Looking Ahead DUG Permian Basin Conference May 2016
Single Basin Efficiency Permian Basin Focused Acquisition Machine Formed 3ROC I in 2010, 3ROC II in 2012 and 3ROC III in 2015 Equity backed by Riverstone Holdings LLC Closed 1 billion acquisitions, drilled approximately 150…
Shamelessly Stolen Strategy 3
Cracks in the Strategy 4
Stated Causes Historical commodity price drop Too much debt MLP 5
Stated Causes Real Cause Historical commodity Overpaying for price drop acquisitions Too much debt MLP 6
MLP Competition Original Plan Cash Flow Properties with low decline and little upside bought at a discount Hedge production significantly Low maintenance capital (i.e. no drilling) 7
MLP Competition Original Plan Actual Acquisitions Cash Flow Properties with Cash Flow Properties low decline and little upside bought at a premium bought at a discount Hedge strategy became Hedge production complex significantly…
Fierce Permian Competition 100+ Private Equity backed companies Acreage prices in excess of 20K are normal Common for data rooms to have in excess of 50 participants 9
Fierce Permian Competition 100+ Private Equity backed companies Are we the Acreage prices in excess next MLPs of 20K are normal Common for data rooms Are we to have in excess of 50 participants different 10
What is the goal Buy the best acreage for the highest price Buy the greatest value opportunities 11
A&D Value Opportunities DUG 2015 12
2015 3-Step Value Formula 1 2 3 Best Expiring IP 30s Rigs A&D Acreage Value 13
Horizontals with 24hr IPs 1,000 BOPD* *From October 2014 to April 2015 14
An Improved Approach for 2016 3-Step Value Formula 1 2 3 Best Expiring 2015 IP 30s Rigs A&D Acreage Value 2016 19
An Improved Approach for 2016 3-Step Value Formula 1 2 3 Best Expiring 2015 IP 30s Rigs A&D Acreage Value 2016 EURs 20
An Improved Approach for 2016 3-Step Value Formula 1 2 3 Best Expiring 2015 IP 30s Rigs A&D Acreage Value 2016 EURs NPV 21
An Improved Approach for 2016 3-Step Value Formula 1 2 3 Best Expiring 2015 IP 30s Rigs A&D Acreage Value Best Available 2016 EURs NPV Transactions A&D Value
Price Step Change Midland Basin Company County /Acre Diamondback Howard 35K Midland/ RSP 30K Martin Parsley Reagan 25K Blue Whale Howard 35K Delaware Basin Company County /Acre Concho Ward 22K Parsley Reeves 10K PE…
Permian Basin Horizontal Drilling Time 2013 2014 25
Permian Basin Horizontal Drilling Time 2013 2014 26
Permian Basin Horizontal Drilling Time 2015 2016 27
100 Oil NPV (Greater than 20% IRR) 28
80 Oil NPV (Greater than 20% IRR) 29
50 Oil NPV (Greater than 20% IRR) 30
Permian Basin Horizontal Lateral Length 31
50 Oil NPV (Greater than 20% IRR) 32
45 Oil NPV vs. Normalized NPV / 7,500 Lateral (Greater than 20% IRR) 33
Is Anything Available 34
Private Companies in the Southern Delaware Basin Silver Hill Panther Limestone PE Firm/ Jagged Energen Arris Peak 3ROC III Endurance ExL Silverback Arris Luxe Jagged Peak Patriot Centennial J Cleo Brigham…