Corporate Presentation March 2014 PROVEN EFFECTIVE STRATEGY
Delivering Value and Growth SNAPSHOT 2013 2014F(1) Cash flow(2) (C million) 7,477 9,500 - 9,700 Per share basic(2) (C) 6.87 8.74 - 8.92 Capital expenditures (C million)(3) 7,274 7,740 - 8,140 Dividend (C/Share) 0.575 Common shares…
Who is Canadian Natural Canadian based E&P company with international exposure 671 MBOE/d 2013 70% crude oil weighted 716-762 MBOE/d 2014F* 73% crude oil weighted Returns focused Major oil sands player Major thermal in situ…
The Sustainable Free Cash Flow Independent Largest reserve base in peer group Balanced Real value Delivering strong free cash flow Very large resources base to develop Long life, low decline Consistent capital allocation Horizon,…
Size of Canadian Natural Reserve Base 1P Reserves After Royalties (MMBOE) 4,500 Peers 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 CNQ CNQ 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2013 2012 Note: Per BMO Capital Markets Research - 2012 Oil & Gas…
Size of Canadian Natural Reserve Base 2P Reserves Before Royalties (MMBOE) 9,000 Peers 8,250 7,500 6,750 6,000 5,250 4,500 CNQ CNQ 3,750 3,000 2,250 1,500 750 0 2013 2012 Based on forecast pricing…
Transitioning to a Longer Life Asset Base (% of CNQ liquids production)* 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2007 2011 2015F 2018F Horizon - Sold as Synthetic Crude Oil Thermal In Situ - Sold as Heavy Crude Oil Pelican…
Canadian Natural Targeted Total Corporate Free Cash Flow ( billion) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2013 2014B 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F Note: Dependent upon economic and regulatory conditions, commodity…
2013 Highlights Record operating cash flow - 7.5 billion Record production 671,000 BOE/d 478,000 bbl/d crude oil & NGL Record Primary heavy crude oil production Record Pelican Lake crude oil production 90% dividend increase over…
Canadian Natural 2014 Capital Capital ( million) 2013 2014F* Natural gas 554 590 Crude oil Pelican Lake 401 245 Primary Heavy 1,159 1,200 Thermal In Situ 1,279 1,130 Light Canada 541 545 North Sea 347 470 Offshore Africa 144 280…
Canadian Natural 2014 Production Targeted Production 2013* 2014F* %Change Crude oil (Mbbl/d) North America Light Oil & NGLs 68 72 - 76 Pelican Lake 43 47 - 51 Primary Heavy 136 142 - 146 Thermal In Situ Oil Sands 97 120 - 135…
North America Natural Gas Core Area Summary 2nd largest producer of NEBC AB SK natural gas in Canada 365 MMcf/d 1,130 MMcf/d of natural gas average NGL yield above 20 bbl/MMcf in Q4/13 Large resource base 5.9 Tcf 2P reserves*…
North America Natural Gas 2014 Plan 2013 2014F* % Change Production (MMcf/d) 1,130 1,130 - 1,170 2% Drilling (net wells) 44 61 Capital ( million) 554 590 Capital discipline Significant flexibility to quickly respond to strengthening…
North America Light Crude Oil and NGLs Core Summary Q4/13 production 73 Mbbl/d, 7% growth in 2013 2013 light crude oil activity AB 104 wells SK 2 EOR pilots CNQ Land 2P reserves CNQ Operated Light Oil Wells Light crude oil 166…
North America Light Crude Oil and NGLs 2014 Plan 2013 2014F* % Change Production (Mbbl/d)** 68 72 - 76 10% Drilling (net wells) Producers 104 93 Capital ( million) 541 545 Note: Rounded to the nearest 1,000 bbl/d. 2014 forecast…
International Light Crude Oil 2014 Plan 2013 2014F %Change Crude oil production (Mbbl/d) 34 33 - 37 3% Capital ( million)* 491 750 Note: Rounded to the nearest 1,000 bbl/d. 2P light crude oil reserves 478 million barrels* Light oil…
International Light Crude Oil Offshore Cote dIvoire Opportunities CNRI Lands * Exploration Discovery Wells Independence-1X Jubilee 2011 Field 110,000 CI-12 bopd * C1-103 CI-12 * C1-401 * PSC signed June 2013…
International Light Crude Oil South Africa Partnering with Total SA (50% WI, Total South Africa as operator) Mossel Bay Plettenberg Bay 5 structures ranging up to 1 billion barrels Superior Gas Discovery First exploration well FA…
Heavy Oil Assets Thermal in situ development Birch Mountain Massive resource potential (W. Horizon) Staged value growth 510,000 bbl/d of crude oil facility capacity Gregoire AB Primary heavy production Grouse SK Kirby High return…
Primary Heavy Crude Oil Core Area Summary Largest primary producer in Canada Q4/13 135,000 bbl/d, 9% growth in 2013 to 136,000 bbl/d 2P reserves ECHO Pipeline CNQ Producing 334 million barrels* Properties CNQ Lands Dominant land…
Primary Heavy Crude Oil 2014 Plan 2013 2014F %Change Production (Mbbl/d) 136 142 - 146 6% Drilling (net wells) 859 898 Recompletion (net wells) 560 503 Capital ( million) 1,159 1,200 Note: Rounded to the nearest 1,000 bbl/d. Low…
Pelican Lake Crude Oil Pool Massive Wabiskaw heavy crude oil pool Industry leading EOR project Massive Resource to Exploit Amongst the largest polymerfloods in the world How much of that crude oil Technology development continues is…
Pelican Lake 2014 Plan 2013 2014F %Change Production (bbl/d) 43 47 - 51 14% Drilling (net wells) Producers 37 17 Capital ( million) 401 245 Note: Rounded to the nearest 1,000 bbl/d. Increasing free cash flow wedge as capital…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Land Holdings Clearwater Primrose, Wolf Lake Birch Mtn. Hilda Lake, Marie Lake McMurray Kirby Saleski Grouse Gregoire Birch Mountain Germain Gregoire Leismer Pelican Leismer Lake Ipiatik Wabiskaw…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Growth Plan Oil Facility Target Steam-In Phase Reservoir Capacity Target Timing (bbl/d) (year) Primrose South/North CSS Clearwater 80,000 On Stream Primrose East CSS Clearwater 40,000 On Stream Kirby South SAGD…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Focused Execution Plan Primrose Causation review and remediation of seepage to surface Continue with cost effective pad adds Progress Follow Up Processes Evaluate facility steam expansion Kirby South First…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands 2014 Plan 2013 2014F %Change Production (Mbbl/d) 97 120 - 135 31% Drilling (net wells) Primrose producers 137 15 Kirby South producers 8 - Strats 73 130 Service / observation wells 62 54 Total 280 199…
Primrose Plan Going Forward* All wells, including old legacy wells, thoroughly reviewed for the potential to fail mechanically All wells with identified potential to fail will be repaired prior to additional steaming Enhanced…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Kirby South First steam Tank Farm September 16, 2013 Evaporators First shipment of crude oil from commissioning activities November 4, 2013 Steam Generators Oil Treating Ramp up to 40,000 bbl/d in…
North American Crude Oil Markets Canadian Naturals Viewpoint Pipeline/transportation infrastructure is complex Misconceptions are common Significant North American heavy oil demand 260,000 bbl/d PADD II demand increase 3,000,000+…
Crude Supply Dispositions With Keystone XL (MMbbl/d) 8.0 TCPL East 7.0 Western Canadian supply + TMX US Bakken movements NGP 6.0 XL 5.0 Keystone Base (in service) Rail 4.0 3.0 ENB - Ex Superior 2.0 Clearbrook/Superior…
Crude Supply Dispositions Without Keystone XL (MMbbl/d) 8.0 7.0 TCPL Energy East Western Canadian supply + US Bakken movements TMX 6.0 NGP Keystone Base (in service) 5.0 Rail 4.0 3.0 ENB - Ex Superior 2.0…
Horizon Oil Sands Core Area Summary World Class asset 14.4 billion barrels BIIP* 2P SCO reserves 3.3 billion barrels** Best estimate contingent resources other Synenco than reserves 3.3 billion barrels of SHC bitumen*** SU CNQ…
Horizon Oil Sands 2014 Plan 2013 2014F % Change Production (Mbbl/d) 100 107 - 115 11% Sustaining Capital ( million) 278 260 Turnarounds, Reclamation 267 330 & Other ( million) Operating Cost (/bbl)* 43.46 36.00 - 39.00 *2013 and 2014F…
Horizon Oil Sands Targeted Fixed vs. Variable Operating Costs Targeted Operating Cost per Year Targeted Operating Cost per Barrel ( million) (/bbl) 2,500 40 2,000 1,500 20 1,000 500 0 0 2014F Phase 1 Phase 1-2-3 2014F…
Horizon Oil Sands Efficiencies Achieved Through Expansion Reliability and efficiencies will be achieved through completion of original design of Phase 1,2,3 with higher vacuum yield and a more integrated, energy-efficient facility…
Canadian Natural 2014 Budget Summary 2014F* Targeted Cash Flow 9.5 - 9.7 billion Capital 7.7 - 8.1 billion Crude oil & NGLs production growth 13% growth Capital for future production 3.6 billion 45% Capital flexibility in original budget…
Canadian Natural Targeted Total Corporate Free Cash Flow ( billion) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2013 2014B 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F Note: Dependent upon economic and regulatory conditions, commodity…
Free Cash Flow Uses 1. Resource development Executing our defined plan 2. Dividends 14 consecutive years of dividend increases 31% CAGR (2009 2014) Must be sustainable 3. Share purchases 10.2 million common shares purchased at an…
Committed Management Substantial management Management / Directors Stock Ownership and director wealth at stake (US million) 1,200 Strong motivation for 1,098 management to 1,050 perform 900 Delivers clear alignment with…
Canadian Natural Advantage Strong, balanced assets deliver excess cash flow over near term growth requirements Free cash flow allocation Increase asset strength and free cash flow Resource development Opportunistic acquisitions…
Reporting Disclosures Special Note Regarding Currency, Production and Reserves In this document, all references to dollars refer to Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. Reserves and production data are presented on a before…
Appendices CNQ PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT Slide 48
Who is Canadian Natural Consistent value Proved Reserves History / Daily Production creation through (before royalties) (MMBOE) (MBOE/d) successful 6,000 800 Exploitation 700 5,000 Exploration 600 Opportunistic 4,000 500…
Primary Heavy Crude Oil Key Advantages in the Area Flexible and repeatable Year round access Efficient rig fleet delivers repeatable year over year program Deep inventory of drilling locations 8,000 locations in 10-year plan Long…
Primary Heavy Crude Oil Unlocking Resources Canadian Natural Total Cold Heavy Production Horizontal wells Oil (bbl/d) 140,000 Two main applications 120,000 Technology Improvements Oil over water 100,000 Directional / Horizontal…
Pelican Lake Polymerflood What is polymer It is a non-toxic polyacrylamide powder mixed with water Crude Oil Why does it help recovery Production Increases the viscosity of injected water improves sweep efficiencies, reduces…
Pelican Lake Polymerflood Expansion Polymerflood at end of 2011 49% 2012 / 2013 Polymer Plan 56% 5 Year Polymer Plan 73% Contingent 97% CNQ PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT Slide 53
Pelican Lake Production by Recovery Method (bbl/d) Facility Constraints 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 Polymerflood Waterflood/Polymerflood Post Primary 20,000 15,000 10,000 Primary 5,000 0 Jan-01 Jan-02…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Primrose / Wolf Lake Development Plan Primrose North 100 wells 2013 80 wells 2016 80 wells 2019 Primrose North Primrose East Primrose 120 wells 2015 East Primrose 120 wells 2018 North 80 wells 2022…
Primrose Causation Review Update Wellbore Pathway Clearwater reservoir is 500m deep 3 barriers Clearwater Shale Grand Rapids Formation Colorado Group Shales Paleo CNQ PREMIUM VALUE DEFINED GROWTH INDEPENDENT Slide 56
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Kirby Project Birch Two main plants Mountain Kirby North Plant 100% working interest (Steam & Oil Treating) Saleski Gregoire Kirby South target Germain facility capacities Pelican Lake Leismer Kirby…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Kirby South Phase 1 Geology Kirby South Type Log Foster Creek Type Log SAGD PAY TOP SAGD PAY TOP 30 meters 34 meters SAGD PAY BASE SAGD PAY BASE Similar Rock Quality to Foster Creek CNQ…
Selected Differentials Percentage of WTI (% WTI) 35 30 Actual Forecast 25 20 15 Cushing to USGC 10 pipeline transport cost 5 (4-8%) 0 (6-10%) -5 -10 Hardisty to USGC transport (8-10%) -15 -20 -25 (2) (3) Enbridge…
Expanding Pipeline Options Access toGateway Enbridge New Markets 525 Mbbl/d Crude Export Line (2017+) Fort McMurray Kitimat Energy East (TCPL) Pipeline Edmonton 1,080 Mbbl/d (2017+) TransMountain Enbridge Main Line Pipeline 300…
USGC Heavy Oil Demand Current Crude State Optimized Crude State Heavy Crude Light Crude Light…
Redwater Upgrader / Refinery Project sanctioned November 2012 50,000 bbl/d additional bitumen conversion capacity Canadian Natural 50% ownership Return on capital generated by tolls 30 year tolling agreement Tolls determined by…
Horizon Oil Sands Original Design for Phase 3 Capacity Design optimized at 250,000 bbl/d of quality SCO Equipment redundancy increases reliability Improvement of 4% production yield (SCO per ton of ore) as Phase 2 is completed…
Horizon Expansion Ore Froth Distillate Vacuum Coker Preparation Plant Extraction Treatment Plant Recovery Distillate Unit Drums Hydrotreaters of Units * * Capacity (bbl/d) Phase 1 110,000 Onstream Q1/09 Reliability 5,000…
Revolving Bank Credit Facilities (C million) Maturity Revolving bank line 1 3,000 June 2017 Revolving bank line 2 1,500 June 2016 Operating demand loan 275 Demand North Sea operating line (15 million) 26 Demand Total bank lines 4,801…
Maturity Schedule Public Debt (C million) 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035 2038 C Public US Public (converted to C Equivalent) Note: Represents principal repayments only…
Hedging At March 6, 2014, the Company had the following net derivative financial instruments and physical sales outstanding: Sales contracts Remaining term Volume Weighted average price Index Crude oil Price collars (1) Jan 2014 Jun…
Key Historic Data Operational Information 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Daily production, before royalties Crude oil and NGLs (Mbbl/d) 316 355 425 389 451 478 Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,495 1,315 1,243 1,257 1,220 1,158 Barrels of oil…
Corporate Guidance March 6, 2014 Excludes production volumes and capital associated with the Devon acquisition announced February 19, 2014 and targeted to close April 1, 2014. Q1/14 2014 Updated Guidance Guidance Daily Production…
2500, 855 - 2nd Street S.W., Telephone: (403) 514-7777 CANADIAN NATURAL Calgary, Alberta, Facsimile: (403) 514-7888 RESOURCES LIMITED T2P 4J8 Email: ircnrl.com Steve W. Laut Mark Stainthorpe President Manager, Investor…