Competitively Advantaged Business Model 1, 2, 3) See Slide Notes and Advisories Atlantic ? High-netback production ? Global pricing ? Production growth Asia Pacific ? Attractive, long-term contracts ? Fast-growing market…
Integrated Corridor – Manufacturing Process Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Sales Opportunities Purchase Opportunities
Growing Demand For Integrated Corridor Products • Husky is well-positioned as a growth business in a growing market • Demand1 is being led by aviation, petrochemicals, global population and GDP growth in the developing world 1)…
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Increasing Revenue • Improving uptime and reliability • Upstream production growth • Refining throughput capacity growth with increased heavy oil processing • Expanding end-user markets for…
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture: Example Integrated Operating Margin (55%) $0.95B $0.7B In Both Cases: ~$84 CAD Brent Prices $B Infrastructure & Marketing Infrastructure & Marketing Infrastructure & Marketing 1)…
Offshore Business Forecast Demand Global Oil Demand2 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 China 1, 2) See Slide Notes and Advisories Asia Gas Demand1
Improving Performance 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Husky Sustaining Capex Sustaining + Dividend Cash Flow Break-Even2 WTI Required to Fund Sustaining Capex and Dividend (2019F, US$/boe) Source: BMO Capital Markets research. Peers:…
Deep Portfolio • Added 279 mmboe of proved reserves in 2018 • 260% proved reserves replacement ratio1 • Proved reserves of 1.5 mmboe (before royalties) • Probable reserves of 1.1 mmboe (before royalties) 1) See Slide * Husky Working…
Business Plan Update – What’s New? Strategic • Implementation of High Reliability Organization principles • Canadian retail and commercial fuels business sale process • Prince George Refinery sale process • Downstream business…
Free Cash Flow Of $8.7 Billion Over Next Five Years 0 100 200 300 400 500 \'19F \'20F \'21F \'22F \'23F \'18-\'22 Plan \'19-\'23 Plan Production Quotas mboe/day $B 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) See Slide Notes and Advisories Free Cash…
Husky Energy Inc. 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Revenue net of royalties, less purchases of crude oil Costs & Operating Margin Revenue net of royalties, less purchases of crude oil Costs & Operating Margin…
Offshore Business Outlook 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F 2025F 2026F Asia Pacific Atlantic Production mboe/day 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 (0.5) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5…
Delivering Our Plan • Safe and reliable operations • Production and throughput growth from a large inventory of higher margin projects = returns-focused growth • Improving earnings and cash break-evens • Strong growth in funds from…
Delivering Our Plan • Safe and reliable operations • Production and throughput growth from a large inventory of higher margin projects = returns-focused growth • Improving earnings and cash break-evens • Strong growth in funds from…
Building A High Reliability Organization (HRO) Safety & Operations Integrity HRO Principles & Safety Culture • Knowledge and learning • Standards and procedure compliance • Questioning attitude • Team backup • Integrity
Actions Since Joining Husky Safety & Operations Integrity • Discussions with Board and senior management • Familiarization with team and internal stakeholders • Review of Husky’s previous incidents • Review of safety organization…
What I’ve Learned Safety & Operations Integrity • Board and senior management: • Truly understand process safety and are fully dedicated to getting this right – becoming a worldwide top-quartile safety performer • Believe that…
Priorities For The Next Three Months Safety & Operations Integrity • Visit the remaining assets to deepen my understanding of Husky’s existing safety culture and to prioritize opportunities for improvement in operational excellence…
Plan For The Next 12-18 Months Driving Towards World-Class Performance • Shift towards leading rather than lagging process safety indicators • Make the HRO principles the backbone of our operations, including a strong culture of…
Responsible Energy Production ESG Ratings by Major Oil-Producing Country Source: BMO Capital Markets, Yale Environmental Performance Index (EPI); Social Progress Imperative; World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators Notes: Equal…
Priority Topics Water Use & Availability Air Emissions Management, including GHGs Land Use & Reclamation Community & Indigenous People’s Engagement Business Ethics and Transparency Talent Management & Culture of Inclusion…
Air & Water Emissions • Lowering energy intensity at Sunrise and Tucker • Gas re-injection in the Atlantic region • Supplying cleaner-burning natural gas from Liwan to growing markets in Asia Water Use • Recycling 88% of water at…
Asset Retirement Leadership: Area-Based Closure 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Well Abandonments • Timely and effective retirement of active sites that have no future production potential • Husky…
Social & Governance • Executive compensation more tightly aligned with safety performance • Enterprise Risk Management System • Evaluate suppliers against safety and environmental goals • Confidential Ethics Help Line • Diverse and…
Lower Capex, Higher FCF: Bias Toward Dividend Growth • More free cash flow to allocate • Bias towards increasing shareholder returns • No need to pay down debt • Pricing assumption unchanged at flat $60 US WTI • Chicago crack $18…
Maintain Balance Sheet Strength No need to allocate capital to debt reduction < 2x Net Debt to FFO at $40 US WTI 1, 2) See Slide Notes and Advisories Plan Execution -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Net Debt…
Fund Sustaining Capital 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F mboe/day Throughput Production Keep Upstream Production Flat / Run Operations Safely & Reliably Upstream Sustaining Capital $1.3B…
Allocation Of Discretionary Free Cash Flow • Already strong, no need to de-lever • Aim to stay below 2x net debt to FFO at $40 US WTI Maintain Balance Sheet Strength Cumulative Free Cash Flow ’19F-’23F $8.7B • Limited…
Rigorous Criteria For Any Additional Growth Capex • Satisfied with current growth profile • Will not accelerate in order to preserve capital efficiency Organic Growth • M&A criteria: 1. Fit within Husky’s strategy 2. Maintain…
2019-2023 Plan Update 0 100 200 300 400 500 \'19F \'20F \'21F \'22F \'23F \'18-\'22 Plan \'19-\'23 Plan Production Quotas mboe/day $B 1) See Slide Notes and Advisories Free Cash Flow $B 0 50 100 150 200 250 \'19F…
Becoming A High Reliability Organization • Building on High Reliability Group safety assessment • Improving safety and reliability across business segments • Single Downstream manufacturing organization • Focus on standards and…
Project And Operations Update – What’s New? Offshore • Implementation of HRO principles • Ramp-up of SeaRose FPSO • West White Rose Project paced to focus on capital efficiency • Startup still planned for 2022 • Madura fields…
Integrated Corridor Strategy • Includes upgrading and refining, ample storage and committed pipeline capacity to our U.S. refineries. • Eliminates exposure to heavy-light and location differentials • Physical integration provides…
Updated Production And Throughput Forecasts 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 \'19F \'20F \'21F \'22F \'23F Lloyd Thermals Oil Sands WC Resource Conventional Heavy Production mboe/day 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 \'19F…
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Lloyd Thermals & Oil Sands • Long-life assets with a large resource • Modular, scalable designs • Low and improving operating costs and sustaining capital costs Western Canada •…
Leveraging Existing Infrastructure Drives Efficiencies BD Project Asia Pacific Atlantic • West White Rose tieback to SeaRose FPSO • 29-1 tieback to Liwan platform • Madura Strait fields offshore Indonesia linked by existing East…
Fixed-Price Asia Gas Complemented By Oil Price Torque Asia Pacific • High netback long-term contracts • Established partnerships • Leveraging existing infrastructure • Exploration opportunities Atlantic • High netbacks with global…
Innovation Gateway Driving New Technology Adoption Husky Diluent Reduction Program CO2 Carbon Capture Remote Fibre Optic Leak Detection Well Monitoring Well Optimizations Use iceberg photo Iceberg Management 59 Improving Safety,…
Husky Diluent Reduction Program (HDR) HDR at Sunrise • Diluent reduction module pilot Energy Project program at Sunrise • Partial upgrading solution • Creates pipeline-ready, stable crude • Lowers costs • Reduces GHG emissions •…
Leveraging Artificial Intelligence For Remote Wells Well On/Off Visibility Connected Well (iIoT) Data Gathering Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence Where we are today . . . . . . and where we are going Performance Diagnostics…
Reducing Our Carbon Footprint • Historically trialed different CO2 capture technologies at Pikes Peak South • New novel technology pilot successfully captured 0.5 tonnes/day in 2018 and is now being evaluated for commercial…
Reducing Risk & Costs In The Atlantic Wave Height Prediction Peer Collaboration • Petroleum Research Newfoundland & Labrador (PRNL) • Joint industry partnerships Improving Safety • Iceberg drift prediction • Wave height…
Major Project Execution: Integrated Corridor & Offshore Five-Year Plan Milestones
Four Strategic Cornerstones • Safe and reliable operations • Balancing production, processing and logistics • Physical integration with optionality • Substantial positive cash flow
300,000 bbls/day processing capacity • Product marketing centered in Ohio • More than six million barrels of tank storage • 75,000+ bbls/day long distance crude pipeline Asphalt Refinery • Capacity: 30 mbbls/day • Supplies ~4% of…
Lloydminster Upgrader • Heavy crude capacity 80,000 bbls/day (2018 throughput of 74,200 bbls/day including the turnaround) • Operating cost of $7.21/bbl (2018) • Expansion in mid-2020 to 81,500 bbls/day • Diesel production…
Lima Crude Oil Flexibility Project • 2018 major turnaround scope completed; peak capacity increased to 175,000 bbls/day • Project to be completed at end of 2019 • 80% complete • 20% commissioned • Ahead of schedule and on budget •…
Superior Refinery Rebuild • Same design and capacity • Modernizations and safety enhancements • Main areas of rebuilding: • Crude unit • Fluid Catalytic Cracking Unit (FCCU) • Asphalt tanks • Latest and most advanced emissions…
Heavy Oil Blend vs. Downstream Processing & Pipeline Capacity Downstream Heavy Blend Processing & Pipeline Capacity Heavy Oil Blend mbbls/day 72 Heavy Oil Coverage Line • Heavy oil bitumen blend matched to Downstream heavy…
Physically Integrated Corridor Production Oil sands Heavy oil Light oil Natural gas Market Hubs Edmonton Hardisty Patoka Cushing Logistics Crude pipelines Gas pipelines Product pipelines Railcars Barge Trucks Storage…
Short-Term Opportunity Capture Crude trading sells low gasoline yield crude oil and purchases high yield crude Crude scheduling priorities shipments of high gasoline yield crude Manufacturing adjusts operations for maximum…
1) Composite calculated using a Husky asset sales volume weighted average of Chicago 3-2-1, HLU differential and Edmonton 2-1-1 prices. 2) Husky Downstream excludes Canadian product sales volume and margin, and includes allocation of…
Husky Downstream We are transforming Downstream through a new operating model • Renewed focus on safe, reliable operations • A leaner, integrated Downstream focused on the Integrated Corridor • Increasing our speed of action to…
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Western Canada • Competitive, integrated business • Pivoting to liquids • Gas production fuels thermal growth and Canadian Downstream facilities Downstream • Increasing speed of action to…
Supplying Low Cost, Reliable Feedstock What’s New • Implementing HRO principles • Pacing of Lloyd thermal projects • Focus on Sunrise & Tucker margin capture vs. growth • Investing in technologies to improve efficiency Top…
In-Flight & Future Projects Capacity Startup Thermal Bitumen (bbls/day) Dee Valley 10,000 2019 Spruce Lake Central 10,000 2020 Spruce Lake North 10,000 2020 Spruce Lake East 10,000 2021 Edam Central 10,000 2022 Dee Valley 2 10,000…
10 thermal projects producing 82,500 bbls/day • Modular, scalable designs with standardized engineering & construction • Rush Lake 2 continues to perform above nameplate • Project break-evens of $30/bbl WTI • Not impacted by Alberta…
60,000+ bbls/day in Dec. 2018 (30,000 bbls/day Husky WI) • Potential to increase steam capacity by 123% • Cost reduction target of $10/bbl in ~2021 • Currently impacted by Alberta production quotas Target production per well pair:…
Surpassed 30,000 bbls/day (October 2018) • Exceeded design capacity after overcoming tough reservoir • Operating costs of $12.64/boe; operating netback of $33.50/boe in Q1/19 • Focus on cost reduction with $10 per boe goal in ~2021…
2.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F Growth Capital Operating Margin Sustaining Capital Cumulative Op. Margin Less Capital Heavy Oil & Oil Sands Operating Margin Less Capital $B 0 50…
Applying Technology To Heavy Oil & Oil Sands HDR at Sunrise CO2 Capture Need Photo Near Term/Commercialization Stage Up and Coming Need Photo Debottlenecking Artificial Intelligence Improved Pad Designs
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Western Canada • Competitive, integrated business • Pivoting to liquids • Gas production fuels thermal growth and Canadian Downstream facilities Downstream • Increasing speed of action to…
Competitive, Integrated Business Liquids Revenue ’19-’23F ?12% mboe/day $mm Highlights • Implementing HRO principles; top-tier safety results in 2018 • Large resource base with optionality for liquids or gas growth •…
Technology Delivering Results Ansell Wilrich Well Cost Ansell mmcf/day Wilrich Type Well1 • Continuous multi-well pad development • Drilling analytics and new technology • Subsurface well design placement • Higher proppant and fluid…
Western Canada Core Growth Areas Deep Portfolio Of Resource Play Projects Provide Optionality Wembley/Sinclair Condensate (Montney) 120 net sections Grande Prairie Kakwa Liquids-rich gas (Spirit River) 35 net sections Ansell…
Wembley – Sinclair Liquids-rich Montney: • Materiality: Three stacked horizons; 120 sections • Liquids yield: Up to 150 bbl/mmcf total NGL (deep cut) • Egress: 2019 secured, long-term plan in progress • Production: Six wells planned…
Marketing Strategy Yields Strong Realized Pricing Husky Export Capacity 160 mmcf/day Husky Internal Consumption Q1 ’19 290 mmcf/day Husky North America Gas Production Q1 ’19 300 mmcf/day AECO (NIT) Lloyd Complex &…
Maximizing Full Value Chain Margin Capture Western Canada • Competitive, integrated business • Pivoting to liquids • Gas production fuels thermal growth and Canadian Downstream facilities Downstream • Increasing speed of action to…
Offshore Business Atlantic • High netbacks with global oil pricing • Direct access to tidewater • Leveraging existing infrastructure • Defined growth into next decade • Exploration opportunities Asia Pacific • High netback…