Chemicals Macro Environment U.S. Ethane Demand Global PE Capacity and Demand (MMBD) (MMTA) 2.5 Exports 150 Capacity Base Ethane Petchem & Price-sensitive Demand 2.0 Flexible Feedstock 100 1.5 1.0 50 0.5 0.0 0 2012 2013…
Refining Macro Environment Global Clean Product Demand (MMBD) Global clean product demand 70 Diesel expected to grow Jet Gasoline 60 50 Global utilization rates expected in low-80s, with U.S. refining in low-90s 40 30 Strong…
Integrated Midstream Network 10
Midstream 2018E Annual Year-End Run-Rate Adjusted EBITDA (B) Platform for growth 1.8 2.0 Focus on NGL value chain Expand crude and products 0.6 PSX export capability PSX PSXP 2018E year-end run-rate PSXP PSXP 1.0 1.1 adjusted…
Phillips 66 Partners Distribution Growth (cents/unit) Funding Midstream growth Organic growth opportunities Sand Hills Pipeline expansions (TX) Bayou Bridge Pipeline extension (LA) Lake Charles Isomerization Unit (LA) 67.8 64.6…
DCP Midstream DJ Basin Well positioned in low-cost supply basins 0.9 Bcf/d processing capacity Strong growth projects around existing footprint Sand Hills NGL Pipeline expansions to 365 MBD in 1Q 2018, 450 MBD in 2H 2018 Permian…
Feedstock Advantaged Chemicals Portfolio Worldwide U.S. Gulf Net Ethylene Coast Capacity: 4,810 kMTA U.S. Net Ethylene Capacity: 3,685 kMTA Middle East Net Ethylene Saudi Qatar Arabia Capacity: 1,125 kMTA 14
Chemicals Outlook 2018E Average Ethylene Production Cost Curve Middle East ethane and North (/Ton) America NGLs remain positioned at Asia Coal the low end of the cost curve 1,000 M.E. Naphtha Ethylene demand growth outpacing W.…
CPChem USGC Petrochemicals Project 1,000 kMTA polyethylene at Old Ocean, TX Started operations 3Q 2017 1,500 kMTA ethylene at Cedar Bayou, TX Mechanical completion 4Q 2017 Commissioning 1Q 2018 Long-term mid-cycle EBITDA 1.2-1.4 B…
Enhancing Returns in Refining and Marketing 17
Refining Improving returns PSX Global Clean Product Yield Billings heavy crude project (2Q 2017) Ponca City yield flexibility (4Q 2017) 85.5% 84.6% 84.1% 84.4% 84.6% Wood River FCC modernization (2Q 2018) 2013 2014 2015 2016…
Marketing and Specialties Stable, high-return businesses Marketing Enhancing U.S. fuels brands 3% volume uplift at reimaged sites Adding 25-30 European sites per year Expanding brand licensing Providing ratable refinery off-take…
Capital Structure Equity and Debt Investment-grade credit ratings 27.4 PSX BBB+ / A3 22.4 23.9 23.7 30% 22.0 27% 27% PSXP BBB / Baa3 28% 22% 26% 25% 22% 21% 10.1 10.1 Nearly 9 B of total liquidity 8.6 8.9 6.1 3.5x…
Capital Allocation Maintain financial strength, strong 2015 2017 investment-grade credit rating Fund sustaining capital expenditures Distributions Pay a growing, secure and competitive Reinvestment dividend 60% reinvestment and…
Capital Expenditures Consolidated Capital Expenditures (B) 2018E Consolidated 2.3 B 5.8 Phillips 66 2018E 1.7 B 3.8 0.8 B Growth 2.8 0.9 B Sustaining 2.3 1.8 1.8 Phillips 66 Partners 2018E 0.6 B 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017…
Distributions Important source of shareholder value Annual Dividend (/share) Growing, secure, and competitive 2.73 dividend 1.89 2.18 2.45 1.33 30% CAGR with seven increases since May 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cumulative…
Creating Value Mid-Cycle Incremental Run-Rate Adjusted EBITDA 1.5 B long-term expected (B) EBITDA growth from projects coming online 2017-2018 1.5 Shifted from heavy-investment period to increasing net cash generation Continued…
Financial Growth Adjusted EBITDA (MM) Annual performance highlights since 2014 754 58% growth in Earnings 471 75% growth in Adjusted EBITDA 285 141 65% growth in Distributable Cash Flow 33 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Earnings…
Phillips 66 Partners Capital Expenditures PSXP Capital Expenditures (MM) 2018E Capex of 595 MM 510 MM Growth Bayou Bridge Pipeline Sand Hills Pipeline 595 461 Lake Charles Isomerization Unit 352 Sacagewea Gas Pipeline 205 4…
510 MM 2018 Organic Growth Plan Bayou Bridge Pipeline Transports crude from Nederland, TX to Lake Charles, LA, and eventually to St. James, LA Increases crude supply options for Louisiana refineries Nederland to Lake Charles leg began…
PSXP Debt Profile 2.9 B Total Debt as of December 31, 2017 Senior Notes Maturity Profile (MM) 2.9 B Senior Notes, weighted average cost of 3.97%: 5-Year 300 MM notes, 2.646% coupon 10-Year 500 MM notes, 3.605% coupon 10-Year 500 MM…
Financial Flexibility Investment-grade credit rating Financial targets: 30% distribution CAGR 2013-2018 3.5x debt / EBITDA 1.1x annual coverage ratio Support Phillips 66 Midstream growth 35
Total Return Since IPO PSXP +164% 300% Closed 70 MM Closed 1.3 B Alerian MLP Index -15% acquisition acquisition Closed 2.4 B 250% acquisition Closed 775 MM 200% Closed 700 MM acquisition acquisition 150% 100% Closed 340 MM Closed…
Appendix Freeport LPG Export Terminal
Corporate Strategy Operating Committed to safety, reliability and environmental stewardship while Excellence protecting shareholder value Reshaping our portfolio by capturing growth opportunities in Midstream Growth and Chemicals…
Value Chain 39
Midcontinent Integrated Growth Midstream Palermo rail terminal/Sacagawea Pipeline (PSXP) Bakken Pipeline (PSXP) Refining, Marketing & Specialties Ponca City Yield improvement projects Tar Stripper Retirement Gas oil hydrotreater…
Western Gulf Creating a World-Class Energy Complex Midstream Sweeny Fractionator (PSXP) Freeport LPG Export Terminal Refining, Marketing & Specialties Sweeny Strategic asset integration FCC optimization Marketing &…
Eastern Gulf Refining Logistics and Midstream Growth Midstream Beaumont Terminal expansion Bayou Bridge Pipeline (PSXP) River Parish NGL System (PSXP) Refining, Marketing & Specialties Lake Charles Increase feedstock advantage…
West Coast Enhancing Returns Refining, Marketing & Specialties San Francisco Yield improvements Reduce Coker Operating Pressure Renewable diesel project Los Angeles Renewable diesel project Marketing & Specialties Grow branded…
Atlantic Basin Enhancing Returns Refining, Marketing & Specialties Bayway FCC modernization Yield improvements Marketing & Specialties Grow JET and COOP brands in Europe Increase unbranded volumes in the U.K. and U.S. Expand…
2018 Sensitivities Sensitivities shown above are independent and are only valid within a limited price range. 48
Phillips 66 Outlook 1Q 2018 Global Olefins & Polyolefins utilization Mid-90% Refining crude utilization Mid-80% Refining turnaround expenses (pre-tax) 230 MM - 260 MM Corporate & other costs (after-tax) 160 MM - 180 MM 2018…
2018 Capital Budget 50
Footnotes 1H 2017 1H 2017 is as of June 30, 2017, or the six-month period ended June 30, 2017, as applicable; except as otherwise noted. 3Q YTD 2017 3Q YTD 2017 is as of September 30, 2017, or the nine-month period ended September 30,…
Non-GAAP Reconciliation (slide 4) Millions of Dollars 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Production and operating expenses 4,206 4,435 4,294 4,275 4,699 Selling, general and administrative expenses 1,478 1,663 1,670 1,638 1,695 5,684 6,098…
Non-GAAP Reconciliations (Slide 45) Millions of Dollars Average 2012 - 2017 Marketing & FCF Reconcilition Midstream Chemicals Refining Specialties Cash From Operations GAAP 886 355 2,604 908 Less: Change in Non-Cash Working Cap. (3)…
PSXP Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow Reconciliation to Net Income (Slide 31) Millions of Dollars 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Reconciliation to Net Income Attributable to the Partnership Net income attributable to the…
PSXP Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow Reconciliation to Operating Cash Flow (Slide 31) Millions of Dollars 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Reconciliation to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities Net cash provided by operating…
Non-GAAP Reconciliations (Slide 46) Millions of Dollars Average 2012-2017 Phillips 66** Midstream Chemicals Refining M&S Corporate Phillips 66 ROCE Numerator Net Income 3,974 317 836 1,824 873 (12) After-tax interest expense 203 - - -…