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April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd.

Painted Pony Energy Ltd. · Apr 9, 2018 · 30 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    TSX: PONY Investor April 9, 2018 Update
  2. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    Why we do what we do We believe: world demand for clean and reliable source of energy is rapidly growing technological advancements makes our energy cost competitive on a world scale in developing our world-class resource using the…
  3. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    Canadian Natural Gas Market Future Growth Increases in Canadian natural gas demand is expected to be significant Estimated 50% potential growth in demand for Canadian natural gas in the next 5 years. 6.0 2 Bcf/d of high…
  4. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    Proposed West Coast LNG Projects A Game Changer Proposed LNG Projects Capacity 4.0 Bcf/d Shell & Partners - LNG Canada 3.8 Bcf/d (FID expected in 2018) Pembina Pipeline Corp. 1.4 Bcf/d Jordan Cove LNG Chevron / Apache 1.3…
  5. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Corporate Profile 85% annual average daily production volume growth 2017 130% annual average daily liquids production growth Growth 93% annual adjusted funds flow from operations growth 64% Proved Developed Producing reserves…
  6. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Significant Growth Montney Pure Play Asset The Montney is the most economic natural gas liquids play in Canada 314 net sections (201,009 net acres) of Montney lands 6.9 Tcfe (1,148 MMboe) Proved Plus Probable Reserves(1) with a…
  7. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    Montney Sweet Spot Location, Location, Location Drilled first well at liquids-rich Beg during 38 sections Q1 2018 PONYs Montney Sweet Spot is: 4x thicker than the Marcellus at greater than 300 300m Beg meters (approximately 1,000…
  8. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    Processing & Transportation Firm Transportation & Processing Capacity Supports Production Volumes Jedney (13 MMcf/d) West Blair (25 MMcf/d) AltaGas Blair Beg Creek Plant (75 MMcf/d) Daiber (50 MMcf/d) Daiber Facilities…
  9. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    The Sweet Spot Top Decile Well Performance PONY has best well in North Montney with 6- 47 of top 2,500,000 100 wells month average daily production rate of are PONY more than 11 MMcf/d wells 2,000,000 Cumulative Natural Gas…
  10. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    Historical Production Profile Impressive Growth PONY is expecting 45% annual 80 average daily production growth from 2017 to 2018 366-378 MMcfe/d 70 (61,000-63,000 boe/d) Annual Average Daily Production Forecast 60 2018…
  11. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    2018 Sustainable Capital Spending Cash Flow Budget Annual Average Daily Production (forecast) Cash Flow (actuals) Annual 400 Average Daily Production (actual) 2018 Cash Flow (forecast)- Net of Interest Expense, G&A, and Capital Lease…
  12. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    Solid Margins Drive Earnings Cost Efficiencies Drive Higher Cash Flow per Mcfe Diverse fixed-price Cash Costs Non-Cash Costs contracts and 4.00 financial hedges Top Line Revenue (including Hedging) deliver strong netbacks despite…
  13. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    2018 Corporate Netback Sensitivity Cash Flow Budget Hedges provide significant 1.80 Cash Flow (including hedges) netback protection from Cash Flow (excluding Hedges) commodity price volatility, 1.60 stabilizing annual cash flow…
  14. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    Cash Flow Sensitivities 2018 Cash Flow (MM) YE Debt/Q4 Annualized Cash Flow 164 166 168 171 2.20 2.3x 2.3x 2.2x 2.2x 158 160 163 165 2.00 AECO 2.5x 2.5x 2.4x 2.4x (CAD/Mcf) 153 155 157 159 1.80 2.7x 2.7x 2.6x 2.5x 147…
  15. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    Sustainable Capital Spending Cash Flow Budget 2018 Capital Budget Capital 185 million Production Annual Average Production Growth 45% Capital Efficiency 1,500/Mcfe/d (9,000/boe/d) Drills / Completions 29 / 31 wells Painted…
  16. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Return on Average Capital Employed (ROACE) Because Returns Matter 25% 25% 20% 1-Year Canadian ROACE 1-Year US ROACE 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -5% Average Canada Average US -10% 4.2% -10% 4.3% -15% -15% -20%…
  17. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    Canadian Natural Gas Reserves As at Dec 31, 2017 PONYs Proved plus 12 Probable natural gas reserves of 6.5 Tcf 10.7 (excluding liquids) positions PONY with the 10 third-largest natural gas 9.5 reserves of any publicly Natural…
  18. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    Key Reserve Information As at Dec 31, 2017 6.9 Tcfe (1.1 Billion Historical Proved Plus Probable Reserves 8.0 boe) of Proved Plus 6.9 Probable reserves 3.1 Tcfe (500 6.0 with an NPV10 of 4.9 MMboe) of Total 4.6 3.3 billion*…
  19. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    2017 Proved Developed Producing Reserves Significant Year-over-Year PDP Growth 160,000 (981) 140,000 (15,652) 132,759 120,000 53,112 100,000 PDP Reserves (mboe) 15,554 80,000 80,726 60,000 40,000 20,000…
  20. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    Recycle Ratios Low Cost Reserve Additions in 2017 4.0x 1.6x Proved Developed Producing 2017 F&D Recycle 3.2x Ratio 3.0x 2017 Recycle Ratios 1.9x 2.0x 1.8x 1.6x 1.6x 1.3x 1.1x 1.0x 0.0x Proved Developed Producing…
  21. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    Market Diversification Natural Gas Sales Points AECO 175 MMcf/d Station 2018 Average 2 SUMAS 30 MMcf/d AECO 2018 Average Med Hat Sumas 14-year contract to initially deliver Dawn 10 MMcf/d to Methanexs Malin…
  22. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    2018 Production Revenue Managing Volatility 55% of PONYs total forecast 2018 production volumes NYMEX are protected through 7% a combination of physical and financial Unhedged NGL & contracts at a volume- Condensate weighted…
  23. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    Hedging Profile Prudent Risk Management Percentage of Product on Fixed Price Contract (Financial and Physical) 69.60 100% 71.88 bbl bbl 71.22 71.88 98% bbl 72.66 bbl 94% 90% Percentage Forecast Production Hedged bbl 88%…
  24. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    Historical Costs Drilling & Completions Efficiency As capital well costs fell, production type curves dramatically improved Management Perf & Plug Systems Type Curve 21 wells increased 50% Continued D&C cost 7.7 million type…
  25. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    Single Well Economics by Area 2018 Type Curves Capital Costs Management Type Curves Drilling 1.9 million Daiber (dry) Completions 2.1 million Blair (lean) Equip / Tie-in 0.55 million Townsend (liquids-rich) TOTAL 4.55 million…
  26. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    Single Well Development Economics Price Sensitivity (Half Cycle) Townsend (liquids-rich) Blair (lean) Daiber (dry) 180% High-rate Daiber 160% wells provide Liquids-enhanced, natural gas 140% Blair wells provide pricing torque…
  27. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    Pony Points Checking Off All of the Boxes Massive reserves base strategically positioned for LNG Top well performance with increasing liquids cut Low well costs Firm transportation to diverse pricing hubs Attractive relative…
  28. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    Appendices and Advisories
  29. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 29
    Diversified Market Exposure 2018 / 2019 Sales Contracts Support Strong Netbacks All currency CAD Index pricing as of March 1, 2018 Painted Pony actively markets the majority of natural gas volumes into a diversity of sales points…
  30. April 2018 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 30
    Financial Strength Term Debt and Credit Facility Provide Flexibility Syndicated Credit Facility 450 Million Syndicated Credit Facility Secured, Reserve Based Lending 149mm Matures April 2019 Drawn 149 million drawn as at December…

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