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January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. · Jan 29, 2016 · 22 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    Creating a Sustainable Business January 2016 TVE: TSX www.tamarackvalley.ca 1
  2. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    What Sets TVE Apart Culture: Results: Focus on delivering results 2015 exceeded expectations CUT COSTS low cost producer Bankline held at 165 mm Manage the down cycle (experience) Only 100-105 million drawn vs. guidance of Hard…
  3. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    2016 Budget Principles Top priorities: First balance sheet and bank line liquidity Second modest per share growth Third build low cost inventory through land sales and tuck-ins in core areas; drill non-PUD locations to allow for…
  4. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    Well Performance Based on Geology Tier 1 4 wells 9% Porosity (green = 2+ meters) Type curve Actual cum production Daily production tests Average daily production Tier 2 2 wells Tier 1 wells Tier 2 wells Type curve…
  5. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Tamarack Wells in the Top 10th Percentile Top 10th Percentile Top 25th Percentile Note: The above IRR calculations assume CIBCs base commodity price forecast of US45.00/Bbl WTI & C2.78/Mcf AECO in 2016, and US65.00Bbl WTI &…
  6. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Economic Sensitivity Type 1 well Wilson Creek 700% 1.0 mile well 1.5 mile well 600% TVE Economics suggest elimination of 2.0 mile well 2016 1-mile wells Hedging 500% Average Land consolidation has resulted Current in most…
  7. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    TVE Drilling Inventory 300 Other Cardium Total Inventory 80/bbl, 25% ROR 93 250 303 Locations How many quick payback wells: 38.50 WTI Quick Payback Drilling Inventory Opening inventory: 72 200 Drilled: 15 35 Payout 1.5…
  8. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    Control What We Can Control - Costs Capital Costs Savings in 2016 Budget CAPEX: 4,500 Equip+Tie-in Completions Drilling Shift to sleeve from ball drop 4,000 Eliminate nitrogen Reduce flaring and conserve 3,500 3,373 Shorten…
  9. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    Dollars / Stage - Drilling, Completing & Tie In Capital Costs 160 / Stage The real cost benefit and 140 145/stage economic benefit is realized by the DCT cost per stage Capital Cost Per Stage (thousands per stage) 120 60%…
  10. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    The Evolution of a Core Area Alder Flats TVE land 2014 Acquisition land Entry in 2013 2015 Acquisition land Existing Cardium producers 42 net sections Existing vertical Cardium oil wells Gas plant (10 sec with Cardium pay)…
  11. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    Capital Efficiency Improvements 2016 vs. 2015 Exit Capital Efficiency 30,000 Decreased facilities from 21% to 4% of budget Longer wells at lower cost 2016 Program 25,000 from 2.3 mm / well / mile to 52 million 2.0 mm / well / mile…
  12. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    Wilson Creek Mannville Competes for Capital TVE Target TVE Budget AECO Price (2.45/GJ; 2016 avg.) Offset 100% WI 55% WI Capital (mm) 3,050 3,050 1,693 Risking 100% 90% 90% Rate IP30 (mmscf/d) 4.8 2.9 1.6 Reserves (bcf) 5.03 3.03…
  13. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    Tamarack Profile TVE : TSX Operational 2013 2014 2015e 2016B Production (boe/d) 3,276 5,717 8,425 9,500 9,700 Exit Q4 avg. production (boe/d) 4,718 7,681 9,870 9,600 9,800 % Liquids 60 62 59 52 57 Cash flow (mm) 38.2 66.2 n/a n/a…
  14. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    2016 Realistic Budgets on Realistic Prices AECO - Gas /GJ Edmonton Par - Oil /bbl 4.00 70 3.50 60 3.00 50 2.50 40 2.00 30 Assumptions: 1.50 WTI / Edm Par Diff - 4.00 USD/bbl Assumptions: AECO Basis- 1.06/GJ 20 Exchange…
  15. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    Debt to CF Sensitivity at 9,500 boe/d & 55% Liquids 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.8 Debt to CF (trailing year) 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.8 2016 year end trailing 0.5 0.3 0.0 30 40 50 60 70 WTI Prices (US/bbl) ... Even at 30/bbl WTI…
  16. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Free Cash Flow Sensitivity 60 At 9,000 boe/d At 9,500 boe/d At 10,000 boe/d 50 Free Cash Flow ( millions) 40 30 20 Assumes: - 2.45/GJ AECO 10 - 0.70 Cdn dollar - 4.00/bbl WTI / Edm par differential 0 -10 30 40…
  17. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    2016 Sensitivities to Lower Oil Prices Downside Scenario Strip Jan 28/16 Budget Oil (US WTI) 30/bbl WTI 38/bbl WTI 40/bbl WTI Edmonton par (C/bbl) 26/bbl 47.80/bbl 51.45/bbl AECO (C/GJ) 2.25/GJ 2.25/GJ 2.45/GJ Operating netback…
  18. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    2015 - 2016 Budget Financial Stats per BOE 2014 Actuals 2015 Est 2016 Budget Average pricing 48.80/bbl WTI 40.00/bbl WTI Edm Par 94.09/bbl 57.10/bbl 51.45/bbl AECO (monthly index) 4.40/GJ 2.56/GJ 2.45/GJ /boe Revenue 60.38…
  19. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    Current Hedges as at January 15, 2016 Term Hedge Type Volume Cdn Pricing January 1, 2016 to March 31, 2016 WTI fixed price 2,000 bbls/d Cdn 76.58/bbl April 1, 2016 to June 30, 2016 WTI fixed price 2,400 bbls/d Cdn 76.21/bbl 2016…
  20. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    Achieving Production Per Share Growth, While De-Levering 12,000 25.0 Oil & liquids Completed Completed Wilson Completed Natural gas Sure 60 mmEnergy Creek equityacquisition & Debt per boe/d prodn Production per share decreased…
  21. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    Key 6 Month Objectives and Look-back What we did in Objectives for What we said we would do Q3 2015 / Q4 2015 Q1 2016 / Q2 2016 Cautiously proceed with drilling program to Production approx. 9,870 boe/d (up 5.5%), Spend approx.…
  22. January 2016 Investor Presentation – Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    Why Buy/Continue to Own Tamarack Resilient assets in low commodity price environment Preserves a solid balance sheet As commodity prices improve, TVE high quality inventory will be economic earlier than most inventory TVE has a plan…

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