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Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd

Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd · Nov 11, 2016 · 31 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 1
    PAINTED PONY Investor November TSX: PPY PETROLEUM LTD. Presentation 14, 2016
  2. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 2
    Why do we do what we do PPY embraces new ideas and technologies. It is in our DNA, it is part Innovation of who we are Win / Win Approaching all dealings with partners, shareholders, suppliers, and Relationships stakeholders…
  3. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 3
    Corporate Profile TSX Ticker Symbol PPY Daily Production (1) 240 MMcfe/day Daily Trading Volume (30 day trading average) 1.1 million shares per day (40,000 boe/d) Shares 100 million Debt (3) 208.7 million Outstanding…
  4. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 4
    Significant Growth Montney Growth Production of approximately 240 MMcfe/d (40,000 boe/d) representing a 156% increase over fourth quarter 2015 average daily production of 93.6 MMcfe/d (15,604 boe/d) Fully funded with funds flow…
  5. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 5
    The Montney Trend Location, Location, Location PPYs Montney Sweet Spot is: a dolomitic siltstone with higher quality reservoir than a shale 4x thicker than the Marcellus at greater than 300m (984 ft) 300 meters (approximately…
  6. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 6
    Production Growth Impressive and Consistent 4,221 6,589 8,693 13,192 23,000 48,000 Annual 15,604 boe/d boe/d boe/d Average boe/d boe/d boe/d boe/d boe/d 450 350 Annual Average MMcfe per Day per 1 Million Shares Annual…
  7. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 7
    Proposed 5-Year Development Model Infrastructure Build Drives Production Growth PPY Owned Facility PPY Owned Facility 50 MMcf/d Expansion 120,000 80 MMcf/d 690 MMcfe/d Expansion AltaGas Townsend Facility (115,000 boe/d) (Phase 3)…
  8. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 8
    Growth Plan Increasing Cash Flow from Production Growth 690 MMcfe/d Capital Development Program (November 2016) (115,000 boe/d) 600 700 Annual Average Daily Forecast Production Free Cash Flow 600 MMcfe/d 650 Annual Average…
  9. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 9
    Commodity Price Sensitivity Balance Sheet Strength Maintained 3.25 Natural Gas NYMEX (USD) 2.25 Natural Gas NYMEX (USD) November 1, 2016 Strip Pricing YE Net Debt : Q4 Annualized Cash Flow (WTI and FX at November 1, 2016…
  10. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 10
    Increasing Cash Flow per Mcfe Driving Cash Costs Lower; Increasing Liquid Yields G & A Costs per Mcfe Operating Costs per Mcfe Liquids Production Operating Cost ( / Mcfe) 0.40 66% 1.00 48% 6,000 G&A Cost ( / Mcfe) Liquids…
  11. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 11
    Strong Cash Flow per Mcfe Positive Earnings Forecasted for 2017 Low Full-Cycle Costs Forecasted 3.50 to Generate Top Line Revenue 3.19/Mcfe Positive 1.50 Earnings in 2017 3.00 at Nov 1, 2016 0.55/Mcfe Strip Pricing Cash…
  12. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 12
    Prudent Risk Management Financial Hedges 400 AECO Fixed Price Hedges (/Mcf) Station 2 Fixed Price Hedges (/Mcf) Expected Average Natural Gas Production (MMcf/d) 350 AECO Call Option (/Mcf) Unhedged 300 250 Financial…
  13. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 13
    Pricing Market Diversification 35% Sold on Natural Gas Production Volumes (MMcf/d) Spot Pricing in Station 2 Spot 65% Sold on Several Markets 28 Fixed Price AECO Spot MMcf/d Index Contracts (13%) 31 (weighted average Sumas…
  14. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 14
    Sales Egress Optionality Firm Transportation Supports Increasing Production Volumes Selling 45 MMcf/d onto AECO as at Oct 1, 2016 Selling 18 MMcf/d at Sumas sales hub (US/Canada border) starting November 1, 2016 Alberta B.C.…
  15. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 15
    Land Position Premium Assets in the Optimum Location LANDS PAINTED PONY PETROLEUM Large contiguous land base with year-round access PETRONAS SHELL CANADA 199 net sections (127,354 net acres) SUNCOR ENERGY INC OTHER 2nd Largest…
  16. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 16
    Facilities Key Infrastructure AltaGas Townsend Facility: PPY Phase 1 Operating Operated Alaska Highway West Blair Phase 2 October 2017 (25 MMcf/d) Blair PPY Major shallow-cut facility Operated Daiber (50 MMcf/d) 198 MMcf/d…
  17. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 17
    2015 Reserves Deep, Long-Term, Underlying Value At December 31, 2015(1): 2P Reserves 4.6 Tcfe 7.5 2015 2P times Recycle Ratio (F&D) Increase in 2P Reserves from December 31, 2014 (1) 57% 1.5 2015 1P times Recycle Ratio (F&D)…
  18. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 18
    Canadian Natural Gas 2P Reserves As at Dec 31, 2015 49% Reduction 2015 Cost of Supply in FDC/Mcfe 33% Increase in 2P Undeveloped Reserves per well (13-15) 7.5x Recycle Ratio (1.23 Netback / 0.16 F&D) 10 1.48 2013 FDC/Mcfe (1)…
  19. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 19
    Reserves Growth Impressive and Consistent 136.9 191.1 290.3 488.4 768.0 MMboe Reserves MMboe MMboe MMboe MMboe 5 60 4.6 Assuming Enterprise Value 50 4 10.24/sh 46.1 (8.50/sh equity + 1.74/sh debt) Reserves per Share…
  20. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 20
    Reserves Growth / Cost Reduction Bigger and Cheaper PPYs reserves per share continues to increase while cost of supply per Mcfe Reserve continues to decline Finding & Growth Development Proved Plus Probable 5.0 50 Costs Proved…
  21. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 21
    Well Performance Top Performing Wells Among Montney Producers PPY well rates double the rates 275 of average for 7 140 industry Painted Pony (6.2 MMcf/d) 6 120 2013-2014 Average Peak Month Rate (MMcf/d) 5 100 4…
  22. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 22
    Technology Parallel-Pair Completion Using Open Hole Ball-Drop Plug and Perf Completion Open Hole Ball-Drop Single Well Ball-Drop Packer Production Increase at No Cost Increase Open Hole 300-350 m Ball-Drop Inter-well…
  23. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 23
    Dramatic Increase in Capital Efficiencies Blair-Daiber High-Rate, Liquids-Enhanced A 72% increase in 6-month cumulative Plan to drill 20 production has significantly increased net wells and capital efficiencies. complete 18 net…
  24. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 24
    2016 Development Plan & Economics Townsend Liquids-Rich Sweet Spot A 100% increase in 6-month cumulative production (1.0 Bcfe vs. 0.5 Bcfe; 9.5 Bcfe Management Type C Plan to drill 11 vs. Plug & Perf Type Well) coupled with a…
  25. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 25
    Development Economics Price Sensitivity (Half Cycle) 300% Stronger Liquids Pricing Boost Townsend Returns from 60 bbls/MMcf 250% Liquids-Rich (9.5 Bcfe Single Well Ball-Drop Type Well) Townsend Wells 200% Blair-Daiber IRR…
  26. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 26
    Capital Expenditures 2017 Remaining 2016 Capital Spending Forecast Period Capital Drilling Completions Q4 34 million (e) 9 net wells (e) 8 net completions (e) 2016 213 million (e) 36 net wells (e) 38 net completions (e) 2017…
  27. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 27
    Pony Points Checking Off All of the Boxes Financing In Place Top Well Performance Low Well Costs Well Hedged Rapid Growth Lowest Royalty Framework Processing Capacity to Support Growth Firm Transportation Massive Reserve Base…
  28. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 28
    AltaGas Strategic Alliance Deal with People You Trust in a Win / Win Alliance Liquids-Rich Natural Gas Processing Provides for the development of essential liquids-rich gas processing facilities Existing AltaGas PNG…
  29. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 29
    Reserves Growth Per Share Growth Comparison 9 80% 69% 2015 BOE per 1,000 Shares 2014 BOE per 1,000 Shares 8 2P Reserves per Share Growth (2015 over 2014) 60% 7.7 7 2P Reserves per Share Growth 40% 6 22% 18% BOE per…
  30. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 30
    Proposed West Coast LNG Projects Proposed LNG Projects Capacity Exxon Imperial 4.0 Bcf/d WCC LNG Shell Petrochina, Mitsubishi, KOGAS 3.2 Bcf/d LNG Canada Nexen / CNOOC Inpex, JGC 3.1 Bcf/d Aurora Liquefied Natural Gas Ltd.…
  31. Q3 2016 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd – slide 31
    Corporate Overview Auditor KPMG LLP Evaluation Engineers GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. Banks The Toronto-Dominion Bank The Bank of Nova Scotia Alberta Treasury Branches Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce HSBC Bank Canada Wells…

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