Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 3
Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 4
2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery 2012-2015 Milestones 2012-2016 Strategic Plan: Growth and Delivery 2012 2013 2014 2015 LNG business YPF settlement Talisman YPF expropriation divestment and full monetization Acquisition…
2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery 2012-2016 Strategic Plan targets achieved // Targets // // Delivery // CAGR7% Upstream as growth engine 25%/y (1) High growth in Prod 2016 500 kboepd 650 kboepd Upstream Reserves Replacement RRR…
2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Repsol today An integrated company operating across the entire value chain 2.2 billion boe Integrated Delivery on proved reserves business model commitments 650 kboepd // Talisman acquisition //…
Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 8
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Key strategic lines 2016-2020 VALUE RESILIENCE Shift from growth to value Top tier resilience among delivery, prepared integrated companies for the next growth wave Self-financing…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Scenario assumptions Stress scenario 2016-2020 Repsol refining Brent price Henry Hub price margin indicator 50/bbl flat 3.5/Mbtu flat 6.4/bbl flat Base scenario 2016-2020…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Shift from growth to value // Upstream production evolution // kboepd 1,000 Achieved critical mass in E&P business 800 x2 Extensive portfolio of assets and 600 development…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Capex reduction as a key lever // Group annual Capex (1) // B 8 Upstream assets in an advanced stage of investment 35% Limited presence in capital-intensive new developments 6…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Enlarged portfolio allows divestments // Asset divestment plan of 3.1 B in 2016-2017 1Talisman and 3.1 B in 2018-2020 // B in divestments commitment, after B acquisition, fully…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Synergies and Efficiency Program to reach 2.1 B/y in 2018 Strict accountability on Efficiency Program delivery for the management team // 2018 Opex impact // // 2018 Capex impact //…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Synergies from Talisman integration are already being delivered // Integration synergies // // Selected examples // M/y Workforce and contractors reduction from overlaps 400…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Repsols FCF breakeven reduction capacity well positioned within industry // Company FCF breakeven in 2016 (after dividends)(1) // /bbl 80 60 40 20 0 Repsol Majors(2)…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Self-financed Strategic Plan // Cash movements 2016-2020 (accumulated) // B (Stress scenario) (1) 35 Cash for dividend and debt 30 5 6 in base scenario (2) 25 20 B 20 23 32…
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Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Upstream strategy 2016-2020 // Starting point // // Strategic positioning // (Repsol + Talisman) Lower Capex intensity and Efficiency improved value Broad geographic footprint…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience 3 core regions in the portfolio North America: Growth Production 2016: 180 kboepd Operatorship: 79% Gas production (2016): 71% Unconventional portfolio Latin America: FCF…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience An extensive pipeline of organic opportunities // Exploration // Contingent resources Brazil: Campos-33, Albacora Leste, Sagitario Russia: Karabashky Russia Colombia: CPO9 &…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Portfolio management: Production // 2020 Production 700-750 kboepd // // Focus: 3 regions, 3 play types // Production 2016-2020 kboed 1,000 Non-operated Offshore deep Offshore…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Portfolio management: Capex // Capex reduction 2016-2020 // // Capex prioritization driven (Average annual Capex) (1) by value and strategic fit // B 7 Development Capex reduction…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Portfolio management: Exploration // Lower exploration intensity, // Unconventionals will complement more focused, lower risk // exploration for reserve replacement // B/year…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience More than 80% of 2020 production coming from todays reserves // Production evolution // kboepd 800 600 400 200 0 2014 2015 2016 2020 From Reserves From…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience E&P Cost Efficiency Program Focused on structural efficiency gains and industry deflation capture // Levers // Technical standardization Business units Operational uptime increase…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience E&P Cost Efficiency Program Selected examples of Upstream saving initiatives // Initiative // // Description // // Status // // Yearly impact // Marcellus (US) well cost optimization…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience E&P Cost Efficiency Program UK transformation plan already delivering results Program implemented from 2014 delivering in 2015: // Complex network of operated production facilities //…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Upstream metrics improvement in 2016-2020 Commitments // Capex (1) // // Opex & Capex savings // B 40% B 1.2 6.7 0.6 Opex Capex 4.1 Efficiency 0.6 Capex 2014 2016-2020 2018…
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Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Downstream to provide sustainable value Maximize Taking advantage of the integration between refining and performance marketing businesses with focus on reliability Discipline in…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience 2016-2020 Downstream strategy: Maximizing value and cash generation leveraged on fully invested assets // Sustainable value from quality assets // // Investment discipline // Repsol…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Repsols refining margin indicator evolution Margins back to a mid cycle scenario Base Repsol Crack Index1 2005-2020 Repsol Refining margin index evolution (/bbl) (/bbl) 10 -28% 10…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Fundamentals support sustained Repsol refining margins Lower Opex Lower oil and gas prices Growing refined Average demand growth of 1.2% for 2016-2020 on top of strong 2015…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Downstream efficiency and margin improvement program // Projects // // Levers // // EBIT increase by 2018 // Energy cost reduction Improved planning to increase crude supply…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Selected examples: Downstream // Initiative // // Description // // Status // // Impact on EBIT // Under Minimize use of turbines, repair leaks, maximize Petronor steam reduction…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Downstream metrics improvement in 2016-2020 Commitments // Improvement in EBIT // // D&A // // Capex // B B/y Efficiency 0.5 Run-rate 0.8 0.8 Program Capex 2018+ Avg. 2016-2020…
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Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Talisman adding 0.4 B/year corporate cost that will be offset by synergies and efficiency programs // Corporate costs // M/y 1,500 1,305 179 228 Synergies from integration…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Sustainability, a priority for the company // Carbon strategy Facing the issues // // Safety, a non-negotiable value in Repsol // Lost Time Injuries Frequency 10 Carbon Cost of…
Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Gas Natural Fenosa strategic stake Strong profitability with long term strategic vision 30% of valuable stake in a leading gas & power company Stable dividend with growth…
Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 43
Financial outlook Financial Strategic Plan 2016-2020 Sound track record Resilient Plan with Conservative in managing adverse stronger business profile financial policy conditions Commitment to reduce debt Commitment to…
Financial outlook Capital structure actions driven by conservative financial policy and investment-grade rating commitment // 2016-2017 // // 2018-2020 // (2 years accumulated) (3 years accumulated) Hybrid issuance (1) 3.0 B…
Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 46
Summary Strategy 2016-2020: Value and Resilience // EBITDA(1) // Synergies Capex and efficiency flexibility Base scenario Stress scenario B B 2.1 B/y 12 x2 12 Pre-tax cash savings Up to 40% x1.5 by 2018 (Opex & Capex) 9 11.5…
Summary Repsol 2020 Fully-integrated business model World-class explorer Optimized Upstream portfolio focused on core areas and play types Technical capabilities (unconventionals, operatorship...) Tier 1 Downstream Technology and…
Strategic Plan 2016-2020: Agenda 2012-2016 Strategic Plan delivery Key strategic lines 2016-2020: Value & Resilience Financial outlook Summary Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 49
Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 3Q 2015 RESULTS Note: Repsol Group made the decision in 2014, prompted by the business reality and in order to make its disclosures more comparable with those in the sector, to disclose as a measure of the…
Repsol 3Q 2015 Results 3Q 2015 RESULTS 51
Repsol 3Q 2015 Results OPERATING RESULT BY BUSINESS SEGMENTS AND GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS 52
Repsol 3Q 2015 Results ADJUSTED NET INCOME BY BUSINESS SEGMENTS AND GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS 53
Repsol 3Q 2015 Results EBITDA BY BUSINESS SEGMENTS AND GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS 54