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Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc.

Suncor Energy Inc. · Oct 25, 2017 · 37 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 1
    Suncor Energy Investor Information Published October 25, 2017 Fort Hills haul trucks
  2. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 2
    2 Canadas leading integrated energy company 86B Enterprise value1 September 30, 2017 35+ years 2P Reserve life index2 as at Dec. 31, 2016 668mboepd 99% Oil production YTD 2017 462mbpd Refining capacity Product sales…
  3. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 3
    3 Investment proposition growing shareholder returns Growth Cash generation Strong production1 increase from projects in flight Significant upside FFO3 sensitivity to WTI, based on TTM4 actuals US49 WTI, 0.76 C/US, US16.39 NYH crack…
  4. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 4
    4 The foundation of our strategy Operational excellence Optimizing the base business Suncors upgrader reliability journey Multi year journey to reach 90% reliability Safety as a core value 91% 90% 90% Excluding Disciplined cost…
  5. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 5
    5 Growing production Suncors production growth forecast1,2 (mbpd) 10% Hebron 2016-2019 planned CAGR3 per share 800 E&P 700 Fort Hills 600 Syncrude 500 400 Base Mine 300 U1 U2 200 Base 100 In situ FB 0 2015 2016 2017 2018…
  6. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 6
    637.05 R&M Cost reductions across the corporation E&P 37.05 R&M Oil 37.05 Sands E&P Poly. R&M (R&M) 37.05 Company OS&G below 2014 levels while production increases 30% Consistent reductions in operating costs C/bbl R&M Oil…
  7. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 7
    7 Generating discretionary free cash flow1 FFO2 consistently exceeds sustaining capital, associated 2017 sustaining capital and dividend capitalized interest and dividends (C billions) break-even8 8 US 40.00 WTI 6.8 6…
  8. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 8
    8 Near-term flexible capital allocation plan1 Production Production growth Balance sheet Capital 1 growth Dividend3 Buybacks3 post 2019 leverage metrics to 20192 Defer 40 WTI 4.0B debottlenecking and Upper range None USD…
  9. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 9
    9 Returning cash to shareholders 15 consecutive years of dividend increases plus opportunistic share buybacks 120 Buyback per share1,2,3,5 2.50 Dividend per share1 WTI US 100 2.00 80 (C/share) 1.50 (US/bbl) Actual…
  10. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 10
    10 Meaningful, growing and sustainable dividend Dividend growth leader Sustainable dividend growth Five year dividend growth relative to global peers 1 (Q3 2012 Q3 2017) Dividend growth since 2010 200% 200% 120 100 94.90 97.95…
  11. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 11
    11 Strong balance sheet Conservative debt targets Debt metrics - as at September 30,…
  12. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 12
    12 Suncor offers growth comparable to tight oil Sustainable production growth through the downturn Year-over-year change, oil sands only for Suncor 60% Capital discipline allowed Suncor to 40% consistently grow production through…
  13. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 13
    13 Returning cash in line with supermajors Total cash (dividends + buybacks) returned to shareholders US/bbl 20 15 Continued focus on capital discipline 16 13 allows sustainable cash returns for 11 12 shareholders through the…
  14. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 14
    14 Typical attributes1 of North American oil plays Initial Decline Sustaining Operating Reservoir Recovery Illustrative annual cash flow profiles2 capital rate costs cost risk factor Mining High Very low Very low Medium Very…
  15. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 15
    15 Regional synergies for existing assets 100% WI Fort Joint ownership Hills Regional synergy opportunities1 T Upgrader feedstock optionality Syncrude Turnaround planning optimization Joslyn C T Unplanned outage impact…
  16. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 16
    16 Agile capital deployment next generation SAGD development Well pads - saving today CPF - redesigning tomorrow Simplified sustaining well pads, at existing assets, designed with Complete redesign of Central Processing Facility…
  17. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 17
    17 Replication1 next phase of oil sands organic growth First energy company to receive approval for multiple in situ development phases under the Alberta Energy Regulators trial submission process for Meadow Creek East Phases of 40…
  18. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 18
    18 Syncrude cost management and collaboration underway Operations Suncor secondee, Doreen Cole, appointed as Managing Director replacing the CEO/President Fire learnings addressed with enhanced winterization processes 125M/year…
  19. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 19
    19 Fort Hills transitioning to operations December 2017 Operations First oil1 50.8% 5 of 6 Major project areas operating Suncor working interest 98% Staff hired 98.5 mbpd 20% Secondary extraction turned over to operations Suncor…
  20. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 20
    20 Fort Hills designed for safe, reliable, low-cost ramp-up and operations Based on regional benchmarking, Suncor has invested significant capital to meet or exceed ramp-up and performance targets Investments included in…
  21. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 21
    21 Fort Hills de-risking startup and production Fort Hills froth production 5 of 6 major project areas transitioned to operations Early commissioning of mine, primary extraction and utilities plants Froth production test runs…
  22. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 22
    22 Technology development collaboration is key Accelerating technology development and commercialization by leveraging external expertise and solutions Venture capital Evok Innovations - cofounder with 100M of available capital Emerald…
  23. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 23
    23 ESG leadership Environment Social Governance Resilience through strategy Advancing relations with Leading governance Aboriginal Peoples Stress test carbon strategy against three 500 million equity partnership with First 10 of…
  24. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 24
    24 Appendix
  25. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 25
    25 2017 Capital and production guidance1 2017 Capital2 Growth capital3 Production4 millions percent boepd Upstream5 4,735 4,875 60% 420,000 450,000 Oil Sands operations Downstream 625 675 0% 130,000 145,000 Syncrude Corporate 40 50…
  26. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 26
    26 Track record of counter-cyclical acquisitions ( ) and divestments ( ) 100 WTI US/bbl 80 Non-core UK offshore Rosebank 60 Total E&P Canada 30% WI Petro-Canada 10% Fort Hills WI 40 Canadian Oil Sands Murphy Oil 20 37% Syncrude…
  27. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 27
    27 Vast portfolio of high quality opportunities1 Continued growth and margin opportunities post 2019 In situ Mining Upgrading/Refining E&P Syncrude upgrading reliability Growth, Meadow Creek Fort Hills secondary beyond 90% Oda…
  28. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 28
    28 High quality mining, in situ and upgrading portfolio1 Base Plant Syncrude 350,000 bpd capacity Syncrude operated Suncor working interest 100% 188,000 bpd coking capacity (SU WI) 1,619 mmbbls 2P reserves Suncor working interest…
  29. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 29
    29 Market access for Oil Sands production Suncor currently has approximately 750 mbpd of near-term market access1 Proposed projects would provide Suncor with expanded pipeline connectivity to markets Pipeline Current and forecasted…
  30. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 30
    30 Canadas largest Refining & Marketing business Edmonton refinery Sarnia refinery 142,000 bpd capacity 85,000 bpd capacity 100% oil sands feedstock1 75% oil sands feedstock1 Commerce City refinery Montreal refinery 98,000…
  31. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 31
    31 Refining & Marketing the value of integration R&M annual net earnings1 Suncor peers1 Refinery utilization vs. US average Suncor US/bbl of capacity Percent of refining capacity High US Average2 15 Average Low 100% 10 90%…
  32. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 32
    32 1 Offshore with 410 million barrels of 2P reserves Terra Nova Hibernia Suncor Energy operated ExxonMobil operated Suncor working interest 37.675% Suncor working interest 20.0%2 43 mmboe 2P reserves (SU WI) 88 mmboe 2P reserves…
  33. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 33
    33 E&P value over volume 1.3B of FFO1, 515M of operating earnings1 and 487M of capex YTD 2017 2016 East Coast oil production2 mboe/d Largest East Coast oil producer 60 Owner in all regional assets 50 11.20/bbl YTD 2017 operating…
  34. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 34
    35 Slide Notes Slide 2------------------------------------------------------------- at the discretion of Suncors Board of Directors. Actual results Q3 2017 Quarterly Report to Shareholders and Annual Report for (1) Market…
  35. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 35
    38 Notes
  36. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 36
    39 Notes
  37. Q3 2017 Presentation – Suncor Energy Inc. – slide 37
    Investor Relations contacts Steve Douglas David Burdziuk Valerie Roberts Ever Motis Vice President IR Manager IR Senior Analyst IR Associate IR sdouglassuncor.com dburdziuksuncor.com vrobertssuncor.com emotissuncor.com Visit us at…

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