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March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd.

Painted Pony Energy Ltd. · Mar 14, 2018 · 28 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    TSX: PONY Investor March 14, 2018 Update
  2. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    WHY we do what we do We believe: world demand for clean and reliable source of energy is rapidly growing technological advancements makes our energy cost competitive on a world scale in developing our world-class resource using the…
  3. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    Canadian Natural Gas Market Increases in Canadian natural gas demand is expected to be significant Estimated 50% potential growth in demand for Canadian natural gas in the next 5 years. 6.0 2 Bcf/d of high confidence 5.0 demand…
  4. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    Corporate Profile 85% annual average daily production volume growth 2017 130% annual average daily liquids production growth Growth 93% annual adjusted funds flow from operations growth 64% Proved Developed Producing reserves growth…
  5. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Significant Growth Montney Pure Play Asset The Montney is the most economic natural gas liquids play in Canada 314 net sections (201,009 net acres) of Montney lands 6.9 Tcfe (1,148 MMboe) Proved Plus Probable Reserves(1) with a…
  6. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Montney Sweet Spot Location, Location, Location Drilled first well at liquids-rich Beg during 38 sections Q1 2018 PONYs Montney Sweet Spot is: 4x thicker than the Marcellus at greater than 300 300m Beg meters (approximately 1,000…
  7. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    2017 & 2018 Development Model Impressive PONY is expecting 45% annual 80 average daily production growth from 2017 to 2018 70 60 2018 366-378 MMcfe/d (61,000-63,000 boe/d) Annual Average Daily Production Volumes (mboe/d)…
  8. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    2018 Sustainable Capital Spending Cash Flow Budget Annual Average Daily Production (forecast) Cash Flow (actuals) Annual 400 Average Daily Production (actual) 2018 Cash Flow (forecast)- Net of Interest Expense, G&A, and Capital Lease…
  9. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    Cash Flow Sensitivities 2018 Cash Flow (MM) YE Debt/Q4 Annualized Cash Flow 164 166 168 171 2.20 2.3x 2.3x 2.2x 2.2x 158 160 163 165 2.00 AECO 2.5x 2.5x 2.4x 2.4x (CAD/Mcf) 153 155 157 159 1.80 2.7x 2.7x 2.6x 2.5x 147…
  10. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    Solid Margins Drive Earnings Cost Efficiencies Drive Higher Cash Flow/Mcfe in 2018 Diverse fixed-price Cash Costs Non-Cash Costs contracts and 4.00 financial hedges Top Line Revenue (including Hedging) deliver strong netbacks…
  11. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    Sustainable Capital Spending Cash Flow Budget 2018 Capital Budget Capital 185 million Production 366 378 MMcfe/d (61,000 63,000 boe/d) Annual Average Production Growth 45% Capital Efficiency 1,500/Mcfe/d (9,000/boe/d) Painted…
  12. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    Forecasted Capital Expenditures 2018 2018 Capital Spending Forecast Period Capital Drilling Completions Q1 93 million(e) 16 wells(e) 17 completions(e) Q2 37 million(e) 3 wells(e) 6 completions(e) Q3 35 million(e) 6 wells(e)…
  13. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    2018 Production Revenue Managing Volatility 55% of PONYs total forecast 2018 production NYMEX 7% volumes are protected through a combination of physical and financial Unhedged NGL & contracts at a volume- Condensate Condensate…
  14. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    Hedging Profile Prudent Risk Management Percentage of Product on Fixed Price Contract (Financial and Physical) 69.60 100% 71.88 bbl bbl 71.22 71.88 98% bbl 72.66 bbl 94% 90% Percentage Forecast Production Hedged bbl 88%…
  15. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    Diversified Market Exposure 2018 / 2019 Sales Contracts Support Strong Netbacks All currency CAD Index pricing as of March 1, 2018 Painted Pony actively markets the majority of natural gas volumes into a diversity of sales points…
  16. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Sales Hub Diversification Firm Transportation Supports Production Volumes Firm Transportation on Enbridges T-North, T- South, TransCanadas Groundbirch Lateral and Mainline allow PONY to diversify market access which greatly…
  17. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    Market Diversification Natural Gas Catalysts AECO 175 MMcf/d Station 2018 Average 2 SUMAS 30 MMcf/d AECO 2018 Average Med Hat Sumas 14-year contract to initially deliver Dawn Malin 10 MMcf/d to Methanexs methanol…
  18. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    The Sweet Spot Top Decile Well Performance 2,500,000 PONY has best well in 46 of top 100 North Montney with 6- wells are month cumulative PONY wells production over 2.0 Bcf 2,000,000 Cumulative Natural Gas (Mcf) Based on…
  19. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    Historical Costs Drilling & Completion Efficiency As capital well costs fell, production type curves dramatically improved Continued Sequential 6-well Management type curve Program on 17-G Pad for Perf & Plug Systems Type Curve…
  20. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    Economics By Area 2017 / 2018 Type Curves Capital Costs Management Type Curves Drilling 1.9 million Daiber (dry) Completions 2.1 million Blair (lean) Equip / Tie-in 0.55 million Townsend (liquids-rich) TOTAL 4.55 million Blair…
  21. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    Development Economics Price Sensitivity (Half Cycle) Townsend (liquids-rich) Blair (lean) Daiber (dry) 180% High-rate Daiber 160% Liquids-enhanced, wells provide Blair wells provide natural gas exposure to 140% pricing torque…
  22. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    Recycle Ratios Low Cost Reserve Additions in 2017 4.0x 1.6x Proved Developed Producing 2017 3.2x F&D Recycle Ratio 3.0x 2017 Recycle Ratios 1.9x 2.0x 1.8x 1.6x 1.6x 1.3x 1.1x 1.0x 0.0x Proved Developed Producing…
  23. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    Key Reserve Information As at Dec 31, 2017 6.9 Tcfe (1.1 Billion Historical Proved Plus Probable Reserves 8.0 boe) of Proved Plus 6.9 Probable reserves 3.1 Tcfe (500 6.0 with an NPV10 of 4.9 MMboe) of Total 4.6 3.3 billion*…
  24. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    Pony Points Checking Off All of the Boxes Top well performance with increasing liquids cut Low well costs Firm transportation to diverse pricing hubs Massive reserves base strategically positioned for LNG Attractive relative…
  25. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    Appendices and Advisories
  26. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    Financial Strength Term Debt and Credit Facility Provide Flexibility Syndicated Credit Facility 450 Million Syndicated Credit Facility Secured, Reserve Based Lending 149mm Matures April 2019 Drawn 149 million drawn as at December…
  27. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    Gas Processing Complex Processing Flexibility Jedney (13 MMcf/d) Total Processing Capacity October 2017 577 MMcf/d Owned 153 MMcf/d West Blair Third-party 424 MMcf/d (25 MMcf/d) AltaGas Blair Beg Liquids Processing - 372 MMcf/d…
  28. March 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    Corporate Overview Auditor KPMG LLP Evaluation Engineers GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. Banks The Toronto-Dominion Bank The Bank of Nova Scotia Alberta Treasury Branches Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Royal Bank of Canada…

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