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January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp

EQT Corp · Jan 22, 2019 · 37 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 1
    The New EQT New Company, New Leadership, New Focus January 22, 2019
  2. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 2
    The New EQT New Company, New Leadership, New Focus Q4 volumes exceed guidance midpoint by 20 Bcfe Q4 2018 Performance Q4 development CapEx in-line with prior guidance Back on Track Forecasted Q4 Free Cash Flow of 100 MM(1)…
  3. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 3
    EQTs Transformation Into the Leading U.S. Natural Gas Producer Our leadership transition and complex transformation is now behind us 1 3 5 7 9 After an intensive search, Launched COO search Announced plan to Announced streamlining…
  4. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 4
    The New EQT: Strong Fundamentals to Deliver Shareholder Value World-class asset base, sustainable free cash flow and financial strength Leading U.S. natural gas producer at 4.0 Bcfe per day World-Class 680,000 core net Marcellus…
  5. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 5
    Substantial Position in the Core of the Core Well-positioned to deliver sustainable free cash flow from our world-class asset base EQT Acreage Overlays the SW Marcellus Core Market Cap(1) 4.8 B Data sets include 4,000 wells in the…
  6. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 6
    Consolidated Core Position Top-tier dry, wet and rich gas Marcellus assets SW Marcellus Heat Map / Core Acreage EQTs core acreage consistently yields average EURs(1) Data sets include 4,000 wells in the Marcellus of 2.4 Bcfe / 1,000…
  7. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 7
    The New EQT: The Next Phase of Our Transformation Our plan to generate sustainable free cash flow and shareholder value Action Item Measure Timeline Deliver on 2019 plan and execute 5-year plan In Process Execution and Implement…
  8. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 8
    1 2019 Plan Supports Near-Term Free Cash Flow Approximately 350 MM of Adjusted Free Cash Flow in 2019(1) Net Development Activity (Turned in Line) Operational and Financial Detail 2019E Sales Volumes (Bcfe) 1,470 1,510 Adjusted…
  9. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 9
    1 Improvements in Capital Efficiency: 2018E vs. 2019E Reserve Development Stabilized scheduling and focus on operational efficiencies drive 2019 improvements Total D&C CapEx Cost per Foot (/ft.)(1) Spud and Turned-in-line Average…
  10. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 10
    1 Detailed 2019 Development and CapEx Plan Enhanced transparency, accountability and results 160 14,000 Average Lateral Length (ft.) 140 13,000 147 12,000 120 126 Net Well Count 11,000 100 10,000 100 80 91 9,000 60…
  11. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 11
    1 Development Efficiencies and Optimization Increasing lateral lengths and optimizing spacing generates higher single-well returns Increasing lateral well spacing optimizes reservoir development Core PA Marcellus - 13,000' Lateral…
  12. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 12
    1 5-Year Financial and Operating Plan Generates cumulative Adjusted Free Cash Flow of 2.7 B(1) 160 15,000 140 Average Lateral Length (ft.) 14,000 120 13,000 Net Well Count 100 12,000 80 11,000 60 10,000 40 20 9,000…
  13. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 13
    1 The Next Wave of Savings Target 10% Initiative Transition to Manufacturing Mode Q1 2019 Evaluation 2019 Execution 2020 Full Realization Savings Opportunities Identified Realization Timeline and Measures and Metrics in Place and…
  14. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 14
    1 Committed to Mitigating Curtailments Full realization of benefits expected by year-end 2020 Example: Single Well Wellhead Constraints(1) Minimize adjacent operations and resulting operational reductions 1,400 5% of volumes 1,200…
  15. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 15
    1 New Chief Operating Officer and Board Committee Focus on capital efficiency and operational excellence Chief Operating Officer Search underway for new external COO Identifying shortlist of highly qualified candidates Expect to…
  16. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 16
    2 Restructuring and Early Cost Reductions Annual administrative and development cost reductions of 100 MM Performed intensive internal review of corporate overhead and identified quick win development cost efficiencies…
  17. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 17
    3 Reduce Leverage and Return Capital to Shareholders 19.9% equity stake in Equitrans Midstream (ETRN) worth 1.0 B(1) Adjusted Free Cash Flow(5) Yield EQT vs. Marcellus Peers(2,3) Monetization of ETRN stake could reduce 20 %…
  18. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 18
    Rice Claims vs. The Facts No incremental free cash flow Rice Claims The Facts Not practical given capacity and acreage portfolio; All development activity focused in the PA Marcellus; EQT to drill 91 PA Marcellus wells at 13,200…
  19. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 19
    The New EQT: Strong Fundamentals to Deliver Shareholder Value World-class asset base, sustainable free cash flow and financial strength Leading U.S. natural gas producer at 4.0 Bcfe per day World-Class 680,000 core net Marcellus…
  20. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 20
    Appendix A: In-Depth Analysis of The Rice Assertions 20
  21. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 21
    EQT Has Conducted a Deep Dive Analysis We disagree with the Rice assertions The Rice claim of 400 600 MM of annual incremental free cash flow is fundamentally flawed The Rice Claims After careful analysis, the Rice claims Ignore…
  22. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 22
    Reconciling the Rice Headline Free Cash Flow Claims to EQTs Plan Rice vs. EQT free cash flow profiles are similar when adjusted on a directly comparable basis Multiple scenarios where the Rice 1 plan could deliver free cash flow…
  23. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 23
    2 Digging into the Rice 750 / ft. Well Cost Claim 3 Ignores rapid service cost inflation and assumes 100% fresh water delivery An internal review suggests that comparative PA Marcellus /ft. costs are much closer than the Rice claim…
  24. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 24
    2 Comparing the Rice 750 / ft. Well Cost Claim to EQT EQT vs. Rice: PA Marcellus / foot well costs comparison(1) Actual results reveal Rices 1H 2017 well costs were above EQTs EQT 1H 2017 TILs Rice 1H 2017 TILs 1,000 1,000 900…
  25. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 25
    2 Oil Field Service Cost Inflation Accelerated in 2H 2017 Service costs were on the rise and widely accepted 750/ft. does not align with Rices historical performance nor with current market realities Snapshot of Rice Energy…
  26. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 26
    3 Why Is Fresh and Produced Water Usage Important Critical implications for well costs and trickle-down effect on operations Water usage and associated cost treatment must be considered when analyzing comparative well costs The Rice…
  27. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 27
    4 Optimizing Well Spacing to Maximize Reservoir Development and Efficiency Rice claims that they can achieve 10% production uplift compared to EQTs current plan The Rice claim actually results in a negative production impact…
  28. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 28
    5 Analysis Fails to Consider Both Sides of the Equation LOE vs. Capital Costs - differing treatment of well cost components A simple D&C cost analysis misses important additional cost components Rice captured various well related…
  29. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 29
    Historical Drilling Performance in the Marcellus and Upper Devonian Economic optimization and geologic variation across asset drive EQTs drilling program EQTs rig program has multiple considerations: Historical EQT MRC/UD Horizontal…
  30. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 30
    Rice vs. EQT Free Cash Flow Profile Bridging the gap The Rice vs. EQT free cash flow profiles are similar when adjusted on a directly comparable basis Lateral CapEx D&C /ft. of Wells Lateral CapEx Length (ft) (MM) D&C /ft. of Wells…
  31. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 31
    Appendix B
  32. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 32
    2019 Guidance 350 MM of Adjusted Free Cash Flow(1) Full-Year 2019 Production Total production sales volume (Bcfe) 1,470 - 1,510 Liquids sales volume, excluding ethane (Mbbls) 8,130 - 8,330 Ethane sales volume (Mbbls) 5,780 -…
  33. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 33
    Detailed 2019E Activity 2019 /ft Details 2019 Total CapEx Details PA WV OH Total / Total Reserve Development PA WV OH 2019E Total Marcellus Marcellus Utica Average CapEx (MM) Marcellus Marcellus Utica of Net Wells Total Spud 60…
  34. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 34
    Long Term Value Creation 5-year Annual Volumes and Decline Rates 5-year Adjusted Free Cash Flow(1) and Adjusted EBITDA(1) Adj. FCF Adj. EBITDA 2,000 32% 35% 3.0 30% Annual Volumes (Bcfe) YE 2018 Exit Rate Decline 1,600…
  35. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 35
    Firm Transportation Portfolio Provides access, stability and opportunity Diversity of delivered markets provides significant commercial optionality Portfolio offers price stability by accessing 933,000 933,000 Dth/d Dth/d EQT…
  36. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 36
    Risk Management NYMEX Hedge position as of December 31, 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Swaps Volume (MMDth) 699 452 303 136 61 Average Price (/dth) 2.96 2.82 2.78 2.75 2.74 Calls - Net Short Volume (MMDth) 304 89 55 40 26…
  37. January 2019 Analyst Presentation – EQT Corp – slide 37
    Unit Cost Comparison Q3 2018 YTD(1) Peer-leading unit costs for LOE, G&A Lease Operating Expense (/Mcfe)(2) General & Administrative (/Mcfe) Peer Mean (excl Peer 5): 0.16 Peer Mean: 0.20 0.21 0.93 0.26 0.17 0.22 0.14 0.19…

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