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Investor Analyst Material – Fortum

Fortum · Feb 5, 2015 · 52 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 1
    FORTUM Power and heat company in the Nordic area, Russia, Poland and the Baltics Investor / Analyst material February 2015
  2. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 2
    Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares. Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing advice should…
  3. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 3
    Content Fortum today pages 4 18 European and Nordic power markets pages 19 30 Data on Fortums nuclear fleet pages 31 35 Russia pages 35 40 Data on capacity payments pages 38 39 Fortums investment programme page 40 Financials and…
  4. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 4
    Appr. 110,000 shareholders Power and heat company in the Nordic countries, Russia, Poland and the Baltics Listed at the Helsinki Stock Exchange since 1998 Among the most traded shares on the Nasdaq Helsinki stock exchange Market cap…
  5. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 5
    Capital returns : 2014 EUR 1.30 per share EUR 1.2 billion Fortums dividend policy is based on the following preconditions: The dividend policy ensures that shareholders receive a fair remuneration for their entrusted capital, supported…
  6. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 6
    Fortum Executive Management as of 1st February 2015 Business Divisions Interim President and CEO Corporate Staff Functions Timo Karttinen Finance Human Resources and IT Chief Financial Officer Senior Vice President Timo Karttinen…
  7. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 7
    Fortums Mission and Strategy Mission Fortums purpose is to create energy that improves life for present and future generations. We provide sustainable solutions for society and deliver excellent value to our shareholders.…
  8. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 8
    Our current geographical presence Power Nordic countries Key figures 2014 generation Sales EUR 4.8 bn Power generation* 49.2 TWh Operating profit EUR 3.4 bn Heat Balance sheet EUR 21 bn Heat sales* 10.9 TWh Personnel 8,600…
  9. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 9
    Fortums reporting segments and divisions Power and Technology Heat, Electricity Sales Russia Distribution and Solutions Hydro, nuclear and Combined heat and Power and heat Electricity distribution thermal power generation power…
  10. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 10
    Fortum mid-sized European power generation player; major producer in global heat Power generation Heat production Customers Largest producers in Europe and Russia, 2013 Largest global producers, 2013 Electricity customers in EU,…
  11. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 11
    Biggest nuclear an hydro generators in Europe and Russia TWh 600 550 Total generation 500 450 Other 400 Nuclear 350 Hydro 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Norsk Hydro EDF Rosenergoatom E.ON CEZ E-CO…
  12. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 12
    Fortum a forerunner in sustainability Nordic Climate Disclosure Leadership Index (CDLI) STOXX Global ESG Leaders indices oekom OMX GES Sustainability Finland Index ECPI Indices 12
  13. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 13
    Fortum's carbon exposure among the lowest in Europe g CO2/kWh electricity, 2013 1 200 2014 1 000 64% of Fortum's total power generation CO2-free 94% of Fortums power generation in the EU CO2-free 800 Close to 100% of the ongoing…
  14. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 14
    Our strategic route stfold Skandinaviska Birka Energi Stora Kraft Birka Energi Shares in TGC-1 Elverk 50% Fortum 50% 100% Hafslund established 50% Stockholm Shares in Gullspng merged Lenenergo Gullspng with Stockholm Energi…
  15. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 15
    Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain Competitive businesses Large customers Nordic wholesale market Power generation Retail customers Power exchange and bilateral agreements Private customers, small businesses…
  16. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 16
    Fortum's power and heat production by source Fortum's power generation Fortum's heat production in 2014 in 2014 Nuclear power Natural gas 32% Natural gas 63% 30% Other 1% Oil 1% Biomass 2% Peat 1% Coal 5% Waste 6% Heat pumps,…
  17. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 17
    Fortum's European power and heat production Fortum's European Fortum's European power generation in 2014 heat production in 2014 Nuclear power Coal 26% Biomass 24% 47% Other 2% Oil 1% Natural gas 2% Peat 2% Biomass 2% Heat…
  18. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 18
    Fortums Nordic generation capacity Sweden Nordic MW Price areas MW Hydro 4 590 Nuclear 3 276 SE2 CHP * 1 048 Hydro 1 550 SE1 Other thermal 1 139 Wind 30 Wind 30 SE3 Nordic capacity 10 083 SE2 Hydro 1 540 Nuclear 1 816…
  19. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 19
    Market coupling milestones - cross-border power flows optimised by power exchanges Market coupling between NL, BE and FR since 2006 Germany Nord Pool Spot coupling started 11/2009 Market coupling for Central Western Europe (DE, FR, NL,…
  20. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 20
    Current transmission capacity from Nordic area is over 5000 MW Countries Transmission capacity MW From Nordics To Nordics Denmark - Germany 2,225 2,100 Sweden - Germany 615 600 Sweden - Poland 600 600 Norway - Netherlands 700 700…
  21. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 21
    Nordic, Baltic and Continental markets are integrating interconnection capacity will double by 2020 The Northern Seas Offshore Grid and the Baltic New interconnections will Energy Market Integration Plan are included as double the…
  22. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 22
    Nordic water reservoirs 120 100 reservoir content (TWh) 80 60 40 20 2000 2003 2013 2014 2015 reference level 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Nord Pool Spot 22
  23. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 23
    Nordic year forwards Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14 Year15 Year16 Year17 Year18 Year19 Year20 /MWh 3 February 2015 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4…
  24. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 24
    Wholesale price for electricity EUR/MWh Nord Pool Spot System Price Forwards 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2 February 2015 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023…
  25. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 25
    Wholesale prices for electricity EUR/MWh Spot prices Forward prices 110 100 90 80 Dutch 70 60 German 50 40 Nordic 30 Russian* 20 10 2 February 2015 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 * Including…
  26. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 26
    Fuel and CO2 allowance prices Crude oil price (ICE Brent) CO2 price (ICE ECX EUA) 150 35 120 28 EUR / tCO2 USD / bbl 90 21 60 14 30 7 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011…
  27. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 27
    Nordic power generation dominated by hydro, but fossil needed 160 Total Nordic generation 383 TWh in 2013 140 TWh % 120 Fossil fuels 48 13 100 TWh/a Nuclear 86 23 80 Biomass 23 6 60 40 Wind 23 6 20 Hydro * 203 53 0…
  28. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 28
    Wholesale electricity price too low to attract investments EUR/MWh EUR/MWh 110 110 Average levelised costs of new electricity generation 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 Futures 50 2 February 2015 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0…
  29. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 29
    Still a highly fragmented Nordic power market Power generation Electricity distribution Electricity retail 384 TWh 15 million customers 15 million customers 350 companies 500 companies 350 companies Vattenfall E.ON Vattenfall…
  30. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 30
    New power generation capacity needed for increasing demand and retiring capacity replacements 250% 225% Growth, 2012-2040 Growing global energy demand Primary energy demand 200% will be increasingly fulfilled by Electricity…
  31. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 31
    Overview of Fortums nuclear fleet LOVIISA OLKILUOTO OSKARSHAMN FORSMARK Unit 1: 1978 Unit 1: 1972 Unit 1: 1980 Commercial operation Unit 1: 1977 started Unit 2: 1980 Unit 2: 1974 Unit 2: 1981 Unit 2: 1981 Unit 3: (Under…
  32. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 32
    Fortum's nuclear power in the Nordics Load factor (%) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Osakarshamn 1 80 51 63 85 68 77 72 1 13 74 Oskarshamn 2 90 78 76 86 75 90 77 81 33 0 Oskarshamn 3 85 95 88 70 17 31 75 69 77…
  33. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 33
    Variety of technologies and ages Unit MWe (Net) Share (%) Share (MWe) Commercial Age Type/ Supplier operation Generation * Loviisa 1 496 100,0 496 1977-05-09 36 PWR / 1 AEE (Atomenergoexport) Loviisa 2 496 100,0 496 1981-01-05 33 PWR…
  34. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 34
    Third party nuclear liability in case of severe accident In force since 1.1.2012. Law approved by Parliament in 2010, requires separate Unlimited decision from Government to company come into force. responsibility Convention 300…
  35. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 35
    Russia is the Worlds 5th largest power market TWh 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Power generation in 2013 based on gross output. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2014 35
  36. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 36
    Fortum - a major player in Russia OAO Fortum (former TGC-10) Operates in the heart of Russias oil and gas producing region, fleet mainly gas-fired CHP capacity 23 TWh power generation, 26 TWh heat production in 2014; more than…
  37. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 37
    Day ahead wholesale market prices increase driven by recovering demand and gas price Key electricity, capacity and gas prices in the OAO Fortum area Day ahead power market prices for Urals 40 35 IV/14 IV/13 2014 2013 30 Electricity…
  38. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 38
    Power market liberalisation two markets Capacity wholesale market Electricity wholesale market Capacity prices Electricity prices Competitive capacity selection (CCS) and free bilateral Day ahead (spot) market, financial market,…
  39. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 39
    Capacity prices for new capacity considerably higher than prices for old capacity prices Long term rules and price parameters approved Both old and new capacity can participate in capacity auctions Old capacity (pre 2007) and new…
  40. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 40
    85% increase in power generation capacity in Russia by 2015 through the investment programme 40
  41. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 41
    Income statement MEUR IV/2014 IV/2013 2014 2013 Sales 1,285 1,390 4,751 5,309 Other income and expenses 849 967 3,400 3,906 Comparable operating profit 436 423 1,351 1,403 Capital gains and other items affecting 213 83 2,077 106…
  42. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 42
    Comparable and reported operating profit Comparable Reported Comparable Reported MEUR operating profit operating profit operating profit operating profit IV/2014 IV/2013 IV/2014 IV/2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 Power and Technology 276 207…
  43. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 43
    Cash flow statement MEUR IV/2014 IV/2013 2014 2013 Operating profit before depreciations 769 668 3,954 2,129 Non-cash flow items and divesting activities -209 -158 -2,111 -262 Financial items and fx gains/losses 125 54 176 -188…
  44. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 44
    Key ratios MEUR 2014 2013 Comparable EBITDA 1,873 1,975 Interest-bearing net debt 4,217 7,793 Comparable net debt/EBITDA 2.3 3.9 excluding Vrme financing 2.0 3.4 Return on capital employed, ROCE (%) 19.5 9.0 Return on…
  45. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 45
    Debt Maturity Profile, December 31, 2014 1500 MEUR 2015 1,103 1250 2016 860 2017 530 1000 2018 614 750 2019 820 2020 75 500 2021 548 2022 1,076 250 2023 109 2024 3 0 2025+ 1,245 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022…
  46. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 46
    Outlook Nordic markets Fortum continues to expect that the average annual electricity demand growth will be on average approximately 0.5% in the coming years Electricity is expected to continue to gain share of total energy…
  47. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 47
    Outlook Annual capex estimate, excluding potential acquisitions 2015 approximately EUR 0.9 billion Hedging 2015 approx. 50% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 40/MWh 2016 approx. 10% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 39/MWh Taxation Effective…
  48. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 48
    Hedging improves stability and predictability 2009 onwards thermal and import from Russia excluded 48
  49. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 49
    Fortum's efficiency programme 2013-2014 The efficiency programme successfully finalised during 2014 Total annual cost savings visible in all divisions Improved working capital efficiency Divestments of non-core assets totalling…
  50. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 50
    Facts of Distribution MEUR Fortums January 2013: Swedish Strategic assessment distribution commenced operations in 2014 December 2013: Operating profit 236 Assessment has been completed, divestment the Comparable operating profit…
  51. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 51
    Annual General Meeting 2015 and dividend distribution proposal Fortums Annual General Meeting will be held at 14:00 on Tuesday, 31 March 2015, at the Finlandia Hall, Mannerheimintie 13, in Helsinki, Finland The Board of Directors…
  52. Investor Analyst Material – Fortum – slide 52
    For more information, please visit www.fortum.com/investors

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