Strategic Overview Russ Girling President and Chief Executive Officer
Successful long-term strategy driven by A consistent approach to capital allocation that emphasizes financial strength and flexibility A focus on long-term industry fundamentals when making investment decisions A low-risk business…
Proven capital allocation framework delivers results Critical energy infrastructure assets generate long-term cash flows Invested Returned in complementary to shareholders low-risk assets through growing dividends Produced…
Invested 110 billion in three core businesses since 2000 2000: 20 billion total assets 2020: 102 billion total assets Comparable EBITDA* outlook 9.3 Billion** *Comparable EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. See the forward looking…
Capital investment has created significant value Dollars Dollars 7% 5% CAGR CAGR Substantial growth in earnings and cash flow per share *Comparable earnings per common share and comparable funds generated from operations per…
Low-risk business model has consistently produced results COVID-19 and OPEC+ Dollars developments Supported by MLP Oil price distress Strong business fundamentals collapse Regulated assets Financial Shale crisis revolution…
Twenty consecutive years of common share dividend increases 7% CAGR Supported by growth in earnings and cash flow and strong coverage ratios
Performance has resulted in significant share price appreciation Dollars Common share price - TSX 12 per cent average annual total shareholder return since 2000 Source: FactSet data from January 1, 2000 to November 10, 2020
Superior total shareholder return Per cent 985% 261% 237% Significantly outperforming the market Source: FactSet data from January 1, 2000 to November 10, 2020
A leading North American energy infrastructure company One of 93,300 km (57,900 mi) of pipeline North Americas largest 653 Bcf of storage capacity natural gas pipeline Transports 25% of demand networks Premier 4,900 km (3,000 mi) of…
2020 Accomplishments Continued to reliably deliver essential energy services across North America With few exceptions, flows and utilization levels remain in-line with historical norms Generated near record financial results through…
ESG highlights Environment Social Governance Methane Guiding Principles 10 billion in direct economic 29% Board Members are female Signatory value distributed with 30% target 75% emission-less power 690+ million spent with Investing…
Our Leadership Team Don Marchand Franois Poirier Executive VP, Strategy & Russ Girling Chief Operating Officer and President, Corporate Development President and Chief Executive Officer Power & Storage and Chief Financial Officer…
Strategic Overview Franois Poirier Chief Operating Officer and President, Power & Storage
Energy transition will create opportunities Energy demand is expected to grow with oil and natural gas an important part of the global fuel mix Energy transition will take time, requiring technological breakthroughs and cooperation…
Key strategic priorities Delivering energy safely and reliably, every day Maximizing value of our existing assets Executing secured capital program on-time and on-budget Advancing portfolio of low-risk growth opportunities…
Global primary energy demand outlook through 2040 *mtoe Natural gas demand grows by 1,000 mtoe Oil demand grows by 300 mtoe Renewables demand grows by 1,680 mtoe Over 50% of demand fulfilled by natural gas and oil…
North American energy outlook through 2040 North American Natural Gas North American North American Demand and LNG Exports Liquids Production Power Capacity Bcf/d MBbl/d GW 2019 2030 2040 *Includes bioenergy, geothermal and…
Well positioned to succeed as the energy landscape evolves Our extensive network of critical energy infrastructure assets will be used for decades Base business will continue to generate significant opportunities New prospects…
Extensive asset footprint is a strong competitive advantage Canadian Mainline is a critical NGTL System is uniquely conduit to eastern markets positioned over 1,383 Tcf of WCSB natural gas resources Bruce Power generates 30% of…
Advancing 37 billion secured capital program 22 billion of Natural Gas Pipelines projects Connecting abundant, low-cost supply in the WCSB and Appalachia to premium markets Reinforced by cost of service regulation and/or long-term,…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook 2015-2024E Billions 8% 12+ CAGR Power & Storage 2024+ Bruce Power refurbishments 9.3 Liquids Pipelines 9% Traditional replenishment of CAGR project portfolio Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines Executable…
Vast opportunity set the backdrop for continued disciplined growth Unparalleled demand for infrastructure under all energy mix scenarios Todays needs Low-carbon future Projects under Electrification Bruce Power MCR development of…
Dividend growth outlook 8-10% anticipated in 2021 5-7% 3.24 Expected growth per annum 2021+ 7% CAGR 37 billion secured growth program Robust development portfolio Irreplaceable asset footprint driving in-corridor expansions…
Strategic Overview
Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines Tracy Robinson Executive Vice-President and President, Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines
Natural Gas Pipelines system overview High-quality pipeline 93,300 km (57,900 mi) of network cannot be natural gas pipelines replicated 653 Bcf of storage capacity WCSB Access to abundant, Assets on top of two of the…
North Americas major supply basins WCSB 2019 - 1,383 Tcf Technology changes led to the discovery of 2007 - 165 Tcf clean and abundant natural gas supply Appalachia Natural gas production costs fell significantly 2019 - 1,470 Tcf…
North American natural gas fundamentals through 2040 +43 Bcf/d Growth primarily driven by power +45 Bcf/d +45 Bcf/d Growth primarily from the WCSB, generation and LNG exports Appalachian and Permian basins Bcf/d North American…
Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines system overview NGTL, Canadian 39,800 km of pipeline Mainline and Connects WCSB to five North Foothills systems American markets: NIT, Dawn, California, U.S. Northeast and Chicago Coastal GasLink 670…
2020 Accomplishments Placed 3.1 billion of capital projects in service to date Achieved long-term settlements with customers on the NGTL System and the Canadian Mainline Capacity Optimization Open Season resulted in benefits for…
Demand for Canadian gas is growing and WCSB is competitive Significant growth between 2020 and 2040 +50 +9 of supply under 1.00/GJ break-even cost Driven primarily by LNG exports, Bcf/d oil sands and power generation years at current…
Expanding market access for WCSB natural gas NGTL System Increasing access to supply +9.9B and market Canadian Mainline Increasing connectivity into the +0.4B Eastern Triangle Coastal GasLink Providing connection to +0.2B*…
Average investment base and net income outlook* Average investment base Net income Billions Billions 8% CAGR 8% 8% CAGR CAGR Well positioned for continued long-term growth *See the forward looking information and non-GAAP…
Future growth opportunities Near term Medium term Long term Increase connectivity Leverage network for growth Position footprint for the future Attract volumes in the Montney Coal-to-gas switching in Alberta power 3,800 MW of…
Looking ahead Operate safely and Leverage existing Advance secured growth Capture additional reliably, every day infrastructure and projects on time and growth opportunities right-of-way on budget along existing corridor Reduce…
Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines Tracy Robinson Executive Vice-President and President, Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines
U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines Stan Chapman Executive Vice-President and President, U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines
U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines system overview Broad Own and/or operate diversified national network platform of 13 pipelines that transport 27% of U.S. average daily demand* Value of pipe in Existing assets continue to the ground is…
Strong operational performance in 2020 despite COVID-19 U.S. demand recovered from COVID-19 Pipeline* Contracted capacity impacts with U.S. LNG exports reaching ANR 100% all-time high of 10 Bcf/d Columbia Gulf 100% GTN 100% U.S.…
2020 Accomplishments Positioned to deliver record EBITDA for the 4th consecutive year On-track to complete US1.1 billion Modernization II program and Buckeye XPress Project on-time and on-budget at year-end Environmental and…
Fundamentals support natural gas growth U.S. Demand U.S. Supply Bcf/d Bcf/d * 2019 Actual IHS 2040 IHS Feb Forecast EIA 2040 * Represents gross Canadian pipeline imports to the U.S. Source: IHS Markit, U.S. Long-Term Natural Gas…
Attractive near-term growth Projects Supply / Demand Capacity Expected Estimated Capital Cost (Bcf/d) In-Service Date (USBillions) Projects in-service since 2016 7.7 7.9 Buckeye XPress Supply 0.3 Dec 2020 0.2 Grand Chenier XPress…
Rate case optimization Columbia Gas Transmission Rate Case Litigation Settlement Q4 2020: Settlement +20 years Since last rate case filing discussions commence Q2 2021: Testimony by FERC and Intervenors +US1 billion Of cumulative…
Well positioned for long-term growth Optimization and Electrification Like-for-like replacement and furthering the electrification of our fleet Connectivity Carbon Capture and RNG** Increasing capacity to LNG, Capturing and…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook USBillions 16% CAGR Continuous value creation from our diversified portfolio * Comparable EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. See the forward looking information and non-GAAP measures slide at the front of…
Looking ahead On-time and on-budget Leverage our diversified Culture of continuous project execution portfolio improvement Consistent EBITDA growth Innovation and new technology New conventional and Safe, reliable delivery of…
Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines system overview Assets connect Five pipelines transport 25% of Mexicos abundant, low-cost natural gas U.S. natural gas Portfolio value continues to increase supply to key markets 20% of U.S. natural gas…
2020 Accomplishments Completed construction of Tula East segment and Guadalajara Pipeline Flow Reversal Amended the Guadalajara transport contract with the CFE Advanced Villa de Reyes project construction; in-service expected…
Long-term demand drives increased U.S. imports Mexican natural gas demand by sector through 2040 U.S. natural gas imports to Mexico through 2040 Bcf/d U.S. natural gas imports 60% Bcf/d 8 7 2040 2030 5 2019 Natural gas…
Completing projects reduces air emissions and promotes in-corridor expansions Project update Growth opportunities Guadalajara reversal Cross-border projects Displaces LNG supply with Waha natural gas Joint marketing of CFE U.S.…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook USBillions 14% CAGR 99% of EBITDA underpinned by long-term, take-or-pay contracts * Comparable EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. See the forward looking information and non-GAAP measures slide at the…
Looking ahead Commission Villa de Reyes Connect to power and gas Leverage CFE relationship in mid-2021 users to increase to secure projects utilization Resolve CFE contract Pursue cross-border issues opportunities Promote…
U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines Stan Chapman Executive Vice-President and President, U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines
Liquids Pipelines Bevin Wirzba Executive Vice-President and President, Liquids Pipelines
Liquids Pipelines system overview Access to 4,900 km (3,000 mi) of 14 million Bbl/d liquids pipelines of refining capacity Long-term, take-or-pay commercial structures Keystone Pipeline System Strategic corridor to key 20% of…
North American oil is in the worlds best interest % proven global oil reserves % aggregated ESG scores Canada and U.S. Have the highest ESG performance ratings Third (Canada) and eighth (U.S.) largest proven global oil…
2020 Accomplishments Safely delivered approximately three billion barrels since inception Successfully completed the Houston Tank Terminal Expansion project, on time and under budget Strengthened our commitment to working with…
Sustained demand for Canadian crude oil Per cent Ex-Hardisty throughput utilization* U.S. crude oil inventory Million Bbl/d COVID-19 / OPEC+ U.S. crude oil inventory is decreasing, however remains above the five-year average…
Canadian production resilient and a key supplier for U.S. Gulf Coast Canadian oil sands production U.S. Gulf Coast heavy crude oil refinery runs Million Bbl/d Million Bbl/d COVID-19 / OPEC+ COVID-19 / OPEC+ Source: IHS…
Advancing Keystone XL Project Labor Five First Nations signed historic U.S./Canada Agreement agreement for equity ownership Final Investment border crossing announced with of up to 1 billion through Decision completed four U.S.…
Growth opportunities The CFE announced 6.5 GW of new gas ASSET UTLIZATION AND ASSET fired power UTLIZATION plants by 2025 withAND 4 within GROWTH TCsGROWTH corridor1 Developing in-corridor projects Leveraging footprint fully…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook Billions 11% CAGR EBITDA underpinned by long-term take-or-pay contracts with creditworthy counterparties * Comparable EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. See the forward-looking information and non-GAAP…
Looking ahead Continue safely Enhance existing business by Progress Keystone XL delivering Canadian crude to leveraging strategic footprint construction key refining markets Delivering Maximizing Executing Incorporate green…
Liquids Pipelines Bevin Wirzba Executive Vice-President and President, Liquids Pipelines
Power and Storage Corey Hessen Senior Vice-President, Power & Storage
Power and Storage asset overview Power Seven power plants, approximately 4,200 MW Portfolio of low-cost baseload generation Underpinned by long-term contracts 75% emission-less generation Storage Alberta non-regulated natural gas…
2020 Accomplishments Achieved solid financial results through safe and efficient operations Advanced Bruce Power life extension; Unit 6 MCR project preparation phase completed October 1 Bruce Power continued harvesting Cobalt-60…
Bruce Power overview 48.4% ownership interest 6,400 MW (TC Energy share 3,109 MW) Provides 30% of Ontarios electricity needs Power sales fully contracted with Ontario IESO through 2064 Ontario Power Generation responsible for…
Bruce Power Life Extension Program Major Component Replacement (MCR) and Asset Management (AM) continues to progress on time and on budget Unit 6 MCR commenced in January 2020 Unit 6 MCR and AM reflected in 79/MWh power price Future…
Bruce Power innovations A leading supplier of medical isotopes Cobalt-60 helps to sterilize 40% of the worlds medical devices and treat complex forms of cancer Partnership established with the Saugeen Ojibway Nation to jointly market…
Power market fundamentals capacity mix for North America GW Natural gas, solar and wind continue to displace coal Demand for energy storage increases Economic growth, demographics, electrification, energy efficiency and…
Power and Storage growth opportunities Current business Technology today Transformative future technology Renewables: leveraging our footprint and competitive strengths Bruce Power Firming resources: pumped hydro and battery…
Pumped hydro storage projects 75 MW Canyon Creek Ontario pumped hydro energy benefits: pumped hydro energy storage (0.2 billion) 490,000 tonnes = 150,000 cars per year reduction in taken off of the road greenhouse gas…
Electrification of our operations Exploring opportunities to electrify our energy consumption Select electrification of pipeline compression Source renewable electricity for existing loads Enhancing sustainability across…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook Billions Bruce Power MCR: Unit 6 offline 2020-2023 6% CAGR Sale of assets** Solid base with long-term future growth in earnings *Comparable EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. See the forward looking…
Looking ahead Operate safely and reliably Five additional Bruce Power Exploring low-risk North MCRs under development American investment Optimize operations opportunities Complete Bruce Power Pumped storage projects Increase fuel…
Power and Storage Corey Hessen Senior Vice-President, Power & Storage
Finance Don Marchand Executive Vice-President, Strategy & Corporate Development and Chief Financial Officer
Core principles Adherence to Long-term view grounded in established, conservative risk Simple model and fundamentals preferences corporate structure Footprint is irreplaceable Assets are resilient and earn Business is understandable…
ESG is a long-standing strength and priority ESG a modern moniker for how we have historically run our business Reputation is sacrosanct tremendous breadth and diversity of stakeholders Sixty-plus year legacy of integrity, safety,…
2020 Accomplishments Billions 2020 Funding program complete Largely unimpacted asset utilization and performance of counterparties underscore criticality of our services Debt issuances, Fulfilling our obligations to people,…
Diversified portfolio of critical energy infrastructure 2020E Comparable EBITDA* Power & Storage Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines Bruce fully contracted to 2064 Full cost of service under CER regulation Merchant Alberta power and gas…
Financial risks and levers Counterparty Diverse and heavily investment-grade consolidated portfolio; monitoring certain WCSB and Appalachian producer exposures Mitigated by mix of regulation, value of transport, high contract…
Advancing 37 billion secured capital program through 2023 Estimated Invested to Expected Project Secured capital program Capital Cost* Date* In-Service Date* universally backed by NGTL System 3.3 3.3 2020 high-quality,…
Capital expenditure outlook 2021-2023 Billions 13.8 Secured growth portfolio Maintenance capital 90% has opportunity to earn a return on and of capital through current and future tolls 8.5 Capitalized interest and debt AFUDC 5.4…
Funding program outlook 2021-2023 Billions KXL funding Target top credit in sector Debt maturities DRP Commercial Hybrid paper, Robust liquidity underpinned by: cash on hand Resilient and growing cash flow GoA guaranteed…
Comparable EBITDA* outlook 2015-2024E Billions 12+ 7% CAGR Power & Storage 2024+ Bruce Power refurbishments 9.3 Liquids Pipelines 9% Traditional replenishment of CAGR project portfolio Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines Executable…
Stability and longevity of core asset base Comparable EBITDA* (Billions) 10+ billion supplemented by US1.3 billion of KXL contracted EBITDA Completion of 37 billion secured growth program Predominately recoverable maintenance…
Vast opportunity set the backdrop for continued disciplined growth Unparalleled demand for infrastructure under all energy mix scenarios Todays needs Low-carbon future Projects under Electrification Bruce Power MCR development of…
Dividend growth outlook 8-10% anticipated in 2021 5-7% 3.24 Expected growth per annum 2021+ 7% CAGR 37 billion secured growth program Robust development portfolio Irreplaceable asset footprint driving in-corridor expansions…
Historic yields 5.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 1.4% 0.8% Dividend highly attractive in historic low interest environment that is expected to persist Source: FactSet data from January 1, 2016 to November 10, 2020
Value proposition Financial strength and Strong base of visible Simple, understandable and adherence to risk long-life, low-variability proven model with preferences again exhibited earnings streams irreplaceable asset footprint…
Finance Don Marchand Executive Vice-President, Strategy & Corporate Development and Chief Financial Officer
Closing Remarks Russ Girling, President and Chief Executive Officer Franois Poirier, Chief Operating Officer and President, Power & Storage
Key takeaways Leading North American energy infrastructure company 100 billion of critical assets provide a strong competitive advantage Proven strategy underpinned by low-risk business model 95% of comparable EBITDA from regulated or…
Appendix - Reconciliation of non-GAAP Measures
Appendix Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures (millions of dollars) Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30 2020 2019 2020 2019 Comparable EBITDA(1) 2,294 2,344 7,028 7,051 Depreciation and amortization (673)…
Appendix Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures continued (millions of dollars) Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30 2020 2019 2020 2019 Net Cash Provided by Operations 1,783 1,585 5,119 5,256…