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Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream

Orlen Upstream · Oct 20, 2016 · 34 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 1
    PKN ORLEN consolidated financial results 3Q16 20 October 2016 ORLEN3Q16PKN_ORLEN
  2. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 2
    Agenda Key highlights 3Q16 Macroeconomic environment Financial and operating results Liquidity and investments Market outlook for 2016 2
  3. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 3
    Key highlights 3Q16 Value creation Financial strength EBITDA LIFO: PLN 2,2 bn Financial gearing: 18,3% Results under the pressure of weaker macro and Cash flow from operations: PLN 2,1 bn shutdowns Dividend for 2015: PLN 0,9 bn…
  4. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 4
    Agenda Key highlights 3Q16 Macroeconomic environment Financial and operating results Liquidity and investments Market outlook for 2016 4
  5. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 5
    Macro environment in 3Q16 (Y/Y) Downstream margin decrease Product slate of downstream margin Model downstream margin, USD/bbl Crack margins Refining products (USD/t) 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 Y/Y -4,5 USD/bbl Diesel 108 71 66 -39% 15,5 Gasoline…
  6. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 6
    Diesel consumption increase (Y/Y) GDP increase1 Fuel consumption (diesel, gasoline)2 Change (%) to respective quarter of the last year mt 3Q15 4Q15 1Q15 2Q16 3Q16 3Q15 3Q16 3Q15 3Q16 + 4%* 4,3 + 7% 3,4 3,33,6 3,15 3,29 3,0 3,1 0,99…
  7. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 7
    Agenda Key highlights 3Q16 Macroeconomic environment Financial and operating results Liquidity and investments Market outlook for 2016 7
  8. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 8
    Financial results in 3Q16 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 PLN m 9M15 9M16 Revenues: decrease by (-) 10% (Y/Y) to lower - 10% -17% crude oil price 23 468 19 355 21 083 68 249 56 651 Revenues EBITDA LIFO: increase by PLN 0,2 bn (Y/Y) due + 0,2 mld -…
  9. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 9
    EBITDA LIFO Segments results in 3Q16 Positive impact (Y/Y) of: PLN m weakening of PLN against foreign currencies 619 58 2 226 higher fuel and non-fuel margins in retail -149 next insurance payment related to Steam Cracker in Litvinov…
  10. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 10
    Downstream EBITDA LIFO Results impacted by macro and maintenance shutdowns EBITDA LIFO quarterly (without impairments*) PLN m + Weakening of PLN against USD by 3% and EUR by 4% (Y/Y) 3000 2712 Sales increase (Y/Y): diesel 3%, PTA 2% 2500…
  11. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 11
    Downstream operational data Lower crude oil throughput (Y/Y) due to maintenance shutdowns Sales volumes Utilization ratio mt % 9 0% Refineries 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 (y/y) 8,1 8,1 Pock 104% 94% 98% -6 pp 8 7,9 7,6 7,7 Unipetrol 85% 46% 48% -37…
  12. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 12
    Downstream Energy projects realization of industry cogeneration Strategic assumptions Building a CCGT plant in Wloclawek (463 MWe) In 3Q16 two-months hot commissioning conducted Industry cogeneration projects with the highest…
  13. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 13
    Retail EBITDA LIFO Sales volumes, fuel and non-fuel margins increase (Y/Y) EBITDA LIFO quarterly (without impairments) PLN m + Sales increase by 2% (Y/Y) 700 619 Market share increase in the Czech Republic and in 600 539 Poland (Y/Y)…
  14. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 14
    Detal operational data Sales increase by 2% (Y/Y) and further growth of non-fuel offer Sales volumes Number of petrol stations and market shares (by volume) mt , % 2,5 + 2% 2,2 2,1 2,1 2,1 2,1 2,0 2,0 2,0 2,0 2,0 1,9 1,9 1,9…
  15. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 15
    Upstream Exploration and production projects in Poland Poland 3Q16 Acquisition of 3D seismic data has been started together with a partner and production tests on exploration well on the Bieszczady project Drilling works on Edge…
  16. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 16
    Upstream Production projects in Canada Canada Assets in Canadian Alberta province are located in 5 areas: Lochend, Kaybob, Pouce Coupe, Ferrier/Strachan and Kakwa 3Q16 1 fracking (1,0 net*) was done and 3 wells (2,4 net*) have been…
  17. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 17
    Agenda Key highlights 3Q16 Macroeconomic environment Financial and operating results Liquidity and investments Market outlook for 2016 17
  18. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 18
    Cash flow Cash flow from operations Cash flow from investments PLN bn PLN bn 0,1 0,2 2,2 2,1 -0,4 0,1 -1,2 -1,1 EBITDA LIFO effect Working capital Others Net inflow CAPEX CAPEX liabilities Net outflow LIFO increase from 3Q16…
  19. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 19
    Debt Net debt and gearing Gross debt structure: PLN bn, % Financial gearing, % EUR 62%, PLN 32%, CAD 6% 28,1 Diversified financing: PLN 7,4 bn in retail bonds, corporate bonds and Eurobonds 23,6 22,4 19,8 Average maturity in 4Q20…
  20. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 20
    CAPEX Planned CAPEX in 2016 (base case scenario*) Realized CAPEX in 9M16* split by segment PLN bn, % PLN m 4,8* 400 75 2923 244 Retail 2204 Downstream 64% 5,8 10% Growth 3,3 5,1 896 Energy 26% Petrochemicals 636 Maintenance…
  21. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 21
    Agenda Key highlights 3Q16 Macroeconomic environment Financial and operating results Liquidity and investments Market outlook for 2016 21
  22. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 22
    Market outlook in 2016 Macroeconomic environment Economy Brent crude oil price decrease of yearly average comparing to GDP outlook for Poland: 3,2% in 2016, 3,5% in 2017 and 3,3% 2015, mainly due to high crude oil supply. in 2018 - NBP…
  23. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 23
    Thank You for Your attention For more information on PKN ORLEN, please contact Investor Relations Department: phone: + 48 24 256 81 80 fax: + 48 24 367 77 11 e-mail: irorlen.pl www.orlen.pl
  24. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 24
    Agenda Supporting slides 24 24
  25. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 25
    Results split by quarters PLN m 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 (Y/Y) 9M15 9M16 Revenues 23 468 19 355 21 083 -10% 68 249 56 651 -17% EBITDA LIFO* 2 060 2 594 2 226 8% 6 872 6 757 -2% Effect LIFO -334 409 87 - -402 -441 -10% EBITDA* 1 726 3 003 2 313…
  26. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 26
    Results split by segments 3Q16 Corporate Downstream Retail Upstream Total PLN m Functions EBITDA LIFO 1 698 619 58 -149 2 226 Effect LIFO 87 - - - 87 EBITDA 1 785 619 58 -149 2 313 Depretiation -328 -99 -85 -25 -537 EBIT 1 457 520 -27…
  27. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 27
    EBITDA LIFO split by segments PLN m 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 (Y/Y) 9M15 9M16 Downstream 1 655 2 291 1 698 3% 6 120 5 744 -6% Retail 539 441 619 15% 1 170 1 361 16% Upstream 10 42 58 480% 37 127 243% Corporate functions -144 -180 -149 -3% -455…
  28. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 28
    Results - split by companies Others and 3Q16 ORLEN consolidation PLN m PKN ORLEN S.A. Unipetrol 2) Lietuva 2) corrections Total Revenues 13 905 3 710 3 695 -227 21 083 EBITDA LIFO 1 310 307 182 427 2 226 Effect LIFO1) 239 -85 -62…
  29. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 29
    ORLEN Lietuva Group USD m 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 Y/Y 9M15 9M16 Revenues 1 057 882 949 -10% 3 185 2 494 -22% EBITDA LIFO 29 72 48 66% 269 202 -25% EBITDA 54 85 31 -43% 271 175 -35% EBIT 51 82 28 -45% 263 165 -37% Net result 50 77 14 -72% 195 142…
  30. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 30
    UNIPETROL Group CZK m 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 Y/Y 9M15 9M16 Revenues 29 452 20 551 23 110 -22% 85 950 61 347 -29% EBITDA LIFO 3 597 4 588 1 936 -46% 10 780 6 875 -36% EBITDA 3 066 4 266 1 398 -54% 10 643 6 224 -42% EBIT 2 589 3 798 918…
  31. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 31
    Macro environment in 4Q16 (Y/Y) Downstream margin increase Product slate of downstream margin Model downstream margin, USD/bbl Crack margins Refining products (USD/t) 4Q15 3Q16 4Q16* Q/Q Y/Y 15,5 +1,2 USD/bbl Diesel 85 66 90 36% 6%…
  32. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 32
    Macro environment in 4Q16 (Y/Y) Refining margin and B/U differential increase Petrochemical margin decrease Model refining margin and Brent/Ural differential, USD/bbl Model petrochemical margin, EUR/t differential margin 11,4 + 1,0…
  33. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 33
    Production data 3Q15 2Q16 3Q16 Y/Y Q/Q 9M15 9M16 Total crude oil throughput in PKN ORLEN (kt) 8 332 6 938 7 532 -10% 9% 23 133 21 839 -6% Utilization in PKN ORLEN 95% 79% 86% -9 pp 7 pp 91% 83% -8 pp Refinery in Poland 1 Processed…
  34. Q3 2016 Financial Results – Orlen Upstream – slide 34
    Dictionary Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL…

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