Providence Resources P.l.c. Annual General Meeting August 26th, 2014 Hilton Hotel Dublin, Ireland
INTRODUCTION Brian Hillery 2 Chairman
Agenda RESOLUTIONS HIGHLIGHTS OPERATIONAL UPDATE OUTLOOK Q & A SESSION 3
AGM Resolutions Resolutions (1) To receive and consider the Directors Report and Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December, 2013 (2) (a) To re-elect Mr. John OSullivan as a Director (b) To re-elect Mr. Tony OReilly as a…
Highlights 2013/14 BARRYROE Publication of NSAI Competent Persons Report Increase in area of SEL 1/11 & Change of Operatorship Commencement of farm out process DUNQUIN Completion of drilling of Dunquin North well FARM OUTS Farm in…
OVERVIEW Tony OReilly 6 Chief Executive
BRIEF HISTORY OF THE IRISH OFFSHORE 7
The Irish E&P Sector Large Area 8
Ireland The Irish Offshore Resource Potential Large Potential Irelands offshore basins are highly prospective but under-explored Assessments indicate a Yet to Find Reserve potential of c. 10 billion barrels of oil equivalent on…
Ireland The Irish -Offshore Conjugate Margins Large Potential 10
Ireland The Irish E&P Track Record Sector History 158 wells drilled over the past 45 years Majority of these wells were drilled in the 1970s/1980s High proportion intersected hydrocarbons, but only 4 commercial gas fields: Kinsale…
Ireland Well Database Exploration and Appraisal Wells (1970 2013) Exploration wells: 130 Appraisal wells: 28 Total: 158 (43 exploration wells west of Ireland) 12
Ireland Well Database 13
WHAT HAS CHANGED 14
The Irish E&P Sector TECHNOLOGY INFRASTRUCTURE PRICING FISCAL REGIME 15
Ireland Seismic Database Technology 66% of 2D seismic surveys 2% of 3D seismic surveys acquired offshore Ireland are pre-1990 vintage To 31 Mar 2014 16
North Celtic Technology Sea Seismic New Basin Acquisition Deep Exploration Some Recent Activity (2010-2014) Providence - 3D seismic in Celtic Sea (Barryroe) Kosmos - 3D seismic in Porcupine Fastnet - 3D seismic in Celtic Sea…
Ireland Gas Infrastructure Infrastructure Gas supply delivered via a network of c. 13,150km of pipelines 2,380km of high pressure sub-sea and cross- country transmission pipe 10,750km of lower pressure distribution pipe connecting…
Fiscal Regime 2014 Terms New Terms - Announced on June 18th, 2014 Different calculation methodology than previous terms, with a maximum state take of 55%, (depending on individual field size/profitability) Imposed on new licences to…
Commodity Pricing 23
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS 24
Noteworthy recent activity CELTIC SEA BASIN 3D seismic acquired over Barryroe (2011) Drilling/testing of the Barryroe oil field (2011/2012) 3D seismic by Lansdowne (2011) and Fastnet (2013) SOUTHERN PORCUPINE BASIN 2D acquired in…
Some ofinternational Growing the Playersinterest 26
Ireland Licensing More licence activity 50 Number of Offshore Exploration Licences and Licensing Options at end-December each year (1970 - March 2014) 45 Exploration Licences End of year information for Licensing Options Licensing…
Ireland Licensing Highest levels of licence activity January 2011 March 2014 28
Providence is at the centre of Irish offshore activity EXPLORE, APPRAISE AND DEVELOP IRISH OFFSHORE PORTFOLIO - Mixture of exploration prospects & appraisal projects - Focus on the Atlantic Margin - Carry out subsurface evaluation/…
Providence is targeting 5 BBOE in 8 basins EXPLORATION Asset Basin Operator % Dunquin North South Porcupine ExxonMobil 16.0% Dunquin South South Porcupine ExxonMobil 16.0% Cuchulain Goban Spur ENI 5.0% Drombeg South Porcupine…
Share Price Movement E&P SECTOR PERFORMANCE INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER CHANGES DRILLING - DUNQUIN RESULTS - DELAYS - SPANISH POINT & KISH BARRYROE FARM OUT PROCESS WORKING CAPITAL CONCERNS 32
Share Price Movement E&P SECTOR PERFORMANCE INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER CHANGES DRILLING - DUNQUIN RESULTS - DELAYS - SPANISH POINT & KISH BARRYROE FARM OUT PROCESS WORKING CAPITAL CONCERNS 34
Share Price Movement - Funds Providence Share Price History 6.00 6,000,000 JP MORGAN REDUCES BY 5% 5.42 BLACKROCK REDUCES BY 3% HSBC REDUCES BY 1% F&C REDUCES BY 1% 5.00 5,000,000 4.01 4.00 4,000,000 3.69 Share Price (GBP…
Share Price Movement E&P SECTOR PERFORMANCE INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER CHANGES DRILLING - DUNQUIN RESULTS - DELAYS - SPANISH POINT & KISH BARRYROE FARM OUT PROCESS WORKING CAPITAL CONCERNS 36
Drilling Dunquin Announced Results in July 2013 - c. 150 residual oil column encountered in massive over-pressured high porosity carbonate reservoir system Spanish Point Drilling originally planned for 2013 Moved out to 2014 due…
Share Price Movement - Drilling Providence Share Price History 6.00 6,000,000 JP MORGAN REDUCES BY 5% 5.42 BLACKROCK REDUCES BY 3% HSBC REDUCES BY 1% F&C REDUCES BY 1% 5.00 5,000,000 4.01 4.00 4,000,000 3.69 Share Price (GBP…
Share Price Movement E&P SECTOR PERFORMANCE INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER CHANGES DRILLING - DUNQUIN RESULTS - DELAYS - SPANISH POINT & KISH BARRYROE FARM OUT PROCESS WORKING CAPITAL CONCERNS 39
Barryroe Farm-out Process NSAI CPR Published - April 2013 Hiring of Advisor May 2013 Rothschilds No foal, no fee started July 2013 Set up data room Data room meetings Aug 2013 - to date Meetings in Dublin, London, New York,…
Barryroe Phased Development * Phase 1 : First Phase Production System Eastern area focused development Leased floating solution to get early production Reduced CAPEX requirements Up to 70 MMBOE REC 30,000 BOPD peak rate Phase 1…
Share Price Movement E&P SECTOR PERFORMANCE INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER CHANGES DRILLING - DUNQUIN RESULTS - DELAYS - SPANISH POINT & KISH BARRYROE FARM OUT PROCESS WORKING CAPITAL CONCERNS 42
Share Price Movement - Financing Providence Share Price History 6.00 6,000,000 JP MORGAN REDUCES BY 5% 5.42 BLACKROCK REDUCES BY 3% HSBC REDUCES BY 1% F&C REDUCES BY 1% 5.00 5,000,000 4.01 4.00 4,000,000 3.69 Share Price…
What Does The Future Hold Key Drivers What do the brokers say Barryroe Farm out Cantor Fitzgerald 5.03 Other Farm outs Liberum 8.11 Drilling Davy 16.08 Cenkos 23.61 BMO Capital 30.88 Providence Share Performance - 2012 8 +325%…
Compartmentalisation The 48/24-10z DST 1 data indicate that the basal Wealden oil sand is well connected The 48/24-10z data calibration well was never designed to demonstrate volume and yet it contacted a minimum c. 5 MMBO from just…
Basal Wealden Reservoir Depositional Environment Oil bearing Berriasian Basal Wealden A sand is the primary objective Lies directly on the Purbeck Shale Fm (oil source) Clean arenitic well developed laterally continuous system…
Braid Plain Reservoirs Production Geology (AAPG) Excellent very productive reservoirs Braid Plain in Iran High net to gross Continental scale Excellent lateral continuity & good connectivity Form in response to periods of active…
Barryroe 48/24-10z Well Key Points: Test flowed 3,500 BOPD (Skin of c. +10) without artificial lift from 7m perforated basal oil zone: No depletion seen on test; No evidence of gas cap on test; Minimum connected volume 5 MMBO;…
Barryroe Crude Oil - Properties Barryroe is a light, sweet, high value, waxy crude oil: 43 API oil , 17% Wax content and likely to trade at a premium to the Brent benchmark Excellent low in-situ oil viscosity: 0.8 cP in-situ…
First Phase Production System FPSO Scenario * 56 * Final development plan subject to partner and regulatory approval
Barryroe Phased Development Plan Timeline * 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Phase 1 Appraisal FEED FID Pipeline/ Xmas Tree Lead Time FPSO Upgrade FPSO Hookup & Commissioning Phase 1…
Spanish Point Field, Northern Porcupine Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 32% Operator is Cairn (38%) Other partners are Chrysaor (26%) and Sosina (4%) SPANISH POINT AUDITED GROSS RESOURCES Tested well and 3D coverage SPANISH POINT 225…
Spanish Point Field, Northern Porcupine Basin 59
Spanish Point Area, Northern Porcupine Basin c. 750 km2 3D seismic survey commenced on Spanish Point South area chasing 350 MMBOE of gross incremental un-risked prospective resources. 60
Dragon Gas Field, St Georges Channel Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 100% Both UK and Irish blocks held 100% by Providence DRAGON ESTIMATED REC RESOURCES Tested well and 3D coverage c. 60 BSCF REC (1C/P90) (PVR) c. 200 BSCF REC (2C/P50)…
Dragon Gas Field, St Georges Channel Basin IRL UK TESTED 20 MMSCFD DRY HOLE 62
DICE Dragon Interconnector, Containment & Export Interconnector between UK and Ireland w/access to LNG & southern UK Storage arbitrage facility between UK & Irish markets Infrastructure would reduce exploration hurdle rates for…
Helvick Field Development - Main Sand The Helvick Field was discovered in 1983 by 49/9-2 well which tested a cumulative rate of c. 10,000 BOPD Upper Jurassic reservoir system Main Sand tested 6,467 BOPD & 2.18 MMSCFD from a 42…
Helvick Field Development - Main Sand Helvick Main Sand - Production Profile Courtesy ABTOG Helvick Main Sand reservoir models as a 5,000 BOPD plateau rate for c.18 months with c. 3 MMBO REC. 65
Exploration
Ireland - Conjugate North Atlantic Source Margins Rock Superhighway After Enachescu et al. 2010 67
Ireland - Conjugate Southern Margins Porcupine Basin vs. Central North Sea 68
Dunquin Prospects, Southern Porcupine Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 16% Operator is ExxonMobil (25.5%) Other partners are ENI (27.5%), Repsol (25%), Atlantic Petroleum (4%) and Sosina (2%) REGIONAL ACTIVITY 2D (2006) coverage across…
Residual Oil - Schematic Microscopic View UNBREACHED BREACHED Oil fills the pore space Oil is flushed from the pore space and replaced Initial Oil saturation by water during a natural water-flood Some water is always present…
Dunquin South Prospect, Southern Porcupine Basin 71
Drombeg Prospect, Southern Porcupine Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 80% Operator is Providence Partner is Sosina (20%) REGIONAL ACTIVITY 2D (2008) coverage across area Drilling of Dunquin North exploration well (2013) Kosmos Energy…
Drombeg Prospect, Southern Porcupine Basin Courtesy PAD 73
Newgrange Prospect, Goban Spur Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 80% Operator is Providence Partner is Sosina (20%) REGIONAL ACTIVITY 2D (2008) coverage across area Dunquin North residual oil accumulation (2013) Major oil discoveries in…
Newgrange Prospect, Goban Spur Basin Courtesy PAD NEWGRANGE Top Eocene Top Cretaceous Base Chalk 50 Km Base Cretaceous Goban Spur Basin Southern Porcupine Basin 76
Newgrange Prospect, Goban Spur Basin One of the largest undrilled subsurface structures globally Top Cretaceous 1200 km2 4-way dip-closure with up to c. 300 metres of vertical relief Depth to Newgrange Prospect Below…
Polaris Prospect, Rathlin Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 100% Six block offshore licence in Rathlin Basin POLARIS Licence over island has recently been relinquished due to limited underlying prospectivity REGIONAL ACTIVITY Hydrocarbon…
Polaris Prospect, Rathlin Basin Polaris Ballinlea-1 Oil Well 79
Polaris Prospect, Rathlin Basin POLARIS PROSPECT Courtesy Mobil North Sea 80
Kish Prospect, Kish Bank Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 50% Operator is Providence KISH Partner (50%) is Kinsale Energy (PETRONAS) REGIONAL ACTIVITY 2D seismic coverage across basin PROVIDENCE ACTIVITY Major structure identified in…
Kish Prospect, Kish Bank Basin PROPOSED WELL LOCATION 82
Silverback Prospect, South Celtic Sea Basin PROVIDENCE HOLDS 100% Operator is Providence REGIONAL ACTIVITY PGS long offset Geostreamer 2D seismic (2013) PROVIDENCE ACTIVITY Licensing Option covers c. 1,500 km2 SILVERBACK…
Silverback Prospect, South Celtic Sea Basin c. 200 km2 Lower Cretaceous Structural Closure 84