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Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources

Antero Resources · Mar 3, 2020 · 36 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 1
    Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit March 3, 2020
  2. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 2
    Antero Resources at a Glance Denver, CO Antero Resources Acreage Map HEADQUARTERS Antero Marcellus Rig Industry Marcellus Rig S&P 400 Industry Utica Rig Antero Acreage CONSTITUENT SW Marcellus Core Ohio Utica Core 2nd…
  3. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 3
    Leading Sustainability and ESG Metrics GHG Emissions Water Management Antero has zero flaring, one of the lowest GHG Intensity metrics in the Fresh water pipeline network industry (upstream independents and majors) and a very low…
  4. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 4
    AR Business Strategy Antero Resources Principles Priorities 1 Spend within cash flow and fill Build scale with premium firm transportation capacity Liquids Diversification 2 Strengthen balance sheet with leverage target of mid…
  5. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 5
    1 Spend Within Cash Flow - Cost Structure Reset Guiding to a 520 MM reduction in cost structure for 2020 Cost Savings Update 2020 Expected Impact (1) Well Cost Reduction Progress D&C target of 810/lateral foot in 2020, a 16%…
  6. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 6
    1 Spend Within Cash Flow Cost & Liquids Focus Drives Free Cash Flow Cost structure reset results in enhanced free cash flow profile with significant leverage to commodity price improvement AR Free Cash Flow ( MM) Free Cash Flow…
  7. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 7
    2 Strengthen Balance Sheet - Significant Absolute Debt Reduction AR has multiple assets that can be monetized to reduce debt including producing properties, undeveloped leasehold, overriding royalty, minerals, hedges and midstream…
  8. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 8
    2 Strengthen Balance Sheet - Liquidity & Leverage Antero plans to have substantial capacity to address its November 2021 and December 2022 bond maturities due to: Capital and operating cost reductions GP&T fee and net marketing…
  9. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 9
    2 Balance Sheet and Liquidity Enhancement Asset sale program impact on Anteros balance sheet and liquidity Absolute debt reduction of 1.0 billion from beginning of program Reduces leverage to 2.5x or lower Ample liquidity to pay off…
  10. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 10
    3 Develop Liquids-Rich Locations - Large Delineated Drilling Inventory AR Resource Overview AR Marcellus Asset Map Deep Drilling Inventory AR holds 40% of the core undrilled liquids-rich locations in Appalachia 10+ years of premium…
  11. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 11
    3 Develop Liquids-Rich Locations Premium NGL Price Realizations Diversified exposure to both international and domestic markets results in Antero realizing a premium to Mont Belvieu on its C3+ NGL pricing Domestic Markets…
  12. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 12
    4 Hedge Commodities - Protected From Gas Pricing Weakness AR has hedged 94% and 93% of expected natural gas production in 2020 and 2021 at 2.87/MMBtu and 2.80/MMBtu, respectively Antero has realized 4.7 billion of net cash hedge gains…
  13. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 13
    4 Hedge Commodities - Significant Oil Hedge Position AR has hedged 100% of expected oil and oil-equivalent pentane production in 2020 at 55.63/Bbl and 10% of oil and oil equivalent production in 2021 at 55.16/Bbl Antero Oil and…
  14. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 14
    Highest Realized Pricing in the Appalachian Basin AR expects to generate a 3.00+ realized price per Mcfe even in a 2.50/MMBtu NYMEX price environment due to the uplift generated from liquids production and FT AR Pre-Hedge Realized…
  15. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 15
    Paired with Declining GP&T Costs Antero is guiding to a 0.18/Mcfe reduction in cash costs in 2020 and targeting a 0.38+/Mcfe reduction by 2022 AR All-in Cash Operating Cost Structure (/Mcfe) Net Marketing Expense Cash Production…
  16. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 16
    Differentiated Strategy Results in Attractive Recycle Ratio Assuming a 3.09 realized price (pre-hedge) and an unlevered all-in operating cost structure of 2.10 per Mcfe, AR expects to have a 2.7x unhedged recycle ratio (1) AR…
  17. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 17
    Liquids Rich vs. Dry Gas and Oil Peers Using recycle ratio as a measure of capital efficiency, Antero stacks up very well relative to both dry gas and oil peers 2019E PUD F&D (/BOE) Gas-weighted (/BOE) Oil-weighted (/BOE) 16.00…
  18. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 18
    2020 Operational and Financial Momentum Reduced capital budget and operating cost structure improves free cash flow profile while targeted asset sales, hedge position and scale support debt profile Potential Credit 2019A 2020E…
  19. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 19
    Premier Northeast Infrastructure Platform
  20. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 20
    Antero Midstream Snapshot Proven Returns and Conservative Aligned with Capital Discipline Financial Policy Shareholders 54% Adjusted EBITDA Maintain conservative Eliminated IDRs and CAGR and 12% average leverage converted to a…
  21. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 21
    Fixed Fee Business Model Insulates EBITDA Growth Antero Midstream generates all of its revenues through fixed-fee contracts, insulating Adjusted EBITDA growth from commodity price volatility Details Antero Midstream Adjusted EBITDA…
  22. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 22
    2020 Capital Budget AMs just-in-time capital investment approach adjusts to ARs plan and resulted in a 52% decrease in 2020 as compared to 2019 Actual Capital Expenditures (MM) Marcellus Project Map 2019 fresh water 800 Original…
  23. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 23
    Capital Efficiency Drives Free Cash Flow Generation AMs capital efficiency and flexibility drives attractive mid-teens ROIC and ability to generate significant free cash flow (before return of capital) AM Free Cash Flow (MM Before…
  24. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 24
    Peer Free Cash Flow Yield and Leverage AM is uniquely positioned with low leverage and peer-leading free cash flow yield relative to other midstream sectors and utilities Leverage (2019 YE Net Debt / LTM EBITDA) 6.0x 5.3x 5.0x 4.7x…
  25. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 25
    Antero Midstream Investment Summary Leverage in the mid 3-times flexing to high 3-times for accretive transactions 100% fixed-fee business model eliminates direct commodity price risk Benefits from strong sponsor and…
  26. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 26
    Appendix
  27. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 27
    2020 Capital Plan and Guidance 2020 Guidance Ranges Net Production (Bcfe/d) 3.5 Net Natural Gas Production (Bcf/d) 2.375 Net Liquids Production (Bbl/d) 187,500 Natural Gas Realized Price Expected Premium 0.00 to 0.10 to NYMEX…
  28. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 28
    Marcellus Well Cost Reductions Significant Reduction in Well Costs already in-hand Targeting reduced well costs by 17% (1.9 million per well) Targeted Marcellus Well Cost Reductions (January 2019 AFE to 2020 Target) (MM) 12.00…
  29. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 29
    LOE Reductions Materially Reducing LOE Targeting reduced LOE by 35% in 2020 (74 MM+) Antero Lease Operating Expense Reductions (2020 Target) (MM) 225 200 42.0 175 32.0 150 125 42 MM (0.03/Mcfe) reduction driven by 32 MM…
  30. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 30
    Growth Incentive Program Summary AR/AM Growth incentive targets structured in a manner that aligns ARs plan to grow net production by 8% to 10% through 2021 in order to fill its premium FT portfolio Actual reduction in low pressure…
  31. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 31
    Antero Resources: Advantaged NGL Producer Producer Disadvantaged & Constrained: Producer Advantaged & Unconstrained: E&Ps in Permian, Rockies, Mid-Con & Bakken Antero Resources in Appalachia AR is the largest C3+ producer with the…
  32. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 32
    Antero Resources Adjusted EBITDAX Reconciliation LTM Adjusted EBITDAX Reconciliation Twelve months ended (in thousands) December 31, 2019 Net loss and comprehensive loss attributable to Antero Resources Corporation (340,129) Net income…
  33. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 33
    Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Measures Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Definitions Antero Midstream uses certain non-GAAP financial measures. Antero Midstream defines Adjusted Net Income as net income plus amortization of customer contracts…
  34. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 34
    Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Measures The following table reconciles consolidated total debt to consolidated net debt (Net Debt) as used in this presentation (in thousands): December 31, 2019 Bank credit facility 959,500 5.375% senior…
  35. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 35
    Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Reconciliation The following reconciles net income to Adjusted EBITDA: 2014 in Thousands G&C Only 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net income 16,832 127,875 159,105 236,703 307,315 Interest expense, net 4,620 6,183 8,158…
  36. Credit Suisse 25th Annual Energy Summit – Antero Resources – slide 36
    Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Measures Antero Midstream has not included a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Free Cash Flow or Distributable Cash Flow to the nearest GAAP financial measure for 2020 because it cannot do…

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