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July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd.

Painted Pony Energy Ltd. · Jul 3, 2019 · 29 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 1
    Investor Update July 3, 2019
  2. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 2
    Why we do what we do Our Mission is to establish Painted Pony as a low-cost supplier of clean natural gas to Canada and the world. We believe: world demand for clean and reliable energy is Oil rapidly growing Percentage of…
  3. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 3
    Global LNG Market Demand Growth Mtpa (Million Tonnes per Annum) is a typical measurement unit in Global LNG Global LNG Demand LNG markets for production demand forecasted to 500 Approximate conversion: increase 1 mtpa = 0.132…
  4. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 4
    Proposed West Coast LNG & LPG Projects Game Changer T-North Enbridge Mainline LNG Projects Capacity British LNG Canada Columbia Shell, Petronas, Mitsubishi, Petro- 1.9 3.8 Bcf/d China, KOGAS (Under Construction) AltaGas…
  5. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 5
    Alberta Natural Gas Market Continued Demand Growth Significant demand growth is taking place in Alberta Alberta is expected to increase (Bcf/d) 8.0 8.0 natural gas consumption by over Steady phase-out of coal in 45% between…
  6. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 6
    Corporate Profile TSX: PONY 3-Year Adjusted Funds Flow Growth Profile (YE 2016 2018) 104% Increase in Adjusted Funds Flow Per Share 149% Production Volume Increase Forecasted 2019 Production 324 - 336 MMcfe/d (54,000 56,000…
  7. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 7
    World Class Resource Montney Pure Play Natural Gas Pipeline Coastal GasLink Pipeline Asset The Montney is the most economic natural gas and natural gas liquids play in Canada British Alberta Columbia 305 net sections (195,187…
  8. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 8
    Montney Pure Play Location, Location, Location PONYs Montney Sweet Spot is: 38 sections 4x thicker than the Marcellus at greater 36 than 300 meters (approximately 1,000 ft.) sections Beg thick Dry Liquids a continuous sweet…
  9. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 9
    The Sweet Spot North Montney 6-Month Cumulative Production Volumes British Columbia 2,250,000 PONY has the best well in North Montney with North 6-month average daily Montney PONY 2,000,000 production rate of more than 11…
  10. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 10
    Development Horizons Deep inventory of untapped Montney opportunities across Significant Unrealized Upside Across 7 Layers of Montney Resource PONYs 305 net sections Doig formation Townsend Blair Beg 1 2 3 4 5 6 Upper Montney…
  11. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 11
    2018 Reserves Significant Resource, Significant Value 6.9 Tcfe of Total 2P (3) Proven 1.0 Tcfe of PDP reserves Reserves Developed Producing 19% annual growth of PDP reserves at a cost of 0.55/Mcfe (14% of Reserves) 31% annual…
  12. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 12
    2018 Natural Gas Reserves Fourth-Largest 2P Natural Gas Reserves PONYs 2P natural gas reserves of 6.4 Tcf (excludes liquids) positions PONY 12 11.7 with the 4th largest natural gas Proved plus Probable Reserves (Tcf)…
  13. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 13
    2018 Reserves Consistently Profitable Recycle Ratios Industry leading PDP recycle ratio delivered returns through Corporate Netback* 1.71/Mcfe corporate netbacks which 2018 PDP PDP Finding, Development = = 3.1x Recycle Ratio…
  14. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 14
    Land Valuation Recent Land Sales Suggest PONY Undervalued Recent land sales have shown Recent land sales have shown significant value in north east BC significant value in north east BC acreage acreage PONY has five largely…
  15. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 15
    Market Diversification & Growing US Exports Higher Prices for Natural Gas; PONY 2018 Realized Price 69% Higher than AECO 5A St 2 Market 29 MMcf/d 2019 average PONY Sales / Pricing Exposure (spot) AECO AECO Market Station 132…
  16. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 16
    Transportation Firm Transportation & Toll Advantage to West Coast Enbridge T-North Tolls Single toll structure 0.24/Mcf Pony can deliver at either Station 2 or Sunset Creek for single toll TransCanada AECO Tolls 0.27/Mcf…
  17. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 17
    Cost Structure 2019 Q1 Actual Top Line Revenue Challenging Commodity Price Environment 3.67/Mcfe, (excluding realized hedging) 2018 Top Line Revenue (actual) (excluding realized hedging) 2019 Top Line 3.19 ( ) 3.49/Mcfe Revenue…
  18. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 18
    Strong Growth in Adjusted Funds Flow per Share Successful Market Diversification Strategy 2016 PONY began diversifying sales hubs to reduce reliance on AECO- 100% based prices PONY Annual Adjusted Funds Flow per Share PONY Share…
  19. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 19
    2019 Production Revenue Managing Volatility Expected 2019 Production Revenue by Source 50% of PONYs 2019 production revenue is protected through a AECO combination of physical and financial fixed-price contracts DAWN SUMAS at a…
  20. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 20
    Production Profile Optimizes Balance Sheet Flexibility Quarterly production per share Quarterly average daily production (actual) Quarterly average daily production (forecast) 400 Enbridge 5 T-South Quarterly Average Daily…
  21. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 21
    Capital Spending & Adjusted Funds Flow Impressive Per Share Adjusted Funds Flow Growth Annual Average Daily Production Volumes 400 500 Capital Spending 2018 Adjusted Funds Adjusted Funds Flow(1) Flow exceeded 350 Capital Spending…
  22. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 22
    2019 Capital Program Disciplined Investment Budget matches capital spending with adjusted funds flow from operations Investing 95 - 110 million Forecast annual average daily production volume of 324 MMcfe/d (54,000 boe/d) to 336…
  23. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 23
    Historical Costs Drilling & Completions Efficiency As capital well costs fell, production type curves dramatically improved Continued type curve improvement with average Total 2P(1) well Management Perf & Plug Systems Type Curve…
  24. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 24
    Single Well Economics by Area 2018 Management Type Curves Management Type Curves Single Well Economics IRR NPV10 Pay Out Daiber (dry) Blair (lean) Daiber 49.9% 4.7 mm 23 months (dry) Townsend (liquids-rich) 8,000 Blair 55.7%…
  25. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 25
    Single Well Development Economics Price Sensitivity (Half Cycle) Townsend (liquids-rich) Blair (lean) Daiber (dry) 200 180 160 High-rate Daiber Rate of Return (% BT) 140 wells provide natural gas pricing torque 120…
  26. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 26
    Pony Points Checking Off All of the Boxes Well situated to supply Canadian west coast LNG projects Diversified Market Access and Sales Points Industry leading PDP recycle ratio at 3.1x Top well performance Massive reserves…
  27. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 27
    Appendices & Advisories
  28. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 28
    Financial Strength Term Debt and Credit Facility Provide Flexibility 375 Million Syndicated Credit Facility Secured, Reserve Based Lending Matures May 2020 Syndicated 138 million drawn as at May 1, 2019 Credit Facility 138 237 25…
  29. July 2019 Investor Update – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. – slide 29
    Corporate Overview Auditor KPMG LLP Evaluation Engineers GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. Banks The Toronto-Dominion Bank Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce The Bank of Nova Scotia Alberta Treasury Branches Royal Bank of Canada…

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