrelenting attention to safety and integrity of…
  70. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 70
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Strategic Overview President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  71. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 71
    November 21, 2013 www.deepwater.com
  72. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 72
    Financial Policy Value Creation Margin Improvement MLP Investment Dividend Summary 73
  73. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 73
    Maintain 3.54.5 billion total liquidity, including 1.53 Liquidity billion cash, respectful of remaining uncertainties; 1.5 billion Management cash required under normal circumstances Pursue balanced and disciplined approach to…
  74. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 74
    Value Creation 800 million margin expansion Financial Pursue MLP Divest non-core assets Flexibility Debt reduction Shareholder Value Dividends: Building 12 high- 2.24/sh in 13 Return of Capital spec rigs, seven 3.00/sh in…
  75. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 75
    Targeted total of 800 million in margin improvement, all else equal 300 million in shorebase cost savings 2012 baseline pre Shelf Drilling Transaction Onshore reorganization, headcount reduction, facility consolidation 200 million…
  76. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 76
    500 million targeted in additional Item Relative Opportunity margin improvement by yearend 2015 Revenue Efficiency 55% Revenue Shipyard/Project Operations, projects Execution 45% Costs InService Maintenance Optimization Perform…
  77. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 77
    Completed thorough evaluation of the MLPtype yield vehicle Benefits outweigh risks for Transocean MLP structure permits acceleration of strategic initiatives Improves financial flexibility Supports balance sheet objectives…
  78. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 78
    Investor demand for MLP products continues to grow Increasingly viewed as a durable asset class Vehicle can provide access to equity markets, even under stress MLP Equity Financings By Type of Issuance Launch anticipated mid2014…
  79. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 79
    Value Valued on a total return basis versus principally on earnings, cash flow Investors seek stable and predictable distribution growth Distribution growth management Optimize debt/equity balance Coverage ratio Reserve…
  80. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 80
    Generic structuring considerations Balance cash needs and MLP size and structure Size, quality of assets and contracts, and growth drives demand and pricing Prior/proposed transactions are initially three four rigs Notionally, one…
  81. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 81
    Strategic imperative to highgrade the fleet through consistent investment in highspecification floaters and jackups Fund fleet renewal while maintaining a strong, flexible balance sheet Fleet renewal options include Highreturn,…
  82. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 82
    Current Fleet Future Fleet Existing Under Total construction Ultra-deepwater 27 +7 34 Ultra-deepwater 50% Floaters Deepwater 12 12 Deepwater Midwater 22 22 Midwater Harsh Environment 7 7 Harsh Environment 10% Jackups…
  83. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 83
    Execution Divest noncore assets by 2018 Need to add oneplus floater(s) and multiple highspec jackups per year to maintain satisfactory pace of renewal Average annual capital investment for fleet renewal 1.52.0 billion Will be…
  84. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 84
    Accelerated execution of asset strategy/fleet renewal underway 1.2 billion commitment for a package of five highspecification jackups for delivery 1Q16 3Q17 Firm shipyard orders…
  85. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 85
    Current and proposed dividend yields are competitive and sustainable Potential for growth Dividend is a key, valueenhancing element of balanced capital allocation strategy (%) Indicated Dividend Yield 10.0 8.1 8.0 6.0 5.4…
  86. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 86
    In the context of a balanced capital allocation strategy, we have a clear plan and timeline for creating value Continuous improvement in operating performance and efficiencies Margin expansion Increase financial flexibility with…
  87. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 87
    Presenters Ian Strachan Introduction Chairman Steven Newman Concluding Remarks President and CEO Markets and Outlook Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing Performance John Stobart Initiatives Executive Vice…
  88. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 88
    We are delivering on our commitment to continue to create value for Transocean stakeholders Pursuing revenue and cost initiatives to expand margins Executing on our strategy to highgrade the fleet Improving financial flexibility…
  89. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 89
    Q&A Ian Strachan Chairman Steven Newman President and CEO Terry Bonno Senior Vice President, Marketing John Stobart Executive Vice President, COO Esa Ikaheimonen Executive Vice President, CFO 90
  90. Investor Day – Transocean Ltd. – slide 90
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