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Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP

Enterprise Products Partners LP · Apr 1, 2019 · 60 slides

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Slides

  1. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 1
    ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. © ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. enterpriseproducts.com MIZUHO ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE SUMMIT April 1–2, 2019 Chris Nelly SVP, Finance and Treasurer
  2. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 2
    KEY INVESTMENT CONSIDERATIONS One of the largest midstream energy companies • Integrated system enables EPD to reduce impact of cyclical commodity swings • Large supply aggregator and access to domestic and international markets…
  3. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 3
    EPD: NATURAL GAS, NGLs, CRUDE OIL, PETROCHEMICALS AND REFINED PRODUCTS Gross operating margin (“GOM”) is how we measure the performance of our business segments. See reconciliations for closest GAAP comparison. NGL 53% Crude 21%…
  4. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 4
    EPD’S INTEGRATED MIDSTREAM VALUE CHAIN Earning Fees at Each Link N Gasoline Iso-Butane Propane NGL Fractionation Storage Gas Processing Natural Gas Pipelines Storage Crude Oil Pipelines Crude Oil Refining Refined Products…
  5. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 5
    FINANCIAL UPDATE
  6. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 6
    GROSS OPERATING MARGIN BRIDGE 2017 to 2018 New assets include Midland to ECHO, PDH, and Permian gas processing & gathering Existing assets (excluding gas plants) with operating leverage increased ?$5MM or more and did not have…
  7. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 7
    CONSISTENT FINANCIAL RESULTS THROUGH BUSINESS CYCLES (1) Total gross operating margin and distributable cash flow represent reported amounts. For a reconciliation of these amounts to their nearest GAAP counterparts, see “Non-GAAP…
  8. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 8
    0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 0 20 40 60 80 100 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ROIC WTI Crude DELIVERED CONSISTENT RETURNS ON CAPITAL “Structured For and Executing…
  9. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 9
    $2.65 1.5x $2.09 64% $2.20 65% $1.99 76% $1.94 83% $2.16 78% $2.80 62% $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Operational DCF per Fully…
  10. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 10
    FUNDING GROWTH WITH FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE (1) Proforma includes full year EBITDA for Oiltanking 3.5x 3.8x 4.2x 4.4x 4.1x 3.5x 3.3x 3.5x 3.7x 3.9x 4.1x 4.3x 4.5x 4.7x $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 $7.0 $8.0…
  11. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 11
    TRANSITIONING TO A TRADITIONAL FINANCIAL MODEL 2-year transition period (2018 and 2019); ahead of schedule Continued distribution growth Self-fund equity portion of capital investments Target debt to normalized EBITDA leverage of…
  12. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 12
    MIDSTREAM ENERGY FUNDAMENTALS
  13. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 13
    MACRO ENERGY THEMES Near Term 1–3 Years • Production growth rates may be tempered slightly from previous trajectories • DUCs, especially in the Permian, continue to grow indicative of tightness in completion services and concerns…
  14. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 14
    DUCS: ?68% OF ALL DUCS ARE IN PERMIAN, EAGLE FORD AND HAYNESVILLE Source: EIA - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 Drilled Uncompleted Wells All Others Haynesville Eagle Ford Permian
  15. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 15
    U.S. OIL AND GAS SUPPLIES GROWING FAST 6 10 12 14 16 - 4 8 12 16 20 2012 2018 2020 2022 2025 Oil & Condensate Production (MMBPD) 69 79 92 101 110 - 20 40 60 80 100 120 2012 2018 2020 2022 2025 Dry…
  16. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 16
    U.S. PROJECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR CRUDE EXPORTER Sources: EIA and EPD Fundamentals 0 2 4 6 8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2014–2017 actual exports – EIA 2018+ – EPD Fundamentals MMBPD US Prod -…
  17. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 17
    LPG SUPPLIES ALREADY EXCEED DOMESTIC DEMAND, MORE EXPORT CAPACITY REQUIRED 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 MBPD LPG Domestic Demand…
  18. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 18
    ASIA – ABOUT HALF OF LPG IS IMPORTED Currently ?40% from U.S. A large portion of this demand is consumer-oriented and relatively inelastic • Between 2012 and 2017, Chinese and Indian LPG demand grew at 17% and 8% CAGR, respectively •…
  19. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 19
    GLOBAL DEMAND FOR PETROCHEMICALS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG Sources: IMF,IEA, Bloomberg and EPD Fundamentals 100 200 300 400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Billion Lb IEA: Petchems are set to account for…
  20. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 20
    GROWTH PROJECTS UPDATE
  21. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 21
    WE CONTINUE TO GROW $5.1B of Major Capital Projects Under Construction Midland–to–ECHO I & II pipelines: commitments expected to ramp to >730 MBPD end of 2021 Shin Oak pipeline: expected to ramp to 550 MBPD in 4Q 2019 Aegis ethane…
  22. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 22
    PERMIAN EXPANSION PROJECTS >$6 Billion of Capital Investments...more to come NGL Projects Crude Oil Projects South Eddy and Waha Gas Plants added 350 MMcf/d Orla Gas Plant and related gathering • 2 processing trains (Orla I and II)…
  23. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 23
    ENTERPRISE’S PERMIAN CRUDE PIPELINE From Permian Supply Hub to Multiple Markets Two parallel pipeline systems from Midland to ECHO: • Existing 418-mile, 24” pipeline from Midland to ECHO currently at 575 MBPD; expected to increase to…
  24. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 24
    PROPOSED SEA PORT OIL TERMINAL (SPOT) 2 MMBPD of Export Capacity New Terminal Offshore Export Terminal EHSC SEALY 36” Existing EPD Pipeline Proposed Onshore Pipeline Proposed Offshore Pipeline *Design, location, and other…
  25. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 25
    LPG EXPORT TERMINAL EXPANSION Expected 2nd Half of 2019 5 8 A c r e s Capacity expected to increase 175 MBPD or 5 MMBbls/month • >30% expansion Brings total export capacity to ?700 MBPD, or 21 MMBbls/month Timeline expected 3Q…
  26. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 26
    iBDH The “Other” DeHydrogenation Project • 25% will fill Enterprise’s HPIB capacity for lubricants, additives and rubber, all on a feedstock cost-plus basis • 25% will fill Enterprise’s MTBE capacity into the export motor gasoline…
  27. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 27
    MORE GROWTH ON THE HORIZON Potential Opportunities Producer driven projects • Additional gas processing plants • Increase crude pipeline capacity from Permian Basin • Add natural gas, NGL and other crude pipeline capacity • Expand…
  28. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 28
    Market Capitalization: ?$60B Enterprise Value: ?$87B Daily Trading Value: ?$162MM As of January 30, 2019 2019 $1.765/unit FY distributions 3.5x Target Leverage(1) $2.5–$2.9B Net Growth CAPEX Reduced by $645MM potential…
  29. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 29
    APPENDIX & NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
  30. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 30
    2018: RECORD RESULTS – OPERATIONS Driven by Strong Fundamentals and New Assets 2017 2018 Change Total NGL, crude oil, petrochemical and refined product pipeline transportation volumes (MBPD): 5,780 6,282 +8.7% Equivalents pipeline…
  31. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 31
    Self-funded the equity component of $4.2 billion in growth capex (a year earlier than anticipated) Cash Flow From Operations was $6.1 billion in 2018, a 31% increase over 2017 • Provided a payout ratio of 62% with respect to 2018…
  32. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 32
    STRENGTHENING DEBT PORTFOLIO Extending Maturities Without Increasing Costs 12.6% 9.4% 29.0% 49.0% 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 30+ Year Average Maturity – Years Cost of Debt 99% Fixed Rate Debt(1) (at December 2018) 14.9 16.2 17.3…
  33. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 33
    Charter (CHTR) BB+ Netflix (NFLX) BB - Facebook (FB) 0% Amazon (AMZN) 0% Microsoft (MSFT) AAA Johnson (JNJ) AAA Kraft (KHC) 216% Qualcomm (QCOM) 141% Allstate (ALL) $32B Halliburton (HAL) $27B Ford (F) 6.9x General Motors (GM)…
  34. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 34
    NiSource (NI) $10.0B PG&E (PCG) $9.5B Entergy (ETR) 13.1x PG&E (PCG) 4.7x AES (AES) 4.1x PG&E (PCG) 2.0x So.Cal Edison (EIX) 7% PG&E (PCG) -56% NRG (NRG) BB PG&E (PCG) D Evergy (EVRG) 0% PG&E (PCG) 0% American Water (AWK)…
  35. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 35
    GROWTH CAPITAL PROJECTS 2018 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 2020+ NGL Pipeline & Services Mont Belvieu Frac 9 – 85 MBPD Done Orla gas plants – 900 MMcf/d and related P/L ( I & II in service, III 2Q 2019) Done ? Aegis ethane pipeline…
  36. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 36
    ENTERPRISE EXPORT CAPACITY Linking U.S. Supplies to Global Demand Mont Belvieu Texas City Freeport / Jones Creek Beaumont West Beaumont East ECHO Sealy Docks NGLs Refined Products Crude Oil ENTERPRISE ASSETS Morgan’s Point…
  37. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 37
    NGL Petchem & Ref. Products EPD Crude Exports HURRICANE HARVEY ENTERPRISE EXPORTS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE Sources: Waterborne (IHS), EPD Fundamentals and EPD Distribution Schedules, including estimate MBPD
  38. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 38
    NATURAL GAS GATHERING & PROCESSING Limiting the Commodity Exposure (1) Gross operating margin (“GOM”) presented for NG Gathering and NG Processing are components of total GOM amounts reported for our Natural Gas Pipelines & Services and…
  39. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 39
    MONT BELVIEU FRACTIONATION CAPACITY This chart measures total supply vs. Mont Belvieu Frac capacity and does not consider available capacity in Louisiana, South Texas or at Conway Source: IEA and EPD Fundamentals published Aug. 2018…
  40. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 40
    PETCHEM AND REFINED PRODUCTS MIDSTREAM SERVICES GOM 2017 to 2018 $715 $1,058 $172 $55 $35 $31 $21 $29 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 2017 GOM PDH & Termination of Bridging agreements MTBV Propylene Plants…
  41. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 41
    PETROCHEMICAL & REFINED PRODUCTS MIDSTREAM SERVICES $1.1B – 2018 Gross Operating Margin Propylene Production 31% Butane Isomerization 10% Octane Enhancement and HPIB 17% Refined Products 39% Capacity: ?35 MBPD HPIB: >90%…
  42. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 42
    BUTANE TO BUTYLENE VALUE CHAIN Existing DeHydro Unit (with MTBE Unit) has been in operation for 24 years There continues to be very high growth in isobutylene derivative markets • As the isobutylene market demand has grown…
  43. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 43
    ENTERPRISE ETHYLENE SYSTEM Under Development • Cavern capacity 600 million lbs. • Cavern In / Out delivery rates expandable up to 420,000 lbs. per hour • 8 industry pipelines within half mile of Enterprise storage header • Additional…
  44. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 44
    HOUSTON WTI FUTURES DELIVERY POINT SUPPLY / MARKET CONNECTIVITY Colorado City Crane Seabrook Logistics Valero 190 MBD HR 264 MBD PRSI 112 MBD XOM Baytown 560 MBD Shell DP 326 MBD MARATHON 86 MBD MARATHON 459 MBD VALERO…
  45. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 45
    ENTERPRISE CME / NYMEX HOUSTON WTI FUTURES CONTRACT Meeting customer demands: Specifications are reflective of Midland crude and provide a consistent, quality barrel of crude oil • 40 –44 API • 0.275% sulfur • 4 ppm nickel • 4…
  46. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 46
    RIG COUNTS: 58% OF RIGS ARE IN PERMIAN, EAGLE FORD AND HAYNESVILLE Source: Baker Hughes 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Baker Hughes Rig Counts All Others Haynesville Eagle Ford Permian
  47. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 47
    INDIA + ASIA: 52% OF ALL U.S. GULF COAST NGL EXPORTS! Source: Waterborne 2018 USGC Exported C2: 47 MMB C3: 286 MMB C4: 51 MMB Europe: 8% of U.S. NGL Exports C2: 16 MMB C3: 14 MMB C4: 2 MMB Far East Asia: 43% of U.S. NGL…
  48. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 48
    Company Capacity Billion lb/year Ethane Capacity (MBPD) Ethane Capacity Cumulative (MBPD) Estimated Completion Date Location Occidental Chemical / Mexichem 1.2 40 Operational Ingleside, TX Chevron Phillips Chemical 3.3 90…
  49. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 49
    ETHANE TO POLYETHYLENE MARGINS STRONG Sources: Hodson, EIA and EPD Fundamentals Exports New Builds New Builds HDPE + LDPE is ?60% of production Production incl. rejected ethane Indicative U.S. Ethylene Cracker Profit Margin by…
  50. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 50
    IEA EXPECTS NATURAL GAS TO HELP REDUCE CO2 EMISSIONS AT THE EXPENSE OF COAL AND OIL Reality is that the world needs fossil fuels. Natural gas is expected to play a central role in reducing CO2 emissions. Natural gas is needed to…
  51. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 51
    POWER GENERATION FROM SHALE NATURAL GAS AND RENEWABLES HAS LED TO LOWER CO2 EMMISSIONS Source: EIA 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Total Emissions in Million Metric…
  52. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 52
    SHALE PRODUCED LPG AND NATURAL GAS SUPPORT EMERGING ECONOMIES WITH CLEANER FUELS Without access to cleaner fuels, poorer nations use wood and exacerbate deforestation and soil erosion problems. More over, propane for example emits 35%…
  53. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 53
    U.S. LPG...CHANGING LIVES AROUND THE WORLD In China’s Coal Country, a Ban Brings Blue Skies and Cold Homes (New York Times – February 10, 2018) https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/10/world/asia/chinacoal-smog-pollution.html A graveyard…
  54. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 54
    NGLS PRODUCE ADVANCED MATERIALS FOR MAKING LIGHTER CARS AND PLANES A large portion of NGLs (about 35% ) are consumed as a feedstock for producing plastics and chemicals, which are used in everyday life. Advanced plastics and coatings…
  55. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 55
    ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE (“ESG”) PRIORITIES Governance and Oversight: • The Governance Committee oversees implementation of policies related to environmental protection, transportation compliance, health & safety policies,…
  56. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 56
    ESG PRIORITIES (continued) Environmental Stewardship Principles: Continuous monitoring of environmental data, allowing us to anticipate and prevent issues. Internal monitoring systems allow us to track operational and emissions data,…
  57. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 57
    TOTAL GROSS OPERATING MARGIN We evaluate segment performance based on our financial measure of gross operating margin. Gross operating margin is an important performance measure of the core profitability of our operations and forms the…
  58. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 58
    ADJUSTED EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA is commonly used as a supplemental financial measure by our management and external users of our financial statements, such as investors, commercial banks, research analysts and ratings agencies to…
  59. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 59
    DISTRIBUTABLE CASH FLOW Distributable cash flow is an important non-GAAP financial measure for our limited partners since it serves as an indicator of our success in providing a cash return on investment. Specifically, this financial…
  60. Mizuho Energy Summit – Enterprise Products Partners LP – slide 60
    FREE CASH FLOW Free cash flow is a measure of how much cash a business generates after accounting for capital expenditures such as plants or pipelines. We believe that free cash flow is important to traditional investors since it…

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