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September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd.

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. · Sep 1, 2016 · 31 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    A PREDICTABLE LOW COST NATURAL GAS MODEL INVESTOR UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2016 TSX: PNE
  2. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    CORPORATE PROFILE POSITIONED FOR SUSTAINABLE CASH FLOW Listing TSX: PNE Market Capitalization(1) 341 MM Average Daily Volume(2) 0.7 MM 52-Week Trading Range 0.61 to 1.36 Shares Issued(3) 307.0 MM Directors and Officers Ownership 13.5%…
  3. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    FOCUS ON PER SHARE VALUE CREATION Acquisition Priorities Focused on Value Accretive acquisitions of high-quality natural gas assets offering low operating costs, low decline production, and increasing drilling inventories; nine…
  4. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    A UNIQUE, COUNTER-CYCLICAL STRATEGY BUILDING A FREE CASH FLOW MODEL IN A VOLATILE COMMODITY PRICE ENVIRONMENT PNE has been uniquely focused on a low-risk, natural gas asset consolidation strategy in Western Canada Weak commodity…
  5. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    SUCCESSFUL EXECUTION OF THE STRATEGY TRACK RECORD SINCE JANUARY 2012 488,000,000 2.70 Market Cap 11 448,000,000 Share Price 10 408,000,000 9 12 2.20 368,000,000 328,000,000 13 14 288,000,000 1.70 8 248,000,000 7 4 6…
  6. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    HISTORY OF ACCRETIVE ACQUISITIONS ACQUISITION METRICS REFLECT DISCIPLINED VALUE FOCUSED STRATEGY (1) Transaction Metrics Announcement Transaction Value Production P+P Reserves Flowing Barrel P+P Reserves P+P Reserves Transaction Date…
  7. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    WHAT WE HAVE BUILT THREE MAJOR OPERATED CORE AREAS Base Production of over 22,600 boe/d Weighted 92% towards natural gas Low Decline Rate Corporate decline rate on base production of 10% High Working Interest and Operatorship…
  8. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    PREDICTABLE ASSET BASE LOW COST + LOW DECLINE = SUSTAINABLE + PREDICTABLE ASSETS 2015 G&A per boe 2015 Opex (inc. transport) per boe 14.00 30.00 12.00 25.00 Opex (/boe) 10.00 20.00 G&A (/boe) 15.00 8.00 10.00 6.00…
  9. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    LOW CORPORATE BREAK EVEN KEY TO CASH FLOW BUILT FOR SUSTAINABILITY IN A VOLATILE COMMODITY PRICE ENVIRONMENT At 1.75 per mcf, PNE has one of the lowest all-in corporate break even gas prices in the industry(1) 82% of PNEs production…
  10. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    HIGHLY LEVERAGED TO NAT GAS PRICING ONE OF THE STRONGEST EXPOSURES TO NATURAL GAS PRICES IN THE INDUSTRY PNE offers one of the highest exposures to movements in natural gas pricing given low operating expenses and overhead, low…
  11. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    FREE CASH FLOW SENSITIVITY(1) LOW MAINTENANCE CAPITAL YIELDS HIGH FREE CASH FLOW With annual maintenance capital averaging 24.5 MM over the next 5 years(3), PNE can maintain its production base at 22,750 boe/d Average annual…
  12. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    FUTURE DRILLING OPPORTUNITIES EXTENSIVE INVENTORY OF LOCATIONS TO SUPPLY LONG TERM MODEL PNE currently has 1,345 gross Gross Undrilled Locations(1) (872 net) drilling and 1,600 recompletion locations(1) 1,400 Five years of…
  13. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK - DEMAND U.S. Annual LNG Exports U.S. Natural Gas Demand Growth in Electric Power Sector bcf/d bcf/d Forecast 8.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 Forecast Coal to gas LNG from 6.0 3.0 shifting Gulf of 5.0 2.0 continues Mexico…
  14. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK - SUPPLY Monthly Dry Shale Gas Production U.S. HDDs 1931-2015 (Nov Mar) bcf/d 50 HDDs 45 Marcellus (PA,WV,OH & NY) 4,500 Haynesville (LA & TX) 40 4,000 Short term Natural gas Eagle Ford (TX) Fayetteville (AR)…
  15. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    DEMONSTRATED PER SHARE VALUE GROWTH Production (boe/d)Mid-point of Reserves (Mboe)(2) 2016 Guidance 25,000 80 22,750 80,000 300,000 BOE/D per million shares 72% 70 70,000 39% 250,000 Daily Production per million shares…
  16. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    COMPELLING VALUATION STRONG EMPHASIS ON GROWTH OF SUSTAINABLE NATURAL GAS ASSETS PNE generates one of the PNEs valuation is attractive highest free funds flow yields from a PDP reserves in the industry perspective 2017 FCF Yield…
  17. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    WHY INVEST IN PINE CLIFF High-quality assets with industry leading operating costs and decline rates Executing on a vision to assemble an asset base to deliver sustainable cash flow back to its shareholders One of the strongest per…
  18. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    APPENDIX -18-
  19. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    BUILDING A FAMILIAR MODEL A CLEAR VISION FOR LONG-TERM GROWTH WITH PROVEN EXPERIENCE Pine Cliff management has a long-term view of value creation, with a counter-cyclical focus to acquire natural gas assets that are non-core to their…
  20. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    RESERVE REPORT (1) Summary of Remaining Oil and Gas Reserves as of December 31, 2015 Natural Gas and Coal Bed Natural Gas Light , Medium and Heavy Oil Methane Liquids Total Oil Equivalent Gross Gross Gross Gross Reserve Category:…
  21. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    CENTRAL ASSETS AREA OVERVIEW PINE CLIFFS NEWEST AND LARGEST CORE AREA - DEC 11 15 Gas weighted, low decline assets in the Ghost Pine and Viking areas of Central Alberta Q2 2016 production of 10,777 boe/d (88% natural gas), 48% of…
  22. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    SOUTHERN ASSETS AREA OVERVIEW LOW DECLINE, LOW COST PRODUCTION Q2 2016 production of 9,402 boe/d (mostly natural gas), 42% of Pine Cliffs production 100% Ownership of a key NEB regulated pipelines in Montana and Saskatchewan…
  23. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    EDSON AREA OVERVIEW PINE CLIFFS FIRST CORE AREA, ACQUIRED IN Q1 2012 Q2 2016 production of 2,193 boe/d (77% natural gas), 10% of Pine Cliffs production Drilled three gross (one net wells) in Q1 2016, all of which are performing at…
  24. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    SIGNIFICANT LOW RISK DEVELOPMENT SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL IN GHOST PINE HORSESHOE CANYON COAL BED METHANE(1) Attractive and predictable low-cost production with long reserve life CBM infill drilling opportunities plus…
  25. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    EMERGING COLORADO SHALE PLAY SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL COLORADO SHALE(1) Industry was drilling this area using horizontal drilling technology in 2014 138 gross (138 net) locations have been identified as economic (IRR10%)…
  26. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    2014 SHALLOW GAS ACQUISITION UPDATE In the first 19 months following the 2014 Acquisition: OPEX was reduced by 6,000 14% to 7.37/boe (1.22/mcfe) from 8.54/Boe (1.42/mcfe) 5,000 TCPL Only 650,000 in capital Outage was spent in low…
  27. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    UNDERSTANDING ARO AND LLR With increasing attention on future abandonment liabilities in the oil and gas industry, it is important for investors to know how companies intend to manage their future asset retirement obligations. Two key…
  28. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    PNE LIABILITY PROFILE Over 85% of PNE Well Count Are Producing Wells Producing Well Count By Year* 120% Percent of Producing Wells 7,000 Net PNE Producing Wells Gross Net 6,000 100% Producing Wells 8,871 6,281 5,000 80%…
  29. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 29
    PNEs LLR and ARO As of September 1, 2016, PNE had an Alberta LLR Rating of 1.52 and a Saskatchewan LLR rating of 1.17 62% of licensees have a lower Alberta LLR rating than PNE As at June 30, 2016, PNE recorded an ARO of 302.0 million…
  30. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 30
    ANALYST COVERAGE The following analysts provide research report coverage on Pine Cliff: COMPANY ANALYST AltaCorp Capital Patrick ORourke Canaccord Genuity Anthony Petrucci CIBC World Markets Dave Popowich Clarus Securities Inc.…
  31. September 2016 Investor Update – Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. – slide 31
    CORPORATE INFORMATION BOARD OF DIRECTORS HEAD OFFICE STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING Gary J. Drummond 850, 1015 4th Street SW TSX Exchange George F. Fink Calgary, Alberta T2R 1J4 Trading Symbol: PNE Philip B. Hodge Phone: (403) 269-2289 Randy M.…

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