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3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.

Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. · Nov 11, 2019 · 24 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 1
    Disciplined Liquids Development in Four Prolific Core Areas Investor Presentation TSX: AAV November 2019
  2. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 2
    ADVANTAGE AT A GLANCE TSX 52-week trading range 1.35 - 3.46 Shares Outstanding (basic) 187 million Market Capitalization 0.4 billion Enterprise Value 0.7 billion Advantage Montney Assets 2019 Guidance (1) Total Production 43,500 to…
  3. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 3
    BUILDING ON FOUNDATIONAL ASSETS, TRANSITIONING TO TOP-TIER LIQUIDS Solid Today Solid Tomorrow Reinvest in Our High Return Free Cash Generating Asset Liquids Assets Retain Competitive Edge with Ultra-Low Costs Commanding…
  4. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 4
    COMMITMENT TO ENVIRONMENTAL LEADERSHIP AND SUSTAINABILITY A Proud Clean Energy Producer The World Needs More of Our Energy CO2 Sequestration Plant Flared Volumes as Percent of (tonnes CO2e accredited) Production 90,367 Improved…
  5. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 5
    LIQUIDS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM OBJECTIVES Total Revenue Diversification Value Enhancement (1) 50% Liquids by 2021 Transition to 50% liquids revenue (condensate/light oil) 20% Liquids 39% Midwest US Double digit Adjusted Funds Flow 9%…
  6. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 6
    LIQUIDS DEVELOPMENT UNDERPINNED BY TOP TIER ASSETS (1) Condensate & Light Oil Focused 6 miles Glacier asset generating free cash Progress Significant oil pool discovery at Progress Glacier Liquids development underway The…
  7. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 7
    OPERATIONS OVERVIEW SHIFTING TO MIDDLE MONTNEY LIQUIDS Deep Liquids-Rich Inventory (1)(2)(3) Booked Undeveloped Unbooked Upside Progress TOTAL future location inventory Glacier 1,400 to 1,500 697 Valhalla 70 Pipestone/ 216…
  8. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 8
    ADVANTAGE MONTNEY MULTIZONE DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT Wembley primary target Valhalla liquids appraisal targets Glacier liquids zones New oil pool discovery Advantage Operated HZ Offset Operator HZ 8
  9. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 9
    WEMBLEY/VALHALLA (PIPESTONE) LIQUIDS RICH DEVELOPMENT 71 net sections in the premium, multi- Recently completed D3 Well layer, liquids fairway 30% liquids (IP30) Valhalla wells are tied into AAV Glacier Plant to the West Valhalla…
  10. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 10
    SIGNIFICANT LIGHT OIL POOL DISCOVERY AT PROGRESS Kelt Oil Wells Tourmaline Oil Wells Up to 153,000 bbls CTD Up to 152,000 bbls CTD 13-31 Montney D1 (2017) 50 net sections assembled at low cost over 5 years Appraisal drilling…
  11. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 11
    LIQUIDS-RICH MIDDLE MONTNEY AT GLACIER STEPPING UP Early development was in Upper and Lower Q1 2019 10 Well Middle Montney Pad Montney (lean gas) Average Final Rate 422 bbls/d (73 bbls/mmcf) Recent focus on Middle Montney, where…
  12. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 12
    STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE CONTROL, FLEXIBLE PIPELINE ACCESS 100% Owned Glacier Gas Plant 400 mmcf/d Raw Gas + 6,800 bbls/d C3+ Liquids Extraction TCPL Groundbirch Lateral BC AB Advantage Glacier Gas Plant Future AAV…
  13. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 13
    2019 GUIDANCE AND ESTIMATES (1)(2) Average production (boe/day) 43,500 - 46,500 Gas production (mmcf/d) 244 to 260 Liquids production (bbls/d) 2,900 to 3,200 % Liquids / % Condensate/light oil 7% / 76% Royalties (/boe) and Royalty…
  14. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 14
    THREE YEAR DEVELOPMENT PLAN LIQUIDS TRANSITION(1) Total Production (boe/d) Liquids Production and 14,000 bbls/d Exit Composition (bbls/d) 10,500 to 48,500 to 46,000 to 52,500 11,500 43,500 to 48,000 46,500 22% 6,500 to 7% 15%…
  15. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 15
    DEVELOPMENT PLAN PRICE SENSITIVITY(1) Gas Price Sensitivity Oil Price Sensitivity Total Debt to Adjusted Funds Flow (2) Total Debt to Adjusted Funds Flow (2) AECO 1.30/mcf AECO 1.70/mcf WTI US50.00/bbl WTI US70.00/bbl ( WTI US58/bbl…
  16. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 16
    STRONG HEDGES AND TRANSPORTATION IN-PLACE (1) Current Hedging Transactions (MMcf/d) Hedging Strategy 140 90% Summer 2019 AECO hedges mitigate AECO (Cdn/Mcf) volatility 80% 120 2.87 2.87 Dawn (US/Mmbtu) Expect to hedge both liquids…
  17. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 17
    Financial Discipline Operationally Nimble Returns Focus
  18. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 18
    APPENDIX 18
  19. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 19
    GLACIER LOCATED IN THE HEART OF THE MONTNEY RESOURCE PLAY BC AB Glacier Pipestone Liquids Fairway Source: Geoscout, Corporate Presentations Montney Siltstone Comparison: 700 times more permeability 4x more formation…
  20. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 20
    CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT HAS LED TO EXCEPTIONAL EFFICIENCIES 20
  21. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 21
    MIDDLE MONTNEY PRODUCTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE 2018/19 11 wells Gen 6: Slickwater, OH Packers, Stage 2017+ Middle Montney wells with frac design changes completions Avg 33 frac stages including 30 frac stages & numerous mechanical…
  22. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 22
    GLACIER MONTNEY ASSIGNED 2P EUR PER WELL & INTERVAL Glacier - 2P Recoveries per Interval(1) of Gross HZ Wells 2P Recovery [bcf/well] Developed Undeveloped Total Developed Undeveloped Total Interval YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE YE…
  23. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 23
    WEMBLEY MONTNEY ASSIGNED 2P EUR PER WELL & INTERVAL Wembley Montney Assigned 2P EUR Per Well & Interval(1) of Gross HZ Wells 2P Gas & Free Liquids Recovery [bcf/well mstb/well] Interval Developed Undeveloped Total Developed…
  24. 3Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. – slide 24
    ADVANTAGE CONTACT INFORMATION Investor Relations 1.866.393.0393 iradvantageog.com www.advantageog.com Listed on TSX: AAV Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. Suite 2200, 440 2nd Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta T2P 5E9 Main: 403.718.8000…

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