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December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC

NOG LLC · Dec 1, 2024 · 49 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 1
    Investor Presentation December 2024 Investor Presentation December 2024 1
  2. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 2
    Contents I. Investment Highlights II. Recent Financial Results III. Appendix Investor Presentation December 2024 2
  3. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 3
    I. Investment Highlights Investor Presentation December 2024 3
  4. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 4
    The NOG Investment Proposition 1 2 3 4 5 National Non-Op Franchise offering scale and diversification by Cash Generation - 468MM Free Cash Flow1 in last twelve Return of Capital Commitment: Growing Dividend and Shareholder…
  5. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 5
    NOG At-a-Glance1 Disciplined aggregator of accretive, high-quality minority interests, aligned with the best operators. 10,000/1,000 291k 95 121.8 GROSS/NET WELLS NET ACRES OPERATORS AVERAGE PRODUCTION MBOE/DAY Appalachian 14%…
  6. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 6
    Benefits of NOGs Non-Operated Model Efficient Operations Enhance Return Profile Leveraging Data and Experience Peer leading cost structure & Corporate ROCE Proprietary database, built from participation in over 10,000 wells Unit…
  7. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 7
    What We Do THE NON-OPERATOR MODEL A flexible and moderated approach to upstream investment, offering capital discipline, cost control & protection from downside exposure. We do not drill wells or We acquire fractional Ability to…
  8. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 8
    How We Do It OUR INVESTMENT APPROACH We apply modern portfolio theory in our investment approach to pursue optimal risk adjusted returns. Diversification across geography, commodity, operators and deal structure or concentration provides…
  9. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 9
    Benefits of NOGs Non-Operated Model Efficient Operations Enhance Return Profile Leveraging Data and Experience Peer leading cost structure & Corporate ROCE1 Proprietary database, built from participation in over 10,000 wells Unit…
  10. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 10
    Focus on the Highest-Quality Areas No requirement for contiguous acreage allows NOG to participate in prime drilling opportunities North1 East 195,200 Net Acres 53,000 Net Acres across basins or regions1 As a non-operated E&P…
  11. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 11
    The Ideal Partner: There is NOG, and then everyone else NOGs enterprise value is 2.6x larger than all its public non-op competitors combined NOG can solve significant capital needs for its partners that its competitors cannot.1…
  12. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 12
    A Differentiated Upstream Investment Growth Platform Operating leverage at work: NOG had record high volumes and record low Adjusted Cash G&A per Boe(1) in 2023. PRODUCTION CONTINUES TO RAMP WHILE MAINTAINING PEER-LEADING LOW CASH…
  13. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 13
    Track Record of Executing on Large-Scale Accretive Investments NOG has been an active participant in M&A. Since 2018, the Company has completed over 5.0 billion of accretive acquisitions(1) 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 Reliance…
  14. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 14
    Superior Return on Capital Employed1 Our size, scale and network of private and public operators affords us the ability to be highly selective, pursuing opportunities with superior returns. Our investment discipline and methodology drives…
  15. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 15
    Substantial Growth in Total Proved Reserves over Last 5 Years A 2.5x increase in NOGs total proved reserves over the last 5 years, driven by its acquisition activity is expected to support durable FCF generation and de-risk the future…
  16. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 16
    NOGs Business Model Exhibits Torque from Scale Unlike operators, Non-Ops have nearly unlimited scale benefits from growth, without the dis-synergies that come from operational diversity for multi-basin operators. Production per employee…
  17. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 17
    Healthy Build in D&C List Heading into Year-End NOGs oil-weighted wells-in-process (D&C) list rebounding driven by strong organic spud and development activity. Investor Presentation December 2024 17
  18. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 18
    Well Performance Continues to Impress Williston Basin continues to show improvement in 2024 after a stellar 2023. Permian 2024 reflects an increase in Midland Basin activity which is slightly less productive than the Delaware.…
  19. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 19
    Investment Activity Update Bolt-On Ground Game focused on acreage accumulation to advance optionality over the near-term. Large bolt-on opportunities emerging across multiple basins. Opportunity Set Ground Game Bolt-On M&A landscape…
  20. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 20
    XCL Is NOGs Largest & Most Accretive Acquisition To Date XCL Asset Locator Map & Key Stats Key Financial Statistics Purchased 20% undivided interest in XCL assets for 527.5 million, inclusive of the exercise of the Altamont Energy…
  21. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 21
    Point Energy Adding Scale to NOG and Vital's Positions NOG and Vital Central & Southern Delaware Basin Map Key Financial Statistics Joint acquisition with Vital Energy of certain assets of Point Energy Partners, LLC for 1.1 billion. NOG…
  22. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 22
    Disciplined Approach to Delivering Total Return Invest Protect Harvest Buy self funding assets at a Protect underwritten returns Capture cash flows premium to cost of capital through hedging to ensure Deliver returns to investors…
  23. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 23
    Track Record of Dividend Growth NOG has established a conservative through-cycle dividend level with potential upside. Dividend run rate to be evaluated annually during the first fiscal quarter with potential for intra-year adjustments…
  24. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 24
    Balanced Approach to Capital Allocation FREE CASH-FLOW ALLOCATION Shareholder Returns Focus Reinvestment For Growth Capital Regular Dividend Organic Acreage Debt Repayment Opportunistic Stock Buybacks Ground Game Liquidity…
  25. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 25
    Asset Sales Cycle Driving Growth Private equity players are in a divesting cycle and public companies are in a consolidation phase. Each of these cohorts provide NOG episodic access to high quality, low break-even growth assets. We have…
  26. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 26
    Enhanced Liquidity Position NOG has methodically managed its debt structure and maturity wall. Growing high quality asset base has driven increases to credit facility as well as attracting new members to NOGs banking syndicate.…
  27. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 27
    Consistent Pattern of Balance Sheet Enhancement NOG has strengthened its capital structure meaningfully under the stewardship of the current Board and management team lowering debt while also growing its asset base, EBITDA and equity…
  28. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 28
    Strong Organizational Infrastructure Supports Investment Decisions Deep presence in four core basins, relationships with a wide breadth of operators and minority interests in thousands of wells gives NOG an informational advantage in…
  29. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 29
    NOGs Drakkar System Empowers our Data Driven Investment Process Drakkar is an internal, proprietary data science system developed in partnership with technology industry leaders. The system enables us to optimize daily operations and…
  30. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 30
    Sustainability Framework Meaningfully Improved NOG made significant strides in its environmental, social and governance1 framework and is setting the standard for publicly-traded non-operating E&P companies. Our 2022 ESG report was…
  31. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 31
    ESG Milestones Sustainability journey in early stages. We are focused on continuous improvement and recognize we have room for growth. ESG Reporting Milestones and Path Forward 2022 2023 2024 2025 Published inaugural NOG ESG…
  32. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 32
    Alignment with Operators who are ESG Leaders NOG strives to align with Energy-Sector ESG leaders. Fifty eight percent of NOGs 2023 production came from 22 public operators, 20 with publicly available ESG ratings. Devon EQT Permian Chord…
  33. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 33
    II. Recent Financial Results Investor Presentation December 2024 33
  34. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 34
    Q3 2024 Financial & Operating Highlights Steady as she goes with acceleration in oil production and free cash flow as NOG heads into Q4 Free Cash Flow(1) Shareholder Returns Strong financial performance on fewer completions, boosted…
  35. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 35
    Q3 2024 Operations Highlights Development activity spooling as the D&C list builds after three consecutive quarters of draws AFEs Wells in Process Well Completions 1.7B (gross) in AFEs Drilling & Completions list Completion…
  36. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 36
    Q3 2024 Production by Basin NOG saw increased oil production in Q3 on lower turn-in-lines. Balanced growth in the Williston and Permian sequentially. 14% Modest growth in Permian and Williston volumes driven by well productivity,…
  37. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 37
    Q3 2024 Production by Commodity and Basin (% Boe) Production mix among the basins remained consistent quarter over quarter. The Company maintains its full year guidance. Williston 30% Appalachian 3% 70% 42% Oil Gas 58%…
  38. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 38
    Q3 2024 CapEx by Basin Disciplined Capital Expenditures for Q3, focused primarily on modest Q3 TIL activity and spud and development activity for an active TIL schedule expected in Q4. Workovers continue to accelerate. The Permian and…
  39. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 39
    III. Appendix Investor Presentation December 2024 39
  40. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 40
    2024 Guidance and Capital Budget Reaffirmed Production and CapEx Guidance, which includes the impact of XCL and Point Acquisitions Prior Guidance Revised Guidance Annual Production (2-stream, Boe/day) 120,000 124,000 120,000 124,000…
  41. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 41
    Historical Operating Information 2021 2022 2023 3Q23 3Q24 Historical Operating & Production Oil (MBbls) 12,288.4 16,090.1 22,013.0 5,847.9 6,524.0 Financial Information Natural Gas and NGLs (Mmcf) 44,073.9 68,829.1 84,341.9…
  42. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 42
    NON-GAAP Reconciliations: Adjusted EBITDA & Other Adjusted EBITDA by Quarter (in thousands) 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 Net Income (Loss) 340,191 167,815 26,111 388,853 11,606 138,556 298,446 Add: Interest Expense 30,143 31,968…
  43. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 43
    NON-GAAP Reconciliations: ROCE & Recycle Ratio Q3-24 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) Adj. EBIT: 907.0MM (Q3 24 annualized) + Adj. EBITDA: 412.4MM (Q3 2024) Capital - DD&A: 185.7MM (Q3 2024) EBIT Employed = 21.8% Capital…
  44. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 44
    NON-GAAP Reconciliations: Free Cash Flow FREE CASH FLOW (FCF) (in thousands) 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 269,308 307,786 263,865 342,362 392,147 340,477 385,761 Exclude: Changes in…
  45. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 45
    Hedge ProfileSWAPS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside CRUDE OIL DERIVATIVE SWAPS NATURAL GAS…
  46. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 46
    Hedge ProfileCOLLARS and PUTS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside CRUDE OIL DERIVATIVE COLLARS & PUTS…
  47. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 47
    Hedge ProfileBasis SWAPS NOG continues to execute a strategy built around the safeguard of returns during a commodity down-cycle, while retaining flexibility to capture the opportunistic upside MIDLAND-CUSHING BASIS SWAP WAHA BASIS…
  48. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 48
    Important Disclosures Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future results that are subject to the safe harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended…
  49. December 2024 Investor Presentation – NOG LLC – slide 49
    Important Disclosures Industry and Marketing Data Although all information and opinions expressed in this presentation, including market data and other statistical information (including estimates and projections relating to addressable…

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