Agenda 8:30 Introductions Berk Sumen Adapting and Evolving Jason Skehar Visibility to Value Creation Bruce Jensen Dean Kobelka Asset Portfolio Bruce Jensen Wayne Merkel Colin Ranger Scott Wilhelm Scott Shimek 10:00 Summary…
Todays Objectives 1 Illustrate the steps we have taken to adapt and evolve in this environment 2 Provide clarity with our strategy and visibility for our near term development plans 3 Demonstrate the quality of our assets and…
Identity This is Bonavista: Our leadership team is We are ALIGNED with our EXPERIENCED: shareholders: average tenure with 8% insider ownership, 4x Bonavista of 13 years our peer group average We have a FOCUSED asset base:…
Experience & Alignment Board of Directors: Keith MacPhail Jason Skehar Ian Brown Michael Kanovsky Sue Lee Executive Chairman President and Chief Executive Officer Independent Director Lead Director, Independent Director…
Experience & Alignment Leadership team: Jason Skehar Bruce Jensen Dean Kobelka Wayne Merkel President and Chief Executive Officer Chief Operating Officer Vice President, Finance and Vice President, Exploration Chief Financial…
Adapting and Evolving Focused on two core areas: Deep Basin 23,500 boe/d production Edmonton (Q4/2016E) 90% natural gas Deep Basin 560 gross locations in key play inventory West Central 45,800 boe/d production (Q4/2016E)…
Adapting and Evolving Concentrating our portfolio through focused E&D capital programs: E&D Capital ( millions) Production (boe/d) 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10%…
Adapting and Evolving Concentrating our portfolio through acquisitions and divestitures: A&D transaction value ( millions) A&D Production (boe/d) 300 12 664 mm total 21,900 boe/d Acquired core assets at 30,300 200 8 100 4…
Adapting and Evolving Improving our costs to develop and produce our assets: Finding & Development Costs (/boe) * Production Addition Efficiency (/boepd) 15.00 34,000 56% 32,000 59% 30,000 12.50 28,000 26,000 24,000 10.00…
Adapting and Evolving Improving our cost of operations with a focus on our margins: 38% reduction in op costs Margin maintained despite 37% erosion in realized prices 14.00 80% 40 12.00 70% 35 60% 30 10.00 Operating…
Adapting and Evolving Reducing our carbon footprint: Total gas flared (mmcf/year) Total gas vented, Alberta (mmcf/year) 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2012 2013 2014…
Adapting and Evolving 2016 - Achieving our goals: Improve financial flexibility 2016E net debt reduction of 430 million Demonstrate sustainability January 2016 to January 2017 production maintained with ZERO capital spent…
2016 Achieving our Goals Improved financial flexibility: In February, we forecasted: 4.9 Net debt / FFO * Year End Net Debt 1.20B 27% The picture today: 2.9 Net Debt / FFO * Year End Net Debt 881MM 17 * Fourth quarter…
2016 Achieving our Goals Improved financial flexibility - 33% net debt reduction in 2016: 2016 opening net debt 430 million 1,311 Net Debt ( millions) 105 mm of excess funds from operations* 167 mm of net asset dispositions…
2016 Priorities Financial Flexibility Current debt (total and senior) position*: Interest Rate:Senior Notes 4.1% Bank Debt 3.2% Average Term: 5.0 years Senior Notes (CDN) 20 Hedging: 74% USD notes hedged at 0.76 CDN/USD 200…
2016 Achieving our Goals Sustained production with zero capital spent: 80,000 January YoY production within 1% 75,000 70,000 +5% Production (boe/d) 65,000 0 capital 60,000 55,000 50,000 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16…
2016 Achieving our Goals Enhanced well performance - drilling better wells: 700 42% 600 improvement over Average Well Production (boe/d) 500 2015 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month 2015 Q3…
2016 Achieving our Goals Well cost reductions contribute to efficiency gains IP12 half cycle improves 38% in 2016: 4,500 2014 4,000 15,600/boed Average Cost Per Well (000s) 3,500 3,000 2,500 2015 2,000…
2016 Achieving our Goals Cash cost improvements create incremental funds flow to be deployed in 2017: 11.00 1.38/boe x 71,500 boe/d (January 2017F) 36.0 10.50 = mm/year 10.00 1.38/boe Cash costs (/boe) 36.0…
2016 Achieving our Goals Sustainability cost to maintain production: Minimum AECO price required 80,000 to maintain production spending 100% of funds from 70,000 operations 60,000 2.10/GJ Production (boe/d) 1.70/GJ 50,000…
Visibility to Value Creation Strategy: the challenge Strengthen the balance sheet Advance the economic quality of our portfolio through focus and innovation Design a sustainable investment platform that will result in…
Visibility to Value Creation Strategy: the solution Production CAGR of 10% from 2016 through to 2019 2019 Net Debt/FFO of 2.0 times * 90%-95% payout ratio 24% of key play inventory drilled in 3 years 27 * Assumes strip pricing…
Visibility to Value Creation 2017 capital allocation: Wells Expenditures* Inventory Net ( millions) Net West Central 32-37 105-110 465 Hoadley Glauconite 19-21 240 Strachan Glauconite 3-4 56 55% of Falher/Notikewin 10-12 169…
Visibility to Value Creation Budgeting for further well performance enhancements: 800 700 7% Average Well Production (boe/d) 600 500 increase over 2016 despite 15% de-risking locations 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3…
Visibility to Value Creation Maintaining competitive efficiencies with modest increase in costs: Average Half Cycle IP-12 Flowing Efficiency 4,000 2015 3,500 14,600/boed Average Cost Per Well (000s) 3,000 2,500 2016E…
Visibility to Value Creation Portfolio consists of 951 net key play locations: Ellerslie 0 202 150 0 296 Wilrich Bluesky Glauconite Glauconite 63 296 Notikewin 73 Falher Wilrich 168 202 0 73 0 168 Notikewin…
Visibility to Value Creation Three year outlook: 2017F 2018F 2019F E&D Expenditures ( millions): Value 230-245 245-270 295-320 Support 50-55 45-50 50-55 Total 280-300 290-320 345-375 Production: Natural Gas (% of total) 71% 72%…
Visibility to Value Creation Three year outlook: 2017F 2018F 2019F Funds from operations (FFO): millions 300-350 325-375 385-435 debt adjusted per share 1.44 1.49 1.72 11% CAGR*** Payout ratio (%) * 90-95 90-95 90-95 Net debt to…
Visibility to Value Creation Sensitivities to 2017 funds from operations: 325 mm - 0.25 + 0.25 AECO Natural Gas -0.25/gj +0.25/gj - 5.00 + 5.00 WTI Oil -5.00/bbl +5.00/bbl -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Change to funds from…
Visibility to Value Creation Production growth within funds from operations: 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Dec Dec Dec Jun Mar Sep Jun Jun…
Visibility to Value Creation Production by development year: 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Dec Dec Dec Jun Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep…
All together better.
All together better.
West Central Glauconite and Falher remain our priority: Glauconite Reliable and predictable development with over 320 wells drilled Ample infrastructure capacity to continue development at low cost Years of drilling inventory to…
West Central Visibility to value creation: 70,000 60,000 50,000 Production (boe/d) 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Dec Dec Dec Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep 2016…
West Central Hoadley Glauconite Proven track record of value creation: 30,000 R7 R6 R5 R4 R3 R2 R1W5 T46 25,000 Production (boe/d) 20,000 T45 15,000 10,000 24,600 22,700 14,500 21,600 16,200 T44 5,000…
West Central - Hoadley Glauconite Consistent excess net operating income: 500 450 400 350 300 ( millions) 250 200 150 100 50 0 2013 2014 2015 Q3 YTD 2016 Net Operating Income Capital 43 All together…
West Central Hoadley Glauconite Efficiently managing decline and resource capture: 3,500 3,000 Foam Slickwater 2,500 Year 1 75% 34% Decline Raw Gas (mcf/d) 2,000 Year 2 45% 31% 1,500 Decline 1,000 2013 100% 0% 500…
West Central Hoadley Glauconite Continuous improvement; even after 320+ wells: Year over year performance Production addition efficiency (IP12, /boepd) * 2,500 2,000 Raw Gas (mcf/d) 1,500 14,300 13,300…
West Central Asset Exchange Closed Q416 Contiguous to existing acreage: R10 R9 R8 R7 R6 R5 R4 R3 R2 T42 T41 Adjacent to current infrastructure and operations T40 Added 55 Glauconite locations T39 Expect to double…
West Central Asset Exchange Closed Q416 Top tier inventory acquired within greater Hoadley trend: Three year production growth 7,000 Prospect Gross Net inventory 6,000 1.0 mile 36 28.9 5,000 1.5 mile 6 4.5 Production…
West Central Asset Exchange Closed Q416 Enhancing efficiencies through consolidation: R7 R6 R5 Bonavista land Sept/16 asset exchange land 11-22 Capital required to Bonavista pipeline Sept/16 Asset Exchange pipeline 6-22 redirect…
West Central Hoadley Glauconite Maintaining production and providing capital for growth assets: Capital Forecast ( millions) Production Forecast (boe/d) 90 45 30,000 80 40 25,000 70 35 60 30 20,000 of wells drilled 28.8…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Commercializing a significant resource: 3,000 R10 R9 R8 R7 R6 R5W5 2,500 Production (boe/d) 2,000 T39 1,500 1,000 2080 2390 1380 500 640 550 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Economics becoming more competitive: Year over year performance Production addition efficiency (IP12, /boepd) * 6,000 5,000 4,000 Raw Gas (mcf/d) 14,000 16,300 8,400 3,000…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Drilling performance significantly improved: Days vs Depth Drilling cost per lateral meter (/m) 0 3,000 2014 1,000 2015 2,500 2016 2,000 2,000 per meter 3,000 Depth 1,500 4,000…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Productivity improving with proppant intensity: Average Completion Costs (000s) IP12/Lateral Meter (boe/d/m) 2,000 0.300 1,500 0.250 +28% 1,000 500 0.200 0 2014 2015 2016 0.37 0.38…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Economics improving with drilling and completion innovation: 50% 45% 40% 35% Internal Rate of Return 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2.25 2.75 3.25 Natural gas - AECO (/gj)…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Opportunities to invest in stronger operating margins: KEYERA RIMBEY Cap: 420 mmcf/d Current processing costly, alternatives exist Significant pipeline cost of between 25-30 million Results…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Economics become significantly more competitive: 120% 100% 180% IRR improvement at 2.75/gj Internal Rate of Return 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2.25 2.75 3.25 Natural gas - AECO…
West Central Strachan Glauconite Improved economics will accelerate development of the resource: E&D Capital Forecast ( millions) Production Forecast (boe/d) 50 25 9,000 45 8,000 40 20 7,000 35 6,000 of wells drilled 30…
West Central Morningside Falher Growing a top tier development opportunity: R1W5 R25W4 4,000 3,500 T44 Production (boe/d) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 3,280 3,350 1,680 T43 250 500 60 0 2012 2013 2014…
West Central Morningside Falher Prolific production potential at low cost: Year over year performance Production addition efficiency (IP12, /boepd) * 6,000 5,000 4,000 Raw Gas (mcf/d) 8,400 6,400 6,700 3,000…
West Central Morningside Falher Designing the infrastructure for profitable growth: R1W5 R28 R27W4 Bonavista Ferrybank Plant: 28 mmcf/d spare processing capacity 3 mmcf/d spare compression capacity 2-1 Rimbey T43 2017: 9-1…
West Central Morningside Falher Superior economics promote maximum capital allocation: E&D Capital Forecast ( millions) Production Forecast (boe/d) 60 25 16,000 21.8 14,000 50 20 12,000 40 16.8 of wells drilled 10,000…
West Central Reliable source of net operating income providing flexibility for growth: Production growth (boe/d) Net operating income ( millions) Wells drilled () 60,000 300 70 50,000 60 250 50 40,000 200 40 30,000 150…
All together better.
Deep Basin Multi-zone opportunities: R22 R18 R14 R10W5 Pine Creek Bluesky T57 Core area loaded with multi-zone potential Marlboro T55 Over 260,000 net acres Wilrich Falher/Notikewin Increased our inventory by 49% to 550 T53…
Deep Basin De-risking for growth: 40,000 35,000 30,000 Production (boe/d) 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2016 Dec Dec Dec Jun Jun Jun Mar Mar Mar Sep Sep Sep…
Deep Basin Asset Exchange Completed Q416 Expanding our asset base: R21 R19 R17 R15 R13 T61 T59 T57 Increased production by 28% T55 Added 127 net drilling locations Increased our proved plus probable T53 reserves by…
Deep Basin Asset Exchange Completed Q416 Optimizing our infrastructure: R21 R19 R17 R15 R13 T61 Semcams K3 Facility T59 Consolidating pipeline Bonavista currently owns 225 mmcf/d Pine Creek Facility T57 of processing capacity…
Deep Basin Asset Exchange Completed Q416 Three year production growth: Three year production growth Prospect Gross Net 10,000 inventory 9,000 Wilrich (1-mile) 13 12.0 8,000 Wilrich (1.5-mile) 6 3.0 7,000 Wilrich (2-mile) 7 5.5…
Deep Basin Ansell Wilrich Extended reach horizontals enhancing efficiencies: Year over year performance Production addition efficiency (IP12, /boepd) * 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 Raw Gas (mcf/d) 3,000 10,200 15,700…
Deep Basin Ansell Wilrich Significant improvements in drilling performance: Days vs Depth Drilling cost per lateral meter (/m) 0 3,000 2014 2015 1,000 2,500 2016 2,000 2,000 Depth 1,500 3,000 1,000 4,000 500…
Deep Basin - Ansell Wilrich Reducing costs through facility ownership: Operating Costs (/boe) 8.00 60 mmcf/d Ansell facility online October 2015 6.00 4.00 Connection to both TCPL and Alliance 2.00 Cost structure improving…
Deep Basin - Ansell Wilrich Cost effective facility expansion: 2017 Expansion to 100 mmcf/d Capital cost of 10 million One new inlet compressor Two new sales compressors New sales compressors Connect surplus refrigeration…
Deep Basin Ansell Notikewin Prolific channel system accessible with existing Wilrich infrastructure R19 R17 R15W5 100/09-35-050-18W5/0 Notikewin is part of an extensive fluvial system Numerous wells drilled offsetting T51 Ansell…
Deep Basin Ansell Falher Additional prolific channel system accessible with existing Wilrich infrastructure 100/09-35-050-18W5/0 T52 Ansell Falher is part of an extensive valley system T51 First well to be drilled in Q4 2016…
Deep Basin Ansell Building a solid base with Spirit River development: E&D Capital Forecast ( millions) Production Forecast (boe/d) 120 30 25,000 100 25 20,000 80 20 of wells drilled 19.0 15,000 millions 17.2 60…
Deep Basin - Notikewin Significant development optionality: R19 R17 R15W5 Extensive fluvial system extending into the Rosevear, Groat and Pine creek areas T57 3 wells planned for 2017 54 locations in prospect inventory…
Deep Basin Bluesky Liquids rich natural gas development optimizing nearby operated facility throughput: R21 R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 T59 Bluesky is part of an incised valley system T58 in the Pine Creek area Drilled 35 wells to the…
Deep Basin Bluesky Recent Bluesky performance: 4.5 4.0 3.5 Over 50% of Bluesky liquid recoveries are condensate 3.0 Raw Gas (mmcf/d) 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Months on Production…
Deep Basin Committed to profitable growth: Production growth (boe/d) Net operating income ( millions) Wells drilled () 40,000 250 40 35,000 35 200 30,000 30 25,000 25 150 20,000 20 15,000 100 15 10,000 10 50 5,000 5 0 0…
All together better.
Summary: Production Growth Production growth within funds from operations: 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Dec Dec Dec Jun Mar Sep Jun Jun…
Summary: Key Play Returns IRR sensitivities to commodity price: LOW BASE HIGH 2.25/GJ AECO 2.75/GJ AECO 3.25/GJ AECO 40/bbl USD WTI 50/bbl USD WTI 60/bbl USD WTI Morningside Falher 30.9% 60.2% 98.4% Glauconite 18.1% 35.7%…
Growth Impact Outcome of our three year plan: 9% 2.0x Production per 2019 Net 9,000-10,000 boe/d Debt and Debt/Funds Dividend Adjusted From Half cycle IP12 Share Operations production efficiencies CAGR 11% CAGR Debt…
West Central Hoadley Glauconite 700 1-mile 2-mile Lateral length (miles) 1.0 2.0 600 Capital ( millions) * 2.4 3.9 EUR (mboe) 530 797 500 F&D (/boe) 4.43 4.83 Production (boe/d) 400 IP12 (boe/d) 257 478 /boed 9,200 8,100…
West Central Strachan Glauconite 900 1.5-mile 2-mile Lateral length (miles) 1.5 2.0 800 Capital ( millions) * 4.7 5.3 700 EUR (mboe) 720 929 600 F&D (/boe) 6.57 5.74 Production (boe/d) 500 IP12 (boe/d) 409 529 /boed…
West Central Morningside Falher Prairie 900 Crown Sky 2-mile 800 Lateral length (miles) 1.0 1.0 2.0 Capital ( millions) * 2.0 2.0 3.4 700 EUR (mboe) 424 450 717 600 Production (boe/d) F&D (/boe) 4.76 4.48 4.70 500 IP12…