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August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd.

Arc Resources Ltd. · Aug 14, 2017 · 75 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 1
  2. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 2
    Why Invest in ARC? A Differentiated Investment Financial Discipline High-quality Asset Portfolio Proven Execution and Development Model Operational and Organizational Excellence ? Sector-leading balance sheet ? Disciplined…
  3. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 3
    Corporate Profile Corporate Summary Production (Q2 2017) 113,410 boe/day Reserves (2P Gross ? YE 2016) (1) 737 MMboe Reserve Life Index (2P) (1)(2) 16.4 years Monthly Dividend $0.05 per share Annualized Returns since Inception (3)…
  4. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 4
    Q2 2017 Financial and Operating Highlights Financial Results ? Net income of $124.0 million ($0.35 per share) ? Funds from operations of $169.8 million ($0.48 per share) ? Strong financial position with net debt to annualized funds…
  5. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 5
    Guidance On Track to Meet Annual Production Guidance of 120,000 ? 124,000 boe/day 2017 Guidance 2017 Revised Guidance 2017 YTD Production Crude oil (bbl/d) 25,000 - 28,000 25,000 - 27,000 23,921 Condensate (bbl/d) 5,000 - 5,500…
  6. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 6
    ARC?s History and Future In the past 20 years, ARC has successfully achieved the following: 20-year History Has Set the Stage for Another 20+ Years of Value Creation $6 Billion of Distributions / Dividends & 13% Annualized Total…
  7. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 7
    Consistent and Sustainable Strategy Delivering on Our Strategy of Risk-managed Value Creation Montney Growth Assets RISKMANAGED VALUE CREATION High-Quality, Long-Life Assets Financial Flexibility HSE and Operational…
  8. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 8
    Delivering Full-cycle and Corporate Returns Efficiently Converting Resources into Earnings 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 Single Well Economics (Half-cycle) Proportional Facility and Appropriate Timing…
  9. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 9
    Financial Flexibility ? Objective to fully fund ARC?s dividend and sustaining capital from FFO over the long term ? Following the sale of certain non-core assets, ARC will outspend its cash inflows over the next two to three years ?…
  10. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 10
    Physical Marketing Strategy Ensuring Market Access at Optimal Netback Pricing Guiding Principles ? Proactively planning for future development opportunities ? Keep abreast of changing infrastructure environment Market Access ?…
  11. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 11
    Crude Oil & Condensate Marketing ? Continued focus on Montney assets has resulted in ARC?s production mix being primarily light and medium crude oil grades and condensate ? Premium products trade more tightly to WTI than heavy crude,…
  12. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 12
    Natural Gas Marketing ARC Continues to Physically and Financially Diversify to Downstream Markets to Achieve Optimal Pricing (4) Based on production assumptions for sanctioned projects. (5) ?Hedged? includes all physical and financial…
  13. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 13
    Environmental, Social & Governance Performance ARC?s Leadership Culture Is Reflected in Its ESG Practices Recognitions and Rankings: ? MSCI Global Sustainability Index ? Jantzi Social Index ? CDP Participant for eight consecutive…
  14. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 14
  15. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 15
    Montney Sustaining Capital Montney Sustaining Capital Montney Growth Capital Montney Growth Capital Cardium Capital Non-core & Corporate Capital Cardium Capital Non-core & Corporate Capital 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 2017…
  16. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 16
    Long-term Plan Update ? Project Resequencing ? Resequencing of projects to deliver improved capital efficiencies, greater production growth and enhanced long-term optionality ? Deliberate long-term planning and pace of asset…
  17. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 17
    Focused Asset Base Investing in Optionality in the Montney and Cardium BC AB Blueberry Red Creek Attachie Septimus Tower Parkland Sunset Sunrise Dawson Pouce Coupe Ante Creek Sundown Montney Overview Q2 2017 Average Daily…
  18. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 18
    Proven Development Model Inventory at All Stages Allows for Self-funding and Full-cycle ROACE Across Portfolio Dawson Phase I & II Sunrise Phase I Attachie Parkland/Tower Phase I & II Net Cash Flow + Blueberry Sundown Attachie…
  19. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 19
    Dry Gas Blueberry Red Creek Attachie Septimus Tower Parkland Sunset Sunrise Sundown Dawson Pouce Coupe Ante Creek 1,000m 2,000m 3,000m 1,000m 2,000m Montney Erosional Edge Lower Montney 10 kPa/m Line…
  20. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 20
    Multiple Layers to Develop Significant Future Delineation Opportunities Attachie Septimus Sunrise Tower Parkland Dawson Pouce Coupe Lower Montney Upper Montney Montney A Montney B Montney C Montney D Montney E Existing…
  21. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 21
    Lower Montney Potential Building Confidence in the Lower Montney Fairway (1) (1) Only Lower Montney wells are displayed. ARC Lower Montney wells with completion operations conducted during H1 2017 Existing ARC Lower Montney…
  22. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 22
    NE BC Montney Reserves and Risked Resources NE BC Montney TPIIP: 101.5 Tcf of Shale Gas and 10.5 Billion Barrels of Oil ? Independent Resources Evaluation conducted by GLJ effective December 31, 2016. ? Contingent Resource and…
  23. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 23
    Number of Locations Total HZ Wells Drilled to YE2016 2P Booked Undeveloped Locations Development Pending ECR Booked Locations Development Unclarified ECR Booked Locations Early Stages of Property Development (1) ? Inclusive of…
  24. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 24
    Montney Development Economics Strong Rates of Return Across the Montney Portfolio (1) IRR (half-cycle after-tax rate of return) run at US$50/bbl WTI and Cdn$2.50/GJ AECO flat pricing. (2) Breakeven prices are US$ per barrel WTI or Cdn$…
  25. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 25
    Montney Full-Cycle Economics ? Significant drilling results and large inventory of future drilling locations provides support for favourable economics at Dawson Phase III, Dawson Phase IV, and Sunrise Phase II ? Sunrise Phase II…
  26. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 26
    Competing Continentally (1) Financial data from company reports. (2) Assumes exchange rate of Cdn$/US$1.3248 and US royalty rate of 25%. (3) Permian average includes: CPE, FANG, LPI, PE, PXD, RSPP. (4) Assumes exchange rate of…
  27. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 27
    Creating Sustainable Businesses in the Montney ? ARC is investing in three infrastructure growth projects to grow production by ~50,000 boe/day over a 2.5-year period Businesses Will Sustain Production at Low Reinvestment Rates Field…
  28. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 28
    Septimus (Phase I, II) Parkland/Tower (Phase III, IV) Attachie (West Phase I, II; Central Phase I, II; East Phase I, II) Ante Creek Expansion Sunrise (Phase II, III) Dawson (Phase III, IV, V) Base Cardium Production Base Montney…
  29. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 29
  30. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 30
    0 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 150,000 boe/day Production Profile Non-Montney Crude Oil & Liquids (bbl/day) Montney Crude Oil & Liquids (bbl/day) Non-Montney Natural Gas (boe/day) Montney Natural Gas (boe/day) Montney Assets…
  31. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 31
    0 3 6 9 12 15 $/boe Q1 2017 Operating Expenses (4)(5) ($/boe) 0 6 12 18 24 30 $/boe Three-Year FD&A Costs (2014 - 2016) (1)(2)(3) ($/boe) (1) Three-Year 2P FD&A Costs (2014 ? 2016) includes future development capital.…
  32. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 32
    500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2014 2015 2016 Completion $/Tonne Completion Cost per Tonne in NE BC 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2014 2015 2016 $/Lateral Foot Drilled Drilling Cost per Lateral Foot in NE BC 40% Reduction…
  33. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 33
    Utilizing state of the art technology to improve performance and to increase efficiencies Applying Learnings Across Portfolio for Reduced Drill Times and Cost Savings 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Depth (m)…
  34. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 34
    Investing in Learnings Applying Learnings across ARC?s Portfolio of Assets Integrating Learnings at All Stages of Development Further Our Understanding of the Asset Establish Project Sequencing Determine Well Designs…
  35. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 35
  36. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 36
    Key Projects Update Advancing Projects across ARC?s Portfolio Key Projects Update Dawson ? Phase III started up, sanctioned Phase IV ? Delineating and proving up Lower Montney Parkland/Tower ? Refining development strategy and well…
  37. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 37
    Dawson ? Asset Details Poised for Next Stage of Development at Dawson Phase IV (1) Dawson Phase III Gas Plant was started up in mid-June 2017. The facility has 90 MMcf/day of gas processing and 7,500 bbl/day of liquids-handling…
  38. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 38
    Dawson ? Development Potential Significant Upside Remaining in Both Upper and Lower Montney Lower Montney 2P Reserves Booked as at December 31, 2016 Upper Montney Development Plan ARC Identified Drilling Locations ARC Wells ARC…
  39. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 39
    Dawson ? Upper Montney NGLs Potential ? Liquids ratio at Dawson varies across Upper and Lower Montney ? Majority of development to-date focused on the Upper Montney A, which has lower liquids yields (core is defined by yellow…
  40. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 40
    Dawson ? Phase I & II vs. Phase III New Area Development for Phase III ? Increased Liquids Content Driving Strong Economics ? Type curves are internal estimates based on analog wells and reservoir modeling. ? Assumed cycle time (from…
  41. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 41
    Dawson ? Sustainable Cash Flow Model Low Reinvestment Ratio to Maintain Significant Free Cash Flow $3.91 $3.48 $2.28 $3.00 $4.19 $2.62 $1.98 $80 $95 $94 $98 $93 $49 $43 88 134 161 162 162 159 168 440 630 720 870 940 870 1,200 AECO…
  42. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 42
    Dawson Phase IV Sanctioning Leveraging Pre-investment in Dawson Phase III for Superior Capital Efficiencies in Dawson Phase IV Dawson Phase III Sanctioning Checklist Inventory High confidence Well Execution No concerns Facility…
  43. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 43
    Parkland/Tower ? Asset Details Building a Profitable Business Parkland Tower Net Production (boe/day) ? Q2 2017 9,470 14,170 Liquids (bbl/day) 2,010 7,760 Gas (MMcf/day) 45 38 Land (Montney Net Sections) 37 57 Working Interest ~90%…
  44. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 44
    Tower ? Strong Oil Production Industry-leading Oil Well Performance ? Type curves are internal estimates based on analog wells and reservoir modeling. ? Assumed cycle time (from spud to on-production): five months. ? Lateral length of…
  45. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 45
    ower ? Optimizing Development Our Pace of Development Is Enabling Learnings to Be Incorporated in Subsequent Investments ? Type curves are internal estimates based on analog wells and reservoir modeling. ? Chart based on sales…
  46. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 46
    Sunrise/Sunset ? Asset Details Confidence in Predictability of Results Supports Magnitude of Resource and Next Stage of Development (1) Sunrise Phase II Gas Plant expansion includes 120 MMcf/day of incremental natural gas production…
  47. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 47
    Sunrise ? Multi-Layer Development Three-layer Development in Upper Montney ? Strong Reservoir, Low Capital and Plant Costs ? Type curves are internal estimates based on analog wells and reservoir modeling. ? Assumed cycle time (from…
  48. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 48
    0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Cumulative Gas (MMcf) Months on Production Sunrise ? Proven Performance Results in Upper Montney Horizon Validate Type Curves ? Type curves are internal estimates based on analog…
  49. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 49
    Sunrise Phase II Expansion Significant Natural Gas Resource Base with High Well Deliverability and Strong Full-cycle Economics Sunrise Phase I 60 MMcf/day sales capacity Phase II sales and processing capacity increased to 180…
  50. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 50
    Attachie ? Planning for the Future Taking Next Steps Forward at Attachie West Single-well Appraisals 2014 to 2017 Applying Learnings Multi-well Pad 2017 to 2018 Commercial Development 2019 to 2020 Applying Learnings & TCPL…
  51. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 51
    Ante Creek ? Asset Details Significant Cash Flow with Substantial Growth Opportunities Net Production (boe/day) ? Q2 2017 15,270 Liquids (bbl/day) 7,130 Gas (MMcf/day) 49 Production Split % (Liquids / Gas) 47% / 53% Land (Montney…
  52. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 52
    Ante Creek ? Montney Geology ? Large land base and down-spacing has resulted in significant drilling inventory ? Continued delineation of Lower Montney prospect in southeast Ante Creek Revised Well Design for Complex Reservoir Has…
  53. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 53
    Ante Creek ? 2017 Plans New Well Design Is Delivering Promising Upside Key Metrics 2017 Type Curve DCET Capex/Well ($ millions) 3.8 Internal 2P Reserves (Mboe) 440 IP (1 month) (boe/day) 365 IP (12 months) (boe/day) 260 Half-cycle…
  54. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 54
    Pembina ? Asset Details High Working Interest of Light Oil Production, Competitive Operating Netbacks Net Production (boe/day) ? Q2 2017 10,760 Liquids (bbl/day) 8,770 Gas (MMcf/day) 12 Land (Cardium Net Sections) 218 Working…
  55. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 55
    Pembina ? Cardium Geology ? Future drilling will target the entire Cardium pay zone with a focus on the low-recovery bioturbated zone Optimizing Existing Production, Exploiting New Unconventional Reserves Pembina Cardium Schematic…
  56. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 56
    Pembina ? Inventory of Strong Cash Flow Locations Benefits from Half-cycle Economics as Infrastructure Is Already in Place Key Metrics 2017 Type Curve DCET Capex/Well ($ millions) 2.5 Internal 2P Reserves (Mboe) 200 IP (1 month)…
  57. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 57
    0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3…
  58. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 58
  59. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 59
    Septimus (Phase I, II) Parkland/Tower (Phase III, IV) Attachie (West Phase I, II; Central Phase I, II; East Phase I, II) Ante Creek Expansion Sunrise (Phase II, III) Dawson (Phase III, IV, V) Base Cardium Production Base Montney…
  60. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 60
  61. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 61
    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 2017 Payout Ratio Cumulative Dividends ($ billions) Cumulative Dividend Payout Ratio (before DRIP and…
  62. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 62
    Reserve Replacement ? Montney assets have been the centerpiece to ARC?s strategy of organic reserves and resource growth and provide continued upside potential ? Finding and development costs of $4.02/boe for proved plus probable…
  63. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 63
    Key Reserve Information Reserves at year-end, December 31, 2016 ? Proved Producing 212 MMboe ? Total Proved 426 MMboe ? Proved plus Probable 737 Mmboe ? 2P Reserve Life Index (1) 16 years 737 MMboe 2P Reserves at Year-end 2016 (1)…
  64. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 64
  65. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 65
    Dawson ? Development Potential Additional Development Layer Below Core Acreage Upper Montney Lower Montney Dawson Lower Montney Booked Reserves* Upper Montney A Booked Reserves* Existing Horizontal Wells, Pilots Existing…
  66. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 66
    Parkland/Tower ? Development Potential Incremental Reserves Potential With Multi-layer Development Upper Montney A Booked Reserves* Upper Montney A+ Booked Reserves* Lower Montney Booked Reserves* Upper Montney Lower Montney…
  67. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 67
    200 Wells Drilled to YE 2016 Drilling Opportunities at YE 2016 Wells Drilling Inventory Wells Drilled 2P Booked Locations Ante Creek ? Development Potential Large Land Base and Down-spacing = Significant Drilling Inventory ARC…
  68. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 68
    Q2 & H1 2017 Operating and Financial Highlights Key Performance Indicators for Q2 and H1 2017 Three Months Ended Six Months Ended (Cdn$ millions, except per share and per boe amounts) March 31, 2017 June 30, 2017 June 30, 2016 June 30,…
  69. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 69
    E&P Leverage Analysis ARC Has One of the Strongest Balance Sheets in the Sector US Benchmarking: 2017E Net Debt / 2017E Cash Flow (1)(3) (1) Estimates as per RBC Research as of July 2017. Assumes 2017E WTI of US$52.32/bbl, Henry Hub of…
  70. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 70
    Risk Management Program ? The fair value of ARC?s risk management contracts at June 30, 2017 was a net asset of $272.6 million Program Executed with a Long-term View (1) 2017 Forecast based on actuals for the six months ended June 30,…
  71. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 71
    Risk Management Contract Positions Summary of Risk Management Contract Positions as at August 3, 2017 (1) H2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Crude Oil ? WTI (2) US$/bbl bbl/day US$/bbl bbl/day US$/bbl bbl/day US$/bbl bbl/day US$/bbl bbl/day…
  72. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 72
    Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources Project Maturity Subclass Development Unclarified as a contingent resources that requires further appraisal to clarify the potential for development and has been assigned a lower chance…
  73. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 73
    For further information about ARC Resources Ltd. please visit our website www.arcresources.com Or contact: Investor Relations E-mail: ir@arcresources.com T 403.503.8600 F 403.509.6417 Toll Free 1.888.272.4900 ARC Resources Ltd.…
  74. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 74
    FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS ($ millions, except per share amounts) 2017 2016 2015 FINANCIAL Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Sales of crude oil, natural gas, condensate, NGLs and other income 297.0 309.2 331.8 265.6 234.9 231.2 285.9…
  75. August 2017 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 75
    CORPORATE AND SHAREHOLDER INFORMATION DIRECTORS Harold N. Kvisle (1) Chairman Myron M. Stadnyk President and Chief Executive Officer David R. Collyer (2) (3) John P. Dielwart (2) (4) Fred J. Dyment (1) (3) Timothy J. Hearn (1)…

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