Quarterly / Earnings Reports | Second Quarter (2Q) Update
Cenovus Reports Second Quarter 2019 Results
Cenovus Energy reports second quarter after generating over $830 million in free funds flow. The company’s excellent financial performance was driven by higher realized oil prices, which contributed to oil sands operating margin of more than $1.0 billion.
Alex Pourbaix, Cenovus President & Chief Executive Officer, said: “Through focused operations and disciplined capital allocation, we have materially improved our balance sheet and achieved a very important milestone. As we relentlessly pursue getting our net debt even lower, to $5.0 billion, our balance sheet strength positions us to also consider opportunities for increasing shareholder returns and disciplined investments in our business.”
Cenovus remains on track to increase its crude-by-rail capacity to approximately 100,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) by the end of 2019. In June, the company transported nearly 36,000 bbls/d of its oil by rail to the U.S. Gulf Coast. In the first quarter, Cenovus transported approximately 16,000 bbls/d of its oil by rail to the U.S. Gulf Coast, where the company can achieve higher pricing than by selling it in Alberta.
Ops Review
Oil sands
Second-quarter production at Christina Lake was 179,020 bbls/d, an 18% decrease compared with the same period in 2018, while Foster Creek averaged 165,953 bbls/d, 3% lower year-over-year. The decrease in volumes at both operations was primarily due to mandatory production curtailments. In addition, volumes at Christina Lake were reduced by 7,665 bbls/d during the second quarter due to the planned turnaround.
On July 10, 2019, Foster Creek and Christina Lake, which have been operating since 1997 and 2002 respectively, reached one billion barrels of cumulative oil sands production. Cenovus is the first oil sands operator to achieve one billion barrels of production using steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) technology. The success of SAGD has resulted in over $25 billion in investment in the Canadian economy by Cenovus and its predecessor companies, and substantially more by the oil sands industry as a whole, for the benefit of all Canadians.
While Cenovus’s oil sands facilities are producing at lower rates to comply with mandated curtailment, the company is maintaining normal steam injection levels. This allows Cenovus to continue mobilizing and storing production-ready barrels in its reservoirs, so it can efficiently increase production volumes when mandatory curtailment is eased. Maintaining normal steam injection rates during curtailment has contributed to a modest, temporary increase in per-barrel operating costs and steam-to-oil ratios (SORs). SOR is the amount of steam needed to produce one barrel of oil.
At Christina Lake, the SOR was 2.0 in the second quarter, compared with 1.8 in the second quarter of 2018. At Foster Creek, the SOR was 2.7 compared with 2.6 a year earlier.
Cenovus had second-quarter oil sands operating costs of $8.70/bbl, up 19% from the same period a year ago. The increase in per-barrel operating costs was mainly the result of lower sales volumes, increased repairs and maintenance and higher fluid waste handling and trucking costs related to the planned turnaround at Christina Lake. Operating cost increases were partially offset by lower chemical costs. Cenovus achieved second-quarter oil sands netbacks, excluding realized hedging impacts, of $35.78/bbl, a 10% increase from the second quarter of 2018.
Cenovus continues to have flexibility on timing with its newly-completed phase G expansion at Christina Lake and will consider ramping up incremental oil production once the company has clarity on market access and the duration of production curtailments.
Deep Basin
Deep Basin production averaged 98,345 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) in the second quarter, a 24% decrease from year-earlier levels, partly due to lower capital investment, the September 2018 divestiture of the Pipestone business and expected natural declines. In the latter part of the second quarter, production was also impacted by Cenovus’s decision to shut in some volumes due to low natural gas prices. The vast majority of these wells have since returned to production.
Average operating costs in the Deep Basin were $9.01/BOE in the second quarter, up 4% from $8.68/BOE a year earlier. The increase in per-barrel operating costs was driven by lower sales volumes, partially offset by reduced repairs and maintenance activity, lower processing fees due to reduced throughput as well as decreased chemical, electrical and workforce costs.
Cenovus continues work to optimize its Deep Basin operating model with a view to reducing costs, improving efficiency and maximizing value.
Q2 Summary
| Financial & production summary1 | |||
| (for the period ended June 30) | 2019 Q2 |
2018 Q2 |
% change |
| Financial ($ millions, except per share amounts) | |||
| Cash from operating activities | 1,275 | 533 | 139 |
| Adjusted funds flow2 | 1,082 | 774 | 40 |
| Per share diluted | 0.88 | 0.63 | |
| Free funds flow2 | 834 | 482 | 73 |
| Operating earnings (loss) from continuing operations2 | 267 | -292 | |
| Per share diluted | 0.22 | -0.24 | |
| Net earnings (loss) from continuing operations | 1,784 | -410 | |
| Per share diluted | 1.45 | -0.33 | |
| Capital investment | 248 | 292 | -15 |
| Production from continuing operations (before royalties) | |||
| Oil sands (bbls/d) | 344,973 | 389,378 | -11 |
| Deep Basin liquids3 (bbls/d) | 26,417 | 34,041 | -22 |
| Total liquids from continuing operations3 (bbls/d) | 371,390 | 423,419 | -12 |
| Total natural gas from continuing operations (MMcf/d) | 432 | 571 | -24 |
| Total production from continuing operations3 (BOE/d) | 443,318 | 518,530 | -15 |
| 1 Cenovus adopted International Financial Reporting Standard 16, “Leases,” effective January 1, 2019 using the modified retrospective approach; therefore, 2018 comparative information has not been restated. | |||
| 2 Adjusted funds flow, free funds flow and operating earnings/loss are non-GAAP measures. See Advisory. | |||
| 3 Includes oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs). | |||
Balance Sheet / Capital Discipline
During the first six months of 2019, Cenovus repurchased US$1.3 billion of unsecured notes for cash consideration of US$1.2 billion, including US$814 million in the second quarter. Net debt at the end of the second quarter was $7.1 billion. At current commodity prices, Cenovus expects to continue to make substantial progress towards its long-term net debt target of approximately $5.0 billion. At that level, the company anticipates being in a position to achieve and maintain a target ratio of less than two times net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) at bottom-of-the-cycle commodity prices. At the end of the second quarter, Cenovus had net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 2.4 times.
Cenovus plans to provide investors with an update on its corporate strategy and five-year business plan, including future capital allocation priorities, at its scheduled Investor Day in Toronto on October 2, 2019.
Financials
Cenovus’s strong second-quarter results were largely driven by a higher average realized crude oil price of $62.75 per barrel (bbl), up 22% from the same period in 2018. The company’s oil sands business had an excellent quarter focused on personal and process safety, cost control and production. Oil sands operating margin doubled to over $1.0 billion compared with the second quarter of 2018, even after accounting for the impact of a nearly month-long planned turnaround at Christina Lake, higher royalty payments and mandated production curtailments. The company’s safe and reliable operations, low cost structure and continued focus on capital discipline also contributed to its financial performance in the second quarter.
Market access and sustainable oil production
Cenovus continues to pursue a diversified transportation strategy to get its oil to markets where it can achieve the highest price. This includes the company’s plan to ramp up its rail capacity to approximately 100,000 bbls/d in 2019, which remains on schedule.
“We view rail as a structural element of our market access strategy, but we cannot emphasize enough the importance of getting additional pipeline capacity out of Western Canada built,” said Pourbaix. “The unfounded attacks on our industry that have stalled new pipelines must be addressed for the benefit of all Canadians. Canadian oil is among the most responsibly produced in the world, and it makes no sense to stop it from reaching global customers.”
Production curtailment
Cenovus’s oil production continued to be limited by the Alberta government’s mandated production curtailment program in the second quarter, with oil sands volumes averaging 344,973 bbls/d, 11% lower than in the same period a year earlier. Based on mandated production volumes for July and August, the company anticipates average bitumen and crude oil production will be a maximum of 360,000 bbls/d for the third quarter. Production guidance for 2019 remains unchanged, with oil sands volumes expected to average between 350,000 bbls/d and 370,000 bbls/d for the year.
As a result of Alberta’s mandatory curtailment program, differentials between Western Canadian Select (WCS) and light oil benchmark prices have remained relatively narrow in 2019, contributing to improved financial performance for the Canadian oil industry and increased royalty payments. In Alberta, royalties on Cenovus’s production for the first six months of this year amount to more than $500 million. These royalties support the delivery of services and infrastructure such as health care, education, schools and roads.
“While curtailment was always meant to be a temporary measure, it’s doing what it was designed to do, and we expect the Alberta government will continue to use it as a tool while there is an inadequate balance between takeaway and production capacity in the province,” said Pourbaix. “In the near term, I’m optimistic that we’re beginning to see improved market access through the ramp-up of rail capacity and, over the longer term, through progress on pipeline solutions such as the Trans Mountain Expansion Project, Keystone XL and Enbridge’s Line 3 Replacement Program.”
Cenovus sees opportunity for the Alberta government to encourage increased movement of crude by rail by allowing producers to ship barrels in excess of mandated curtailment levels if those barrels are transported by rail. The company would also be supportive of the Government of Alberta divesting its contracted crude-by-rail capacity to industry.
Board Renewal
M. George Lewis has been appointed to Cenovus’s Board of Directors, effective immediately. Mr. Lewis was with Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) for 30 years, including serving on the company's Group Executive. Currently, he is a member of the Board of Directors of the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board and Legal & General Group plc (UK).
“George Lewis brings strong financial services experience with a focus on asset and capital management following a 30-year career with RBC,” said Patrick D. Daniel, Chair of the Board of Directors. "His expertise and experience will be a substantial benefit to Cenovus.”
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