Back to the Oil Patch The revival of the Permian Basin We make the data make a difference DUG Permian May 2014 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Agenda We make the data make a difference 1. A brief overview of the Permian 2. Rome wasnt built in a day; neither was the Permian 3. Operator strategy; maximise the prize 2 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Lower 48 capital unconventional spending We make the data make a difference The Permian is a major part of tight oil revolution 30 Barnett Haynesville 25 Marcellus Bakken New spend US billion 20 Eagle Ford 15…
What is going on in the Wolfcamp We make the data make a difference Understanding the sub-plays within the Wolfcamp 4 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Successful efforts across the Permian We make the data make a difference 5 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Successful efforts across the Permian We make the data make a difference 6 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Successful efforts expanding across the Permian We make the data make a difference 7 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Successful efforts across the Permian We make the data make a difference 8 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Successful efforts across the Permian We make the data make a difference 9 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
We make the data make a difference 1. A brief overview of the Permian 2. Rome wasnt built in a day; neither was the Permian 3. Operator strategy; maximise the prize 10 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Permian economics are built We make the data make a difference Conventional type well economic metrics Sectional economics Breakeven Marcellus Marcellus 7 90 Bakken 80,000 Bakken Eagle Ford Eagle Ford 80 Wolfcamp 6 Wolfcamp…
Geology evokes challenges but offers reward We make the data make a difference Tracking the B-bench across the Wolfcamp Source: Wood Mackenzie 12 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
The building blocks for Permian economics We make the data make a difference Completions by bench over time 2011 A 2012 A bench 2013 Ozona Wolfcamp B bench B C C bench Cline Cline Source: Wood Mackenzie 0 100…
Wolfcamp economics: Bench performance We make the data make a difference B- bench outpaces A and C Tracking Operator Well Performance B bench A bench C bench A- bench B- bench C- bench 160 35 50 140 30 Acreage value US…
Wolfcamp Economics: Operator performance We make the data make a difference Disparity amongst operators Effect on economics 14 B bench A bench C bench 35 12 50 30 Acreage value US thousands/acre 640 acre section value…
Wolfcamp Economics: Operator performance We make the data make a difference Learning curve compressing Effect on economics 30-day average max rate 2H 2012 B bench A bench C bench 700 70 Producing wells 35 600 60 50 30 500…
Wolfcamp economics: Leveraging assets We make the data make a difference Driving down costs Putting more wells in the money Average well cost IRR B bench A bench C bench 7 35% 35 50 6 30% 30 Acreage value US thousands/acre…
Wolfcamp economics: Leveraging assets We make the data make a difference Leveraging cost savings Putting more wells in the money 35 B bench A bench C bench A bench 35 30 B bench 50 C bench 30 Sectional value of development…
The Wolfcamp stacks up favorably We make the data make a difference Type well economics Sectional economics Breakeven Marcellus Marcellus 7 90 Bakken 80,000 Bakken Eagle Ford Eagle Ford 80 Wolfcamp 6 Wolfcamp 70,000 70 Type…
The Wolfcamp stacks up favorably We make the data make a difference Type well economics Sectional economics Breakeven Marcellus Marcellus 7 90 Bakken 80,000 Bakken Eagle Ford Eagle Ford 80 Wolfcamp 6 Wolfcamp 70,000 70 Type…
Agenda We make the data make a difference 1. A brief overview of the Permian 2. Rome wasnt built in a day; neither was the Permian 3. Operator strategy; maximise the prize 21 Trusted commercial intelligence www.woodmac.com
Wolfcamp production forecast We make the data make a difference Base case production outlook Liquid production boe Gas production boe Rig Count 3,000 250 2,500 200 2,000 Production mboe/d 150 1,500 100 1,000…
Wolfcamp production forecast We make the data make a difference Upside to building the Wolfcamp Liquid production boe Gas production boe Rig Count 3,000 250 2,500 200 2,000 Production mboe/d 150 1,500 100…
What does this mean for the Wolfcamp We make the data make a difference For operators willing to adopt a long-sighted strategy: A world-class play with upside throughout the stratigraphic column Over 35 years of drilling…
We make the data make a difference Benjamin Shattuck Upstream Analyst Lower 48 T +1 713 470 1811 E benjamin.shattuckwoodmac.com Benjamin works as an analyst on the Lower 48 team at Wood Mackenzie. His responsibilities include…
Disclaimer We make the data make a difference Strictly Private & Confidential This report has been prepared by Wood Mackenzie Limited. The report is intended solely for the benefit of the recipient and its contents and conclusions…
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