Investors Update Delivering value growth through the cycle September 2018
2018-2020 Delivering value growth through the cycle 1. Company overview 2. Upstream update 3. Downstream update 4. Low carbon business 5. Financing 6. Conclusions and key targets 7. Historic data book
1 Company overview
Repsol: A unique, Integrated Global Position Company overview Core businesses: Upstream and Downstream 700 kboe/d production 2.4 billion boe proved reserves1 1 Million bpd refining capacity 2.6 Million tons of base…
A successfully-navigated journey delivering value and resilience Company overview Successful performance in Upstream doubled in size Downstream lower part of the and cash positive as of leads the EU industry commodity cycle…
Delivering value growth through the cycle Company overview 1. Increasing shareholder returns 2. Growing our portfolio profitably Dividend per share 8% p.a. growth with full buyback of shares Growth across all value-creation metrics,…
Increasing shareholder returns Company overview Dividend per share based on disbursement year /share CAGR +8% 0.80 0.80 0.95 1.00 0.90 Buybacks 0.27 0.19 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Historic cash dividend Historic scrip…
Growing our portfolio profitability Company overview At 50/bbl flat Brent CFFO at 50/bbl CAGR: +12% 0.3 0.1 6.5 Billion 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 4.6 UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM +1.0B +0.8B Expand & 2017 CFFO1 New fficiency and E…
Strategic Plan fully funded at 50/bbl Company overview Sources of cash Uses of cash Net Debt / EBITDA evolution Billion 20.8 20.8 GNF Downstream Expand and Industry Avg. divestment 3.8 4.0 1.1x Low carbon business Capex 0.9x 4.2…
Portfolio Capex: Downstream activated as a new growth engine Company overview Core portfolio Capex in line with historical levels Balanced investments across businesses 2018-2020 Capex breakdown 2018-2020 Capex breakdown by…
Our cash flow priority Company overview 2018-2020 Priorities for cash At 50/bbl With a more favorable scenario Downstream Core Sustainable Expand Organic Dividends Additional Portfolio dividend and new project & Buybacks Low…
Key metrics to 2020 50/Bbl Brent flat Company overview Production CFFO EPS DPS 2.6% CAGR +1.9B growth +0.6/share growth 8% CAGR CAGR DPS paid kboe/d 2.6% Billion EPS on year /share /share CAGR +8% 750 CAGR +12% CAGR +12%…
2 Upstream update
Core regions in the portfolio Upstream North America Europe, Africa & Brasil Unconventional portfolio, operatorship and High margin barrels, key development valuable midstream positions projects from exploration succes 174 Kboe/d…
Strategy summary Upstream 1. Sustainable scale 2. Access-advantaged 750 kboe/d with focused diversification Strong relationships in core positions Strong pipeline of development projects Proven lower cost of supply through…
2020 production growth Upstream Pipeline of Repsols short-cycle projects delivering 95 kboe/d new production LIBYA DUVERNAY YME Early Fast track Production ramp-up Production from short-cycle projects production development…
2020+ Repsol's projects with competitive returns Upstream Mid and long-term projects with attractive Repsol's new projects have competitive returns and phased developments full-cycle IRR and NPV breakeven Alaska (US) Duvernay…
Exploration strategy Upstream Technical Commercial Government related Key Exploration Basin knowledge Preferred JV partner, deal Preferential government advantages G&G Technical Specialties making and operator interaction (imaging,…
2018-2020 Capex breakdown: focus on core assets Upstream 60% of Capex allocated to growth Increased development Capex still leaner and focused on core plays than peers and focused exploration intensity 2018-2020 Exploration &…
New efficiency and digitalization program Upstream Successful cost efficiency program delivered New efficiency and digitalization program1 to 1.6B, above 1.3B target deliver 1.0B/year in FCF by 2020 Billion Billion/year 1.6…
Key target metrics to 2020 Upstream Production growth: 2.6% CAGR by 2020 Cash Flow growth: +50% 2017-2020 Production CFFO kboe/d +8% Billion +1 750 3 695 2 2017 2020 2017 2020 All while keeping FCF breakeven below…
3 Downstream update
World-class position Downstream Refining Chemicals 1 Mbpd of refining capacity Commercial High performing integrated and regional Highly competitive EU 1Q in Solomon NCM1 More than 4,700 service stations leader benchmark and fully…
Strategy summary Downstream Refining Chemicals Marketing LPG Lubricants Trading Sustain Grow Grow Sustain Grow Grow Energy efficiency Energy efficiency TwP1 Customer-centric Maintain leadership Maximize value IMO readiness…
Solid historical performance & positive outlook Downstream Leading European R&M integrated profit Repsol's assets are fully invested for IMO Repsol position of the total EU coking /bbl Repsol Leader in EU coking 25% capacity…
Refining : top quartile position among European peers Downstream (1) 5 refineries optimized as a single system Top quartile position among European peers CORUA BILBAO Product Yield % FCC Equivalent 100% TARRAGONA Diesel/Gasoil…
Chemicals Downstream Iberian Peninsula petrochemical sites Dynasol Joint Venture Panjin, China Santander, Spain Alava, Spain Tarragona Houston, USA Altamira, Production capacity (Thousand tons) Mexico Madrid, Spain Base…
Petrochemical growth in value niches Downstream WORLD Chemical Key target products Rationale POSITION strategic goals Strong global demand growth forecast (4-4.5% p.a.) Global scale in 1-3 PO-polyols Established Sales &…
Asset-light internationalization focused on two key areas Downstream Commercial Hinterland Commercial LatAm Global Trading Leverage refining logistics and Leverage Trading and Marketing Leverage Repsol Trading capabilities and…
Key target metrics to 2020 Downstream Cash Flow growth: +27% by 2020 ROACE: 18% in 2018-2020 CFFO ROACE ROACE 22 18-20 Billion +0.7 % 20 18% 3.2 2.5 2017 2020 2017 2020 Avg. Capital Employed 9.6 11.3 ( Billion)…
4 Low carbon business
Ambition to develop a new operated business Low carbon business Repsol is swapping a 5-6B exposure to a medium To an operated and synergistic position in low carbon businesses through GNF carbon businesses Gas Non-operated Operated…
Roadmap by 2025 Low carbon business Wholesale Gas Retail G&P Low carbon generation Top Leverage our industrial self consumption as the Strong brand and 10M clients base with Technical capabilities and experience in capability…
Viesgo: strengthening Repsols position as a multi-energy supplier Low carbon business Transaction data Generation assets acquired Valued at 750 million 699 Hydro 2,350 MW installed capacity MW 750,000 retail customers Combined…
Key targets for Energy Transition and New Capabilities Low carbon business 2.5B invested in Emissions reduction Leaner with digital savings of low carbon business -3% Kt/GJ CO2 0.3B/year by 2020 Capital Employed Emissions…
Conclusions Strategy Update 2018-2020 Conclusions & key targets Position of strength: Business momentum and financial robustness Superior shareholder return across the cycle: Dividend growth path and high TSR upside Strong value…
1H18 results and 2018 outlook Conclusions & key targets Main variables & company targets 70.0 70.6 3.0 2.9 7.0 6.9 1.2 1.21 2018 Budget 1H 18 2018 Budget 1H 18 2018 Budget 1H 18 2018 Budget 1H 18 Brent (USD/Bbl) Henry Hub…
Key metrics to 2020 50/Bbl Brent flat Conclusions & key targets Production CFFO EPS DPS 2.6% CAGR +1.9B growth +0.6/share growth 8% CAGR CAGR DPS paid kboe/d 2.6% Billion EPS on year /share /share CAGR +8% 750 CAGR +12% CAGR…
7 Historic data book
Environment and Repsol group Historic data book MACRO ENVIRONMENT International References Unit 2015 2016 2017 Spreads vs. Brent (/bbl) 2015 2016 2017 Brent (/Bbl) 52.4 43.7 54.2 Maya - Brent (13.8) (11.6) (9.7) WTI (/Bbl) 48.8 43.5…
Upstream Historic data book Production Proven reserves Main figures (M) 2015 2016 2017 Kboe/d Mboe Adjusted Net Income (925) 52 632 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 EBIT (1,107) (87) 1,009 Europe 29 52 51 51 62 59 Latin America 302…
Downstream Historic data book Downstream Assets Refining capacity Refining (kbbl/d) Converson index (%) Businesss Unit 2015 2016 2017 Spain 896 63 Refining Bilbao (Petronor) 220 63 Distillation utilization % 86.7 86.0 93.2…
Investors Update Delivering value growth through the cycle September 2018