Coterra Energy Inc. reported third-quarter 2022 financial and operating results.
Thomas E. Jorden, Chief Executive Officer and President, commented, "Coterra continues to execute and has delivered another strong operational quarter with outsized shareholder returns. Just over one year since the formation of this company, I am extremely proud of what we have accomplished and am excited for the future. I am proud of our employees' commitment to excellence and a culture that will continue to be a differentiated competitive advantage. As a low-cost operator of diversified, top-tier assets, and with a market-leading balance sheet, Coterra is positioned to succeed through cycles."
Jorden added, "We are pleased to announce that we will return 74 percent of our third-quarter 2022 free cash flow to shareholders, which includes 50 percent in the form of cash dividends and 24 percent in the form of share repurchases. Driven by strong operational execution and healthy commodity prices during the quarter, our cash dividends increased 5 percent over the second quarter of 2022. We remain committed to returning 50 percent plus of free cash flow via dividends, supplemented by share repurchases, and potential future debt reduction."
In late first-quarter 2022, Coterra brought online a seven well Upper Marcellus development. As noted in our updated corporate presentation, the Upper Marcellus development, after six months, has produced an average cumulative volume of 324 Mcf/Lateral Foot. This compares to the Company's average Lower Marcellus 2021-2022 well performance which averaged 406 Mcf/Lateral Foot. With future Upper Marcellus development costs expected to be 10-15 percent per foot less than Lower Marcellus development costs, the Upper Marcellus capital efficiency is competitive with the Company's Lower Marcellus and broader asset portfolio. At a flat $4.25 NYMEX gas price, the recent Upper Marcellus development is estimated to generate a PVI10 of 2.6x, which compares favorably to the 140 Lower Marcellus wells drilled in 2021-2022 that are estimated to generate a PVI10 of 2.8x. See "Supplemental Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)" for our definition of PVI10.
Driven by strong well performance, the Company's 2022 Marcellus production continues to trend above originally budgeted expectations.
Coterra is currently running six rigs and two completion crews in the Permian Basin and three rigs and one completion crew in the Marcellus.
Production volumes in fourth-quarter 2022 are expected to average between 615 and 635 MBoepd, with oil volumes estimated to average between 86 and 89 MBopd. Natural gas volumes in fourth-quarter are projected to average between 2,725 and 2,775 MMcfpd.
See "Supplemental non-GAAP Financial Measures" below for descriptions of the above non-GAAP measures as well as reconciliations of these measures to the associated GAAP measures.
Coterra maintains a strong financial position with investment-grade credit ratings and substantial liquidity. As of September 30, 2022, Coterra had total long-term debt of $2.2 billion with a principal amount of $2.1 billion. The Company exited the quarter with a cash balance of $778 million, no debt outstanding under its revolving credit facility, and no near-term debt maturities. Coterra's net debt to Adjusted EBITDAX ratio (non-GAAP) at September 30, 2022 was 0.2x.
In connection with the Merger, we have continued to evaluate and refine our process for assessing the estimated proved reserves of our legacy Cimarex and Cabot operations. Based on the analysis to date, as of September 30, 2022, we anticipate our total company proved reserves will decrease by approximately 15-20 percent year over year at December 31, 2022. This decrease in proved reserves is driven by a downward revision to prior estimates of approximately 32-36 percent for our Marcellus Shale properties, partially offset by an upward revision of approximately 8-12 percent for our Permian and Anadarko properties. Approximately a quarter of the estimated total revision volume in the Marcellus Shale is related to the SEC 5-year rule for proved undeveloped reserves (PUDs) due to the timing of capital investments, changes around well spacing, and location optimization within the Marcellus Region. Factors that may impact the size of the total adjustment include commodity prices, well performance, operating expenses and the completion of the annual PUD reserves process, which will be incorporated as of year-end 2022. The expected net downward revision of prior estimates did not have a material impact on our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements as of and for the period ended September 30, 2022 and is not expected to have a material impact on our 2022 and go-forward Consolidated Financial Statements.
Mr. Jorden commented, "The revision noted above spans the 50-year life of these wells and is not material to our financials, nor to the go-forward economics of the Marcellus play. These revisions are not expected to have any significant impact on our near-term cash flows or capital allocation. After accounting for these adjustments to our estimated total proved reserves, we expect our year-end 2022 standardized measure of future net cash flows to increase significantly from year-end 2021, driven by higher commodity prices."
Coterra believes that environmental, social and governance (ESG) performance and practices are foundational to our success. Today we published the first Coterra Energy Sustainability Report, which can be accessed on the "Sustainable Future" section of our website at www.coterra.com.