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March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.

Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. · Mar 15, 2018 · 36 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 1
    Well Results at Valhalla, Wembley and Progress Confirm A Significant & Growing Liquids Rich Drill Inventory. First Wembley Well with Liquids Yield up to 277 bbls/mmcf & Condensate Yields up to 211 bbls/mmcf Investor Presentation TSX /…
  2. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 2
    ADVANTAGE AT A GLANCE TSX 52-week trading range 3.48 - 9.29 Shares Outstanding (basic) 186 million Market Capitalization 0.7 billion 2017 Production (16% Growth) 236 mmcfe/d (39,315 boe/d) Operating Costs (7% Reduction)…
  3. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 3
    MONTNEY LANDS PROVIDE NATURAL GAS AND LIQUIDS DEVELOPMENT FOR DECADES - TOTAL 200 NET SECTIONS (128,000 ACRES) Alberta Only 4% of our liquids B.C. rich lands have been drilled First Montney well 624 Progress Total 110 net…
  4. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 4
    OUR STRATEGY VALUE CREATION THROUGH DISCIPLINED CAPITAL INVESTMENT World Class Montney Asset Operating Own & Operate 100% Flexibility Plant & Infrastructure VALUE CREATION Financial Flexibility - Industry Leading Low…
  5. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 5
    SIGNIFICANT OPTIONALITY FOR 2018 AND BEYOND THROUGH FINANCIAL & OPERATIONAL FLEXIBILITY (1) 28% % of 2018 Revenue exposed to AECO prices FINANCIAL 37% % of 2018 Production Hedged at average Cdn 3.21/mcf 1.10 Cdn/mcfe Total…
  6. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 6
    2018 BUDGET FOCUSES ON LIQUIDS GROWTH & RETAINS FLEXIBLITY ( million) 30 145 2018 Highlights (1) (2) 175 to 200 Million Cash Flow & Positive Income 1.0 to 1.3x Year-end 2018 Total Debt/Cash Flow Glacier Valhalla, Wembley,…
  7. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 7
    2018 BUDGET AT A GLANCE Annual Average Production Liquids Production Capital Expenditures (mmcfe/d) (bbls/d) ( million) 2,400 249 10% 260 -30% 236 1,900 203 16% 56% 175 33% 128 1,218 915 2016 2017 2018E 2016 2017 2018E…
  8. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 8
    STRONG NATURAL GAS FIXED PRICE HEDGES /Mcf Cdn 61% 3.18 5% % of estimated natural gas 4.42 production , net of royalties 37% 3.21 56% 12% 3.08 3.67 17% 2.89 25% 2% 2.99 4.01 15% 2.71 2018 Q1 2018 Calendar 2019…
  9. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 9
    MARKET & REVENUE DIVERSIFICATION - 28% REVENUE EXPOSURE TO AECO PRICES IN 2018(1) A 0.25/mcf change in the average AECO price for a full year impacts cash flow by approximately 10 million and impacts Year End Total Debt/Cash Flow by…
  10. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 10
    NATURAL GAS TRANSPORTATION SERVICE & ADDITIONAL MARKET DIVERSIFICATION IN PLACE TCPL Transportation Service 393 mmcf/d as of April, 2021 Increasing firm service secured to 2021 Ability to reduce future total service commitments…
  11. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 11
    INDUSTRY LEADING LOW COSTS GENERATES STRONG NETBACK MARGINS AMONGST DRY OR LIQUIDS RICH GAS PRODUCERS 2017 Total Cash Costs Including PDP FD&A 2017 Netbacks Percentage of Revenue 6.00 5.00 73% 66% 4.00 58% /mcfe 51% 52%…
  12. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 12
    MAINTENANCE CAPITAL AND SURPLUS CASH FLOW SENSITIVITY ILLUSTRATIVE AT 280 MMCFE/D (Q4 2018) (NO HEDGING INCLUDED) 3 Year Cumulative Surplus 300 million Surplus Cash Flow Above 215 Million 1.20/mcf Cash Surplus MAINTENANCE CASH…
  13. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 13
    ONGOING VALUE CREATION FROM OUR HIGH QUALITY ASSETS THROUGH OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE 13
  14. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 14
    ADVANTAGES LAND BLOCKS ARE IN A LIQUIDS RICH MONTNEY FAIRWAY CONFIRMATION THROUGH RECENT DRILLING SUCCESSES Glacier Progress Valhalla Wembley Progress Upper Montney (Dry at Glacier to C3+ 40 bbls/mmcf at Valhalla) Glacier…
  15. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 15
    LIQUIDS RICH MIDDLE MONTNEY RESOURCE PLAY EVOLUTION Early 2013 - Advantage 2017/18 AAV Confirms High Liquids Discovers MM liquids in Area Yields & Wellhead (Free) C5+/Oil on New Land Blocks First AAV Progress well (LM) Initial 76…
  16. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 16
    WEMBLEY FIRST DELINEATION WELL C3+ LIQUIDS YIELD OF 277 BBLS/MMCF R9 R8 R7 Advantages First Delineation Well 12-25-72-8w6 CNQ: On 2017/06 Cum Oil: Lateral Length 2,254 meters 67,000 bbls to 2017/11 38 frac stages T73 (5…
  17. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 17
    PROGRESS FIRST DELINEATION WELL C3+ LIQUIDS YIELD OF 63 BBLS/MMCF R10 R9 R8 On 2016/08 Advantages First Delineation Cum Oil: 101,000 bbls to Well 13-31-77-9W6 Kelt CNRL 2017/12 T78 Oilwells (17 months) Gaswells Lateral Length…
  18. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 18
    AREA INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING Alberta B.C. Progress 100% owned Glacier Gas Plant, 400 mmcf/d Glacier & 6,800 bbls/d liquids 16km (10 MILES) New Compressor and Valhalla Liquids Handling AAV 100% owned Facility (Q4 2018)…
  19. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 19
    SIGNIFICANT AND GROWING LIQUIDS & DRY GAS DRILLING INVENTORY Proved Developed Multi-Layer Montney Development Wells by Layer(3) Potential across Advantage Land Blocks TOTAL 197 Lower Middle 51 31 Upper 115 337 2P Reserves…
  20. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 20
    LIQUIDS RICH EXPERTISE DEVELOPED AT GLACIER BENEFITS ALL ADVANTAGE LAND BLOCKS Recent Glacier Middle Montney Well Results (1) Increased frac stages & customized completion designs continue to 8.4 mmcf/d improve well performance…
  21. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 21
    DRY GAS EXPERTISE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE WELL ECONOMIC THRESHOLDS AT GLACIER 8 WELL PILOT PAD ON-PROD 2016 1.3 year payout at Cdn Wells producing at 10 mmcf/d after 365 2.00/mcf gas price days exceeding type curve Top Tier LM…
  22. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 22
    LIQUIDS RICH EAST GLACIER MIDDLE MONTNEY WELL ECONOMIC (1) SENSITIVITY Middle Montney at 50 bbls/mmcf C3+ (2) Break-even below 1.50 Cdn gas price at U.S. 55/bbl WTI (3) (1) Management estimates. NPV 10% pre-tax. (2)…
  23. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 23
    DRY GAS GLACIER UPPER & LOWER MONTNEY WELL ECONOMIC SENSITIVITY(1) Upper & Lower Montney Dry Gas (2) Break-even approximately 1.50/mcf Cdn with top tier Glacier dry gas wells (3) (1) Management estimates. NPV 10%…
  24. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 24
    GLACIER DRY GAS VS LIQUIDS RICH WELL ECONOMIC COMPARISON(1) Dry Gas vs Liquids Rich (2)…
  25. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 25
    GROWTH BEYOND 400 MMCF/D CAN BE ACCOMMODATED ON EXISTING PLANT SITE 100% Owned Glacier Gas Plant Positioned for Production Ramp-up Advantage Gas Plant Alliance Sales Gas Line Room for Additional Expansion Beyond 400 mmcf/d Expanding…
  26. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 26
    Clear Vision for Growth Financial Strength Proven Expertise
  27. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 27
    APPENDIX
  28. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 28
    2018 BUDGET & GUIDANCE RANGE Average Annual Production 255 to 265 mmcfe/d (42,500 to 44, 170 boe/d) Liquids Annual 1,900 bbls/d Liquids Exit 2,400 bbls/d Royalty Rate 3% to 5% Operating Costs (/mcfe) 0.25 to 0.29 Transportation Costs…
  29. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 29
    GLACIER LOCATED IN THE HEART OF THE MONTNEY RESOURCE PLAY Montney Siltstone Comparison: 700 times more permeability 4x more formation thickness Very low clay content Liquids & Improved well efficiencies strong economics Up…
  30. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 30
    ADVANTAGE - LEADING LOW COST NATURAL GAS SUPPLY Select Montney and Marcellus Natural Gas Producers Cash Costs 2018 Estimates (Cdn/mcfe) 2.77 Cdn /Mcfe 2.56 1.10 (1) (2) (3) AAV Montney Marcellus Operating costs &…
  31. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 31
    RETURN ON AVERAGE CAPITAL EMPLOYED COMPARISON 5-YEAR AVERAGE (2013 TO 2017 ESTIMATE) Advantage Montney Development After tax 5.6% Before tax 7.9% Peers Average 1.4% Comparative data is shown Cdn Large Caps Average 5.2% on an…
  32. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 32
    CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT HAS CREATED INDUSTRY LEADING EFFICIENCIES Production restrictions 32
  33. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 33
    LIQUIDS RICH GLACIER MIDDLE MONTNEY WELL PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENTS SINCE 2011 Recent well initial production test rate 2015+ Middle Montney wells with frac design changes including 20 frac stages & numerous mechanical systems to be…
  34. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 34
    DRY GAS GLACIER UPPER AND LOWER MONTNEY WELLS - IMPROVING PERFORMANCE SINCE 2008 Production restrictions Budget Type Curve (IP30 7.5 mmcf/d & 7.5 Bcf) Data: updated to December, 2017 34
  35. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 35
    GLACIER MONTNEY ASSIGNED 2P EUR PER WELL & INTERVAL Glacier - 2P Recoveries per Interval(1) of Gross HZ Wells 2P Recovery [bcf/well] Developed Undeveloped Total Developed Undeveloped Total Interval YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE…
  36. March 2018 Investor Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 36
    ADVANTAGE CONTACT INFORMATION Investor Relations 1.866.393.0393 iradvantageog.com www.advantageog.com Listed on NYSE and TSX: AAV Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. Suite 300, 440 2nd Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta T2P 5E9 Main:…

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