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Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC

NOG LLC · Nov 1, 2023 · 32 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 1
    Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation November 1, 2023 Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation 1
  2. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 2
    Contents I. Q3 2023 Highlights II. Operations & Investment Activity Updates III. Guidance IV. Value Proposition V. Appendix Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation 2
  3. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 3
    Q3 2023 Financial & Operating Highlights Record Production & EBITDA; Positioned for 2024 Growth Q3 Free Cash Flow(1) Dividend Growth Active Ground Game in Q3, D&C List Reaches New Record Adjusted EBITDA 385.5MM in Q3, +22% QoQ Q3 net…
  4. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 4
    Q3 23 Operations Highlights Organic activity up 16% year to date vs. the same period of 2022. Scale driving organic growth. AFEs Wells in Process Well Completions 1.8B (gross) in AFEs Drilling & Completions list Organic completion…
  5. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 5
    D&C List Surging Momentum Building for 2024 NOGs oil-weighted wells-in-process (D&C) list is at record levels, and the Companys recent investment cycle is poised to convert into production and cash flow over time. Diversity of regions…
  6. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 6
    Investment Activity Update Bolt-On High quality bolt-on plays starting to emerge while capitalizing on larger ground game opportunities in the interim. Opportunity Set Ground Game Bolt-On M&A landscape still Evaluated over 400…
  7. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 7
    Permian Presence Doubles Year-to-Date in 2023 Since 2021, NOG has methodically expanded its presence in the Permian. With the addition of Forge and Novo, NOG has doubled its Permian acreage through two unique joint operating…
  8. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 8
    Novo Closed - Adds Scale and High Quality, Low Breakeven Acreage KEY STATISTICS Purchased 33.33% undivided stake in Novo Assets for 468MM Gross NRI: 77% (78% Eddy, 75% Culberson), net WI: 29% Effective date May 1, 2023, closed August…
  9. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 9
    Q3 2023 Production by Basin NOGs production mix continues to become more diversified and balanced. Permian gaining production share with contributions from MPDC, Forge and Novo. 10% Flat Williston production quarter over quarter…
  10. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 10
    Q3 2023 Production by Commodity and Basin (% Boe) Oil cut for the quarter was up materially to 62.1%, with the Williston and Permian both seeing increases. Overall, the Company continues to expect a 62.0% - 63.0% oil cut for 2023.…
  11. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 11
    Q3 2023 CapEx by Basin Capital Expenditures were weighted toward the Permian Basin in Q3, with the Permian expected to lead the charge into year-end. 1% Turn-in-lines (TILs) up 64% vs. Q2 23 30% Despite strong TIL activity, the D&C…
  12. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 12
    2023 Year-to-Date CapEx Q3-23 saw an active 34MM in Ground Game opportunities and an uptick in AFE activity which accelerated CapEx spend. Full year CapEx revised to reflect year to date activity levels. 1,000 790 - 820 800 657…
  13. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 13
    A Track Record of Dividend Growth NOG has established a conservative through-cycle dividend level with potential upside. ACTUAL DIVIDENDS COMPARED WITH INITIAL 2021 DIVIDEND PLAN RECOMMENDATIONS 0.45 1 0.40 (1) 0.4 0.38 0.37…
  14. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 14
    Asset Sales Cycle Driving Growth Consolidation is afoot in the upstream industry, providing episodic access to high quality, low break-even growth assets. NOG has been selectively participating in this cycle by flexing leverage in the…
  15. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 15
    Enhanced Liquidity Position Pro Forma for Recent Capital Raise NOG has methodically managed its debt structure and maturity wall. High quality asset base has driven increases to credit facility as well as attracting new members to the…
  16. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 16
    2023 Guidance and Capital Budget The Company remains on track, with improvements to differentials and G&A unit costs. Activity ramping into 2024. 2023 Guidance Prior Current COMMENTARY Annual Production (2-stream, Boe/day) 96,000 -…
  17. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 17
    PART 2 NOG Value Proposition Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation 17
  18. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 18
    The NOG Investment Proposition 1 2 3 4 5 National Non-Op Franchise offering scale and diversification by 128MM Free Cash Flow1 in Q3 2023 Return of Capital Commitment: Growing Dividend and Shareholder Strong Balance Sheet…
  19. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 19
    Benefits of NOGs Non-Operated Model Efficient Operations Enhance Return Profile Leveraging Data and Experience Peer leading cost structure & Corporate ROCE Proprietary database, built from participation in over 9,000 wells Unit G&A…
  20. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 20
    Leading Non-Op Upstream Franchise NOGs acquisitions have created a high-return, national Q3-23 PRODUCTION BY REGION (BOE) non-op franchise that is benefitting from economies of scale; 18,800 net acres were added to Permian footprint…
  21. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 21
    And Focus on the Highest-Quality Areas No requirement for contiguous acreage allows NOG to participate in prime drilling opportunities across basins or regions. Williston Basin: 179,600 Net Acres Permian Basin: 36,400 Net Acres…
  22. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 22
    A Differentiated Upstream Investment Growth Platform Operating Leverage at Work: NOG saw a 16% drop in adjusted per unit Q3 Cash G&A while production increased 12.5% sequentially. PRODUCTION CONTINUES TO RAMP WHILE MAINTAINING…
  23. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 23
    PART 3 Appendix: Supplemental Info Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation 23
  24. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 24
    Historical Operating & Historical Operating Information 2020 2021 2022 3Q22 3Q23 Production Financial Information Oil (MBbls) 9,361.1 12,288.4 16,090.1 4,149.8 5,847.9 Natural Gas and NGLs (Mmcf) 16,473.3 44,073.9 68,829.1 18,776.8…
  25. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 25
    Adjusted EBITDA by Year (in thousands) NON-GAAP 2020 2021 2022 Net Income (Loss) (906,041) 6,361 773,237 Add: Reconciliations: Interest Expense 58,503 59,020 80,331 Income Tax Provision (Benefit) (166) 233 3,101 Depreciation,…
  26. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 26
    NON-GAAP Reconciliations: ROCE & Recycle Ratio Q3-23 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) EBIT: 1,006.9MM (Q3 23 annualized) + Adj. EBITDA: 385.5MM - DD&A: 133.8MM Capital EBIT Employed = 34.8% Capital Employed: 2,896.0MM (Avg. of Q3…
  27. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 27
    NON-GAAP Reconciliations: Free Cash Flow FREE CASH-FLOW (FCF) (in thousands) 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 154,034 210,239 276,766 287,379 269,308 307,786 263,865 Exclude: Changes in…
  28. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 28
    Hedge Profile SWAPS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside. CRUDE OIL DERIVATIVE SWAPS NATURAL GAS…
  29. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 29
    Hedge ProfileCOLLARS and PUTS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside. CRUDE OIL DERIVATIVE COLLARS & PUTS…
  30. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 30
    Hedge Profile BASIS SWAPS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside. MIDLAND-CUSHING BASIS SWAP WAHA BASIS…
  31. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 31
    Important Disclosures Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future results that are subject to the safe harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended…
  32. Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 32
    Important Disclosures Industry and Marketing Data Although all information and opinions expressed in this presentation, including market data and other statistical information (including estimates and projections relating to addressable…

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