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November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited

Oil Search Limited · Nov 30, 2016 · 60 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 1
    Investor Field Trip November 2016 Oil Search Limited ARBN 055 079 868 ASX: OSH POMSoX: OSH US ADR: OISHY
  2. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 2
    Presentation Agenda Welcome PNG Production Gas Development Exploration Financial Overview & Strategy Update Social Responsibility Summary Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 3
  3. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 3
    Field Trip Route Hela Enga Western Muruk Highlands Jiwaka Madang Papua New Guinea Hides HGCP Ambua Lodge Moro Airstrip Chimbu Southern Eastern Ridge Camp Highlands Highlands Morobe Gobe Elk / Antelope Western Herd Base…
  4. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 4
    Well positioned for future growth Strong production base from high quality, low cost assets with low sustaining capital requirements: Trending towards upper end of 2016 production guidance of 28 30 mmboe Generating positive cash…
  5. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 5
    Core strategies have delivered long term share price stability in volatile market 12.00 OSH ASX 200 ENERGY BRENT CRUDE 17 Nov 2016: Rebased to OSH Share Price (A/sh) 10.00 A6.79/Sh 8,461 US46.54/bbl 8.00 6.00 1 Jan…
  6. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 6
    PNG Production Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 7
  7. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 7
    PNG LNG Project continues to produce well in excess of nameplate capacity Annualised production to end Oct 2016 of 7.9 MTPA (Oct PNG LNG Project Fields Hides wells 16 8.2 MTPA), compared to nameplate capacity of 6.9 OSH Operated MTPA…
  8. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 8
    PNG LNG sales Full contractual volumes of 6.6 MTPA being taken by long term contract customers (TEPCO, Osaka Gas, Sinopec, CPC) Consistent demand for spot volumes, reflecting: High heating value gas well suited to Asian reticulation…
  9. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 9
    PNG LNGs competitive advantages Conventional LNG project, tried and tested, highly reliable technology, with very high uptime Substantial proven reserves base, with upside through recertification Qingdao LNG currently underway…
  10. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 10
    Associated Gas Acceleration (AGA) significant value opportunity for oil fields and PNG LNG AGA key value drivers are acceleration of competitive gas supply option for PNG LNG while enhancing efficiency of oil and gas operations 400…
  11. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 11
    Optimising production from mature oil fields Production continues to perform at high end of long term forecast Since taking over oil field operatorship in 2003, OSH has drilled 44 development wells with 85% success rate In past five…
  12. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 12
    Oil field performance 2016/17 Oil production in 2016 full year expected to materially exceed forecast at beginning of year: Strong production from Usano Main and Hedinia Digimu as well as from Moran early in year, with M1X and M6X…
  13. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 13
    Production Outlook 2016/17 2016 production expected to be at upper end of OSH Net Production (mmboe)1,2 35 28 30 mmboe guidance range: PNG LNG (T1 + T2) 28 - 30 6.3 6.7 mmboe from operated oil fields and Hides 30 29.25 Hides GTE…
  14. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 14
    Gas Development Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 15
  15. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 15
    Delivering OSHs gas strategy of two new LNG trains with further expansion upside PNG LNG Project has established PNG as reliable producer of high heating value gas that provides buyers with geographical Co-operation between our two…
  16. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 16
    10 tcf 2C gas resource in Elk-Antelope and Pnyang, underpins two trains Foundation PNG LNG fields 1P / 2P recertification 12 underway, to supply increased T1/T2 capacity 10 Certification of Elk-Antelope completed in July 8 2016 by…
  17. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 17
    Potential for upside in PRL 15 Additional prospects in PRL 15 have potential to underpin third expansion train Near term upside from Antelope 7/ Antelope Deep: PRL 15 Antelope 7 spudded early November, to test poorly imaged western…
  18. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 18
    Potential for upside in NW Highlands PPL 402 Muruk 1 (PPL 402) exploration well spudded 2 November Operated by OSH in co-venture with ExxonMobil JUHA NORTH Muruk 1 Exploration prospect on-trend with Hides and north-east of Juha PDL…
  19. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 19
    Cooperative LNG expansion agenda provides opportunity to maximise value OSH and its co-venturers driving towards 18 coordinated development: 16 Delivers cost synergy 14 LNG Export (MTPA) 12 Optimises timing of spend 10…
  20. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 20
    Cooperative LNG expansion examples. Value prize will incentivise all stakeholders Unitisation of Elk-Antelope and Pnyang E T5 T6 X PRL3 P A U T3 T4 N N I S T PRL15 I O T1 T2 N TARIFF Coordinated separate projects…
  21. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 21
    Cost benefits for LNG expansion integration, with material opex and capex savings Sharing of utilities, Reduction of overall Construction of spur power generation, tank storage instead of new jetty & ExxonMobil and Total supportive of…
  22. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 22
    Global cost reduction trend Material reductions evidenced in development costs globally High expectations for cost savings: Chevron have reported rate reductions of 20-50% in major drilling and completion spend categories Majors…
  23. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 23
    LNG expansion well placed for market capture 600 Global LNG Supply-Demand Balance 500 400 mtpa 300 200 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037…
  24. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 24
    Asian LNG demand forecast to continue to grow strongly Asia continues to be Europe dominant market 40 88 99 New markets have begun to emerge, Americas 2016 2020 2030 Asia including through deployment of 182 221 310 18 19 21…
  25. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 25
    North East Asian LNG market will continue to be key for PNG Quality Asian buyers require volumes post 2020 that can more than underpin 8 MTPA expansion from PNG PNG proximity ideal for market capture of North East Asia buyer…
  26. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 26
    Summary Delivering OSHs gas strategy Cooperative development agenda Key stakeholders ExxonMobil, Total and Government OSH well positioned to play key role to ensure optimum development Material PNG resource base for at least two…
  27. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 27
    Exploration Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 28
  28. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 28
    Revitalising acreage and drilling programmes PNG-wide prospectivity review completed in 2015/16 to underpin long term exploration strategy 60% of PNGs petroleum resource remains to be discovered. 7 billion barrels oil equivalent,…
  29. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 29
    2016/17 exploration / appraisal programme targeting 4-6 tcf, 3 key hubs, multiple play types 1. NW Highlands Hub PPL 402 - Muruk 1 Near field exploration APDL13 Pnyang South 2* activities targeting 2-3 tcf 2. Gulf / Forelands Hub…
  30. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 30
    Systematically enhancing PNG portfolio OSHs 2015/16 prospectivity review has identified and high graded several new focus areas and led to: 14 new licence applications Six potential farm-ins Rebalancing portfolio risk exposure via…
  31. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 31
    Multiple opportunities on trend and adjacent to Antelope in Gulf (Aure Foldbelt) Under-explored region on-trend with Elk-Antelope: Papua New Guinea Seismic & aero gravity defined number of near field exploration opportunities Close…
  32. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 32
    Appraisal of material upside in existing Foreland fields Appraisal to define 2C resource and near field exploration PRL8 PRL9 opportunities (Kimu North): 2016 seismic acquisition / remapping upgraded resource Barikewa potential…
  33. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 33
    Offshore play types 11. Miocene reef play: Uramu, Pasca, Antelope and other seismically defined but undrilled reefs 22. Eocene reefal banks play: New opportunity defined by existing 3D 1 seismic with prolific global analogues 33.…
  34. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 34
    Offshore - shallow water Gulf of Papua High quality 3D seismic grids Number of materially significant multi tcf game changer opportunities OSH operated licences Overpressured Eocene-Miocene Pliocene-Pleistocene Papua New Guinea…
  35. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 35
    Offshore - deep water Gulf of Papua Frontier basin with no wells Water depth 1,500-2,000 metres 2000 m Constrained by regional scale grid of 2D seismic data Multiple plays and number of significant opportunities identified,…
  36. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 36
    Exploration and appraisal programme Location Licence Activity Location Licence Activity 4Q16 NW Highlands PPL 402 Muruk 1Q18 Onshore Gulf PRL 14 2D Seismic* Onshore Gulf PRL 15 Ant 7 /Deep Onshore Gulf PRL 15 Ant South* 1Q17 NW…
  37. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 37
    Exploration summary 5 Hides is largest fields Recoverable Volume (bn boe) Significant exploration upside remains in PNG: Cumulative Discovered P50 found to date 4 Many future fields of all sizes remain YTF 40 tcf & 500…
  38. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 38
    Power Initiatives Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 39
  39. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 39
    Oil Search Power: Rationale and Strategy Power a significant development challenge in PNG OSH has mandate to find PNG power solutions in support of Governments goals for electrification Focus is on viable, scalable and competitive…
  40. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 40
    Markham Valley Biomass Existing underutilised 18,000 ha dedicated 15MWe Biomass IPP Power to consumers via grasslands plantation (Boiler + Steam turbine) existing transmission lines Plantations established on Log Storage Yard…
  41. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 41
    Highlands Integrated Power Work underway since 2013 Large proportion of PNGs potential electricity consumers live in proximity to Ramu Grid: 2.3 million people live within 10km 3.0 million people live within 20km Initial demand from…
  42. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 42
    Other power opportunities: Domestic LNG Commercialising discovered-but-undeveloped gas resources from Gulf, Western and Highlands Provinces Market capture is key: Price needs to be locally competitive, with customers looking for…
  43. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 43
    Finance Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 44
  44. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 44
    Robust cash flow and balance sheet to fund development activities in capital efficient manner Liquidity (USm) Forecast 2016 production costs…
  45. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 45
    Debt profile Total debt of US4.08bn, representing OSH share of debt drawn under PNG LNG Project finance facility: Indicative Annual Repayment profile OSH guarantee to LNG lenders terminated at Financial Completion, debt now…
  46. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 46
    Financing approach for expansion Unitised two train development facilitates joint Robust forecast liquidity and equity funding project financing: capacity: Structure mirrors PNG LNG Phased development of Antelope and Pnyang fields…
  47. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 47
    Capital investment Outlook 2000 2016 capital cost guidance (US240 275m) 1750 Exploration & Evaluation: 1500 US165 180m Development: US25 30m 1250 USm Production: US40 50m 1000 Other PP&E: US10 15m 750 500 2017 budgets…
  48. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 48
    2016 Guidance Summary Production 2016 Guidance 2017 Direction Oil Search operated (PNG Oil and Gas) 6.3 6.7 mmboe PNG LNG Project LNG 95 98 bcf Liquids 3.3 3.5 mmbbl Total PNG LNG Project1 22 23 mmboe Total Production1 28 30 mmboe…
  49. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 49
    Cash flow priorities remain unchanged Available Cashflows After scheduled debt servicing, sustaining capital expenditure and commitments Dividends Payment in accordance with proportional dividend policy (35-50% of core NPAT)…
  50. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 50
    Strategy Refresh Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 51
  51. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 51
    Strategy Refresh OSH undertook major review of corporate strategy in 2014 which identified that top quartile returns for shareholders could be delivered by competitive LNG expansion in PNG Undertaking focused refresh of strategy:…
  52. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 52
    Social Responsibility Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 53
  53. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 53
    Helping preserve a stable operating environment OSH plays unique role in PNG: Based on 87 years of operating in-country, unprecedented relationships Activities help reduce risks inherent in operating in a developing country as well…
  54. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 54
    Contributing to long-term sustainability in PNG Responding to PNGs development priorities through the Oil Search Foundation: Oil Search Health Foundation operating since 2011. Relaunched in 2015 to include Leadership and Education,…
  55. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 55
    Social Responsibility Video Oil Search Investor Field Trip 21 - 25 November 2016 56
  56. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 56
    PNG election timeframe 'Your Choice, Protect the Democracy - Election 2017' Timing PNG Major Political Party's as at Nov Seats % of Last sitting of Parliament 2016* held seats People's National Congress Party 27 24.3% Friday, 5…
  57. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 57
    Summary Downstream integration of Papua LNG and PNG LNG projects de-risked by ExxonMobils bid for InterOil: Total and ExxonMobil have expressed willingness to work together to develop optimal outcomes for LNG development Benefits of…
  58. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 58
    Appendix 1: Key metrics Production (mmboe) Core & Underlying NPAT Core NPAT NPAT (USM) 40 600 534 29.3 500 30 360 22.53 400 353 19.3 20 300 206 206 176 153 200 10 6.4 6.7 100 26 26 -39 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016 -100…
  59. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 59
    Appendix 2: Safety a key priority Total Recordable Incident Rate Lost Time Injury Frequency 5 4.7 OSH IOGP 0.75 Per million hours worked 0.50 0.59 0.49 Per million Hours worked 4 3.9 0.24 0.25 3.1 0.00 3 2.9 2.7 0.00…
  60. November 2016 Investor Presentation – Oil Search Limited – slide 60
    Appendix 3: Relative TSR performance to 30 Sep 2016 Total Shareholder Return (%) 200 ASX 200 Accumulation Index 150 139 ASX 200 Energy Accumulation Index 100 OSH 75 % TSR 50 33 35 21 3 0 0 -50 -42 -47 -100 1 YEAR…

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