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Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Feb 14, 2017 · 64 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 1
    Credit Suisse Energy Summit Gary Heminger, Chairman, President and CEO February 14, 2017
  2. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 2
    Our Priorities for Value Creation Maintain Top Tier Safety and Environmental performance Execute Strategic Actions to Enhance Value for Investors Increase Capital Return to Shareholders Grow Higher Valued and Stable Cash-flow…
  3. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 3
    2016 Refining Margin-Enhancing Accomplishment STAR Garyville Robinson Galveston Project FCC/Alky Revamp Commissioned Light Bay Completed Crude Upgrade Completed First Phase Export Capacity Expansion Expanded Galveston Bay resid…
  4. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 4
    Speedway Sets Multiple All-time Highs in 2016 EBITDA gallons Merchandise Margin Merchandise Margin Light Product Sales 5
  5. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 5
    2016 MPLX Accomplishments One-year anniversary of Commenced Operations Start-up of 3rd Entered Delaware Basin at Hopedale Complex with MarkWest Increased natural gas processed volumes by Increased fractionated volumes by…
  6. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 6
    Focus on Improving Safety and Environmental Performance Safety OSHA Recordable Incident Rate and Days Away Rate 0.80 (Employee and Contractor History) 0.61 0.60 0.50 0.45 0.45 ORIR 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.32 0.33 DAR 0.24 0.20 0.1…
  7. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 7
    2017 Macro Outlook U.S. macro picture remains solid Expect good underlying demand for refined products despite a difficult January Distillate demand expected to benefit from increased commercial activity OPECs resolve to reduce…
  8. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 8
    Executing Strategic Plan to Enhance Value Asset Dropdowns Exchange for Evaluation Underway MLP-Qualifying EBITDA Benefits Expected 4.5 B after-tax cash proceeds from Simplifies structure dropdowns and 1.2 B - 1.4 B annual…
  9. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 9
    2017 Capital Outlook Excluding Acquisitions and Dropdowns 11% 3% Speedway Corporate & Other MPC excluding MPLX 1.7 B Refining & Marketing (R&M) 1,165 MM Midstream 90 MM 25% Speedway 380 MM R&M Sustaining Corporate & Other 100 MM…
  10. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 10
    The Marcellus/Utica Resource Play is the Leading U.S. Natural Gas Growth Play 87 35 Marcellus & Utica account for over 25% of Rest of U.S. Billion Cubic Feet per Day (Bcf/d) Marcellus & Utica Marcellus & Utica Billion Cubic…
  11. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 11
    2017 MPLX Organic Growth Capital Investment Forecast range of 1.4 B to 1.7B* 1 B to 1.3 B - natural gas and gas liquids infrastructure 3rd fractionation train at Hopedale completed in January Numerous projects supporting producer…
  12. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 12
    Recent MPLX Strategic Announcements Strategic Joint Venture with Antero Midstream Ozark Pipeline Acquisition 50/50 joint venture to support Antero Resources 220 MM investment significant production growth profile in the Marcellus 433…
  13. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 13
    2017 Speedway Capital Investment Plan Planned investments of 380 MM Build new stores and remodel and rebuild existing retail locations in core markets Delivered on goals for acquired locations Expect to complete remodel plan in…
  14. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 14
    Speedway Exceeding Expected Acquisition-Related Synergies Continuing to focus on marketing enhancements opportunities 2016 actual synergies exceeded revised projection of 155 MM Reduced overall light product breakeven by 30% in 4Q…
  15. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 15
    Speedway Top-tier Performer Generates predictable, stable cash flows 1 in EBITDA/store/month vs. public peers 30 EBITDA* 20 10 M/store/month - Speedway Murphy USA Casey's Couche-Tard Sunoco CST Alon USA Western Refining…
  16. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 16
    2017 Refining and Marketing Capital Investment Plan 325 MM Growth and Margin Enhancing Investments STAR Program 1.5 B multi-year staged investment 85 MM investment in 2017 Full integration of Galveston Bay and Texas City refineries…
  17. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 17
    Galveston Bay Refinery Performance Improvements 50+% TOP- 50+% TIER 25 20% Environmental Unplanned Unit Processing Reduced OPEX Incident OSHA Downtime Rate Records To Date Reduction Recordable Reduction Injury Rate Period of…
  18. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 18
    Top-tier Refining Turnaround Execution Lower Turnaround Costs(1) Longer Turnaround Intervals (1,2) MPC approx. 25% below Merchant Group and 5% below U.S. Avg. MPC approx. 15% longer than U.S. Avg. DHT (/unit of capacity) Lower…
  19. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 19
    Strong Liquidity and Capitalization As of December 31, 2016 MPC MPC MPLX Committed to maintaining investment grade Consolidated Adjustments(a) Excluding MPLX credit profiles at MPC and MPLX (MM except ratio data) Debt 10,572…
  20. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 20
    Strategic Plan to Enhance Shareholder Value (1)(2) (1)(3) 2018E LP & GP distributions MPC receives from MPLX Total Midstream Value to MPC after Strategic Plan 9 - 12 B 26 B 21 B 5 - 6 B Illustrative 12 B Illustrative GP/IDR 4…
  21. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 21
    Appendix 22
  22. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 22
    Update on Strategic Actions to Enhance Shareholder Value 1 Significantly accelerated dropdowns, to be done as soon as practicable (expected in 2017), subject to requisite approvals 1) and regulatory clearances, including tax MPC…
  23. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 23
    1 2 Strategic Actions to Enhance Shareholder Value Significant Cash to MPC for Return to Shareholders and Debt Paydown Dropdown transactions will result in a substantial amount of cash to MPC at close; additional cash would be…
  24. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 24
    1 2 Strategic Actions to Enhance Shareholder Value Significant Value to MPLX The combination of dropdowns and GP/IDR buy-in is anticipated to lower MPLXs cost of capital going forward Dropdowns enhance distribution growth GP/IDR…
  25. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 25
    Consistent with Its Demonstrated Track Record, MPC Continues Its Focus on Long-Term Value Creation MPC and its Board of Directors continually analyze opportunities to enhance value and are confident that the MPC plan is the right course…
  26. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 26
    MPC Assets Expected to be Acquired by MPLX 1.4 B of Estimated Annual EBITDA Pipelines Marine Terminals Refinery Fuels Logistics Distribution 5,400 miles of Equity in 50/50 blue 60 light product; 55 MMBBL storage Receives fixed…
  27. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 27
    Fuels Distribution Business Model Marketing Model Marketing Model Services Model (Wholesale Distribution) (Rack-to-Retail) MPC outsources fuels marketing Purchase MPCs marketing Precedents models purchase, services to MPLX for those…
  28. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 28
    Distillate Leading World Liquids Demand Average Annual 120 Volumetric Growth (MBD) Actual Forecast 2015 vs. 2025 Average product 100 demand growth +445 80 of 1.6 MMBD in Other 2016-2017 -19 MMBD 60 Resid Distillate…
  29. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 29
    Distillate Leads U.S. Domestic Petroleum Fuels Demand Compounded 10 Annual Actual Forecast Growth Rates 9 Gasoline 2015 vs. 2030 Gasoline demand 8 -1.1% declines due to corporate Gasoline ex ethanol 7 -1.1% average fuel…
  30. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 30
    U.S. Refiners Have Sustained Export Advantages Lower-cost natural gas Large, complex refineries 2015 Region Utilization Access to lower-cost feedstocks Rate High-utilization rates North America 88% Sophisticated workforce MPC 99%…
  31. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 31
    Strong Operational Performance and Responsible Corporate Leadership 32
  32. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 32
    ENERGY STAR Program ENERGY STAR labels for refining EPA ENERGY STAR History as of 6-15-16 industry began in 2006 Operating Year --- EPA Certification Year --- 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011…
  33. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 33
    Balance in Refining Network BPCD NCI Canton (Ohio) 93,000 7.8 Catlettsburg (Ky.) 273,000 9.3 Detroit (Mich.) 132,000 9.9 Midwest Capacity 729,000 BPCD Robinson (Ill.) 231,000 9.8 Galveston Bay (Texas) 459,000 13.0 Texas City…
  34. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 34
    Key Strengths Balanced Operations Crude Oil Refining Capacity Crude Slate PADD II 61% 60% Sour Crude 40% PADD III Sweet Crude 39% As of December 31, 2016 4Q 2016 Assured Sales of Gasoline Production (Speedway + Brand +…
  35. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 35
    Galveston Bay-Texas City World-Class Refining Complex Galveston Bay and Texas City refineries consolidating operations in mid-2017 Galveston Bay-Texas City BPCD* Crude 585,000 Resid Processing 142,100 Catalytic…
  36. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 36
    Speedway Strong and Consistent Growth Gasoline and Distillate Sales Volume 8,000 Merchandise Sales/Gross Margin MM Gallons 6,000 30 6,000 6,038 6,094 5,007 4,879 29 4,000 3,942 2,000 3,027 3,146 4,000 28 3,611…
  37. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 37
    Following Through on Goals for Acquired Locations Earnings Opportunities (Original Guidance) Invest 570 MM in conversions, 400 70 remodels and maintenance 300 45 40 MM 200 35 Converted stores to Speedway brand 365 100 and…
  38. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 38
    Focus on Improving Light Product Breakeven 14 12 12.39 Each 1.00 cent per 10 gallon improvement = 30 MM annual Light Product Breakeven (cpg) pretax earnings Total Expenses 8 7.13 LPBE = Merchandise Margin Light Product…
  39. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 39
    Speedway and Hess Side-by-Side Comparison Hess(a) Speedway(b) Company-operated Sites 1,255 1,478 Fuel Sales Speedway generates an incremental 198,500 177,400 (gallons/store/month) 17,300 of merchandise margin per Fuel Margin…
  40. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 40
    About MPLX Growth-oriented, diversified MLP with high-quality, strategically located assets with leading midstream position Two primary businesses Logistics & Storage includes transportation and storage of crude oil, refined…
  41. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 41
    MPLX and MPC are Aligned MPLX Organizational Structure MPC views MPLX as integral to its Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Affiliates operations and is aligned with its (NYSE: MPC) success and incentivized to grow 100% interest…
  42. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 42
    MPLXs Forecast 12-15% distribution growth in 2017; double-digit distribution growth in 2018 Forecast, excluding acquisitions and dropdowns: Financial Measure 2017 Forecast Net Income 500 MM - 650 MM Adjusted EBITDA(a) 1.5 B - 1.65…
  43. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 43
    MPLX Organic Growth Capital Investments 2017 forecast 1.4 B - 1.7 B Est. Completion Est. Gathering & Processing Projects Shale Resource Capacity Date Logistics & Storage Projects Completion Date Rich- & Dry-Gas Gathering(a) Marcellus &…
  44. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 44
    Executing a Comprehensive Utica Strategy Phased infrastructure investment Cornerstone Pipeline commenced operations on time and under budget Hopedale pipeline connection completed December 2016 Utica build-out mid-2017 estimated…
  45. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 45
    MPLX - Attractive Portfolio of Organic Growth Capital Logistics & Storage Segment Utica Infrastructure Build-out Industry solution for Marcellus and Utica liquids Mid-2017 estimated completion Texas City Tank Farm MPC and…
  46. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 46
    Equity Participation in Bakken Pipeline System Announced agreement to participate in the Dakota Access Pipeline (DAPL) and the Energy Transfer Crude Oil Pipeline (ETCOP) projects, collectively referred to as the Bakken Pipeline…
  47. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 47
    MPLX - Logistics & Storage Contract Structure Fee-based assets with minimal commodity 2015 Revenue Customer Mix exposure(c) 8% MPC has historically accounted for 47 over 85% of the volumes shipped on MPLXs MM crude and product…
  48. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 48
    MPLX Gathering & Processing Ethane Raw Gathering Propane Processing Mixed Fractionation NGL Natural Gas and Normal Butane Plants NGLs Facilities Products Isobutane Production Compression Natural Gasoline One of the largest NGL…
  49. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 49
    MPLX - Focus on Solutions to Enhance Northeast NGL Market Lead the development of infrastructure to link supply of Northeast NGLs with market demand and enhance value for producer customers Largest fully integrated de-ethanization…
  50. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 50
    MPLX Northeast Operations Well-Positioned in Ethane Market Ethane demand growing as exports Ohio and steam cracker development Pennsylvania continues in Gulf Coast and Northeast Keystone MPLX well-positioned to support producer…
  51. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 51
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Contract Structure Durable long-term partnerships across leading basins Marcellus Utica Southwest Resource Play Marcellus, Upper Devonian Utica Haynesville, Cotton Valley, Woodford, Anadarko Basin,…
  52. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 52
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Marcellus & Utica Operations 2.9 Houston Complex Sherwood Complex Hopedale Complex 0 Bcf/d Gathering capacity 5.5 Bcf/d Processing capacity 471 MBPD C2+ Fractionation capacity 25 MBPD…
  53. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 53
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Marcellus & Utica Operations 2016: Processed Volumes Processed volumes increased Available Average Utilization Area Capacity Volume 14% over full-year 2015 (MMcf/d)(a) (MMcf/d) (%) Gathered volumes…
  54. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 54
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Marcellus & Utica Fractionation 2016 fractionated volumes Fractionated Volumes increased 29% over full-year 2015 Available Average Utilization Area Capacity Volume 2017 fractionated volumes…
  55. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 55
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Southwest Operations 2.6 Carthage Complex Hidalgo Buffalo Creek Complex Javelina Complex Complex 0 Bcf/d Gathering capacity 1.5 Bcf/d* Processing capacity 29 MBPD C2+ Fractionation…
  56. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 56
    MPLX - Gathering & Processing Southwest Operations Processed Volumes 2016: Processed volumes increased Available Average Utilization 14% over full-year 2015 Area Capacity Volume (%) (MMcf/d)(a) (MMcf/d) Gathered volumes increased…
  57. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 57
    MPLX - Strong Financial Flexibility to Manage and Grow Asset Base Committed to maintaining As of (MM except ratio data) 12/31/16 investment grade credit profile Cash and cash equivalents 234 Completed a 1 B private Total assets…
  58. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 58
    MPLXs Commodity Price Sensitivities 92% fee-based net operating margin, 8% commodity exposure for 2017 Maintain active hedging program with 35% of our 2017 commodity exposure currently hedged Annual 2017 sensitivities to commodity…
  59. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 59
    MPLXs 2017 Forecast - Reconciliation Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow from Net Income (MM) Low High Net income 500 650 Depreciation and amortization 595 595 Net interest and other financial costs 265 265 Adjustment for…
  60. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 60
    Reconciliations - Speedway Speedway Segment EBITDA to Segment Income from Operations (MM) 2016 Speedway Segment Income from Operations 734 Plus: Depreciation and Amortization 273 Speedway Segment EBITDA 1,007 EBITDA to Net…
  61. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 61
    Reconciliation Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income Attributable to MPC (MM) 2016 LTM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Net Income attributable to MPC 1 801 145 227 1,174 Less: Net interest and other financial income (costs) (142) (137) (141) (136) (556) Add:…
  62. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 62
    Reconciliation MPC Adjusted EBITDA Related to MPLX to MPLX Net Income (MM) 2016 LTM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q MPLX Net Income (37) 20 143 132 258 Less: Net interest and other financial income (costs) (68) (64) (64) (65) (261) Add: Provision…
  63. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 63
    MPC Annual Price and Margin Sensitivities Refining and Marketing Segment MM (After Tax) LLS 6-3-2-1 Crack Spread* Sensitivity 450 (per 1.00/barrel change) Sweet/Sour Differential** Sensitivity 225 (per 1.00/barrel change) LLS-WTI…
  64. Credit Suisse Energy Summit – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 64
    MPCs Fully Integrated Downstream System Refining and Marketing Seven-plant refining system with 1.8 MMBPCD capacity One biodiesel facility and interest in three ethanol facilities One of the largest wholesale suppliers in our market…

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