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February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc

BP Plc · Feb 1, 2025 · 53 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 1
    Growing shareholder Capital markets value update A reset bp February 2025 2025 capital markets update 1
  2. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 2
    Craig Marshall SVP investor relations 2025 capital markets update 2 Good afternoon and good morning everyone. I am delighted to welcome our guests in the room, and those on the webcast. Further to our announcement earlier…
  3. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 3
    Growing shareholder value Cautionary statement In order to utilize the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the PSLRA) and the general doctrine of cautionary statements, bp…
  4. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 4
    Growing shareholder value Agenda 13:00 Strategy update Group strategy Financial frame and targets Murray Auchincloss Kate Thomson Chief executive officer Chief financial officer 13:40 Break 15mins 13:55 Business deep…
  5. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 5
    Murray Auchincloss Chief executive officer 2025 capital markets update 5 5
  6. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 6
    Introduction Thanks Craig. And thank you everyone for joining us online and here in the room its great to be here on an exciting day for bp. 6
  7. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 7
    Growing shareholder value Growing shareholder value Resetting Reallocating Driving strategy capital performance Compelling FCF* growth Strong returns growth Resilient Stronger Lower distributions balance sheet…
  8. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 8
    Growing shareholder value Learnings informing our strategy Capital Preserve core Safety allocation strengths Importance of Focus on Invest in our core process safety fewer and higher business as we remains core returning…
  9. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 9
    From this, and my 25 years with bp, I carry forward three core learnings: First - make sure you are very strong on process safety this is crucial to securing a successful future for bp. We have demonstrated strong progress is…
  10. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 10
    Growing shareholder value A distinctive and advantaged integrated energy company Top tier oil and gas operator Leading positions in GoA, Middle East, Expertise in finding, developing A leading unconventional operator 1 US biogas…
  11. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 11
    Growing shareholder value Growing energy demand conviction in our key markets Global energy consumption 600 5tn 500 400 Exajoules (EJ) 300 200 100 0 1 1970 1990 2010 2023 1 2035 Oil & gas2 Electricity…
  12. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 12
    Electricity demand increases by around one third to 2035. Wind and solar both continue to grow quickly, and markets for carbon capture and low carbon hydrogen are beginning to develop. Its clear that bp operates in a growing and…
  13. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 13
    Growing shareholder value Materially reshaping our portfolio Laying a strong foundation in 2024... ...with more to come Gelsenkirchen refinery1 Offshore wind JERA Nex bp Retail markets (NL, TR) 20bn divestments Trans…
  14. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 14
    optimise the platform in a capital light way. Proceeds from both of these potential transactions are included in the 20 billion divestment programme. And the proceeds from these transactions will be dedicated to strengthening our balance…
  15. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 15
    Growing shareholder value Our strategy 12
  16. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 16
    Growing shareholder value A reset bp Resetting strategy Growing Focusing upstream* downstream Disciplined investment in transition 2025 capital markets update 13 Today, we are fundamentally resetting our strategy,…
  17. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 17
    We will invest with discipline to deliver the returns our shareholders expect, through: selective investment in biogas, biofuels and EV charging where we see strong demand growth, adopting innovative capital-light partnerships in…
  18. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 18
    Growing shareholder value Growing cash flow and returns Adjusted free cash flow* Return on average capital employed* 20% CAGR1 16% 2024 2027 14% 10.3bn 12% 8bn 2024 at 81 2024 at 70 2 2027 at 74.42 2024 at 81 2024…
  19. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 19
    Growing shareholder value Reallocating capex Reducing capex* by and reallocating to the highest return opportunities 1 3bn p.a. to 20271 10bn Growing production Increasing More major projects* 8.5bn investment with higher…
  20. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 20
    Growing shareholder value Growing upstream Maintaining safe and Increasing investment Strengthening efficient operations in oil & gas the portfolio 96% plant reliability*1 10bn average capex* Discovered resource access p.a.…
  21. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 21
    Growing shareholder value Focusing downstream Reshaping our portfolio Improving performance Announced strategic review of Castrol Lower realised refining breakeven by 3/bbl: 96% refining availability*, structural cost…
  22. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 22
    realising value and growth from our prior acquisitions, TravelCenters of America (or TA) and bp bioenergy The growth opportunity is significant, and we are confident in delivering. 17
  23. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 23
    Growing shareholder value Disciplined investment in transition Focused on biogas, biofuels and EV charging Capital-light in low carbon energy Biogas Biofuels EV charging Renewables H2/CCS High-grading Integrating Focusing on Two…
  24. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 24
    Growing shareholder value Focusing on 5 sustainability aims Net zero* by 2050 or sooner Net zero Net zero People Biodiversity Water operations* sales* Scope 1 and 2 emissions1 MtCO2e Carbon intensity gCO2e/MJ 60 6%2 80…
  25. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 25
    Growing shareholder value Summary Resetting Reallocating Driving strategy capital performance Growing shareholder value 2025 capital markets update 20 In summary, we are fundamentally resetting our strategy, we are…
  26. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 26
    Kate Thomson Chief financial officer 2025 capital markets update 21 No script 21
  27. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 27
    Growing shareholder value Reallocating capital and driving performance Reducing and Reducing Stronger Growing Resilient reallocating cost balance cash flow distributions capex* sheet and returns Simplifying targets 2025…
  28. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 28
    Growing shareholder value Reducing and reallocating capex Reducing capex* Reallocating capex1 Group cash capex, including inorganic* bn 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2026 2027 14 18bn 15bn 13 15bn guidance 10.5bn2…
  29. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 29
    CCS projects already through FID. As Murray mentioned, in total our transition capex will be in the range of 1.5 to 2 billion per year over 2026 to 2027, with 2025 being higher due to the deferred consideration for the bp bioenergy…
  30. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 30
    Growing shareholder value Disciplined investments driving higher returns Investments Expected returns1 Capex allocation2 Group ROACE* % Upstream* 16% ROACE in 20274 (includes biogas) 15% 75% 15% 2024 actual Downstream…
  31. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 31
    Growing shareholder value Cost reduction momentum 4 5bn structural cost reductions* by end 20271 22.6bn Reducing contractors, 2,600 already left bp Cross industry sharing Scaling up BTC across (logistics) all major…
  32. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 32
    opportunities of over 170 million already identified. Secondly, were simplifying our organisational structure by reducing interfaces and duplication, and scaling up our business and technology centres enabling activity to be transferred…
  33. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 33
    Growing shareholder value Growing free cash flow 20% CAGR adjusted free cash flow*1 growth 2024 2027 drivers Capex* LCE and others Downstream 10.3bn 8bn Divestments2 Upstream*3 Expected 10 major Focused customers…
  34. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 34
    Growing shareholder value Upstream growing cash flow with improved margins Upstream operating cash flow* + 2bn Biogas Oil & gas Higher margin major Increased production project* start-ups from modular plants brought…
  35. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 35
    Growing shareholder value Downstream improved performance driving cash flow growth Downstream operating cash flow* Customers (50%) + 3.5 4.0bn Products (50%) TAR and other Refining improvement 1/3 Prior inorganics* 2/3…
  36. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 36
    Growing shareholder value Resilient and stronger balance sheet Net debt* 12bn hybrids issued June 2020 Target to reduce to 14 18bn by bn1 end 2027, including potential Net debt* proceeds from any transactions related to Castrol…
  37. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 37
    Turning to leases in broad terms, we have continued to use leases in a consistent way, both before and after the 2019 accounting change. These leases are primarily on operating assets, such as our vessels used by trading and drilling rigs…
  38. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 38
    Growing shareholder value Capital allocation our financial frame Balance sheet Shareholder distributions Capital expenditure* 14 18bn Resilient dividend Share buybacks Disciplined investment Net debt* target by allocation end…
  39. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 39
    Growing shareholder value Our primary targets Adjusted 20% 1 2 free cash Net debt* 14 18bn flow* CAGR from 2024 2027 target by end 2027 growth Structural 4 5bn 16% 1 Group cost ROACE* reduction* by end 2027 in…
  40. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 40
    Summary No script 32
  41. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 41
    Murray Auchincloss Chief executive officer 2025 capital markets update 33 No script 33
  42. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 42
    Growing shareholder value A fundamental reset whats changed Upstream* Capex* Adjusted FCF* Growing production Reduced and reallocated to Compelling growth and reserves higher returning businesses Downstream Costs Net debt*…
  43. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 43
    Growing shareholder value Growing shareholder value Resetting strategy Reallocating capital Driving performance Growing upstream* Reallocating and reducing capex * Improving downstream Disciplined transition investment…
  44. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 44
    Appendix
  45. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 45
    Growing shareholder value Price assumptions 2024 Marker prices 20241 2025 2026 2027 2025 rule-of-thumb impact on Actual pre-tax replacement cost operating profit2 Brent (/bbl) 80.8 70 71.5 72.9 74.4 Oil price Brent +/- 1/bbl…
  46. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 46
    Growing shareholder value Adjusted free cash flow reconciliation bn 2024 Adjusted free cash flow Non-IFRS measure. It is defined Net cash provided by operating activities 27.3 as adjusted operating cash flow* less capital…
  47. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 47
    Glossary
  48. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 48
    Growing shareholder value Glossary abbreviations Barrel (bbl) 159 litres, 42 US gallons. LSbp Lightsource bp. BTC Business technology centres. mmbtu Million British thermal units. C&P Customers & products. mmboed Million barrels of…
  49. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 49
    Growing shareholder value Glossary Adjusted free Adjusted free cash flow is a non-IFRS measure. It is defined as adjusted Adjusted Non-IFRS measure. It is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating cash flow operating cash…
  50. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 50
    Growing shareholder value Glossary Fair value Non-IFRS adjustments to our IFRS profit (loss). They reflect the difference Inventory holding Inventory holding gains and losses are non-IFRS adjustments to our IFRS accounting between…
  51. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 51
    Growing shareholder value Glossary Joint venture (JV) A joint arrangement whereby the parties that have joint control of the Net zero sales bps aim to reach net zero for the carbon intensity of sold energy products*. arrangement…
  52. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 52
    Growing shareholder value Glossary Reserves The extent to which the years production has been replaced by proved Structural cost Non-IFRS measure. Calculated as decreases in underlying operating replacement ratio reserves added to…
  53. February 2025 Growing shareholder value Capital markets value – BP Plc – slide 53
    Growing shareholder value Glossary Upstream Non-IFRS measure and a subset of businesses' estimated share of adjusted Working capital Movements in inventories and other current and non-current assets and operating cash operating cash…

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