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Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd.

Twin Butte Energy Ltd. · Dec 15, 2015 · 31 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    Q4 - 2015 Conventional Medium and Heavy Oil Low Cost, Strong Returns Long Term Growth and Income TSX: TBE www.twinbutteenergy.com
  2. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    Why TBE Positioned for a recovery in oil prices significant torque Oil weighted (88% in Q3) +10 per bbl move in WTI doubles netback vs Q3 (ex hedges) Asset base major change in quality and competitiveness Legacy heavy vertical…
  3. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    Corporate Snapshot Deliver 10%+ average annual return (income and growth) Basic shares 354 MM Oil leveraged production (88% Fully diluted 373 MM liquids) Insiders own - Basic / FD 3.8 /6.3% Current production 16,000 boe/d Share…
  4. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    2015 Key Priorities Q3 Update Maintain and Enhance Balance Sheet Flexibility Maintain financial discipline (Total…
  5. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Debt & Liquidity September 30, 2015 millions Current bank credit facility 275 Bank debt (68% drawn) (210) Working Capital (deficit) (18) Liquidity (available credit facility) 47 Net debt Bank debt & working capital 228…
  6. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Relative Valuation TBE Oil Weighted Peers Oil Weighting 88% 60 - 98% Production (boepd) 16,303 5430 - 82,198 Net debt per boepd 18,915 6,575 - 28,870 EV/boepd 24,532 23,519 94,055 EV/Q3 Cash Flow annualized 3.0 3.0-13.6 Debt:Q3…
  7. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    TBE Transitioned The majority of the street still views TBE in its pre 2014 state Old view Current reality Operating costs per boe down 16%, High cost production base competitive cost structure, impact of growth High opex, high…
  8. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    Focused Asset Base 91% of Corporate production in core area…
  9. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    Quality Focus Q3 2015 Netbacks Provost Hz Lloyd Hz Lloyd Verts Company Provost Lloyd Other post 2012 Provost base post 2012 and Base boepd 16303 7855 6783 1666 3957 3898 1828 4954 % production 48% 42% 10% revenue per boe 37.72…
  10. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    Lower Operating Costs 28 Corporate Operating and Transportation costs reduced by 26 3.60/boe or 15% over past 21 months. 24 Operating and Transportation Costs (/boe) Heavy Lloyd - Heavy Oil Cost Reductions: 22 Transition to…
  11. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    Lower Royalties 80.00 30.0% 70.00 25.0% Royalty reductions 60.00 Corporate royalty costs decreased by 10/boe from Q2 2014 to Q2 2015 20.0% 50.00 Equally impacted by increased horizontal weighting and lower 40.00 15.0% realized…
  12. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    Deploying Appropriate Technology Technology Deployment Impact (Lloyd Provost) High operating cost, variable results, reaching full maturity, limited Vertical (CHOPS) 1980s inventory Lined Heavy Hzs 2000s High cost, selective…
  13. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    Lower Capital Costs 1.60 1.50 Provost 1400m Frac Hz Decreased drill times 1.40 Reduced casing size Coil vs annular fracs Drill, Complete & Equip Average Well Cost ( Million) Adjusted frac fluid system 1.30 Provost 700m…
  14. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    Outperforming Type Wells TBE Sparky vs Provost Hz Frac (700m) Type Curve TBE Lithics vs Provost Hz Frac (1400m) Type Curve 120 120 100 100 80 80 boed boed 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 0 6 12 18 24 0 6 12 18 24 Producing…
  15. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    TBE Type Wells vs the Viking 120 HzFrac HzFrac Hz Hz Provost Provost Open Hole Open Hole Viking Tier 6 Sparky Lithic Lloyd Lloyd (Sproule) (700m Hz) (1400m Hz) Single Lateral Dual Lateral 100 IP(90) boed 58 75 98 67 91 IP(365)…
  16. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Provost Medium Oil Core Area G G R6 G L G G R5 G G R4 G G G H CC G K C G F G G C G G R3 C G C G G F G G G G R2 G G E G G G GJ GE EJ E J R1W4 G GG G G F L G G Multi-zone oil potential…
  17. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    Provost Sparky HH H E D G GE G E G IKIG G G R4 G G G G D G I R3 DI C I S IG J G K DS G J G GG G G L G G R2W4 G G G I E I E G I GG G EJ KE E I JD G J IG S E I E E G D D G G D H M L G G I DJ JG G K E E I E G…
  18. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    Provost Lithic Channel Play G G GG G JJE G K G SIE G GSDGG D G R4 G G R3 G G R2W4 G A C D EEEJJ HHH D G G I GEEG JSDJ GD G GD E G G A GA G ISEEEEEEI ED HHH I DS ED G E GJ G IEIG III ISIEJ EJ E S G G IK K G CJ H E EEDSIS…
  19. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    Provost Dina-Cummings Large oil in place with high recovery factors - natural water flood 2015 - Select extensions and infills - Expand water handling - Expand footprint Potential for horizontal injectors to further reduce…
  20. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    Lloydminster - Heavy Lower operating and transportation costs, lower royalties Significantly lower per well (single lateral) drill, complete and equip costs 700k Targeting primarily intervals not previously developed vertically…
  21. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    Lloydminster Horizontals Decreasing Costs Improving Productivity 1,500 120 100 1,300 1,219 80 bbls/d 1,166 1,100 60 k 939 40 900 876 20 700 0 700 0 6 12 18 24 30 500 Producing Month 2013 2014 1H 2014 2H 2015 1H…
  22. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    Lloyd Area Testing Technology Silverdale - Single vs Dual Lateral Multiphase capital and risk reduction 200 G G I HH H H K C J E Single leg horizontal development 180 9 E E E T D D D A DDE Dual lateral E J…
  23. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    Lloyd Area Adopting Technology Lashburn - Single vs Dual Lateral 300 Dual lateral Expanding opportunity base 250 Derisked technology 200 Strong production results Oil Rate (bopd) Targeting low water, low sand 150…
  24. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    2016 Guidance Targeted for December release Planning range 45-65 per bbl WTI US Maintain minimum investment hurdles 2:1 recycle…
  25. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    Conservative, Disciplined Balance sheet management is a priority. Total payout (dividend and capital) will not exceed cash flow. Dividend reduced to reflect lower commodity prices. Strong 2015 development results Technology…
  26. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    Appendix 26 TSX: TBE
  27. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    2015 Guidance 2015* November Update Average Production (boe/d) 17,200 Liquids Production (%) 90 Capital expenditures (net MM) 90 Cash Dividend (MM) 30 Dividend per share 0.085 Cash Flow (MM) 175 Cash Flow (/share) 0.49 2015…
  28. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    Hedge Book Support Oil Hedging Reduces Cash Flow Volatility 50% Percentage of Oil Production 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 79.67 79.67 15% 10% 5% 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 0% Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 WCS…
  29. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 29
    Analyst Coverage Company Analyst Target Action Acumen Trevor Reynolds 0.50 Speculative Buy BMO Capital Gordon Tait 0.80 Market Perform Canaccord Genutiy Dennis Fong 0.35 Hold CIBC Capital Jeremy Kaliel 0.50 Sector Perform GMP…
  30. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 30
    Management and Board Management Rob Wollmann President and CEO Alan Steele Vice President, Finance & CFO David Middleton Chief Operating Officer Claude Gamache Vice President, Geosciences Gord Howe Vice President, Land Preston…
  31. Q4 2015 Results – Twin Butte Energy Ltd. – slide 31
    Heavy Oil Differential WCS USD Heavy Crude Oil Monthly Basis - (5) (10) (15) USD per Bbl (20) Avg 19.54 (25) (30) (35) (40) (45) Oct-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14…

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