INTERNATIONALLY DIVERSIFIED SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND INCOME AUGUST 2016
VERMILION OVERVIEW
VERMILIONS KEY ATTRIBUTES Global independent with leading positions in high netback businesses in Europe, North America and Australia Self-funded growth and income model supported by high margins, low decline rates and strong…
CAPITAL MARKETS SUMMARY Market Summary Trading Price (July 31, 2016) 43.50 (TSX), 32.41 (NYSE) Ticker Symbol (TSX & NYSE) VET Shares Outstanding 116.2 million Average Daily Trading Volume (shares) 0.8 million Monthly Dividend…
PRODUCTION GROWTH AND CAPEX 2016 GUIDANCE 62,500 TO 63,500 BOE/D 80,000 Y/Y E&D Capital Production Y/Y PPS Capex Intensity 70,000 13% CAGR Year (boe/d) Growth Growth* (MM) (/boe/d)** 60,000 2011 35,202 10% 6% 491 13,900 2012…
PER SHARE GROWTH 650 3,000 600 2,750 MBOE PER MILLION SHARES BOE/D PER MILLION SHARES 550 2,500 500 2,250 450 2,000 400 1,750 350 1,500 300 1,250 250 1,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E…
E&D CAPITAL BUDGET 2014 Actuals 2015 Actuals 2016 Budget* 2016 vs 2015 2016 vs 2014 Capital Expenditures by Country (MM) (MM) (MM) % Change % Change Canada 336 202 58 (71%) (83%) France 148 92 66 (28%) (55%) Netherlands 62 47 27…
FUND FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO) 1,000 Fund Flows from Fund Flows Y/Y 800 Year Operations (MM) per Share Growth 2011 474 5.22 33% 600 FFO (MM) 2012 558 5.69 18% 2013 668 6.61 20% 400 2014 805 7.63 21% 2015 516 4.71 (36%)…
ELEMENTS OF SUSTAINABLE MODEL Vermilion's asset base delivers the three key elements necessary to support a sustainable, long-term dividend growth model: High margins (represented as /boe) Low base production decline rates…
NETBACKS United Total Q2 2016 Netbacks by Country (/boe*) Canada France Netherlands Germany Ireland Australia States Company Revenue 25.39 57.82 31.77 28.94 32.59 61.53 46.80 36.83 Royalties (1.55) (6.16) (0.52) (4.44) - - (14.02)…
RELATIVE NETBACKS 2015 OPERATING NETBACK EXCL. HEDGING* 2015 AFTER TAX CASH NETBACK EXCL. HEDGING* 35 30 30 25 25 20 /BOE /BOE 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 CR VET BNE PXT PSK TOG ARX MEG PEY NVA…
BASE PRODUCTION DECLINE RATES Effective Natural 50% Country Decline Rate* Decline Rate* VET France 11% 11% 40% CORPORATE NATURAL VET CANADA DECLINE Netherlands** 0% 19% ONLY DECLINE 30% Germany 14% 14% VET CORPORATE…
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY Well Cost IP365 ATAX Recycle ATAX Payout Prod. Efficiency Net Well 2016E Net Investment (CM) (boe/d) ROR Ratio (Years) (IP365 /boed) Inventory* Wells Planned European Gas Netherlands E&D 8.8 1,260 100% 4.5 x 1.3…
RESERVES / RESOURCES
RESERVES 2015 Year End P+P Reserves* (mmboe) Canada France Netherlands Germany Ireland Australia United States Total At December 31, 2014 120.2 58.0 14.2 10.3 24.1 18.0 2.1 246.9 Additions from E&D 8.7 10.2 4.9 (1.1) 1.4 1.8 4.6…
RESERVES / RESOURCE BASE 2015 YEAR END WORKING INTEREST RESERVES AND RISKED CONTINGENT RESOURCE (DEVELOPMENT PENDING)* Proved plus Probable WI (mmboe) Risked Contingent Resource (Development Pending) Reserves Low Best Estimate High…
RESERVES GROWTH 2015 F&D / FD&A Costs* Including FDC (/boe) 275 F&D (E&D CAPEX) 8.98 250 FD&A (Total CAPEX, including acquisitions) 10.03 225 FD&A Operating Recycle Ratio 3.2x 200 10% CAGR 11.7 year P+P reserve life index**…
PDP RECYCLE RATIO 2015 PDP FD&A RECYCLE RATIOS* 4.0x 3.5x 3.0x 2.5x 2.0x 1.5x 1.0x 0.5x 0.0x VET CR ERF RRX PEY BNE CPG WCP BNP NVA PPY VII BTE KEL LTS INCREASING RECYCLE RATIOS DESPITE COMMODITY PRICE WEAKNESS *…
BALANCE SHEET
CONSERVATIVE BALANCE SHEET CREDIT CAPACITY 2.0 BILLION NET DEBT TO FFO RATIO* AS AT JUNE 30, 2016 5.0 4.0 PEER AVERAGE 2017 = 3.3x PEER AVERAGE 2016 = 3.4x 627 VET 2016 = 3.0x 3.0 VET 2017 = 2.3x 1,373 2.0 1.0 0.0…
RELATIVE LEVERAGE DEBT TO CASH FLOW 16.0x 14.0x 12.0x 10.0x US AVERAGE 8.0x 6.0x CANADA AVERAGE 4.0x 2.0x 0.0x POU TET PGF EPE FRU WPX CRZO RSPP CR TOG WCP JONE BIR ECR DNR…
CREDIT METRICS YE 2012 YE 2013 YE 2014 YE 2015 Q2 2016 Credit Facility ( millions) Approved credit facility 950 1,200 1,750 2,000 2,000 Bank line undrawn** 481 425 727 812 627 Total debt to EBITDA* 0.8 1.1 1.2 2.2 2.4 Total debt to…
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT Vermilion employs a systematic process to identify and manage risk across our business Financial Risk Market Risk Operational Risk Target low financial leverage to Hedging program reduces risk Integrated,…
HEDGING PHILOSOPHY Targeting up to 50% of net of royalty volumes through a portfolio of collars and swaps Control commodity, currency and cost exposures Typically hedge 12 - 18 months forward; however, we have European gas…
COMMODITY HEDGE POSITION Full Year 2016 Full Year 2017 Full Year 2018 WTI Percent of Production Hedged 14% - - Average Floor / Ceiling / Swap (/bbl) 57.31 / 70.54 / - -/-/- -/-/- Brent Percent of Production Hedged 16% - - Average…
INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION
CORE OPERATING AREAS NORTH AMERICA EUROPE AUSTRALIA VERMILION IS FOCUSED IN THREE CORE AREAS 36
VERMILIONS INTERNATIONAL ADVANTAGE Focused in three core areas (Europe, North America and Australia) with stable, well-developed fiscal and regulatory regimes Global asset portfolio provides commodity diversification and premium…
COMMODITY MIX PRODUCTION (2016)* 2P RESERVES (YE 2015)** ESTIMATED FFO CONTRIBUTION (2016)* Australia France Australia France Australia 24% 10% United 13% United 19% United 7% States States Germany States 1% Canada 0% France 4%…
COMMODITY PRICE DIVERSIFICATION Commodity North American European WTI Brent PORTFOLIO MIX STANDARD DEVIATION* 100% ANNUALIZED STANDARD DEVIATION Exposures Natural Gas Natural Gas Crude Oil Crude Oil 90% Vermilion 80% North…
GLOBAL PRICING ADVANTAGE CRUDE OIL* NATURAL GAS** VET BRENT US41 Differential (4) 12 2016 Euro Gas 2016 Euro Gas Swap C8.76 Collar Ceiling Differential (14) 10 C8.99 GAS PRICE (/MMBTU) VET BRENT 2016 Euro Gas PRODUCTION…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK SUMMARY Recent price decline reflects previous warm winter/high storage, oil-linked contracts, threat of surplus LNG and tepid European demand due to weak economy Longer-term European gas demand growth…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK LNG SUPPLY GLOBAL LNG SUPPLY/DEMAND 50 Global nameplate liquefaction capacity to grow by a net 16 17 Bcf/d through 2020, however: 40 30 Historic utilization has averaged only 80%-85% of nameplate…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK DOMESTIC SUPPLY/DEMAND European Supply & Demand (Bcf/d) 2012 2015E 2017E 2020E European Domestic Production 26.5 22.5 21.5 20.0 EUROPEAN SUPPLY Russia 9.9 13.8 14.5 14.8 European domestic production…
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK DOMESTIC SUPPLY/DEMAND FUEL SWITCHING CAPACITY 2.0 Total unconstrained fuel switching capacity = 7.7 Bcf/d DEMAND Additional infrastructure in Italy could add 1.1 Bcf/d of capacity 1.5 Europes large…
EUROPEAN ASSETS
EUROPEAN CORE AREA DEVELOPING LEADING-TO-DOMINANT BUSINESSES IN EACH JURISDICTION IRELAND FRANCE 1 oil producer, with share of domestic industry NETHERLANDS 2 onshore gas producer NETHERLANDS GERMANY Establishing production…
FRANCE Entered France in 1997 Record production level in 2015 PARIS Assets characterized by large OOIP conventional fields with high PARIS BASIN working interest (OOIP in 5 largest fields 1.7 billion barrels of oil) FRANCE…
FRANCE PRODUCTION 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 BOE/D 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF FFO* n/a 43% 51% 101% 45%…
CHAMPOTRAN DEVELOPMENT 14 wells drilled from 2013 to 2015 at 100% success rate CHAMPOTRAN PRODUCTION Reduced DCET costs by 23% since 2013 6,000 30 identified future net drilling locations in 5,000 reserves and resources*…
NEOCOMIAN DEVELOPMENT NEOCOMIAN GROWTH POTENTIAL 10 WELLS PER YEAR Part of Paris Basin light oil assets (Neocomian field) acquired 3,500 Vermilion 10 Wells per Year from ZaZa Energy France in December 2012 3,000 Pre-acquisition…
NETHERLANDS Entered Netherlands in 2004 HARLINGEN High impact natural gas drilling and development Strong gas price, favorable fiscal regime, and low OPEX enhance netbacks AMSTERDAM Seven consecutive years of organic production…
NETHERLANDS PRODUCTION NETHERLANDS - Expected per well risked economics (based on recent drilling) DCET Well Cost ( million) 8.8 Expected IP30 Rate (boe/d) 1,690 10,000 Expected EUR per well (mboe) 1,350 After Tax ROR (%) 100%…
NETHERLANDS OPERATING PERFORMANCE Value Creation (2P Reserves) mmboe Acquired Reserves Initial acquisition (2004) 16.5 14,000 2013 Acquisition 2.3 Total Acquired Reserves 18.8 12,000 Production to YE 2015 23.8 Initial…
NETHERLANDS ACTIVITY LEGEND Vermilion has tripled its undeveloped land base since the Vermilion producing concessions Licences acquired (Northern Petroleum PLC 2013) beginning of 2012 Exploration concessions (awarded 2012 2014)…
GERMANY COUNTRY OVERVIEW Largest gas market in Europe, with a long history of oil and natural gas development Country-wide production is approximately 44 kbbl/d of oil and 0.7 bcf/d of natural gas (160 kboe/d) Consistent fiscal…
GERMANY LAND POSITION Largely contiguous land position of over 1.1 million net acres in the prolific North German LEGEND Basin, which has cumulative production of more than 2 Bbbls of oil and 34 Tcf of natural gas Initial…
GERMANY PRODUCTION GERMANY Burgmoor Z3 Sidetrack (Based on Vermilions 25% W.I.) DCET Well Cost ( million) 3.9 5,000 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 350 Engie acquisition (expected to close late EUR per well (mboe) 780 After Tax ROR (%) 22% Q4…
ENGIE ACQUISITION On June 28, 2016, Vermilion announced the acquisition of producing assets in northwest Germany from Engie E&P Deutschland GmbH for 33 million (47.9 million). Expected close Q4 2016 Acquisition provides Vermilions…
IRELAND BELLANABOY GAS PLANT OVERVIEW Vermilion holds 18.5% non-operated interest in the Corrib gas field, offshore Ireland CORRIB GAS FIELD PIPELINE (83km Offshore) NORTHERN FROM UK Over 90% of supply imported prior to Corrib…
IRELAND PRODUCTION 10,000 BOE/D 8,000 6,000 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF FFO* NM 9% Gas EFFICIENT TRANSLATION OF REVENUE FUND FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS FREE CASH FLOW * 2016E: Company estimates as of August 2, 2016 with…
CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE (CEE) EXTENSION OF EUROPEAN GROWTH STRATEGY Modest back-loaded capital commitments BUDAPEST EBES Prospective for both oil and gas HUNGARY Under-invested basin that can benefit from new technology SOUTH…
NORTH AMERICAN ASSETS
CANADA Production and assets focused in West Pembina near Drayton Valley and Northgate in SE Saskatchewan In West Pembina, potential for three significant development projects sharing the same surface ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN…
WEST PEMBINA CARDIUM Dominant 90,000 net acre land position in West Pembina Cardium resource play Pembina is the largest conventional oil field in Western Canada Control key infrastructure 15,000 bbl per day oil battery and two…
CARDIUM DEVELOPMENT NET CARDIUM PROSPECT INVENTORY* 12,000 AS AT JUNE 30, 2016 10,000 Wells 8,000 Drilled 245 BOE/D Risked 6,000 Contingent Development 4,000 Pending 171 Remaining 2P Locations 2,000 116 0 Note:…
MANNVILLE LIQUIDS-RICH GAS VET Land Mannville Fairway 340 net sections (220,000 acres) of Mannville rights, VET Natural Gas Pipelines largely held by production VET Oil Battery VET Mannville HZ NG Processing Plants Average 6…
MANNVILLE WELL PERFORMANCE MANNVILLE Expected per well economics - Ellerslie Hz. in Drayton Valley DCET Well Cost ( million) 3.5 1,600 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 680 EUR per well (mboe) 760 After Tax ROR (%) 100% 1,400 After Tax Payout…
MANNVILLE DEVELOPMENT NET MANNVILLE PROSPECT INVENTORY* AS AT JUNE 30, 2016 12,000 10,000 Drilled to Date 38 8,000 Risked Contingent Development BOE/D 6,000 Pending 147 Booked 2P 52 4,000 Notikewin 84 2,000…
SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN Elkhorn Lands New Land Existing HZ Wells VET Identified Locations SE SASKATCHEWAN STRATIGRAPHIC CHART Entered area through acquisition of Elkhorn Resources Inc. in April 2014, with further land added…
UNITED STATES - WYOMING DEVELOPMENT TURNER SAND WELL PERFORMANCE 400 350 Entered U.S. in September 2014 300 Large, operated contiguous land position (83,000 net 250 BOPD 200 acres at 100% working interest) in promising 150…
UNITED STATES PRODUCTION 600 500 400 BOE/D 300 200 100 0 2014 2015 2016E E&D CAPEX AS A % OF ATAX NOI* 64% 535% 233% Crude Oil & NGL Gas EARLY-STAGE LIGHT OIL GROWTH PROJECT * ATAX NOI is defined as FFO before G&A…
AUSTRALIAN ASSETS
AUSTRALIA Entered Australia in 2005 Offshore oil field 80 km N.W. of Australia (55 m water depth) Horizontal well development with 21 producing wellbores Wells 600m below sea bed with 500 - 3,000+ m horizontal lengths Contracted…
AUSTRALIA PRODUCTION AUSTRALIA - per well economics* based on performance of 2013 drilling program DCET Well Cost ( million) 34.8 IP30 Rate (boe/d) 4,000 12,000 EUR per well (mboe) 1,400 After Tax ROR (%) 18% After Tax Payout…
AUSTRALIA OPERATING PERFORMANCE Value Creation (2P Reserves) mmboe (net) Acquisition Date Reserves 16,000 Reserves at initial acquisition (2005) 26.7 Total Acquisition Date Reserves 26.7 14,000 Production to YE 2015 28.2 Reserves…
AUSTRALIA ACTIVITY New wells are sidetracks from existing wellbores Oil is trapped above the existing wells, creating opportunity to sidetrack to a higher structural elevation to capture attic and flank oil 10 additional identified…
GOVERNANCE / CORPORATE CITIZENSHIP
GOVERNANCE External awards and recognitions provide important benchmarks for strong performance: The Globe and Mail, Report on Business, Board Games In 2015, Vermilion was ranked 2nd within the energy sector, and 20th among 234…
LONG-TERM COMPENSATION APPROACH Pay-for-performance is the foundation of Vermilions approach to compensation, both at the executive level and company-wide All employees participate in Vermilions equity-based Long-Term Incentive Plan…
SUSTAINABILITY Vermilion is recognized as a responsible oil and gas producer in our industry: Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) Vermilion is the leading energy company on the Canadian Climate Disclosure Leadership Index (CLDI) for…
COMMUNITY INVESTMENT Canada France Netherlands Australia Since 2011, Vermilion has invested over 4.4 MM globally into the local communities where we operate. We focus on making a difference in four key areas: Homelessness &…
CORPORATE CULTURE GREAT PLACE TO WORK INSTITUTES ANNUAL RANKING Since 2010 Vermilion has been ranked among the Top 30 Best Workplaces in Canada and France Demonstrates strong corporate culture, creating a high-performance…
RECORD OF VALUE CREATION
VALUE CREATION 1994 2016 6,000 5,654 4,779 TOTAL VALUE CREATION 4,000 MARKET MILLIONS CAPITALIZATION(2) 2,495 2,000 DIVIDENDS PAID(2) 0 EQUITY ISSUED(1) -2,000 (1,620) MORE THAN 20-YEAR RECORD OF STRONG VALUE…
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED 14 12 10 8 6 ROCE (%) 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 3 Year Average 5 Year Average 10 Year Average Vermilion Peer Average STRONG CAPITAL EFFICIENCY IN A CAPITAL INTENSIVE BUSINESS * Source:…
RELATIVE MARKET PERFORMANCE Since Inception Indices 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year (22 Years) S&P TSX Oil & Gas E&P Index (34.6%) (18.6%) (18.1%) (9.2%) 1.6% 3.1% ENERGY INDICES S&P TSX Oil & Gas E&P Total Return Index…
SUMMARY Long-term, low-risk dividend growth model supported by High margins Diversified product mix Low base decline rate Diversified and well defined project slate Low financial leverage Focused on consistent growth in…
ANALYST COVERAGE FIRM ANALYST PHONE EMAIL AltaCorp Capital Patrick J. ORourke, CFA 403-539-8615 porourkealtacorpcapital.com Barclays Capital Grant Hofer, CFA 403-592-7460 grant.hoferbarclays.com BMO Nesbitt Burns Ray Kwan, P.Eng.…