VERMILIONS KEY ATTRIBUTES Global independent with leading positions in high netback businesses in Europe, North America and Australia Self-funded growth and income model supported by high margins, low decline rates and strong…
CAPITAL MARKETS SUMMARY Market Summary Trading Price (June 30, 2016) 41.14 (TSX), 31.82 (NYSE) Ticker Symbol (TSX & NYSE) VET Shares Outstanding 115.3 million Monthly Dividend 0.215/share Dividend Yield 6.3% Director and Officer…
PRODUCTION GROWTH AND CAPEX 2016 GUIDANCE 62,500 TO 63,500 BOE/D 70,000 Y/Y E&D Capital 60,000 Production Y/Y PPS Capex Intensity 15% CAGR Year (boe/d) Growth Growth (MM) (/boe/d)* 50,000 2011 35,202 10% 6% 491 13,900 40,000…
PER SHARE GROWTH 600 3,000 MBOE PER MILLION SHARES BOE/D PER MILLION SHARES 500 2,500 400 2,000 300 1,500 200 1,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E Production / Share 2P Reserves / Share DELIVERING…
E&D CAPITAL BUDGET 2014 Actuals 2015 Actuals 2016 Budget* 2016 vs 2015 2016 vs 2014 Capital Expenditures by Country (MM) (MM) (MM) % Change % Change Canada 336 202 54 (73%) (84%) France 148 92 59 (36%) (60%) Netherlands 62 47 28…
FUND FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO) 1,000 Fund Flows from Fund Flows Y/Y 800 Year Operations (MM) per Share Growth 2011 474 5.22 33% 600 FFO (MM) 2012 558 5.69 18% 2013 668 6.61 20% 400 2014 805 7.63 21% 2015 516 4.71 (36%)…
DIVIDEND YIELD HISTORY 8 AVERAGE DIVIDEND YIELD SINCE CONVERSION TO A CORPORATION = 4.7% 6 Current Yield = 6.3% DIVIDEND YIELD (%) 4 2 0 Mar-11 Jun-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Mar-14…
SUSTAINABILITY RATIO 86% AVERAGE PRE-CORRIB CORRIB DEVELOPMENT PHASE CORRIB CASH FLOW 175% 162% 150% 140% TOTAL EXPENDITURES / FFO* 121% 125% 121% 117% 108% 111% 109% 111% 100% 81% 74% 73% 73% 75% 59% 50% 25%…
SUSTAINABLE MODEL
ELEMENTS OF SUSTAINABLE MODEL Vermilion's asset base delivers the three key elements necessary to support a sustainable, long-term dividend growth model: High margins (represented as /boe) Low base production decline rates…
NETBACKS United Total Q1 2016 Netbacks by Country (/boe*) Canada France Netherlands Germany Ireland Australia States Company Revenue 21.16 43.16 33.26 31.78 33.07 46.93 30.10 30.53 Royalties (2.07) (6.07) (0.56) (3.58) - - (9.03)…
RELATIVE NETBACKS 2015 OPERATING NETBACK EXCL. HEDGING* 2015 AFTER TAX CASH NETBACK EXCL. HEDGING* 35 30 30 25 25 20 /BOE /BOE 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 BIR POU NVA GTE CPG SGY PGF TOU ERF…
BASE PRODUCTION DECLINE RATES Effective Natural 50% Country Decline Rate* Decline Rate* VET France 11% 11% 40% CORPORATE NATURAL VET CANADA DECLINE Netherlands** 0% 19% ONLY DECLINE 30% Germany 14% 14% VET CORPORATE…
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY ATAX Payout Prod. Efficiency Investment Well Cost (CM) IP365 (boe/d) ATAX ROR % Recycle Ratio (Years) (IP365 /boed) European Gas Netherlands E&D 8.8 1,260 100% 4.5 x 1.3 7,000 EUROPE Brent Crude Champotran…
RESERVES / RESOURCES
RESERVES 2015 Year End P+P Reserves* (mmboe) Canada France Netherlands Germany Ireland Australia United States Total At December 31, 2014 120.2 58.0 14.2 10.3 24.1 18.0 2.1 246.9 Additions from E&D 8.7 10.2 4.9 (1.1) 1.4 1.8 4.6…
RESERVES / RESOURCE BASE 2015 YEAR END WORKING INTEREST RESERVES AND RISKED CONTINGENT RESOURCE (DEVELOPMENT PENDING)* Proved plus Probable WI (mmboe) Risked Contingent Resource (Development Pending) Reserves Low Best Estimate High…
RESERVES GROWTH 2015 F&D / FD&A Costs* Including FDC (/boe) 275 F&D (E&D CAPEX) 8.98 250 FD&A (Total CAPEX, including acquisitions) 10.03 225 FD&A Operating Recycle Ratio 3.2x 200 10% CAGR 11.7 year P+P reserve life index**…
PDP RECYCLE RATIO 2015 PDP FD&A RECYCLE RATIOS* 4.0x 3.5x 3.0x 2.5x 2.0x 1.5x 1.0x 0.5x 0.0x VET CR ERF RRX PEY BNE CPG WCP BNP NVA PPY VII BTE KEL LTS INCREASING RECYCLE RATIOS DESPITE COMMODITY PRICE WEAKNESS *…
BALANCE SHEET
CONSERVATIVE BALANCE SHEET CREDIT CAPACITY 2.0 BILLION NET DEBT TO FFO RATIO* 5.0 PEER AVERAGE 2016 = 4.6x PEER AVERAGE 2017 = 4.0x 4.0 VET 2016 = 3.2x 520 3.0 1,480 2.0 VET 2017 = 2.0x 1.0 0.0 2003 2004 2005 2006…
RELATIVE LEVERAGE DEBT TO CASH FLOW 16.0x 14.0x 12.0x 10.0x US AVERAGE 8.0x 6.0x CANADA AVERAGE 4.0x 2.0x 0.0x TPLM PSK WTI BIR SPE PDCE ECR DNR POU SGY TET OAS JONE BTE LPI PGF…
CREDIT METRICS YE 2012 YE 2013 YE 2014 YE 2015 Q1 2016 Credit Facility ( millions) Approved credit facility 950 1,200 1,750 2,000 2,000 Bank line undrawn** 481 425 727 812 545 Total debt to EBITDA* 0.8 1.1 1.2 2.2 2.5 Total debt to…
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT Vermilion employs a systematic process to identify and manage risk across our business Financial Risk Market Risk Operational Risk Target low financial leverage to Hedging program reduces risk Integrated,…
HEDGING PHILOSOPHY Targeting up to 50% of net of royalty volumes through a portfolio of collars and swaps Control commodity, currency and cost exposures Typically hedge 12 - 18 months forward; however, we have European gas…
COMMODITY HEDGING Full Year 2016 Full Year 2017 Full Year 2018 WTI Percent of Production Hedged 14% - - Average Floor / Ceiling / Swap (/bbl) 57.05 / 70.28 / - -/-/- -/-/- Brent Percent of Production Hedged 16% - - Average Floor…
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
CORE OPERATING AREAS NORTH AMERICA EUROPE AUSTRALIA VERMILION IS FOCUSED IN THREE CORE AREAS 36
VERMILIONS INTERNATIONAL ADVANTAGE Focused in three core areas (Europe, North America and Australia) with stable, well-developed fiscal and regulatory regimes Global asset portfolio provides commodity diversification and premium…
COMMODITY MIX PRODUCTION (2016)* 2P RESERVES (YE 2015)** ESTIMATED FFO CONTRIBUTION (2016)* Australia France Australia France Australia 24% 11% United 14% United 19% United 7% States States Germany States 1% Canada 0% France 4%…
COMMODITY PRICE DIVERSIFICATION Commodity North American European WTI Brent PORTFOLIO MIX STANDARD DEVIATION* 100% ANNUALIZED STANDARD DEVIATION Exposures Natural Gas Natural Gas Crude Oil Crude Oil 90% Vermilion 80% North…
GLOBAL PRICING ADVANTAGE CRUDE OIL* NATURAL GAS** VET BRENT US51 Differential (4) 12 2016 Euro Gas 2016 Euro Gas Differential (19) Swap C8.71 Collar Ceiling 10 C8.93 GAS PRICE (/MMBTU) VET BRENT 2016 Euro Gas PRODUCTION…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK SUMMARY Vermilion expects European gas prices to remain significantly above North American gas prices Recent price decline reflects impact of several near-term factors, including: Consecutive abnormally…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK LNG SUPPLY GLOBAL LNG SUPPLY/DEMAND Global nameplate liquefaction capacity to grow by a net 16 17 50 Bcf/d through 2020, however: 40 30 Historic utilization has averaged only 80%-85% of nameplate…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK DOMESTIC SUPPLY/DEMAND European Supply & Demand (Bcf/d) 2012 2015E 2017E 2020E EUROPEAN SUPPLY European Domestic Production 26.5 22.5 21.5 20.0 Russia 9.9 13.8 14.5 14.8 European domestic production…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK DOMESTIC SUPPLY/DEMAND FUEL SWITCHING CAPACITY 2.0 Total unconstrained fuel switching capacity = 7.7 Bcf/d DEMAND Additional infrastructure in Italy could add 1.1 Bcf/d of capacity 1.5 Europes large…
EUROPEAN ASSETS
EUROPEAN CORE AREA DEVELOPING LEADING-TO-DOMINANT BUSINESSES IN EACH JURISDICTION IRELAND FRANCE 1 oil producer, with share of domestic industry NETHERLANDS 2 onshore gas producer NETHERLANDS GERMANY Establishing production…
FRANCE Entered France in 1997 Record production level in 2015 PARIS Assets characterized by large OOIP conventional fields with high PARIS BASIN working interest (OOIP in 5 largest fields 1.7 billion barrels of oil) FRANCE…
FRANCE PRODUCTION 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 BOE/D 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF FFO* n/a 43% 51% 101% 45%…
CHAMPOTRAN DEVELOPMENT 14 wells drilled from 2013 to 2015 at 100% success rate CHAMPOTRAN PRODUCTION 6,000 Reduced DCET costs by 23% since 2013 30 identified future net drilling locations in 5,000 reserves and resources*…
NEOCOMIAN DEVELOPMENT NEOCOMIAN GROWTH POTENTIAL 10 WELLS PER YEAR Part of Paris Basin light oil assets (Neocomian field) acquired 3,500 Vermilion 10 Wells per Year from ZaZa Energy France in December 2012 3,000 Pre-acquisition…
NETHERLANDS Entered Netherlands in 2004 HARLINGEN High impact natural gas drilling and development Strong gas price, favorable fiscal regime, and low OPEX enhance netbacks AMSTERDAM Seven consecutive years of organic production…
NETHERLANDS PRODUCTION NETHERLANDS - Expected per well risked economics (based on recent drilling) DCET Well Cost ( million) 8.8 Expected IP30 Rate (boe/d) 1,690 10,000 Expected EUR per well (mboe) 1,350 After Tax ROR (%) 100%…
NETHERLANDS ACTIVITY LEGEND Vermilion producing concessions Licences acquired (Northern Petroleum PLC 2013) Vermilion has tripled its undeveloped land base since the Exploration concessions (awarded 2012 2014) Key well locations…
GERMANY COUNTRY OVERVIEW Largest gas market in Europe, with a long history of oil and natural gas development Country-wide production is approximately 44 kbbl/d of oil and 0.7 bcf/d of natural gas (160 kboe/d) Consistent fiscal…
GERMANY LAND POSITION Largely contiguous land position of over 1.1 million net acres in the prolific North German LEGEND Basin, which has cumulative production of more than 2 Bbbls of oil and 34 Tcf of natural gas Initial…
GERMANY PRODUCTION GERMANY Burgmoor Z3 Sidetrack (Based on Vermilions 25% W.I.) DCET Well Cost ( million) 3.9 5,000 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 350 Engie acquisition (expected to close late EUR per well (mboe) 780 After Tax ROR (%) 22% Q4…
ENGIE ACQUISITION On June 28, 2016, Vermilion announced the acquisition of producing assets in northwest Germany from Engie E&P Deutschland GmbH for 33 million (47.9 million). Expected close Q4 2016 Acquisition provides Vermilions…
IRELAND BELLANABOY GAS PLANT OVERVIEW Vermilion holds 18.5% non-operated interest in the Corrib gas field, offshore Ireland CORRIB GAS FIELD PIPELINE (83km Offshore) NORTHERN FROM UK Over 90% of supply imported prior to Corrib…
IRELAND PRODUCTION 10,000 8,000 6,000 BOE/D 4,000 2,000 0 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF FFO* NM 10% Gas EFFICIENT TRANSLATION OF REVENUE FUND FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS FREE CASH FLOW * 2016E: Company estimates as…
CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE (CEE) EXTENSION OF EUROPEAN GROWTH STRATEGY Modest back-loaded capital commitments BUDAPEST EBES Prospective for both oil and gas HUNGARY Under-invested basin that can benefit from new technology SOUTH…
NORTH AMERICAN ASSETS
CANADA Production and assets focused in West Pembina near Drayton Valley and Northgate in SE Saskatchewan In West Pembina, potential for three significant ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN development projects sharing the same surface…
WEST PEMBINA CARDIUM Dominant land position in West Pembina Cardium resource play Pembina is the largest conventional oil field in Western Canada Control key infrastructure 15,000 bbl per day oil battery and two owned and operated…
CARDIUM DEVELOPMENT NET CARDIUM PROSPECT INVENTORY* 12,000 AS AT MARCH 31, 2015 10,000 Wells 8,000 Drilled 245 BOE/D Risked 6,000 Contingent Development 4,000 Pending 171 Remaining 2P Locations 2,000 116 0 Note:…
MANNVILLE LIQUIDS-RICH GAS VET Land Mannville Fairway 309 net sections (197,500 acres) of Mannville rights, VET Natural Gas Pipelines largely held by production VET Oil Battery VET Mannville HZ NG Processing Plants Average 6…
MANNVILLE WELL PERFORMANCE MANNVILLE Expected per well economics - Ellerslie Hz. in Drayton Valley DCET Well Cost ( million) 3.7 1,600 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 680 EUR per well (mboe) 760 After Tax ROR (%) 96% 1,400 After Tax Payout…
MANNVILLE DEVELOPMENT NET MANNVILLE PROSPECT INVENTORY* AS AT MARCH 31, 2016 12,000 10,000 Drilled to Date 38 8,000 Risked Contingent Development BOE/D 6,000 Pending 147 Booked 2P 52 4,000 Notikewin 84 2,000…
SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN Elkhorn Lands New Land Existing HZ Wells VET Identified Locations SE SASKATCHEWAN STRATIGRAPHIC CHART Entered area through acquisition of Elkhorn Resources Inc. in April 2014, with further land added…
UNITED STATES - WYOMING DEVELOPMENT TURNER SAND WELL PERFORMANCE 400 Entered U.S. in September 2014 350 300 Large, operated contiguous land position (83,000 net 250 BOPD acres at 100% working interest) in promising 200…
UNITED STATES PRODUCTION 600 500 400 300 BOE/D 200 100 0 2014 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF ATAX NOI* 64% 535% 213% Crude Oil & NGL Gas EARLY-STAGE LIGHT OIL GROWTH PROJECT * ATAX NOI is defined as FFO before G&A…
AUSTRALIAN ASSETS
AUSTRALIA Entered Australia in 2005 Offshore oil field 80 km N.W. of Australia (55 m water depth) Horizontal well development with 21 producing wellbores Wells 600m below sea bed with 500 - 3,000+ m horizontal lengths Contracted…
AUSTRALIA PRODUCTION AUSTRALIA - per well economics* based on performance of 2013 drilling program DCET Well Cost ( million) 34.8 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 4,000 12,000 EUR per well (mboe) 1,400 After Tax ROR (%) 18% After Tax Payout…
AUSTRALIA ACTIVITY New wells are sidetracks from existing wellbores Oil is trapped above the existing wells, creating opportunity to sidetrack to a higher structural elevation to capture attic and flank oil 10 additional identified…
GOVERNANCE / CULTURE
GOVERNANCE / SUSTAINABILITY GLOBE & MAIL BOARD GAMES GOVERNANCE REPORT CARBON DISCLOSURE PROJECT (CDP) EXPLORERS & PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION OF CANADA In 2015, Vermilion was ranked 2nd within the energy sector and Named to the 2015 Canada…
CORPORATE CULTURE GREAT PLACE TO WORK INSTITUTES ANNUAL RANKING Since 2010 Vermilion has been ranked among the Top 30 Best Workplaces in Canada and France Demonstrates strong corporate culture, creating a high-performance…
RECORD OF VALUE CREATION
VALUE CREATION 1994 2016 5,889 6,000 5,023 TOTAL VALUE CREATION 4,000 MARKET CAPITALIZATION(2) MILLIONS 2,470 2,000 DIVIDENDS PAID(2) 0 EQUITY ISSUED(1) -2,000 (1,604) MORE THAN 20-YEAR RECORD OF STRONG…
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED 14 12 10 8 6 ROCE (%) 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 3 Year Average 5 Year Average 10 Year Average Vermilion Peer Average STRONG CAPITAL EFFICIENCY IN A CAPITAL INTENSIVE BUSINESS * Source:…
RELATIVE MARKET PERFORMANCE Since Inception Indices 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year (22 Years) S&P TSX Oil & Gas E&P Index (34.6%) (18.6%) (18.1%) (9.2%) 1.6% 3.1% ENERGY INDICES S&P TSX Oil & Gas E&P Total Return Index…
ANALYST COVERAGE FIRM ANALYST PHONE EMAIL AltaCorp Capital Patrick J. ORourke, CFA 403-539-8615 porourkealtacorpcapital.com Barclays Capital Grant Hofer, CFA 403-592-7460 grant.hoferbarclays.com BMO Nesbitt Burns Ray Kwan, P.Eng.…