1 From Importer to Exporter Jack Lafield, CEO January 30, 2014
Agenda 1. Overview 2. Residue Gas Takeaway 3. Liquids Takeaway 4. Blue Racer Supersystem 5. Conclusion 2
Overview 3
Northeast Natural Gas Production Northeast production is a game changer Production is meeting (and exceeding) demand Production potential is over 20 Bcf/d by 2020 Current production exceeds 13 Bcf/d One-third of US production growth…
A Look Back at Production Projections: How close were we 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 bcfed 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Wood Mackenzie 5
Northeast Wet Gas Production Wet Marcellus / Utica show strong returns and will drive Northeast production growth Robust economics in rich area of Marcellus / Utica Continued growth from Marcellus and Utica will put increasing pressure…
Drilling Activity in the Northeast Current Drilling Activity Dry Marcellus rigs declining; moving to wet Marcellus/Utica Non-producing well inventory still large and will keep dry production growing Results Wet Marcellus/Utica show…
Residue Gas Takeaway 8
Historical Import Region Existing Transmission Lines Southwest Production TETCO Tennessee Gas Transco Appalachian Production Dominion Columbia Rockies Production Rex Canadian Production Iroquois Canadian Gas Dominion Cove…
Northeast Natural Gas Basis Differentials Source: RBN Energy 10
Where Does the Gas Go Source: RBN Energy 11
Exports: Where Do We Go Spectra Anticipated Pipeline Industry Takeaway Additions TEAM (2014) Options from Marcellus to Texas Eastern M3 and Henry Hub area OPEN (2015) Move Utica production west to Lebanon and south to Mississippi…
Residue Takeaway Solutions Source: RBN Energy 13
NGL Outlets and Markets 14
Northeast Processing: Capacity v. Wet Production Wet Production vs. Processing Capacity [Bcf/d] 10 9 3.6 8 7 6 5.7 5 4 3 2 1 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Marcellus South West Utica…
Marcellus / Utica NGL Production Forecast: 726 1,175 Kbpd by 2020 NGL Production (25% Recovery) [MBbl/d] 750 600 450 300 150 - 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ethane Propane Normal Butane…
Marcellus / Utica C2 Production Vs. Frac Capacity Ethane Production Vs. Capacity [MBbl/d] 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 C2: 25% Recovery C2: 80% Recovery C2: Frac…
Ethane Trading Range Ethane Floor Natural gas price at the plant tailgate, adjusted for ethane transportation and fractionation cost Ethane Ceiling The maximum price for ethane before flexible olefin crackers begin to switch to…
Marcellus / Utica C3+ Production Vs. Frac Capacity C3+ Production Vs. Capacity [MBbl/d] 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 C3+ Production C3+ Frac Capacity Source:…
Exports: Where Do We Go Mariner West (Sunoco) Extends from Houston, PA to Sarnia, Canada Ontario In service Dec 2013 New York ATEX Express (Enterprise Products) Began service in January 2014 Potential to add propane in the future…
NGL Prices Source: RBN Energy 27
Blue Racer Supersystem 28
Blue Racer Supersystem - Gathering BRM supersystem of midstream assets is the largest system in the Utica Nearly 600 miles of large diameter gathering pipeline Ranges in diameter from 8 to 30 Average trunk line pressure of 400-600…
Blue Racer Supersystem - Processing BRM system will be able to process 1.0 to 1.6 Bcf/d of Utica wet gas production Natrium Processing Complex: Current: 200 MMcf/d - 350 psi Suction Pressure Expanded to 400 MMcf/d (1Q14) Current…
Blue Racer Supersystem Fractionation & Liquids Natrium Fractionation 46 MBbl/d C2+ Pipe, Rail, Truck Loading Natrium Fractionation Expansion Operational in Q1 2015 Adds 80 MBbl/d C2+ capacity, 126 MBbl/d total Expansion of rail…
Planned Condensate Services BRM has executed and is currently negotiating additional condensate agreements Condensate Gathering, Stabilization and Marketing Field gathering lines to be constructed from wellhead to Berne…
Conclusion 33
Conclusions Residue Gas Importer to Exporter Key pipeline reversals and expansions are necessary to get gas out of the Northeast and prevent basis from eroding further Liquids Northeast market is saturated Need access to diverse…