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1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy

Expand Energy · Apr 29, 2025 · 30 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 1
    1Q 2025 Earnings APRIL 29, 2025
  2. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 2
    Forward-Looking Statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.…
  3. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 3
    1Q25 Operational and Financial Highlights Largest Domestic On Track to Capture Upgraded to Investment Natural Gas Producer 400mm of Synergies Grade from Moodys 1Q25 beat with net production of 6.8 Bcfe/d, 1.4bn of Adj. EBITDAX(1)…
  4. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 4
    Expanding Returns, Expanding Opportunities Attractive, Peer-leading Resilient Responsible Connected Returns Financial Stewardship Portfolio Foundation Premium rock, returns, Most efficient operator Investment Grade Connecting…
  5. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 5
    Attractive, Connected Portfolio Superior Portfolio Characteristics Northeast Appalachia 700,000 net acres 1,500 gross locations Scale: Largest natural gas producer in FY25E Prod: 2,600 MMcfe/d North America with 1.9mm net acres,…
  6. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 6
    2025 Synergy Capture Annual Synergy Outlook 500/yr (mm) 2025 Synergy 100 expected by YE26 2026+ Synergy 70 40 130 50 400/yr 400 expected in 2025 200 110 200 Corporate & D&C Other Operating Initial Synergy Additional…
  7. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 7
    Capital Outlook 2025 Capital Expenditures Demonstrate Significant 3.0bn of total capital Efficiency Relative to Standalone 2024 Programs (Implied Midpoints of 2025 Guidance, mm) spend for 2025 3.0bn 2.7bn capital delivers…
  8. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 8
    Minimal Near-term Impact from Tariffs Illustrative AFE Components and Cost Trends YE24 compared to YE25 expectations Favorable near-term outlook for service pricing offsets potential tariff impacts PHASE SUB-CATEGORY % OF AFE…
  9. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 9
    Production Outlook Growing Annual Production from 2025 Production Plan: 2024 Productive Capacity Activation (MMcfe/d) 7.1 Bcfe/d Actual Estimates Generating attractive FCF from 2024 productive 7,500 capacity 300 Expecting to…
  10. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 10
    EXE is Positioned to Meet Demand NE App Quarterly Production Haynesville Quarterly Production (MMcfe/d) (MMcfe/d) 2,950 2,900 2,425 2,668 2,615 2,600 2,617 2,338 4Q24A 1Q25A 2Q25E FY25E 4Q24A 1Q25A 2Q25E FY25E Rigs 2 2 2 23…
  11. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 11
    Optimizing Maintenance Production to Maximize Free Cash Flow (1) Centering activity to deliver 7.5 Bcfe/d through-cycle maximizes FCF at mid-cycle prices between 3.50 to 4.00 Illustrative Annual FCF(2) at Various Mid-cycle Prices,…
  12. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 12
    Productive Capacity Success Story Illustrative Productive Capacity Strategy 2024 Productive Capacity Generated Significant Value 225mm increase in FCF over first (1) 12 months of volume from productive capacity wells(2)…
  13. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 13
    Ready to Answer the Call for Growing Demand Advantaged transportation portfolio expected to provide deliverability, diversification and flexibility Haynesville NE Appalachia Haynesville portfolio balanced between growing LNG demand 1…
  14. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 14
    Being LNG Ready Will Create Meaningful Value and Enhance Returns Growing Exports Expected to be Significant to U.S. Gas Demand (U.S. LNG Capacity, Bcf/d)(1) Fully financed, under construction LNG projects Plaquemines increase U.S.…
  15. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 15
    Enhanced Capital Returns Framework Program designed to return cash to shareholders and reduce net debt 2.30/ Annual Base Dividend share Tranche 1 Annual Base Dividend EXCESS FCF 2.30/share Remains priority and is paid…
  16. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 16
    Investment Grade Rating Demonstrates Resilient Financial Foundation Investment Grade Ratings Expand Energy Debt Maturity Profile (mm)(2) Baa3 from Moodys (New) 6.00% BBB- from S&P EXE 6.10% RBL Capacity BBB- from Fitch 700…
  17. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 17
    Current Hedge Position Preserves Upside as Prices Strengthen Hedged Natural Gas Volumes Added since 4Q Earnings (Bcf) Last Public Disclosure (Bcf) 23 24 35 40 56 57 341 338 307 271 41 190 158 17 112 36 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26…
  18. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 18
    Appendix 1Q 2025 EARNINGS
  19. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 19
    Managements Guidance as of April 29, 2025 Production (MMcfe/d) 1Q25A 2Q25E 2025E Operating Costs (per Mcfe of Projected Production) 1Q25A 2025E Total Production 6,788 7,100 7,200 7,000 7,200 Production Expense 0.24 0.25 0.30…
  20. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 20
    1Q25 EXE Business Unit Results Haynesville NE Appalachia SW Appalachia Production (MMcfe/d) 2,617 2,668 1,503 Production Expense (/Mcfe) 0.30 0.16 0.29 Differential to NYMEX (/Mcf) (0.17) 0.10 (0.27) GP&T (/Mcfe) 0.75 0.94…
  21. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 21
    Haynesville, Northeast and Southwest Appalachia Sales Points Haynesville Sales Points Northeast Appalachia Sales Points Southwest Appalachia Sales Points DEDUCT FROM NYMEX ()(1) DEDUCT FROM NYMEX ()(1) DEDUCT FROM NYMEX ()(1)…
  22. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 22
    Historical and Future Expected Rig and Production Activity Average Rig Count(1) Historical and Future Estimated Production(1) 15 rigs Running up to 15 rigs 300 MMcfe/d of as of in 2H25 creates productive capacity merger productive…
  23. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 23
    Fully Diluted Share Count Breakdown As of 4/24/2025 3.0 238.0 238.0 241.0 - Shares Warrants Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding 23 1Q 2025 Earnings
  24. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 24
    Reducing Risk, Protecting Returns Through Hedge Program NATURAL GAS ESTIMATED NYMEX GAS SETTLEMENT (mm) SWAPS COSTLESS COLLARS THREE-WAY COLLARS 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 Date Bought Bought Date Volume Price Volume Sold Call Volume Sold…
  25. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 25
    Reducing Risk, Protecting Returns Through Hedge Program NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS ESTIMATED NGL SETTLEMENT (mm) C2 SWAPS C3 SWAPS C4 SWAPS C5 SWAPS Date Date 0.25 0.50 1.00 1.50 Volume Price Volume Price Volume Price Volume Price MBbl…
  26. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 26
    Reducing Risk, Protecting Returns Through Hedge Program CRUDE OIL ESTIMATED NYMEX WTI SETTLEMENT (mm) SWAPS COSTLESS COLLARS THREE-WAY COLLARS 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 Date Bought Bought Date Volume Price Volume Sold Call Volume…
  27. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 27
    Hedged Financial Basis HAYNESVILLE NORTHEAST APPALACHIA CGT MAINLINE TETCO WLA TGT Z1 TETCO M3 TGP Z4 300L LEIDY EASTERN GAS Date Volume Avg. Price Volume Avg. Price Volume Avg. Price Volume Avg. Price Volume Avg. Price Volume Avg.…
  28. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 28
    Non-GAAP Financial Measures As a supplement to the financial results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP, Expand Energys quarterly earnings presentations contain certain financial measures that are not prepared or presented in…
  29. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 29
    Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Adjusted Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating EBITDAX (Unaudited) Activities to Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Unaudited) Three Three Three Three Three Months Months Months Months Months…
  30. 1Q 2025 Earnings Presentation – Expand Energy – slide 30
    Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Reconciliation of Total Debt to Total Capitalization Activities to Adjusted EBITDAX (Unaudited) (Unaudited) Three Months Ended Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 March 31, 2024 March…

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