ECOPETROL Resilient and Transitioning to Overcome Growth Challenges October 2016 0
Agenda 1. Key Highlights 2. 2015: Navigating the Low Crude Oil Price Environment 3. 2016: Transitioning to Growth 4. 2017-2020: Business Plan Update 2
Key Highlights Decreasing lifting cost: 2014: USD11.23/bl, 2015: USD7.39/bl and LTM(1): USD6.1/bl World-class operator of 80% developed proved reserve base (total oil and gas reserves: mature assets and a national 1.8 bn barrels as…
Proven Reserves 2015 (1) 2015 Balance Million of barrels of oil equivalent (MMBOE) Net Addition: 16 MMBOE 2,084 -251 -404 275 47 -1 1,849 154 -55 1P 1P 2014 2014Production Efecto Price Precio(3) Effect(3) Additions(4)…
Agenda 1. Key Highlights 2. 2015: Navigating the Low Crude Oil Price Environment 3. 2016: Transitioning to Growth 4. 2017-2020: Business Plan Update 6
Sustained Lifting and Dilution Cost Reduction Enhances Heavy Crude Profitability Key drivers for lifting reduction: Lifting cost USD/barrel 8 Optimized subsurface and above ground (18%) maintenance 6 Increased self generation with…
Dilution Costs in heavy and extra heavy crude as structural reduction example Optimization Emphasis Dilution Optimization Strategies Dilution factor decrease (% diluent / Normalized heavy crude volume) Viscosity: 200 cSt 300 cSt 405…
Upstream Optimization Achievements Drilling Days in the Companys Main Fields Significant drilling-days reduction 34 (44%) 36 (42%) 26 26 21 Standardized designs and operations 19 14 12 14 Cutting-edge drilling technology…
Initiatives Aimed to Increase Efficiency and Reduce Cost in Down & Midstream Refining cash cost(1) Downstream: USD/barrel Strategies for optimization in (40%) maintenance and support services 7.2 4.4 3.5 4.3 Renegotiation of…
Cost Efficiencies: Opportunities Realized since 2015 2015 Savings* 1H 2016 Additional USD Millions Savings USD Millions 1,009 Fixed and Variable 192 214 Costs 172 Operational 68 Expenses 213 410 53 8 Total Savings 260…
Capital Discipline: Capex Adjustment since 2015 with Significant Cuts CAPEX 2011 - 2016 2014 - 2016 USD Billions % (25%) (66%) Production (76%) 9.4 9.2 8.7 0.5 8.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 Exploration (80%) 0.2 0.0 1.7 1.0 1.6…
Agenda 1. Key Highlights 2. 2015: Navigating the Low Crude Oil Price Environment 3. 2016: Transitioning to Growth 4. 2017-2020: Business Plan Update
Since 2014, cash flow focus has been the pillar of a solid financial basis 1. Challenging price 2. Ambitious saving 3. Efficient cost scenario targets reductions Brent USD/bl USD (Bn) COP (Bn) 70 10 9.1 65 Target 2020 +38% USD…
Exploration: Pursuing high-value and quality prospects Basin Potential Main Countries Recent Exploratory Discoveries and 2016 Activity ECOPETROL AMERICA OFF-SHORE COLOMBIA ON-SHORE COLOMBIA 2Q 2016: APPRAISAL 2014: ORCA discovery…
Refining: Completion of Reficar's start up Start up Stabilization Optimal Operation Jul/2016 2H 2016 2017 The start up of the 34 units of the modernization project was completed in July Begin of the stabilization stage and…
Downstream: Improved Refining Capacity; High-Value Products and Clean Fuels Reficar 165 KBD 3% Processing 100 MBD of Heavy 2% Crude, Extra Heavy Crude and Sour 35% Propylene 70% local crude and 30% LPG imported crude…
2016: Ongoing Transformation into a more Efficient and Competitive Company Focus on capital discipline and cash flow protection Capital Discipline 2016 CAPEX reduction Efficiency Focus Ecopetrol Groups savings amounted USD260…
Optimizations: Reduction in Direct and Indirect Employees Ecopetrols Employees* 53,600 (47%) 39,000 28,400 44,450 30,300 19,700 9,150 8,700 8,700 2014 2015 2Q 2016 Direct Employees Indirect Employees Ecopetrols total…
2016 Cost-efficient Financing Strategy: 85% of Requirements Fulfilled Outstanding Debt 2016 Financing Needs USD million USD million 1,500 - 1,900 Company Total (%) Ecopetrol 13,489 75% Remaining Financing Reficar 2,915 16%…
2016-2017 Divestment Program: Portfolio Rotation to Generate Cash 2Q 2016 Divestments (COP Bn) Council of Release of First Second Stage Ministers Decree Stage 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 2017 348 377 Divestment in Minor Fields…
Agenda 1. Key Highlights 2. 2015: Navigating the Low Crude Oil Price Environment 3. 2016: Transitioning to Growth 4. 2017-2020: Business Plan Update 22
Ecopetrols 2020 Corporate Strategy Pillars Cash flow focus & cost efficiency Transformation Program Reserves & Strict Capital Production Discipline growth 23
Improving efficiency and operational indicators (2015-2016) Upstream Midstream OPEX Transport maintenance USD -20% -21% cost (COP/bl) 230 MM Fluid treatment cost -12% -11% -60 -40 -20 0 (COP/bl) -19% Energy cost (COP/KWH) USD…
Capital Discipline: Lower investments while achieving goals CAPEX Financial strength Projects Reduction 3.0 to 3.5 25% between Gross Debt/EBITDA 100% units of the 2014 and 2015 ratio New Cartagena Refinery in 54% between…
Transformation Model Changes in leadership, procurement & surroundings relations Leadership Procurement Surroundings 18 new Senior New procurement model New model for Management shared members, out of 20 3400 reduction in…
Competitive Growth Operational excellence and additional efficiencies by 2020 Efficiencies through the Transformation plan(1) (USD Bn) +130% 1,5 1,2 1,4 1,1 0,7 0,8 1,1 0,3 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Target…
Profitable production growth Flexible investment plan focused on Upstream Investment level optimization Focus on Upstream vs. Mid & Down Ecopetrol Total Capex, 2017-20 (USD Bn) Capex distribution by segment (%) 31% 85% 30 100 24…
Business plan secures the companys profitability and sustainability at 50 USD/bl Planning the Strategy at 50 USD/bl Brent (USD/bl) 90 Previous Plan 80 80 70 70 70 70 An increase in prices is not 60 contemplated 50 50 50 50 in…
Profitable production growth 760 Mboed in 2020 at 50 USD/bl, upturn is subject to price performance Growth between 6% and 22% Profitable barrels Production (Mboed) EBITDA/barrel at 760 Mboed (USD/bl) 22% 328% 1,000 16% +6% 870…
Profitable production growth Current assets portfolio is the base for 2020 production target Production breakdown 2020 and comparison at 2016 (mboed) 1.000 +6% +9% 760 830 800 49 49 715 18 26 39 69 314 600 346 400 94%…
Profitable production growth Proven ability to add production and reserves through Recovery Factor La Cira Infantas Mid-Magdalena Valley Partnership 70000 Crude Rate (BOD) Infill and water injection recovery program 60000…
Profitable production growth Focus on main development and production assets Rubiales Castilla Infill Wells Infill Wells USD 1.400 MM USD 790 MM investment towards investment towards 2020 2020 Quifa Cao Sur Infill Wells…
Profitable production growth Colombias offshore is the best long term gas supply opportunity 34
Estimated reserves growth Financial flexibility will allow further development in the Americas Offshore GOM-US Offshore Colombia Onshore Mature Fields Colombia (Mid-term) Latam Off-shore Mexico (Mid-longterm) Ecuador…
Profitable growth in Midstream and Downstream Cash flow generation and profit maximization Operational excellence represents USD 0.7 Bn of impact in EBITDA by 2020 720 Transportation: Investment rationalization and profit 240…
Midstream, a cash flow source The expansive cycle has been fulfilled Capacity Main Pipelines Thousand barrels per day (mbd) 1,445 1,276 1,301 1,310 Santa Marta 1,096 Cartagena Coveas 307 307 352 385 385 Ayacucho…
Financial Sustainability Groups viability at 50 USD/bl and upside with higher prices Sources and Uses of cash, 2017-2020 (USD Bn) 25 21.3 16.5 20 15 10 4.0 4.8 5 0 Sources: Uses: Available cash Additional cash…
Financial strength Reduce Debt/Ebitda and preserve Investment Grade rating Maintain strict Reduce Capital Discipline financial leverage 4 Focus on profitable projects 3.6 3,0 3 Divestment of non-strategic assets 2 40%…
2017-2020 Business plan : Seven main pillars Segments 40 Main Pillars