Sunoco Logistics Partners L.P. NYSE MLP Conference SXL March 2016
Sunoco Logistics Assets Note: Bakken and Bayou Bridge Pipelines are expected to start up in 2016. 3
Sunoco Logistics and Energy Transfer Assets Note: Bakken and Bayou Bridge Pipelines are expected to start up in 2016. 4
Energy Transfer Family of Companies LP Interest, GP Interest, IDRs ENERGY TRANSFER EQUITY, L.P. GP Interest, IDRs (NYSE: ETE) LP Interest, Class H Units(1) GP Interest, IDRs LP Interest, GP ENERGY TRANSFER ENERGY TRANSFER SUNOCO…
Highlights Excellent Fourth Quarter Performance: 317MM Adjusted EBITDA 2nd highest quarter ever Record Full Year Performance: 1,153MM Adjusted EBITDA and 879MM Distributable Cash Flow Blue Bar EBITDA up 40% year-on-year…
Highlights Capital Growth Four major projects providing diversified fee-based earnings growth in 2015: Permian Express 2 (crude oil) Mariner East 1 and Mariner South (NGLs) Allegheny Access (refined products) Balance Sheet: Strong…
Adjusted EBITDA: Ratable and Market Related 1,400 1,200 1,153 Maximize asset base by taking advantage of 1,000 971 Adjusted EBITDA (MM) market opportunities 810 871 800 573 Distributions based on 600 ratable cash…
EBITDA by Segment (amounts in millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Crude Oil 431 612 701 669 656 Natural Gas Liquids 42 81 73 203 333 Refined Products 100 117 97 99 164 Total EBITDA 573 810 871 971 1,153 More diversified portfolio…
Organic Expansion Capital Note: On February 25, 2016, the Partnership announced that its total expansion capital program, excluding acquisitions, for 2016 is expected to significantly decrease from the 2.5 billion level previously…
Acquisitions Note: SXL does not comment on future acquisitions 11
16 Successful Major Projects Major Organic and Joint Venture Projects: 3 West Texas Crude expansion projects (crude oil) Permian Express 1 (crude oil) Permian Express 2 (crude oil) Eaglebine Express (crude oil) Granite Wash…
Project Execution in Progress Mariner South Mariner East 2 (End of 2014) (1H 2017) Mariner Mariner East 1 Allegheny Mariner East 1 Mariner East 2 West Propane Access Ethane & Propane Expansion* (4Q 2013) (4Q 2014) (End of 1Q 2015)…
Crude Market Summary
Dated Brent Daily Price 2008 Present 15
World Oil Supply and Demand (2014 Versus 2013) Source: PIRA 16
World Oil Supply and Demand (2015 Versus 2014) UPDATE Source: PIRA 17
World Oil Supply and Demand (2016 Versus 2015) Source: PIRA 18
World Oil Supply and Demand (2017 Versus 2016) Source: PIRA 19
Oil Demand
Annual GDP Growth by Key Area, % Source: PIRA 21
World Oil Demand Growth (2011-2017) Source: PIRA 22
Long-Term Oil Demand Growth Developed & Emerging Areas Source: PIRA 23
Oil Supply
Non-OPEC Supply Growth (2013-2017) U.S. drives supply growth to a decline in 2016 and freeze in 2017 Source: PIRA 25
Latest EIA Weekly U.S. Crude Oil Production Data Source: Energy Information Administration 26
U.S. Production Permian, Bakken, & Eagle Ford Source: Energy Information Administration 27
OPEC Crude Production (MMB/D) 2015 2016 2017 Saudi Arabia 10.2 10.3 10.3 Kuwait/UAE 5.7 5.9 6.0 Iraq 4.0 4.4 4.4 Iran 2.9 3.3 3.6 Libya 0.4 0.4 0.5 Other OPEC 9.2 9.2 9.2 Total 32.3 33.4 34.0 Source: PIRA 28
OPEC Spare Capacity at Historic Lows Source: PIRA 29
Overall Crude Market Summary Low Prices are causing a supply response The US Shale decline is happening right now Other non OPEC could have larger, longer lasting impacts OPEC market share needs to grow Highest OPEC utilization in…
Permian Basin
United States Midcontinent Crude Production Growth (MBPD) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 North Dakota (Bakken) 195 225 95 -125 -40 30 45 50 Eagle Ford 405 385 120 -245 10 370 255 180 Permian Basin 160 285 235 -10 155 275 275…
Permian Production By Year (MB/D) Actual Projected 3,200 2,840 2,800 2,575 2,400 2,300 Production 2,025 2,000 1,880 1,870 1,645 1,600 1,360 1,200 1,200 1,050 800 400 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Year…
Nederland Terminal / Crude Projects
Nederland Terminal 25 MMB Crude and NGL terminal Pipeline connected to most major crude pipelines and Mt Belvieu NGL Export Capability Crude Export Capability Connected to SPR 35
Crude Projects: 9 Successful Open Seasons 3 West Texas Crude Expansions Granite Wash Extension Permian Crude to multiple markets Granite Wash Crude to multiple markets 2012 - 2014 4Q 2014 Permian Express 1 Permian Crude to…
Crude Projects: 11 Successful Major Projects Bakken Pipeline Joint Venture 4Q 2016* Bayou Bridge Joint Venture 1Q 2016** Committed Fee-based Income *Expected Start-up **1Q 2016 Expected Start-up for Nederland to Lake…
NGL Market Outlook
NGLs: U.S. as Big as Next 4 Largest Countries Combined Source: PIRA 39
US Ethane Penetrating the European Market First movers (Mariner East) Ineos crackers in Rafnes, Norway and Grangemouth, Scotland Borealis cracker in Stenungsund, Sweden Recent Development Announced in November 2015 Shell / Exxon…
Global Steam Cracker Feeds There is currently 5 MMBPD of Naphtha feeding steam crackers Source: PIRA 41
Ethylene Cracking Capacity (January 2016) MM Tons % of Market U.S./Canada 33.5 20.5% Europe 25.2 15.4% Latin America 7.2 4.4% Africa/Middle East 32.3 19.8% China 22.5 13.8% SE Asia 24.3 14.9% Other Asia 13.6 8.3% FSU 4.7…
NGL Projects
Mariner Franchise: 4 Successful Open Seasons Mariner East 1 Ethane / Propane from Houston to Marcus Hook 4Q 2014 Mariner West Ethane from Houston to Sarnia 4Q 2013 Mariner South Mariner East 2 Propane / Butane from Mont…
Marcellus / Utica NGL Forecast Source: Bentek 45
Marcus Hook Industrial Complex Mariner Infrastructure 46
Marcus Hook Terminal Build-Out 47
Mariner East Service Update ME 1 started up propane End of 2014 (30 MBPD, 7 months early) ME 1 ethane Started the commissioning process for ethane in late 2015 ME 2 scheduled for the first half of 2017 ME 2X is in open season…
PDH at Marcus Hook In Development
Global Propylene Supply and Demand - Global Propylene market is expected to grow by 33MM Metric Tons by 2020 - Lighter feed to crackers - PDH is a preferred choice 50
Propylene Supply and Demand 51
Summary
Key SXL Takeaways Recent History Strategic Focus on Crude and Natural Gas Liquids First Mover First West Texas crude projects on line since the shale boom First Marcellus propane project offering local, regional & international…
Key SXL Goals / Takeaways Going Forward Commitment to Growth New phase of growth in processing at Marcus Hook Opportunities within the Energy Transfer family M&A - Actively looking for right, strategic opportunities Commitment to…
Appendix
Crude Oil Map Note: Bakken Pipeline, Bayou Bridge, Delaware Basin and Permian LV & LA Extension are not currently operational 56
Crude Oil Segment Highlights 57% of total EBITDA for the twelve months ended December 31, 2015 Approximately 5,900 miles of crude oil trunk and gathering lines located in the Southwest and Midwest U.S. Controlling interest in…
Natural Gas Liquids Map Note: Mariner East 2 Pipeline is not currently operational 58
Natural Gas Liquids Segment Highlights 29% of total EBITDA for the twelve months ended December 31, 2015 Approximately 900 miles of NGLs pipelines, primarily related to our Mariner systems in the Northeast and Southwest U.S. Marcus…
Refined Products Map 60
Refined Products Segment Highlights 14% of total EBITDA for the twelve months ended December 31, 2015 Approximately 1,800 miles of refined products pipelines, located in the Northeast, Midwest and Southwest U.S. Controlling Interest…
SXL Key Financial and Operating Statistics 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total Financial highlights (in millions) Sales and other operating revenue Crude Oil…
SXL Key Financial and Operating Statistics 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total Reconciliation of Segment Operating Income to Net Income Attributable to Sunoco Logistics…