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August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd.

Painted Pony Energy Ltd. · Aug 21, 2018 · 31 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    Investor Update August 1, 2018
  2. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    Why we do what we do We believe: Billion Toe (tonnes of oil equivalent) world demand for clean and reliable source of energy is rapidly growing technological advancements makes our energy cost competitive on a world scale in…
  3. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    Canadian Natural Gas Market Future Growth 6.0 5.0 2 Bcf/d of high Potential confidence demand Gas Demand Growth (Bcf/d) Canadian LNG growth in the next 5 years; Projects 4.0 potential for 8+ Bcf/d of Increases in…
  4. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    Proposed West Coast LNG Projects Game Changer T-North Enbridge Mainline Proposed LNG Projects Capacity Exxon Imperial WCC LNG 4.0 Bcf/d AltaGas Ridley Island Propane Export Terminal Shell & Partners - LNG Canada (FID…
  5. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Transportation Firm Transportation & Toll Advantage to West Coast Enbridge T-North Tolls Single toll structure 0.18/Mcf Pony can deliver at either Station 2 or Sunset Creek for single toll TransCanada AECO Tolls 0.27/Mcf…
  6. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Corporate Profile TSX: PONY 38% forecasted annual average daily production volume growth (2018 vs. 2017) Our 46% forecasted annual average daily liquids production growth (2018 vs. 2017) Growth 28% forecasted cash flow per share…
  7. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    World Class Resource Montney Pure Play Asset The Montney is the most economic natural gas liquids play in Canada 314 net sections (201,009 net acres) of Montney lands 6.9 Tcfe (1,148 MMboe) Proved Plus Probable Reserves(1) with a…
  8. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    Montney Pure Play Location, Location, Location Drilled first well at PONYs Montney Sweet Spot is: liquids-rich Beg 38 sections 4x thicker than the Marcellus at greater than 300 during Q1 2018 meters (approximately 1,000 ft.)…
  9. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    South Townsend Wells Significant Liquid Yields Two Lower Montney horizontal test wells from a single pad Open-hole ball drop completion system 1.8x over-pressured Pipeline connected to the AltaGas Townsend Facility…
  10. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    Beg Test Well Significant Untapped Value in Liquids-Rich Block Black Swan - Beg 20-H 2 Upper Montney wells 5.5 MMcf/d 7 bbls/MMcf Free Condensate Jedney 3 km Final 8 hours of seven day test Black Swan - Beg 80-G 2,000 boe/d…
  11. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    The Sweet Spot Top Decile Well Performance PONY has best well in North Montney with 6-month 47 of top 100 wells 2,250,000 average daily production rate are PONY of more than 11 MMcf/d wells 2,000,000 Based on 1,750,000…
  12. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    Production Profile Impressive Growth PONY is expecting 38% annual average daily production growth from 80 2017 to 2018 70 Year End 2017 360 MMcfe/d Production Volumes (mboe/d) (60,000 boe/d) 60 Per GLJ Reserve Report Dec…
  13. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    Historical Costs Drilling & Completions Efficiency As capital well costs fell, production type curves dramatically improved Management Continued type curve Perf & Plug Systems Type Curve 21 wells improvement with average well…
  14. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    Single Well Economics by Area Single Well Economics IRR NPV10 2018 Management Type Curves Daiber 54% 4.7 mm (dry) Blair 64% 6.2 mm (lean; 15 bbls/MMcf) Management Type Curves Daiber (dry) Townsend 39% 2.9 mm (liquids-rich; 36…
  15. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    Single Well Development Economics Price Sensitivity (Half Cycle) Townsend (liquids-rich) Blair (lean) Daiber (dry) 120% Liquids-enhanced, Blair 100% wells provide exposure to stronger Condensate, NGL and natural gas pricing…
  16. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Canadian Natural Gas Reserves Assuming Enterprise Value As at Dec 31, 2017 5.16/sh (2.85/sh equity + 2.31/sh debt) on 6.9 Tcfe of 2P Reserves 5.16/sh 0.12/Mcfe 12 PONYs Proved plus Probable natural 42.9 Mcfe/sh or = or gas…
  17. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    Reserve Information As at Dec 31, 2017 6.9 Tcfe of Proved Plus Proved Plus Probable 8.0 Total Proved Probable reserves with an 6.9 7.0 PONY Reserve Growth NPV10 of 3.3 billion* 6.0 4.9 (20.53/share) 5.0 4.6 4.0 2.9 3.0…
  18. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    Recycle Ratios Low-Cost 3-Year Average Reserve Additions 4.0x 1.6x Proved Developed Producing 2017 F&D Recycle Ratio 3.2x 3.0x 2017 Recycle Ratios 1.9x 2.0x 1.8x 1.6x 1.6x 1.3x 1.1x 1.0x 0.0x Proved Developed…
  19. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    Land Valuation Recent Land Sales Suggest PONY Undervalued Recent land sales have shown significant Recent land sales have shown value in north east BC acreage significant value in north east BC acreage PONY has five largely…
  20. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    2018 Sustainable Capital Spending Cash Flow Budget Annual Average Daily Production (forecast) 400 2018 capital development 500 Annual Average Daily Production (actual) program to be 145 - 165 Capital Development Program million,…
  21. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    2018 Corporate Cash Flow Sensitivity Cash Flow Capital Budget Cash Flow (including hedges) Cash Flow (excluding hedges) 1.60 1.40 1.20 Cash Flow (/mcfe) 1.00 0.80 0.60 Physical and financial fixed price hedges provide…
  22. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    Solid Margins Drive Earnings Cost Efficiencies Drive Higher Cash Flow per Mcfe Top Line Revenue (including Hedging) 1.50 Pre-Tax 3.50 3.35 /Mcfe Earnings Hedging Gain 0.23 1.00 0.25 PONY can deliver 3.00 earnings despite low…
  23. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    Return on Average Capital Employed (ROACE) Illustrates Operational Sustainability 25% 25% 2017 US ROACE 20% 2017 Canadian ROACE 20% 15% 15% 11% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% Average US -5% Average Canada -10% 4.3% -10% 4.2%…
  24. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    Market Diversification Natural Gas Sales Points COLUMBIA Map here BRITISH AECO Markets AECO 152 161 MMcf/d Station end of 2018 (fixed price & spot) 2 Medicine Sumas Hat SUMAS Market 28 32MMcf/d Enbridge End of…
  25. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    2018 Production Revenue Managing Volatility 63% of PONYs Q3/Q4 2018 NYMEX production volumes are protected 8% NGL & Condensate through a combination of physical and 5% financial contracts at a volume- AECO weighted average price…
  26. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    Hedging Profile Prudent Risk Management Percentage on Fixed Price Contract Fixed Price Contract Volumes (Financial and Physical) (Financial / Physical Fixed Price) Liquids FP 72.70 72.70 74.28/bbl AECO FP 100% bbl 150 Propane FP…
  27. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    Pony Points Checking Off All of the Boxes Massive reserves base Top well performance with increasing liquids cut Low well costs Firm transportation to diverse pricing hubs Attractive relative valuation Well situated to…
  28. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    Appendices & Advisories
  29. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 29
    Diversified Market Exposure 2018 / 2019 Sales Contracts Support Strong Netbacks Painted Pony actively markets the majority of natural gas volumes into a diversity of sales points and Index pricing as of August 1, 2018; All…
  30. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 30
    Financial Strength Term Debt and Credit Facility Provide Flexibility 400 Million Syndicated Credit Facility Syndicated Credit Secured, Reserve Based Lending Facility Matures May 2020 184 million drawn as at June 30, 2018 175 184…
  31. August 2018 Investor Presentation – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 31
    Corporate Overview Auditor KPMG LLP Evaluation Engineers GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. Banks The Toronto-Dominion Bank The Bank of Nova Scotia Alberta Treasury Branches Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Royal Bank of Canada…

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