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EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority

North Dakota Pipeline Authority · Feb 4, 2020 · 58 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 1
    EmPower ND Commission Justin J. Kringstad Geological Engineer Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority February 4, 2020
  2. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 2
  3. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 3
    North Dakota Pipeline Construction Sources: NDIC & PHMSA JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 3 3
  4. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 4
    Bakken & Three Forks Formations Bakken Formation Three Forks Formation JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 4 4
  5. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 5
    North Dakota Well Completions and Spatial Development 2011 2018 1,304 New Wells 1,260 New Wells JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 5 5
  6. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 6
    North Dakota Well Completions and Developed Sections JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 6 6
  7. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 7
    North Dakota Gathering Pipeline Development JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 7 7
  8. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 8
    North Dakota Pipeline Construction Sources: NDIC & PHMSA JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 8 8
  9. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 9
    Cumulative Remaining Wells Peak Month Minimum BOPD 30-Day Initial Production (BOPD) JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 9 9
  10. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 10
    Years Remaining* / Minimum Wellhead Oil Price *Assumes 1,200 Completions Per Year and 7MM Well Costs (20% After Tax IRR) JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 10 10
  11. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 11
    Statewide Initial Oil Production Rates 24hr JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 11 11
  12. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 12
    Statewide oil Performance 4% Improvement Over 2018 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12 Statewide Average BKN/TF Well Performance 12
  13. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 13
    Presentation Forecast Note: Many forecasts are in draft status as the EIA has recently released their 2020 Annual Energy Outlook with a revised oil price forecast. Final forecast updates/revisions will be available in…
  14. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 14
    EIA Oil Price Forecasts - Reference Case JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 14 14
  15. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 15
    North Dakota Oil Production Forecast Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 15 15
  16. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 16
  17. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 17
    Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD DRAFT Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning. JJ Kringstad - North Dakota…
  18. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 18
    Estimated Williston Basin Oil Transportation 18 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 18 18
  19. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 19
    Estimated ND Rail Export Volumes JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 19 19
  20. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 20
    Rail Destinations Market Share (Oct 2019) Data for Rail Destination Market Share Provided by the US Energy Information Administration JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 20 20
  21. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 21
    Natural Gas Update Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Capacity Capacity Dry Gas Markets Connections Location Natural Gas Liquids JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 21 21
  22. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 22
    Statewide Gas Performance 10% Improvement Over 2018 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 22 Statewide Average BKN/TF Well Performance 22
  23. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 23
    Statewide Gas-Oil Ratio JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 23 Statewide Average BKN/TF Well Performance 23
  24. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 24
    NDPA North Dakota Gas Production Forecast Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 24 24
  25. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 25
    Natural Gas Update Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Capacity Capacity Dry Gas Markets Connections Location Natural Gas Liquids JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 25 25
  26. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 26
    Solving the Flaring Challenge GREEN % of gas captured and sold Blue % flared from zero sales wells Orange % flared from wells with at least one mcf sold. Simple Terms Blue Lack of pipelines Orange Challenges on existing…
  27. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 27
    Solving the Flaring Challenge JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 27 27
  28. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 28
    Solving the Flaring Challenge Gas Connections JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 28 28
  29. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 29
    Natural Gas Update Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Capacity Capacity Dry Gas Markets Connections Location Natural Gas Liquids JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 29 29
  30. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 30
    Gas Processing Expansions JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline- Authority JJ Kringstad North Dakota Pipeline Authority 30
  31. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 31
    Solving the Flaring Challenge Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 31 31
  32. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 32
    Solving the Flaring Challenge Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 32 32
  33. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 33
    Natural Gas Update Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Capacity Capacity Dry Gas Markets Connections Location Natural Gas Liquids JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 33 33
  34. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 34
    Solving the Flaring Challenge Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 34 34
  35. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 35
    Major Gas Pipeline and Processing Infrastructure Whiting WBI Transmission JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline- Authority JJ Kringstad North Dakota Pipeline Authority 35
  36. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 36
    WBI Energy North Bakken Expansion Project Project Highlights 63 Miles - 24 Pipeline 20 Miles - 12 Pipeline 220+ Million 350,000 MCFD Capacity (expandable) End of 2021 Proposed Completion Residue Gas Service From North of Lake…
  37. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 37
    Northern Border Pipeline JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority *Data Source: Northern Border IPS 37
  38. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 38
    Northern Border Pipeline Market Share 1,150+ BTU 1,035 BTU JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority NDPA Calculations Using Northern Border IPS 38
  39. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 39
    Northern Border BTU at Glen Ullin, ND JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority *Data Source: Northern Border IPS 39
  40. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 40
    NB Pipeline Interconnects With Known BTU Limits JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 40
  41. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 41
    JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Map Source: TC Energy Website 41
  42. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 42
    JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Map Source: TC Energy Website 42
  43. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 43
    Northern Border BTU Calculations* DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority *Assumes Equivalent Net Replacement of 1,035 Canadian Gas 43
  44. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 44
    Solving the Flaring Challenge Assumes Current Technology Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included DRAFT JJ Kringstad - North Dakota JJ Kringstad Pipeline - North Authority Dakota Pipeline Authority 44 44
  45. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 45
    Bakken Natural Gas Infrastructure 45 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 45 45
  46. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 46
    Northern Border Proposed Expansion Options Two Proposed Options: Stateline/Watford City to Ventura -580 Mdth Incremental (525 MMCFD) -Phase 1: Q3 2021 -Phase 2: Q4 2023 Stateline/Watford City to Cheyenne -430 Mdth Incremental…
  47. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 47
    WBI Energy Tioga to Emerson Proposal Non-Binding Open Season January 10 - February 28, 2020 -600 Mdth Incremental (560 MMCFD) -Proposed In-Service Q4 2023 -330 Miles of 24 Pipe JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority…
  48. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 48
    Regional NGL Infrastructure Kinder Marathon Petroleum JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 48
  49. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 49
    Natural Gas Processing Ethane Capture Consumer Quality Methane Dry Natural Gas 57.67% Residue Gas Ethane 19.94% Raw Natural Gas NGLS (8-12 gallons Processing Plant (1400+ BTU) per 1,000 cubic feet Propane of raw gas) 11.33%…
  50. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 50
    Natural Gas Processing Ethane Rejection Methane 57.67% Consumer Quality Dry Natural Gas Residue Gas Ethane 19.94% Propane Raw Natural Gas NGLS (8-12 gallons Processing Plant 11.33% (1400+ BTU) per 1,000 cubic feet of raw…
  51. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 51
    Bakken Three Forks Average NGL Content (GPM) 51 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Data Source: Operator Gas51 Analysis 51
  52. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 52
    Bakken Three Forks Average NGL Content (GPM) 52 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Data Source: Operator Gas52 Analysis 52
  53. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 53
    Bakken Three Forks Average Ethane Content (GPM) 53 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Data Source: Operator Gas53 Analysis 53
  54. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 54
    Bakken Three Forks Average Gas BTU 54 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Data Source: Operator Gas54 Analysis 54
  55. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 55
    Assumed NGL Content for NDPA NGL Forecasts Mole % Source: Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) 55 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 55 55
  56. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 56
    North Dakota Captured* NGLs DRAFT 56 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority *Non-flared NGLs & Assumes 56 10 GPM 56
  57. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 57
    NGL Pipeline Takeaway Options DRAFT 57 JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 57 57
  58. EmPower ND Commission – North Dakota Pipeline Authority – slide 58
    Contact Information Justin J. Kringstad, Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND 58505-0840 Phone: (701)220-6227 Fax: (701)328-2820 E-mail: jjkringstadndpipelines.com Websites:…

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