SCOTIA HOWARD WEIL 2017 ENERGY CONFERENCE MARCH 27-28, 2017
Who We Are: Differentiating Ourselves Through Three Pillars Values: Never compromised regardless of circumstance Operate daily free of injuries and environmental incidents Pursuit of perfection driving towards best-in-class…
The Path Forward: Realization of Value How we plan to close the value gap: Today 15.73 Closing price 3/20/2016 1 GROW EBITDA PRUDENT GROWTH OF E&P PRODUCTION EFFICIENT CAPITAL ALLOCATION TO HIGH IRR, NAV ACCRETIVE AOIs 2 PAY…
Weathered Downturn Without Issuing Equity Since the beginning of 2014, total follow-on Follow-On Equity Issued Across equity issued by Appalachian peers totaled Energy Industry 2015-2016 10.6 billion: 40,000 All seven Appalachian…
EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION 6
Continuous Improvement Capital Efficiency 160% 140% 120% NAV growth 100% being driven BTAX IRR (%) 1.24 Mcfe/ 1.83 Mcfe/ 2.78 Mcfe/ by improved 80% capital 60% efficiency 40% 20% 0% 1.43 1.52 0.46 0.60…
Operational Evolution Key Performance Metrics(1) 2014 2016E Average EUR (Bcfe/1,000) 1.4 2.8 Total Marcellus capital (/ft) 1,345 835 Lease operating expense (LOE) (/Mcfe) 0.41 0.19 Average drilling days on well 27 18 Average…
Dissolution of the Marcellus Shale Joint Venture 64% increase in Marcellus core acreage: Post-Exchange Marcellus Acreage Map Full control of stacked pay opportunity set Incremental 85 MMcfe/d of production Further strengthens balance…
New World View: Stacked Pay 40+ years of stacked pay inventory(1) P Formation a The JV separation gives CONSOL complete y Name operational control in stacked pay opportunities Rhinestreet The Upper Devonian provides triple…
Stacked Pay Value for SWPA: Pad Level Example Stacked Pay Pad Economics Example(1) 160,000 120% Unstacked NPV Stacked pay development improves IRR 140,000 Stacked NPV Unstacked IRR % 100% by 10-20 percentage points Stacked IRR %…
Moving Utica Non-Core to Core Delineating the Utica through operated Delineation Opportunities and non-operated wells, data trades, and data purchases: Provides geologic and reservoir data to evaluate NAV impact and helps assess…
Stacked Pay with the Utica: The Size of the Prize 360,000 net acres of double stacked pay opportunity 360,000+ in the core and non-core areas Net Acres 180,000 core acres with double stacked pay opportunity Utica stacked pay…
Two-Year Development Plan 2017 2018 Consistently complete DUCs ( in millions) TD FRAC TIL Capex TD FRAC TIL Capex from December 2016 through Marcellus 12 13 13 80 54 42 40 260 2018 SWPA Utica 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 40 Upper Devonian - 2 3…
E&P Capital Expenditure Guidance E&P Capital and Production Plans Capital expenditure projections based ( in millions) 2017E 2018E on current market conditions and forecast Drilling and Completion 465 - Flexibility exists to adjust…
E&P Marketing: Gas Hedges 320 Hedge Position 300 NYMEX Only Hedges Exposed to Basis (Outer ring = NYMEX; Inner ring = Basis) 280 (2) NYMEX + Basis (2) 260 Gas Volumes Hedged (Bcf) 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 2017 100…
DIVERSIFIED BUSINESS UNITS 17
Business Development: Strategy CONSOL has a strong track record of successful divestitures: 20 NAV-enhancing divestitures since 2012 Over 5 billion of combined value Team is now focused on divesting E&P assets: Recent Marcellus JV…
Finance: Legacy Liabilities Significant legacy liability reductions over Balance Sheet Liability Long-Term Liability Guidance past three years: 12/31/2016 FY 2017E FY 2018E LTD 19 Miller Creek/Fola transaction drove WC 80…
FINANCE 20
Financial Outlook: NAV/Share Value Drivers Accelerating We expect growth while generating free cash flow: Stringent focus on capital allocation to drive the highest NAV per share decisions Become a leader in capital allocation, when…
Conditions Improving for Complete Separation from CNXC Path to Completing Separation from CNXC Financial Conditions Growing Improving CNXC revenue and margins Performance Pursuing 3 parallel paths: - Outright sale Reduction…
Finance: Leverage Ratio and Liquidity Projection Leverage Ratio 2016-2018E(1) Year-end 2016 leverage ratio below prior forecast; 2017E and 5.0 2018E targets reduced by 0.2x and 0.3x, respectively 4.4 4.0 Path to reaching and…
Finance: E&P Guidance E&P Segment Guidance 2017E 2018E Production Volumes: Natural Gas (Bcf) 375 445 NGLs (MBbls) 5,800 5,950 Oil (MBbls) 45 40 Condensate (MBbls) 740 730 Total Production (Bcfe) 415 485 % Liquids 10% 8% Open…
Finance: PA Mining Operations Guidance PA Mining Operations Consolidated 100% Basis 2017E 2018E Estimated Total Coal Sales Volumes (in millions of tons) 26.0 26.0 Total Committed Volumes (Contracted & Priced) 25.4 % Committed…
Finance: 2017E EBITDA Guidance EBITDA Guidance by Segment 2017E Current Prior ( in millions) E&P(1) Coal Other Total Total (1/31/17) (12/13/16) Earnings Before Interest, Taxes and 705 390 (15) 1,080 840 DD&A (EBITDA)…
CONSOL Energy Represents a Unique Value Story Driving NAV/share growth: Significant increases to estimated ultimate recoveries (EURs) Focus on Reducing drilling and completion (D&C) costs and capital intensity NAV/Share Growth…
APPENDIX 28
Finance: Q4 2016 Review Non-GAAP Reconciliation: EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Three Months Ended December 31, 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015 PA Mining E&P Division Operations Other(1) Total Company Total Company ( in thousands) Division…
Finance: Q4 2016 Review Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Trailing Twelve Months EBIT, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA Three Months Three Months Three Months Three Months Year Ended Ended Ended Ended Ended March 31, June 30, September 30, December…
Finance: Q4 2016 Review Free Cash Flow Reconciliation Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, December 31, ( in thousands) 2016 2016 Net Cash provided by Continuing Operations 87,139 459,350 Capital Expenditures (47,431)…