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Magnolia Oil & Gas Fourth Quarter, Full Year 2020 Results

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   |    Friday,February 26,2021

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. announced its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2020.

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020 Highlights:

  • Magnolia reported fourth quarter 2020 net income attributable to Class A Common Stock of $27.7 million, or $0.16 per share. Fourth quarter 2020 total net income was $42.0 million and adjusted net income was $39.3 million, or $0.15 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDAX for full year 2020 was $338.6 million with total drilling and completions (“D&C”) capital representing 58% of adjusted EBITDAX, and in line with our business model which is committed to capital discipline. Adjusted EBITDAX was $98.1 million during the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • D&C capital during the fourth quarter of $39.6 million represented 40% of adjusted EBITDAX, and better than our earlier guidance due to improved efficiencies at our Giddings asset as well as stronger than expected product prices.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities was $79.1 million during the fourth quarter and $310.1 million during full-year 2020 and the Company generated free cash flow(1) of $44.3 million during the fourth quarter and $87.4 million during full-year 2020.
  • Total production in the fourth quarter 2020 increased 12% sequentially to 60.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (“boe/d”), and above the high-end of our guidance range due to better-than expected performance from new wells completed in the Giddings area.
  • Production at Giddings achieved record levels in the fourth quarter with total volumes of 28.3 Mboe/d and oil production of 8.5 Mbbl/d increasing sequentially by 39% and 70%, respectively.
  • Magnolia brought online 6 new wells in the initial core development area bringing the total well count here to 20 wells. Production for the 6 new wells is outperforming the average of the earlier core area wells increasing the 90-day production rate for this 70,000-acre area by 4% to 1,621 Boe/d (52% oil).
  • During the fourth quarter, Magnolia brought 2 additional wells online that were approximately 20 miles from the initial core area. These wells, which were expected to be gassier, had average 90-day production rates of 543 Bbl/d of oil and 7.3 MMcf/d of natural gas per well.
  • During the fourth quarter, the Company purchased 2.4 million shares of its Class A Common Stock, or about 1% of the total share count, for $15.7 million as part of our ongoing share repurchase program. Repurchases during full-year 2020 totaled 4.5 million shares for $28.7 million, and our Board recently increased the repurchase authorization by 10 million shares.
  • Magnolia expects to begin paying a cash dividend during 2021.
  • Magnolia added 30.4 MMboe of proved developed reserves, excluding acquisitions and price-related revisions, representing the reserve additions from our 2020 drilling program and replaced 135% of the 2020 production. These proved developed additions provide an organic proved developed Finding & Development (“F&D”) cost of $6.41/boe(3).
  • Magnolia ended the quarter with approximately $192.6 million of cash on its balance sheet and remains undrawn on its $450.0 million revolving credit facility. The Company has no debt maturities until 2026 and has no plans to increase its debt levels.

CEO Steve Chazen said: “Magnolia ended 2020 with very strong fourth quarter operational and financial performance. Despite last year’s challenging environment, our policy of low financial leverage, commitment to capital discipline and high-quality assets allowed us to exit 2020 in better shape than when we entered. We increased our quarterly production by nearly 12% sequentially while spending only 40% of our adjusted EBITDAX and, repurchasing 2.4 million Magnolia shares or roughly 1% of the outstanding shares. We achieved all this while building our year-end cash position to more than $190 million.

“While we had numerous accomplishments last year, none were more meaningful than the significant strides made in advancing the Giddings assets from appraisal mode to multi-well pad development. Including the 6 new wells completed during the fourth quarter, our 90-day average production rate in our initial core development area has increased 4% to 1,621 Boe/d with an average oil rate of 846 Bbl/d. We also completed 2 additional successful wells that were 20 miles outside of this core area which may provide for additional high-return development potential over time.

“Importantly, we have lowered our overall well costs in Giddings to approximately $6 million from $8.5 million during 2019 as a result of improved efficiencies and our ability to drill wells nearly twice as fast. The impact of our success in Giddings has resulted in improved capital efficiency, lower F&D costs and higher pretax margins for the overall business.

“We entered 2021 in a strong financial position and with considerable operational momentum driven by our Giddings asset. Our capital spending plan for the year is expected to be no more than 60% of our Adjusted EBITDAX, and consistent with our business model. We expect that this level of spending and activity to provide full-year 2021 production growth of between 5% to 8% compared to 2020 volumes.

“Most of the remaining 40% of unallocated cash flow after capital and interest expense will be dedicated to small, bolt-on property acquisitions and share repurchases. The intent of these actions is to enhance the value of the stock by improving our metrics on a per share basis. We expect to reduce our outstanding shares by roughly 1% per quarter through share repurchases, which should result in annual production per share growth of approximately 10%. In addition to these value enhancing activities, Magnolia intends to begin paying a cash dividend in mid-2021.”

Production Results

Operational Update

Fourth quarter total company production averaged 60.6 Mboe/d, an increase of 12% from third quarter 2020 levels and exceeding the high end of our guidance range. The higher production outcome was a result of stronger than expected results from the 8 Giddings wells Magnolia brought online during the quarter. Giddings and Other production averaged 28.3 Mboe/d representing a 39% increase in sequential volumes. Oil production at Giddings averaged 8.5 Bbl/d, an increase of 70% sequentially. Production in the Karnes area averaged 32.3 Mboe/d during the fourth quarter of 2020, a decline of 5% sequentially, as we did not complete any operated wells during the period.

Magnolia continues to operate one rig drilling multi-well pads in our Giddings area. Total well costs associated with drilling, completion and hook up have recently declined to $6.2 million per well as operating efficiencies continue to improve. At the current pace of drilling, a single rig can drill approximately 20 to 24 wells per year as drilling days per well continue to decline.

During the fourth quarter, Magnolia brought online 8 wells, 6 of which were located in the 70,000-acre initial core area. The company has now drilled and completed a total of 20 wells in this area. The 6 new wells exceeded the average of the prior 14 wells bringing the updated 90-day average for the 20 total wells to 846 Bbl/d and 4.7 MMcf/d.

Magnolia also brought online a 2-well pad located approximately 20 miles outside the initial core area and were expected to be gassier than the average Giddings well in the core area. These wells had a 90-day average production rate of 543 Bbl/d of oil and 7.3 MMcf/d of natural gas per well, which were ahead of our expectations.

Updated Guidance

For 2021, Magnolia expects to spend approximately 50% to 60% of our adjusted EBITDAX for drilling and completing wells, which is consistent with our business model. Should product prices remain at current levels, we estimate our capital spending to be in the lower half of the expected range. The 2021 activity plan consists of operating a one rig program at Giddings, drilling multi-well pads primarily in our initial core area. In the Karnes area, we plan to complete 10 drilled but uncompleted wells (“DUCs”), most of which should be brought online during the first half of the year. Non-operated activity at Karnes is expected to increase compared to the 2020 levels. Our 2021 capital and activity plan is expected to deliver mid-single digit production growth on a year-over-year basis.

Looking at the first quarter of 2021, D&C capital should be approximately 50% of our adjusted EBITDAX, at elevated product prices. Operated activity will continue to focus on Giddings and, we expect to begin completing some of the Karnes DUCs in the latter part of the quarter. Production in the first quarter of 2021 is forecast to be relatively flat compared to fourth quarter levels, which incorporates a rough estimate of recent cold weather-related outages in the field. Oil price differentials are anticipated to be roughly a $3 per barrel discount to Magellan East Houston (“MEH”) during the first quarter.

2020 Oil and Gas Reserves Replacement and F&D Costs

Magnolia’s total proved developed reserves at year-end 2020 were 85.8 MMboe. The company added 30.4 MMboe of proved developed reserves during the year, excluding acquisitions and price related revisions and replacing 135% of 2020 production. Total costs incurred excluding property acquisition costs, exploration costs and asset retirement obligation costs were $194.9 million in 2020 resulting in organic proved developed F&D costs of $6.41 per boe.

Total 2020 proved reserves increased to 112.3 MMboe from 109.3 MMboe at year end 2019 and replaced 113% of 2020 production. Magnolia books only one year of proved undeveloped reserves and as a result, 76% of its 2020 proved reserves were developed.

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