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Investor Presentation – RWE DEA

RWE DEA · Oct 31, 2014 · 38 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 1
    Focus on financial strength (as of October 2014)
  2. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 2
    RWE an attractive value proposition Attractive portfolio Stable financials Leading market position and Progress in strengthening balance regionally focused strategy sheet Pure utility play exit of upstream Streamlined and…
  3. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 3
    Main messages Performance in H1 2014 line with expectations: EBITDA -32%, operating result -40%; recurrent net income -62% Group outlook for 2014 confirmed EU Commission and German government approve RWE Dea transaction; closing…
  4. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 4
    From commodity driven earnings development to attractive regulated profile RWE develops towards an attractive stable downstream business profile with additional focus on renewables and upside potential from conventional power…
  5. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 5
    RWEs mid-term business profile drivers GENERATION TRADING DISTRIBUTION SUPPLY Selective growth in Ongoing focus on value GER: Stable regulatory Focus on efficiency renewable energy extraction in commercial environment for the next…
  6. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 6
    Conventional Power Generation: mark-to-market earnings perspective bn 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.5 Mark-to-market (m-t-m)1 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.0 OR m-t-m 0.5 before efficiencies 0.0 2012 2013 -0.5 Efficiencies Operating result (OR)…
  7. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 7
    Overview of capacity measures Measure Plant MW1 Fuel Location Date Decom- Amer 8 610 Hard coal NL Q1-2016 missioning Goldenbergwerk 110 Lignite DE Q3-2015 Westfalen C 285 Hard coal DE Q1-2016 Gersteinwerk K2 610 Hard coal DE…
  8. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 8
    Impact of our capacity measures on our total conventional generation portfolio Net decrease in RWE Generations portfolio1 to substantially materialise after 2015 43,716 MW 2,449 MW 3,224 MW 894 110 MW 41,560 MW MW 41,256 MW…
  9. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 9
    RWE Innogy will provide mid-term earnings growth despite reduced capex volume Development of operating result by 2016 First generation: Commissioning: Commissioning of Gwynt y Mr (576 MW), NSO (295 MW), onshore projects1…
  10. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 10
    More customers will produce self-generated power and will be enabled to manage their consumption Changing energy landscape Trends in retail markets Household Increase in decentral energy customer production from household customers…
  11. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 11
    Excellent access to debt capital market is key Leverage target mid-term: < 3.0x; more flexibility short-term bn 29.9 33.0 30.7 In the order of 26.0 Net debt 3.5x 3.5x 3.5x Significantly 3.5x Leverage factor1 19.9 19.4 16.9 13.0…
  12. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 12
    RWE well on track to reach target of a positive cash balance Cash flows from operating activities to cover investments and dividends by 2015 bn -3.3 -3.8 -2.7 -0.4 0 Cash balance 9.3 8.8 7.1 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.5 4.4 2010 2011…
  13. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 13
    Deliveries on our measures to improve the leverage situation Measures Earnings improvement through efficiency Efficiency enhancement measures; at least 1.5 bn by 2016 enhancements Reduction of discretionary investments Capex…
  14. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 14
    Efficiency enhancements Efficiency improvements 1 year ahead of plan At least 1.5 bn net benefit to be achieved by 2016 Net benefit to operating result In million Total programme consists of measures amounting to 2 bn (= gross…
  15. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 15
    Efficiency enhancements Efficiency measures of 2 bn implemented by the end of 2016 Net benefit by division Conventional Power Generation 10% Holding, other divisions 50% 40% reduction of overhead costs and cross divisional…
  16. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 16
    Efficiency enhancements Focus on total controllable costs (TCC) 60% of the efficiency programme will be achieved through a reduction of TCC 10.8 bn 10.1 bn 9.0 bn 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 5.5 4.9 4.3 5.3 5.2 4.7 2012 2013…
  17. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 17
    Capex reduction Capex programme reduced to maintenance level bn Approx. 8 bn capex programme 1.0 Renewable projects for 2014 2016 excluding RWE Dea: 0.9 Completing 1.9 bn for major projects conventional power plants 5.6…
  18. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 18
    Disposals Disposals focus on RWE Dea and Urenco Strategic decision, not for deleveraging purposes RWE Dea Agreement signed with LetterOne Group in March to sell RWE Dea at an EV of c. 5.1 bn EU Commission and German government…
  19. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 19
    Outlook for 2014 In million EBITDA 8,762 7,904 6,400 6,800 Operating 5,881 result 5,369 3,900 4,300 Recurrent 2,314 2,314 1,200 1,400 net income Dividend 1.00/share Payout ratio of 40% 50% 2013 2013 2014e reported…
  20. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 20
    Back-up Charts 20
  21. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 21
    Major earning drivers post 2013 Further decline in realised electricity Efficiency enhancement programme margins (realised outright power (2014 to 2016: at least 500 million) price 2013: 51/MWh) Earnings growth in renewables…
  22. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 22
    2014 divisional outlook for the operating result million 20131 2014 forecast versus 2013 Conventional Power Generation 1,384 Significantly below 2013 Supply/Distribution Networks Germany 1,626 Moderately above 2013 Supply…
  23. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 23
    RWEs forward hedging of conventional electricity production (German, Dutch and UK portfolio) As of 30 June 2014 30% 10% 40% 10% 50% 20% 50% 30% 60% 40% 70% 50% 80% 60% 80% 80% 90% 90% 2014 forward 30% 10% 40% 10% 40% 20% 50% 30%…
  24. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 24
    Contango has been reinstated in the front of the curve Spread between implied versus front year (EUR/MWh)1 Implied Year (FY0)2 Front Year (FY1) Second Year (FY2) Risk premium (right scale) 2012 2013 1 German power baseload…
  25. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 25
    Germany: Clean Dark (CDS) and Spark Spreads (CSS) 2013 forward 2014 forward 2015 forward 16 12 9.96 7.86 8 5.94 4 0 -4 -2.37 -8 -11.63 -12 -13.07 -16 Trading year 2012 Trading year 2013 Trading year 2014 2…
  26. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 26
    NL: Clean Dark (CDS) and Spark Spreads (CSS) 2013 forward 2014 forward1 2015 forward1 20 15 11.43 10 8.58 5 7.63 0 -5 -10 -4.55 -8.79 -7.46 -15 -20 Trading year 2012 Trading year 2013 Trading year 2014 2 3…
  27. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 27
    UK: Clean Dark (CDS) and Spark Spreads (CSS) 2013 forward 2014 forward1 2015 forward1 28 22.49 24 20 19.51 17.36 16 12 8 4 3.07 3.12 0 2.03 Trading year 2012 Trading year 2013 Trading year 2014 2 3 4…
  28. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 28
    Development of net debt billion Cash flows Capex on Dividends1 Divestments/ Change Others from property, deconsoli- in pension, including f/x operating plant and dations/ nuclear, effects and activities1 equipment capital mining…
  29. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 29
    Full benefit of deleveraging measures mainly after 2014 Leverage ratio 2014: declining earnings trend overlays efforts to reduce debt Continued pressure on earnings and cash flows induced from falling commodity prices 3.5 Prime…
  30. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 30
    Capital market debt maturities and sources of financing Capital market debt maturities1 Strong sources of financing bn Fully committed syndicated loan For liquidity 2,5 20 (4.0 bn up back-up to March 2019) 0.0 bn 2,0 16 1,5 12…
  31. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 31
    RWEs major investment projects RWE Capex share ( bn) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Conventional new build power plant programme (capex at 100% share) Hamm (hard coal, 1,528 MW)1 77% 2.5 Unit E (764 MW) Eemshaven (hard…
  32. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 32
    Growing uncertainty as to whether sufficient guaranteed capacity will be available Development of guaranteed capacity in Germany, 2012 2022 6 GW 2 GW 5 GW 88 GW 12 GW 69 GW 0 GW - 5 GW - 79 GW - 10 GW 3 GW 15 GW 5 GW…
  33. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 33
    A decentralised capacity market closes the financing- gap of the electricity market Function of a decentralised capacity market Interaction capacity & electricity market Electricity market Required secure Covered capacity Required…
  34. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 34
    By 2015 we will have renewed 25% of our electricity generation fleet Gas 12 GW BoA Neurath 12.5 GW out of Lignite 2.1 GW Lignite out 49 of GW (2011) 49.2 GW (2013) Hard coal Staythorpe Moerdijk 2 1.7 GW CCGT 0.4 GW…
  35. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 35
    The fuel mix of European electricity generators 2013 RWE has one of the most balanced generation portfolios of European electricity generators (installed capacity) 100% 80% 60% Hydro/ Other 40% Gas Hard Coal 20% Lignite…
  36. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 36
    The fuel mix of European electricity generators 2013 RWE has one of the most balanced generation portfolios of European electricity generators (generation output) 100% 80% 60% Hydro/ Other 40% Gas Hard Coal 20% Lignite…
  37. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 37
    Practical example for efficiency improvements in the lignite business Availability of our lignite based power generation fleet Measures to improve availability (examples) 100% Optimisation of coal management Improvement of…
  38. Investor Presentation – RWE DEA – slide 38
    Keep up with RWE Follow us on twitterRWE_IR and have a look at www.rwe.com/ir Financial calendar http://www.rwe.com/web/cms/en/110614/rwe/investor-relations/events/calendar/ Annual and Interim Reports…

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