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Baytex Energy Second Quarter 2021 Results

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   |    Monday,August 02,2021

Baytex Energy Corp. reported its Q2 2021 results (all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted).

Ed LaFehr, President and Chief Executive Officer, said: "During the second quarter, we delivered strong operating results and substantial free cash flow. Our free cash flow profile continues to improve resulting in accelerated debt reduction. We are taking proactive measures to reduce our net debt with the repurchase and cancellation of US$106 million of our outstanding long-term notes due 2024 during and subsequent to the quarter. At current commodity prices, we now expect to generate over $350 million of free cash flow in 2021. In addition, we are drilling our fourth follow up well as we continue to advance our exciting, new, oil discovery in the Clearwater play in Peace River."

Q2 2021 Highlights:

  • Generated production of 81,162 boe/d (81% oil and NGL), a 3% increase over Q1/2021.
  • Delivered adjusted funds flow of $176 million ($0.31 per basic share), a 12% increase compared to $157 million ($0.28 per basic share) in Q1/2021.
  • Generated free cash flow of $112 million ($0.20 per basic share).
  • Realized an operating netback of $33.92/boe, up from $29.80/boe in Q1/2021.
  • Repurchased and cancelled US$5.8 million principal amount of 5.625% long-term notes. Subsequent to quarter-end, repurchased and cancelled an additional US$100 million principal amount of 5.625% long-term notes.
  • Reduced net debt by $129 million through a combination of free cash flow and the Canadian dollar strengthening relative to the U.S. dollar.

2021 Outlook

As a result of our strong operating performance through the first half of 2021, we are increasing our production guidance to 79,000 to 80,000 boe/d, up from 77,000 to 79,000 boe/d, previously. We continue to forecast 2021 exploration and development expenditures of $285 to $315 million. Our free cash flow profile continues to improve as we benefit from our diversified oil weighted portfolio and our commitment to allocate capital effectively. At current commodity prices, we now expect to deliver over $350 million ($0.62 per basic share) of free cash flow this year, which will accelerate our debt reduction efforts.

Five-Year Outlook

Our five-year outlook (2021 to 2025) highlights our financial and operational sustainability and meaningful free cash flow generation. Through this plan period, we are committed to a disciplined and returns based capital allocation philosophy.

We have updated year one of our five-year outlook (2021) to reflect year-to-date commodity prices and the forward strip for the balance of the year. The remaining years (2022 to 2025) continue to be based on a constant US$55/bbl WTI price. Under the plan, we expect to generate over $1 billion of cumulative free cash flow as we target capital expenditures at less than 70% of our adjusted funds flow, while optimizing production in the 80,000 to 85,000 boe/d range. Under constant US$60/bbl and $65/bbl WTI pricing scenarios, we expect to generate in excess of $1.5 billion and $2.0 billion of cumulative free cash flow, respectively.

Based on the strong pricing environment and free cash flow forecast for 2021, we have accelerated our debt repayment strategy by approximately one year over the base plan presented last quarter. We now anticipate hitting our net debt target of $1.0 to $1.2 billion in 2023 at US$55/bbl. Throughout the plan period we will continue to monitor our leverage position and assess market conditions to determine the best methods or combination thereof to enhance shareholder returns. These could include share buy-backs, a dividend and/or reinvestment for organic growth.

Q2/2021 Results

During Q2/2021, we delivered strong operating and financial results as we executed on our plan to maximize free cash flow and reduce debt. During the quarter, we delivered adjusted funds flow of $176 million ($0.31 per basic share). This resulted in substantial quarterly free cash flow of $112 million, which along with the Canadian dollar strengthening relative to the U.S. dollar, contributed to a $129 million reduction in our net debt.

Production during the second quarter averaged 81,162 boe/d (81% oil and NGL), up 3% as compared to 78,780 boe/d (81% oil and NGL) in Q1/2021. The increased production reflects the timing of completion activity in the Eagle Ford and and strong performance across our light and heavy oil assets in Canada. Exploration and development expenditures totaled $61 million in Q2/2021 that included the drilling of 34 (19.7 net) wells with a 100% success rate.

During Q2/2021, we reported net income of $1.1 billion ($1.85 per diluted share). At June 30, 2021, we identified indicators of impairment reversal for our oil and gas properties due to the increase in forecasted commodity prices. As a result, we recorded an impairment reversal of $1.1 billion during the second quarter as the estimated recoverable amounts exceeded the carrying value of our oil and gas properties.

2021 Guidance

In 2021, we are benefiting from our diversified oil weighted portfolio and our commitment to allocate capital effectively. Based on the forward strip(1), we expect to generate over $350 million of free cash flow in 2021.

As a result of our strong operating performance through the first half of 2021, we are increasing our production guidance to 79,000 to 80,000 boe/d, up from 77,000 to 79,000 boe/d, previously. We continue to forecast 2021 exploration and development expenditures of $285 to $315 million.

Our interest expense guidance is 3% lower due to reduced net debt and the repurchase and cancellation of US$106 million principal amount of 5.625% long-term notes.

The following table highlights our updated 2021 annual guidance.

  2021 Guidance (2) 2021 Revised Guidance
Exploration and development expenditures $285 - $315 million no change
Production (boe/d) 77,000 - 79,000 79,000 - 80,000
     
Expenses:    
Royalty rate 18.0% - 18.5% no change
Operating $11.25 - $12.00/boe no change
Transportation $1.15 - $1.25/boe no change
General and administrative $42 million ($1.48/boe) $42 million ($1.45/boe)
Interest $98 million ($3.46/boe) $95 million ($3.27/boe)
     
Leasing expenditures $4 million no change
Asset retirement obligations $6 million no change

Operating Results

Eagle Ford and Viking Light Oil

Production in the Eagle Ford averaged 33,957 boe/d (80% oil and NGL) during Q2/2021, as compared to 26,741 boe/d in Q1/2021. The higher volumes reflect an increased pace of completions and continued strong operating performance. During the second quarter we commenced production from 38 (10.2 net) wells, up from 24 (7.0 net) wells in Q1/2021. In Q2/2021, we invested $31 million on exploration and development in the Eagle Ford and generated an operating netback of $112 million. We expect to bring approximately 22 net wells on production in the Eagle Ford in 2021.

Notes:

(1) 2021 full-year pricing assumptions: WTI - US$64/bbl; WCS differential - US$13/bbl; MSW differential – US$4/bbl, NYMEX Gas - US$3.30/mcf; AECO Gas - $3.45/mcf and Exchange Rate (CAD/USD) - 1.26.
(2) As announced on April 29, 2021.

Production in the Viking averaged 16,301 boe/d (88% oil and NGL) during Q2/2021, as compared to 19,403 boe/d in Q1/2021. Our capital program in the second quarter included the seasonal slowdown, which resulted in the completion of 14 (14.0 net) wells, as compared to 44 (43.2 net) wells during the first quarter. In Q2/2021, we invested $17 million on exploration and development in the Viking and generated an operating netback of $72 million. We expect to bring approximately 120 net wells on production in the Viking during 2021.

Heavy Oil

Our heavy oil assets at Peace River and Lloydminster produced a combined 23,304 boe/d (91% oil and NGL) during the Q2/2021, as compared to 24,395 boe/d in Q1/2021. We scheduled minimal heavy oil development for the first half of 2021. Our heavy oil program kicked off in June with approximately 35 net wells planned for the year, including up to seven net wells in our Spirit River (Clearwater equivalent) play.

Peace River Clearwater

Across all of our core assets, inventory enhancement continues to be a priority. We are also committed to building and maintaining respectful relationships with Indigenous communities and creating opportunities for meaningful economic participation and inclusion. In early 2020, we executed a strategic agreement with the Peavine Métis settlement in the Peace River area that covers 60 sections of land directly to the south of our existing Seal operations. At the time, we identified significant potential for this early stage exploratory play targeting the Spirit River formation, a Clearwater formation equivalent.

Our appraisal program continues to yield encouraging results and pending continued success, sets the stage for a potential increase in activity in 2022. We plan to drill up to seven net appraisal wells in 2021, of which five net appraisal wells will occur on our Peavine lands. Across our acreage position in northwest Alberta, we estimate that over 100 sections are prospective for Clearwater development. The following table summarizes our Peavine appraisal program for 2021.

Area Well Spud Rig Release # of Laterals 30-Day Initial Production Rate (bbl/d)
Peavine 100/04-34-078-16W5 January 6 January 19 2 175
Peavine 102/04-34-078-16W5 June 15 June 21 2 175
Peavine 100/13-27-078-16W5 June 22 July 6 8 On Production July 10
Peavine 100/05-34-078-16W5 July 8 July 18 8 On Production July 22
Peavine 100/11-31-078-15W5 July 20   8  

Pembina Area Duvernay Light Oil

Production in the Pembina Duvernay averaged 1,698 boe/d (80% oil and NGL) during Q2/2021, as compared to 2,138 boe/d in Q1/2021. We now have nine producing wells in the Pembina area and have significantly de-risked our approximately 38-kilometre long acreage fairway, where we hold 232 sections (100% working interest) of Duvernay land. We expect to bring two additional 100% working interest wells on production during the third quarter.

Financial Liquidity

Our credit facilities total approximately $1.0 billion and have a maturity date of April 2, 2024. These are not borrowing base facilities and do not require annual or semi-annual reviews. As of June 30, 2021, we had $511 million of undrawn capacity on our credit facilities, resulting in liquidity, net of working capital, of $477 million.

Our net debt, which includes our credit facilities, long-term notes and working capital, totaled $1.63 billion at June 30, 2021, down from $1.76 billion at March 31, 2021.

On May 4, 2021, we repurchased and cancelled US$5.8 million principal amount of 5.625% long-term notes. Subsequent to the quarter, we used free cash flow generated in the first half of 2021 to repurchase and cancel US$100 million principal amount of the 5.625% long-term notes at the call price of 100.938% plus accrued interest effective July 28, 2021.

Risk Management

To manage commodity price movements, we utilize various financial derivative contracts and crude-by-rail to reduce the volatility of our adjusted funds flow.

For the second half of 2021, we have entered into hedges on approximately 45% of our net crude oil exposure utilizing a combination of fixed price swaps at US$45/bbl and a 3-way option structure that provides price protection at US$44.71/bbl with upside participation to US$52.42/bbl. We also have WTI-MSW differential hedges on approximately 50% of our expected net Canadian light oil exposure at US$5.03/bbl and WCS differential hedges on approximately 50% of our net expected heavy oil exposure at a WTI-WCS differential of approximately US$13.23/bbl.

For 2022, we have entered into hedges on approximately 42% of our net crude oil exposure utilizing a combination of swaptions at US$53.50/bbl and a 3-way option structure that provides price protection at US$57.76/bbl with upside participation to US$67.51/bbl. We also have WTI-MSW differential hedges on approximately 13% of our expected net Canadian light oil exposure at US$4.63/bbl and WCS differential hedges on approximately 39% of our expected net heavy oil exposure at a WTI-WCS differential of approximately US$12.53/bbl.


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