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Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp.

Calpine Corp. · Sep 7, 2016 · 33 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 1
    September 2016 Investor Meetings
  2. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 2
    Calpine Generating Power Strategically positioned within U.S. power industry value chain Fuel Supply Retail Transportation Transmission & Distribution Calpine (NYSE: CPN) 2,200 employees 27,000 MW generation…
  3. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 3
    National Portfolio of More Than 27,000 MW Geographic Diversity Dispatch Technology As of 06/30/2016 Geographically diversified portfolio: Scale in Americas most competitive power markets Featuring one of smallest…
  4. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 4
    Nations Largest Baseload Renewable, Natural Gas and Cogeneration Power Provider Modern Clean 50 5 Capacity Wtd Avg Age (Years) 40 4 30 SO2 lbs/MWh 3 20 2 10 1 0 CPN DYN TLN NRG 0 CPN DYN TLN NRG Efficient…
  5. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 5
    Calpine Investment Thesis Strong leadership bench Premier Best-in-class operations power generation Geographic diversity across competitive wholesale power markets company Unparalleled asset quality with decades of useful life…
  6. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 6
    Transformation of the Nations Electric Markets Secular Trends Driving Significant Change in Power Sector Low natural gas prices Flexible resources CCGT, CT Scale and scope of environmental regulations Renewables penetration…
  7. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 7
    Strategically Positioning Calpine for Long-Term Success Re-allocating capital to Sale of Mankato dynamic competitive markets Power Plant 2008: Today*: Accretive Monetization of North Non-Core Position 2,822 MW 12% West East…
  8. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 8
    Positioned for Tomorrow, At a Discount Today Deliberate Strategic Positioning Industry-leading operations Ongoing cost discipline Customer focus Premier 50% of Margin secured annually Value Opportunity Operator (2016-18)…
  9. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 9
    INDUSTRY & REGIONAL OBSERVATIONS 10
  10. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 10
    Market Overview California Texas East Retirements of nuke and inefficient gas Load continues to grow Recent PJM auction highlights impact reinforce the importance of 1,000 MW/Yr of 100% CP requirement next year existing…
  11. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 11
    Calpines Renewable + Modern + Locationally Advantaged Fleet Addresses Californias Needs, Today and Tomorrow Today: Geysers + Contracted Gas Assets Tomorrow: Natural Gas (like ours) Needed Generate 95% of California FCF1 to Support…
  12. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 12
    Texas Energy-Only Market at Unsustainable Cyclical Lows Market Tighter than CDR Appears Difficult fundamentals continue to challenge uneconomic coal Add back load served by high-priced resources Reserves, Emergency Response, Load…
  13. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 13
    Smiling at Higher Gas Prices Calpine Sensitivity to Natural Gas Prices1 Regional Gas Positions (Illustrative Unhedged Forward View) 245 250 West, New England (Long) Change in Energy Margin ( Millions) Gas sets price the…
  14. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 14
    FINANCIAL OVERVIEW & CAPITAL ALLOCATION 15
  15. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 15
    Second Quarter Highlights ( millions) Second Quarter Performance Adjusted EBITDA3 Continued operational and commercial success 457 452 Record Texas 2Q capacity factor, including three merchant plants with 2Q16 capacity factor…
  16. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 16
    Delivering Strong Financial Performance ( millions) Stable Adjusted EBITDA1 Solid Adjusted FCF1 1,949 1,976 1,800 - 1,900 1,830 1,749 842 710 - 810 1,726 830 677 564 489 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2011 2012 2013 2014…
  17. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 17
    Disciplined Capital Allocation with Tailwinds as Upside Shifting capital allocation at a value with opportunity opportunity for value Remaining 2016 capital focused on debt High FCF Yield with High Quality EBITDA4,5 ( millions)…
  18. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 18
    APPENDIX 19
  19. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 19
    Focused on Best-in-Class Operations Employee Total Reportable Incident Rate Generation in Key Markets (000 MWh)1 Key YoY Normal hydro Wildfire Higher spark spreads Garrison/Granite Ridge Drivers: Sutter/South Point Low gas price…
  20. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 20
    Selected Operating Statistics 2Q16 2Q15 2Q16 2Q15 1,2 Total MWh Generated (in thousands) 26,767 27,540 Average Capacity Factor, excl. Peakers 50.2% 53.4% West 5,035 8,430 West 33.1% 54.7% Texas 12,607 11,618 Texas 61.7% 55.8%…
  21. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 21
    Regional Adjusted EBITDA1: Q2 2016 vs. 2015 ( millions, 000 MWh) East Region Adjusted EBITDA1,3 Drivers Adjusted EBITDA1 Generation2 40 202 5 182 9,125 457 10 452 7,492 (10) (50) 2Q15 2Q16 2Q15 2Q16 Lower Commodity Margin1…
  22. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 22
    Regional Adjusted EBITDA1: YTD 2016 vs. 2015 ( millions, 000 MWh) East Region Adjusted EBITDA1,3 Drivers Adjusted EBITDA1 Generation2 40 20 20 826 795 (29) 359 (20) 327 14,711 15,775 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 YTD…
  23. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 23
    Energy Margin1: Positioned to Respond to Favorable Secular Trends Energy Hedge Profile2 Sensitivities Natural Gas Price Sensitivity2 Energy Margin1,2 as % of (assuming no change in heat rate) Change to Commodity Margin (M)…
  24. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 24
    Although Calpines fleet can be difficult to model, simplifying techniques may help 1. Estimate annual generation (MWh) based on market outlook relative to disclosed 5. Adjust margin to capture items such as ancillary services and storage…
  25. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 25
    Capital Structure Chart ( in millions) Corporate Debt Senior Secured Notes 2,407 First Lien Term Loans 2,642 Unsecured Notes 3,409 Corporate Revolver Total Corporate Debt 8,458 CCFC Capital Lease Project Debt Obligations &…
  26. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 26
    Calpine1 Continues to Benefit from Federal NOL Positions Federal NOLs at Dec. 31, 2015: 6.9 billion All are unrestricted State NOL Overview West 49% NOL Summary 8,000 East 39% 6,000 No Current Operations 12% 4,000…
  27. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 27
    Calpine Operating Power Plants As of June 30, 2016 With Load CPN With Peaking Technology Location COD Peaking Type Interest Capacity, Net Capacity West Region Agnews Power Plant Natural Gas Intermediate CA 1990 28 100% 28 Creed…
  28. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 28
    Calpine Operating Power Plants (contd) As of June 30, 2016 With Load CPN With Peaking Technology Location COD Peaking Type Interest Capacity, Net Capacity East Region Auburndale Peaking Energy Center Natural Gas Peaking FL 2002 117…
  29. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 29
    Reg G Reconciliation: Commodity Margin ( in millions) Commodity Margin includes our power and steam revenues, sales of purchased power and physical natural gas, capacity revenue, revenue from renewable energy credits, sales of surplus…
  30. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 30
    Reg G Reconciliation: Commodity Margin (continued) ( in millions) Commodity Margin includes our power and steam revenues, sales of purchased power and physical natural gas, capacity revenue, revenue from renewable energy credits, sales…
  31. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 31
    Reg G Reconciliation: Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow ( in millions, except share and per share amounts) Adjusted EBITDA represents net income (loss) attributable to Calpine before net income (loss) attributable to the…
  32. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 32
    Reg G Reconciliation: 2016 Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow Guidance 33
  33. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Calpine Corp. – slide 33
    Major Maintenance and Capital Expenditure Guidance ( in millions) 2016E Major maintenance expense 270 A Maintenance capital expenditures 140 B Growth-related capital expenditures1 285 C Capital expenditures, gross2 425…

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