Value Proposition Resilient and Well Positioned to Capture Upside Growing Funds Flow and Free Cash Improving Cost Structure and Margin Capture Returns- Focused Growth Re-Investment and Dividend 2 • Production and throughput…
Updated Five-Year Plan (2018-2022) Plan Remains On Track, Using Flat $60 US WTI $B Funds From Operations CAGR ’18A-’22F 6% Key Metrics ’18 ’22F ’18-22F CAGR1 Cash Flow Operating Activities $4.1B $5B 6% Funds from operations…
Resilience to Unpredictable Commodity Prices Setting Husky Apart Net Debt to Trailing FFO1 (Q4 ’18) Peer Group times Resilience through: • Strong balance sheet • Integrated model • Growing high netback, fixed-price business in…
Tight Integration Largely Eliminates Differentials Setting Husky Apart Resilience through: xx • Strong balance sheet • Integrated model • Growing high netback, fixed-price business in Asia • High weighting of low sustaining…
Growing High Netback Business in Asia Setting Husky Apart 6 Resilience through: • Strong balance sheet • Integrated model • Growing high netback, fixed-price business in Asia • High weighting of low sustaining capital assets and…
Resilience through: • Strong balance sheet • Integrated model • Growing high netback, fixed-price business in Asia • High weighting of low sustaining capital assets and projects • Low earnings break-evens Growing Proportion of Low…
Resilience through: • Strong balance sheet • Integrated model • Growing high netback, fixed-price business in Asia • High weighting of low sustaining capital assets and projects • Low earnings break-evens Low Break Evens, And…
W. Canada Bitumen and Heavy Oil – Shielded Through Integration W. Canada Gas Not Exposed to AECO Discount Asia Pacific Gas – Receiving ~5x Current AECO Gas Price Offshore Liquids – Receives World Oil Pricing W. Canada Oil and Gas…
ESG Performance and Reporting Measuring Performance and Improving Disclosures Water use and availability Air emissions management, including carbon Land use and reclamation Community & Indigenous People’s Engagement Business…
Two Businesses Each Has Built-in Sustainable Competitive Advantages Integrated Corridor Offshore 11 Asia Pacific Atlantic
Five-Year Plan Milestones Project Execution in the Integrated Corridor and Offshore
1.Maintain
Balance Sheet Low Leverage, Ample Liquidity Net debt $2.9 billion, including $2.9 billion in cash • $4.3 billion in unused credit facilities • Total debt to capital employed: 22.7% (Q4 ‘18) • Debt…
Capex Program Drives Improving Cost Structure Lowering Operating Costs and Break-Even Oil Price Investment hurdle rate of 10% IRR at $45 US WTI and/or $2.00 per mcf AECO • Investment options in both the Integrated Corridor and…
Integrated Corridor Optimizing the Entire Value Chain Reserves base (YE ’18) • 2.2 billion boe of proved & probable reserves Production of 241 mboe/day (Q4 ’18) • 133 mbbls/day thermal bitumen • 60 mbbls/day non-thermal oil and…
Integrated Corridor Growing Higher Quality Production and Increasing Downstream Flexibility Integrated Corridor Upstream Production Profile Thermal Development Western Canada Production Cold & EOR mboe/day Heavy Oil & Bitumen…
Lloyd Advantage Full Value Chain Netbacks Low cost thermal production • Low cost refining and upgrading • Higher value, diverse basket of finished products1,2 • Higher finished product yield (98%) • Extensive local market demand…
Sunrise to Toledo “One-Step” Refining, No Upgrading Required 20 • Toledo high-TAN project added processing capacity for all Sunrise crude • Dilbit delivered directly to Toledo • No upgrading cost, no volume lost • High finished…
Midstream Value Chain Crude Storage and Export Pipeline Capacity to U.S. Capturing Location Differentials Midstream Value Chain (Q4 ‘18) • 75,000 bbls/day capacity on existing Keystone • 3.1 million barrels of storage at Hardisty…
Maximizing Value From Every Barrel Downstream • Maintain Downstream integration with Upstream production • Insulation from both location and quality differentials • Ongoing investments to increase heavy oil processing capacity •…
Flexibility of Feedstock, Product Mix and Markets Downstream Connectivity
Tightly Integrated Growth Engine Heavy Oil and Oil Sands • 170,000 bbls/day today, growing ~40% to ~240,000 bbls/day by 2022 • Modular, scalable designs lowering operating costs and sustaining capital requirements • Physically…
Large Inventory of Low Cost Production Thermal Business Thermal Bitumen Production Growth (2018-2022F) 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 \'18 \'19F \'20F \'21F \'22F Thermal Bitumen Production ’18 -’22F 50+% mbbls/day…
Improving Capital Efficiency & Operating Costs Thermal Business 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 \'14 \'15 \'16 \'17 \'18 Sunrise Tucker Lloyd Thermal Average $/bbl Lloyd Thermal Project Capital Efficiency Improvements Thermal Production…
60,000 Barrels Per Day Sunrise Energy Project • Reached design capacity of 60,000 bbls/day (total) • Target production per well pair: 800-900 bbls/day • 55 well pairs in Initial Development Area now at 815 bbls per well pair • 14…
Unlocking Further Potential At Sunrise Next Steps • De-bottlenecking initiatives to create future capacity • Regulatory approvals in place for 200,000 bbls/day (total) • Targeting increased returns with modular approach and…
Competitive stand-alone business • Flexible short-cycle capital spending profile • Minimal AECO exposure • Pivoting to liquids • Multiple egress options enable growth • Room to run 33 Production Growth Profile mboe/day Legacy…
Competitive stand-alone business • Flexible short-cycle capital spending profile • Minimal AECO exposure • Pivoting to liquids • Multiple egress options enable growth • Room to run 33 Production Growth Profile mboe/day Legacy…
Wembley-Montney Appraisal Complete, Moving to Development 34 Wembley position within an established fairway • 50 net developable sections in liquids-rich gas window • Multi-layer pad development potential • Future development…
Ansell Spirit River Building Towards Full Field Development 35 • Development moving from Wilrich to full Spirit River • Drilling to keep pace with capacity and egress • 350 Spirit River potential drilling opportunities1,2 • Cardium…
Minimal Exposure To AECO Market Optionality Integration delivers value • Production offsets gas consumption • 160 mmcf/day export capacity to U.S. markets • Forward sales of gas volumes • Gas storage for seasonal sales Positioned…
Self-Funding, Synchronized Build-Harvest Cycles
Infill Wells Bridging to West White Rose Active Development Program • ~75,000 bbls/day peak production (52,500 bbls/day Husky W.I.) in 2025 • Low incremental operating costs • Construction of Concrete Gravity Structure and topsides…
Infill Wells Bridging to West White Rose Active Development Program • ~75,000 bbls/day peak production (52,500 bbls/day Husky W.I.) in 2025 • Low incremental operating costs • Construction of Concrete Gravity Structure and topsides…
Exploration Short, Mid and Long Cycle Projects 41 Near-term: Near-Field Exploration Success • White Rose A-24 discovery in 2018 • Encountered 85+ metre net pay thickness oil-bearing sandstones • Northwest White Rose A-78 in 2017 •…
High Netback Production and FFO Stability Asia Pacific Business Delivering >$60 per boe Operating Netbacks Liwan Start Up 1 See Slide Notes and Advisories 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2…
China (Liwan 3-1, Liuhua 34-2 & 29-1) • Q4 2018 production of ~197 mmcf/day (3-1 & 34-2) • Take-or-pay contract 165 mmcf/day (net) • 29-1 field sanctioned, first gas expected in 2020 • $250M US in exploration cost recovery Indonesia…
Mid-Term Appraisal / Exploration Projects Ongoing Exploration Throughout the Region 45 China Liwan Gas Project Hong Kong Hainan Blocks 15/33 & 16/25 • New discovery on 15/33 • Shallow water • Close proximity to FPSO •…
Configured to Benefit From IMO 2020 Rule Flexibility to Adjust to Market Conditions Oil-Based Marine Fuel Consumption Refined Products By Facility (Percentage of Throughput) 48% 8% 27% 43% 71% 37% 13% 55% 6% 9% 45% 21% 16%…
Innovation and Technology Unlocking Further Potential Production Optimization • Diluent reduction module for lower costs, GHG emissions at Sunrise (pilot under construction) • Improved steam utilization and process safety using…